Someone just bet $44,664 against "Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting?" on Kalshi's June 2026 Fed decision market. The position was built with 45,575 NO contracts at 98¢ each, totaling $44,663.50. With zero resting liquidity in the book, the trade absorbed at the ask without measurable slippage, though the YES side has already drifted down 1¢ over the session. The market now prices the 25bps cut outcome at roughly 2%, with NO bid at 97¢.
📊 Last 68 trades: 68 trades over 11.6 hours (9:38 AM to 9:14 PM ET), NO volume leads $102,067 to $1,124, price holding near 2¢. One $52,846 NO trade (53,924 contracts) accounts for 51% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.