A taker stepped up on NO, landing on the NO side of "Will Colorado Avalanche win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?" — the NO side wins if the Avalanche do not claim the title. The trade covered 50,000 NO contracts at 84¢ each, totaling $42,000. With no resting liquidity in the book, the market absorbed the trade without a price shift, closing flat at 16¢ on the YES side. The market currently sits at a 16¢ YES bid, implying roughly a 16% probability for Colorado.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 2.3 hours (10:58 PM to 1:16 AM ET), NO volume leads $85,809 to $6,220, price holding near 16¢. One $42,000 NO trade (50,000 contracts) accounts for 46% of the flow.
📊 Last 640 trades: 640 trades over 11.9 hours (1:20 PM to 1:16 AM ET), NO volume leads $166,218 to $24,246, as price moved from 32¢ to 16¢ (-16¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.