Someone just bet against "Will Arthur Fils win the French Open?" — placing $38,800 on the NO side of this multi-outcome French Open winner market. The trade was executed as 40,000 NO contracts at 97¢ each, totaling $38,800.00. With no resting liquidity and zero open interest, the book had no depth to absorb the order, leaving no measurable slippage on the NO side. The YES price sits at 3¢, implying roughly a 3% probability that Fils takes the title.
📊 Last 30 trades: 30 trades over 11.4 hours (10:05 AM to 9:30 PM ET), NO volume leads $60,566 to $1,027, price holding near 3¢. One $38,800 NO trade (40,000 contracts) accounts for 63% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.