📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (May 30 at 8:30 AM ET through May 31 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 36 unique markets across 6 new events, plus 370 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Top Coding AI this week: ChatGPT bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, GLM bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, Claude bid 93¢ / ask 97¢
Best AI this week: ChatGPT bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Claude bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, Grok last 1¢ (book empty)
New Mexico Republican Governor nominee?: Doug Turner — bid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Closest Senate race in 2026?: Montana — bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 2 events, 2 markets
Closest Senate race in 2026?: Montana (bid 2¢ / ask 4¢) — listed May 30, 2026 at 5:13 PM ET
New Mexico Republican Governor nominee?: Doug Turner (bid 12¢ / ask 13¢) — listed May 30, 2026 at 10:09 AM ET
📊 Economics — 2 events, 17 markets
USD/IRR on June 30, 2026 — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 30, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Brazil GDP growth in Q2 2026 (YoY) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 30, 2026 at 12:22 PM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 2 events, 17 markets
Top Coding AI this week — 9 outcomes — listed May 30, 2026 at 11:26 AM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Qwen | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| MiniMax | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kimi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Grok | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| GLM | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Gemini | bid 2¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Dola | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Claude | bid 93¢ / ask 97¢ |
| ChatGPT | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Best AI this week — 8 outcomes — listed May 30, 2026 at 11:20 AM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Grok | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| ChatGPT | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Muse | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Gemini | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Dola | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Claude | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Amazon Nova | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Qwen | last 1¢ (book empty) |
🔄 Recurring Markets
370 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 60 | 4 | Daily US Spotify artist chart, Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, +1 more |
| 📊 Economics | 11 | 1 | US flight cancellations this week |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 10 | 1 | Top model |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.