Someone just bet against "Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Alabama?" with $6,621 in a multi-outcome Alabama Senate primary market. 11,222 NO contracts at 59¢ each, totaling $6,620.98. Over the prior 19.1 hours, strong NO flow has pushed the price from 51¢ down to 42¢ on the YES side — a 9-cent drop — suggesting the book has not absorbed this pressure cleanly. The YES side now sits at 41¢, implying roughly a 41% probability that Hudson wins the Republican nomination.
📊 Last 90 trades: 90 trades over 11.8 hours (12:07 AM to 11:54 AM ET), NO volume leads $8,239 to $2,328, as price moved from 57¢ to 42¢ (-15¢). One $6,621 NO trade (11,222 contracts) accounts for 63% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.