A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting? — the NO side wins if the Federal Reserve does not hike rates by 25bps at the June 2026 meeting. 6,424 NO contracts at 99¢ each, totaling $6,359.76. With no resting liquidity in the book, the market absorbed the trade against a 98¢ bid and 99¢ ask on the NO side. The market currently prices YES at 1¢, implying roughly a 1% probability of a June 2026 hike.
📊 Last 29 trades: 29 trades over 10.4 hours (9:01 AM to 7:23 PM ET), NO volume leads $30,031 to $265, price holding near 1¢. One $14,850 NO trade (15,000 contracts) accounts for 49% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.