A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of Will the Federal Reserve Cut Rates by >25bps at Their June 2026 Meeting? — the NO side wins if the Federal Reserve does not cut rates by more than 25bps at the June 2026 meeting. 15,000 NO contracts at 99¢ each, totaling $14,850. The book showed no resting liquidity, with zero open interest and zero prior volume, meaning the trade crossed into a thin market. The NO side sits at 99¢, implying roughly 1% probability on the YES outcome.
📊 Last 28 trades: 28 trades over 11.9 hours (4:52 AM to 4:47 PM ET), NO volume leads $39,469 to $1,094, price holding near 1¢. One $14,850 NO trade (15,000 contracts) accounts for 37% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.