A taker stepped up on YES, taking the YES side of France vs Morocco: To Advance — the YES side wins if the outcome happens. 90,000 YES contracts at 98¢ each, totaling $88,200. The book absorbed the size cleanly, with the price holding flat afterward and no visible slippage on the print. The market now sits at 98¢, implying a roughly 98% probability that France advances.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over under 1 minute (5:30 PM to 5:30 PM ET), YES volume leads $39,275 to $727, price holding near 99¢. One $17,788 YES trade (17,967 contracts) accounts for 44% of the flow.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over under 1 minute (5:29 PM to 5:30 PM ET), YES volume leads $504,255 to $2,404, as price moved from 96¢ to 99¢ (+3¢).
📊 Past 12 hours: 5,000 trades over 3 minutes (5:27 PM to 5:30 PM ET), YES volume leads $981,787 to $7,691, as price moved from 92¢ to 99¢ (+7¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $9,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $8,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.