Someone just bet $150,000 against the "Above $27.94" outcome in the CARB Joint Auction #47 Settlement Price market. The trader placed 250,000 NO contracts at 60¢ each, totaling $150,000.00. With no resting orders and zero reported liquidity, the book showed no meaningful depth to absorb the trade cleanly. The YES side currently prices at 51¢, implying approximately a 51% probability the settlement price will strictly exceed $27.94.
📊 Last 4 trades: 4 trades over under 1 minute (11:59 AM to 11:59 AM ET), NO volume leads $150,074 to $0, price holding near 39¢. One $150,000 NO trade (250,000 contracts) accounts for 100% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.