A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of the "yes Josh Hart: 4+,yes Josh Hart: 15+,yes Stephon Castle: 2+" combo parlay — the NO side wins if that combined outcome does NOT happen. The trade crossed 10,723 NO contracts at 87¢ each, totaling $9,318. The book absorbed the trade cleanly, with price holding flat at 13¢ on the YES side and no measurable slippage detected. The YES side currently sits at 13¢, implying roughly a 13% probability the full combo lands.
📊 Last 26 trades: 26 trades over 4 minutes (3:36 PM to 3:40 PM ET), NO volume leads $45,015 to $1,927, price holding near 11¢.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $9,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $8,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.