Welcome to PNN

Welcome to Prediction News Network — the SportsCenter meets NYTimes meets Bloomberg of the prediction markets. We're here to keep you updated on the news and help you figure out what’s going to happen before it happens.

We’re super bullish on this new asset class — not just because you can bet on it, but because it’s where real-world curiosity meets real-time context. You might catch a headline about NYC’s mayoral race or wonder if that new Benson Boone song will chart — but how do you find key context around real signal?

That’s what we’re here for: to give your hunches key context — and ultimately into correct predictions.

Here’s just a taste of what we’re beginning to roll out:

Daily newsletter (Have a question or hot take? We read every reply)
🎮 Games section (Wordle-type games with a market spin)
📰 Articles on the latest markets (From Trump to Tarantino)
📊 Kalshi User Postings sentiment (Finding the Roaring Kitty of prediction markets)

Cash in on Culture. Let’s get into it 👇

📅 New Music Friday

Sabrina Carpenter and Lorde are leading the charts—and the markets.

Sabrina Carpenter is everywhere 🔥

Her new single Manchild—a disco-pop dig at immature exes—debuted at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100. Co-written with Jack Antonoff, it blends slick synths with sharp, meme-worthy lyrics. The music video (jet skis, motorized recliners, a shotgun scene) only added to the chaos.

On Kalshi, traders give her a 95% chance of a #1 album this year (Man’s Best Friend). For streaming, the market for Manchild hitting 120 million streams by July 4 is currently trading at 64%, down 2 points from earlier this week.

Lorde’s comeback is quieter—but building ⚡

Virgin, Lorde’s fourth album, is a pivot back to bolder pop after Solar Power. Songs like Shapeshifter and What Was That mix emotional weight with synth energy, touching on gender, heartbreak, and reinvention.

Her odds of a #1 album sit at 28% (trading at 37¢), down from 75% in spring. What Was That is climbing Spotify’s Top 50 and critical buzz is picking up. Lorde might not be a lock—but if fan momentum builds, there’s still room to run.

🎯 Other music markets to watch:

  • I’m The Problem: Odds of holding #1 for 8+ weeks? 58%

  • Total Spotify streams for Alex Warren's 'On My Mind feat. ROSÉ' by Jul 4, 2025? More than 13 million trading at 74%

  • Runner-up Song Today: Manchild vs Shapeshifter—both ~9–10%

🏆 Sports: Today’s Slate

MLB Games: 15
WNBA Games: 5

⚾ Top MLB Games

Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves – 7:15 PM ET
The Phillies visit Atlanta looking to rebound after scoring just one run across their last three games. Rookie Mick Abel starts for Philly, while the Braves turn to Bryce Elder, who’s allowed 10 home runs this season. This game leans toward Atlanta, with both teams struggling offensively and Truist Park playing pitcher-friendly.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Kansas City Royals – 8:10 PM ET
The Dodgers begin an interleague set in Kansas City with Dustin May on the mound against Noah Cameron. LA has won eight of its last ten, while the Royals have lost 10 straight at home and are scoring just 2.7 runs per game at Kauffman. Despite Cameron's strong ERA, this matchup leans Dodgers due to the Dodgers' firepower and KC’s lack of resistance.

First MLB game starts at 6:40 pm ET

🏀 WNBA Highlights

Connecticut Sun @ Seattle Storm – 10:00 PM ET
Seattle looks to bounce back from a tough loss to Indiana, where they were outrebounded 38–21. Connecticut has dropped seven straight and is last in the WNBA in both scoring and field goal percentage. The Storm are undefeated when they shoot over 37% from three.

Indiana Fever @ Dallas Wings – 7:30 PM ET
Caitlin Clark is questionable with a groin injury, and the Fever are 2–4 without her this season. Dallas has turned its season around since acquiring Li Yueru, who’s added interior defense and rebounding. Paige Bueckers continues to pace the Wings in scoring and assists.

Other WNBA Games Today:

  • Minnesota @ Atlanta – 7:30 PM

  • Chicago @ Golden State – 10:00 PM

  • New York @ Phoenix – 10:00 PM

🔍 Today’s Top Market

Trump, Tantalum & Talks: DRC-Rwanda Peace Deal May Spark Minerals Gold Rush

The Backstory: A decades-long conflict in mineral-rich eastern Congo could take a historic turn today. Trump’s brokering a deal between Rwanda and the DRC — two countries with a long, bloody feud — and it’s happening in D.C., not Doha. But can peace stick where decades of UN missions, AU mediators, and even Qatar have failed?

Why It Matters: The M23 rebel group, allegedly backed by Rwanda, controls key mining towns. The DRC accuses Kigali of plundering its cobalt, coltan, and gold — all critical for smartphones and EVs. Enter Trump: he wants peace, praise, and possibly... access to the minerals.

Key Innovation: A “Declaration of Principles” drafted by the U.S. includes disarmament of non-state actors, refugee returns, and — surprise — a regional trade framework that could welcome U.S. investment into African critical minerals. It's peace meets profit.

The Drama: The actual rebels (M23 + AFC) weren’t part of this peace process. They’re negotiating separately in Doha. So what happens if Trump praises the deal… but the rebels keep fighting?

Word

Chance

Pakistan

65%

CNN

46%

India

63%

Total Volume: $3.09M

🤩 New Markets

  • Bill Ackman endorsement watch: There is a 70% probability that the billionaire will publicly back New York City Mayor Eric Adams.

  • Wimbledon R128 – Tseng vs Vukić: Contracts heavily favor Vukić at 79¢, with Tseng lingering at 25¢.

  • MrBeast milestone bet: A whopping 94% chance that at least one new video clears 100 M views within a week of release.

  • Andrew Cuomo endorsement meter: Essentially a coin flip at 52% that he throws support behind Eric Adams.

🎬 Culture: Movie of the Week

“M3GAN 2.0” Takes a Ratings Plunge as Traders Bail on the Buzz
After weeks of AI-fueled hype and meme momentum, the killer doll’s comeback is hitting a rough patch. As of June 27, the market forecast on M3GAN 2.0’s Rotten Tomatoes score has cratered to 57 — down a sharp 16.4 points. That puts the “Fresh” label (above 60%) in serious doubt. Traders are re-evaluating whether the sequel magic was just a glitch in the system.

M3GAN 2.0: Sequel Queen or Streaming Scream?

🎬 Background: Hot off the viral success of the 2023 original, M3GAN 2.0 returned with bigger tech themes, neon lighting, and another round of acrobatic android violence. But critical sentiment hasn’t kept pace with the franchise’s ambition.

🕺 Quirk: The movie features a new VR therapy dance-off (yes, again), and introduces an evil AI named Amelia. But the internet’s favorite robot might be learning the hard way that sequels aren’t immune to performance bugs.

💡 Market Mood:

  • Above 50% – 97% chance (Safe zone)

  • Above 55% – 71% chance (Shaky optimism)

  • Above 60% (Certified Fresh) – 18% chance (Mission: Improbable)

🗣️ Krazy Kalshi User Postings

“TRUMP NEEDS to AURA FARM some MAKE A WISH KIDS .... or else i’m COOKED” — @locksy
Trump’s odds slipped under 15¢ after a quiet week on the diplomatic front. Longs were melting. Some begged for ceasefires. Others, like @locksy, begged for a side quest.

“come on lads he’ll talk to a dead guy any second now” — @galatians
Markets were stale. No new calls. Traders were coping. The surrealism peaked when @galatians predicted divine intervention as a viable upside scenario.

“CharlieBrownFootball.gif” — @byebyemoney
After yet another fakeout on international FSD rumors, the "Yes" holders were back in pain. @byebyemoney, who had ridden the Musk coaster before, posted the only reaction that mattered.

🎮 Play Our Games

Just like the New York Times, we’ve got quick-hit games — but with a predictive twist. Whether you’re matching emojis or hitting 21, they’re built to sharpen your instinct for patterns, probabilities, and plays. More coming soon…

💸 Start Predicting Now

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