Kalshi Markets: AUD/USD, Chipotle, AI Companies

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 15 at 8:30 AM ET through Oct 16 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 461 unique markets across 214 new events, plus 6,658 recurring bracket markets.

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will The Democrats win?: Above 9 (bid 34¢ / ask 42¢) — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 10:18 AM ET

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Yisrael Beiteinu win?: Above 8 (bid 36¢ / ask 44¢) — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 10:18 AM ET

How high will softwood lumber PPI get before 2027? — 6 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 330	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 320	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 310	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above 300	bid 42¢ / ask 49¢
Above 290	bid 44¢ / ask 75¢
Above 190	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

Will wages beat inflation in 2026?: Above 0.0% (bid 3¢ / ask 10¢) — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 6:38 PM ET

Will the U.S. announce a new SPR release before 2027?: New SPR release announced? (bid 32¢ / ask 76¢) — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 11:28 AM ET

Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — 18 outcomes — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 4:28 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Z AI	bid 24¢ / ask 29¢
Xiaomi	bid 61¢ / ask 66¢
xAI	bid 13¢ / ask 20¢
Thinking Machines	bid 2¢ / ask 9¢
Tencent	bid 11¢ / ask 17¢
StepFun	bid 7¢ / ask 9¢
OpenAI	bid 86¢ / ask 92¢
NVIDIA	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Moonshot AI	bid 10¢ / ask 12¢
Mistral	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
MiniMax	bid 7¢ / ask 10¢
Meta	bid 16¢ / ask 22¢
InclusionAI	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
IBM	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Google	bid 51¢ / ask 56¢
DeepSeek	bid 14¢ / ask 18¢
Anthropic	bid 78¢ / ask 84¢
Alibaba	bid 17¢ / ask 21¢

When will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 15, 2026 at 8:22 PM ET

Tracking: Before Jul 1, 2027, Before Jan 1, 2027, Before Feb 1, 2027, Before Dec 1, 2026, Before Apr 1, 2027

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When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 15, 2026 at 8:22 PM ET

Tracking: Before Jul 1, 2027, Before Jan 1, 2027, Before Feb 1, 2027, Before Dec 1, 2026, Before Apr 1, 2027

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YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: Yeshanagula, Пешта, Training Season, Shararat, Sebebi Yar (Live), Parvati, KALYANI (Remix), Hootie Frutti, Gehra Hua, Dai Dai, Casa Tupka Anthemo (feat. Priyanshi Srivastava), BbY WOW, Barsaat, Animal, Alfaaz

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Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 17, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: Yeshanagula, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), TRALALA, Shararat, Parvati, Kayıp Kalp, KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 12: z5y8Clp_TdE], KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 5: xvT1jH8B9AM], GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION], Dai Dai, Casa Tupka Anthemo, BbY WOW, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat

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Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 17, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: Yeshanagula, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), TRALALA, Shararat, Parvati, Kayıp Kalp, KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 12: z5y8Clp_TdE], KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 5: xvT1jH8B9AM], GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION], Dai Dai, Casa Tupka Anthemo, BbY WOW, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat

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YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: WTF GOIN (feat. 21 Savage), What You Need, What It Sounds Like + Golden (feat. BABYMONSTER), Sunflower, Patient Zero, Nicole Kidman, misery., Hotel Lobby, Hootie Frutti, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, Boston, bloodstream, BbY WOW, Animal

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Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 17, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: WTF GOIN, Todo Lo Fue, The Aura Farmer - Horror Skunx (official song), Nicole Kidman, Janice STFU, Haaland Song, but it's TOO EASY, I'm 99% sure YOU CAN PLAY THIS!, Going On A Date - NSP, Death By Firing Squad, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 4: hLOheGDwD_0], Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 2: nUsrYVxrDwI], BURN, BbY WOW, Alma Rota, AH HA

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How low will Trump's approval rating get during his term? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 10:48 AM ET

Bracket	Price
Below 36%	bid 89¢ / ask 93¢
Below 35%	bid 81¢ / ask 84¢
Below 34%	bid 68¢ / ask 76¢
Below 33%	bid 56¢ / ask 64¢
Below 32%	bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
Below 31%	bid 31¢ / ask 38¢
Below 30%	bid 21¢ / ask 26¢

Who will AOC endorse? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 11:31 AM ET

Outcome	Price
Ilhan Omar	bid 61¢ / ask 69¢
Brad Lander	bid 51¢ / ask 60¢
Rashida Tlaib	bid 69¢ / ask 78¢
Donavan McKinney	bid 51¢ / ask 60¢
Dan Osborn	bid 2¢ / ask 10¢

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — 4 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 12:08 AM ET

Outcome	Price
Todd Blanche	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Jay Clayton	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Christopher Phelan	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Keith Sonderling	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢

Will the federal minimum wage be raised? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 3:22 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Before 2030	bid 30¢ / ask 31¢
Before 2029	bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Before 2028	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢

Who will Trump pardon in 2026? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 9:41 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Kimberly Guilfoyle	bid 6¢ / ask 15¢
Josh Wander	bid 6¢ / ask 15¢

Will Trump impose martial law?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 9¢ / ask 10¢) — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 10:18 AM ET

Katie Zacharia out as White House Press Secretary?: Before Dec 1, 2026 (bid 39¢ / ask 43¢) — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 10:18 AM ET

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 16, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

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10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 16, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

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7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 16, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

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5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 16, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

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2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 16, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

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Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q1 2027 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 15, 2026 at 6:36 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Klarna Credit Card Spend in October 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 6:18 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 90	bid 77¢ / ask 99¢
Above 140	bid 1¢ / ask 28¢
Above 130	bid 2¢ / ask 26¢
Above 125	bid 2¢ / ask 24¢
Above 120	bid 3¢ / ask 25¢
Above 115	bid 4¢ / ask 36¢
Above 110	bid 12¢ / ask 39¢
Above 105	bid 37¢ / ask 77¢
Above 100	bid 64¢ / ask 86¢

Afterpay Credit Card Spend in October 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 6:18 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 95	bid 3¢ / ask 9¢
Above 90	bid 28¢ / ask 38¢
Above 85	bid 71¢ / ask 75¢
Above 80	bid 92¢ / ask 96¢
Above 75	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Above 65	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Above 115	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above 105	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Above 100	bid 3¢ / ask 7¢

Affirm Credit Card Spend in October 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 6:18 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 160	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Above 150	bid 25¢ / ask 26¢
Above 145	bid 37¢ / ask 38¢
Above 140	bid 52¢ / ask 53¢
Above 135	bid 57¢ / ask 66¢
Above 130	bid 69¢ / ask 78¢
Above 125	bid 80¢ / ask 90¢
Above 120	bid 87¢ / ask 97¢
Above 110	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

Urban Outfitters Credit Card Spend in October — 6 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 4:01 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 90	bid 51¢ / ask 60¢
Above 86	bid 57¢ / ask 79¢
Above 82	bid 88¢ / ask 96¢
Above 78	bid 94¢ / ask 98¢
Above 74	bid 96¢ / ask 98¢
Above 70	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢

How much will the Tesla Roadster cost? — 4 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 11:33 AM ET

Bracket	Price
At least $325,000	bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
At least $350,000	bid 24¢ / ask 33¢
At least $375,000	bid 18¢ / ask 27¢
At least $400,000	bid 14¢ / ask 22¢

Google headcount in Q3 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 16, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in Q3 — 3 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 11%	bid 2¢ / ask 40¢
Above 11.5%	bid 3¢ / ask 47¢
Above 12%	bid 2¢ / ask 60¢

Lululemon Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 65	bid 7¢ / ask 86¢
Above 61	bid 14¢ / ask 32¢
Above 57	bid 31¢ / ask 82¢

Consumer Electronics Ad Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 210	bid 8¢ / ask 13¢
Above 240	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Above 270	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢

Chipotle Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 88	bid 82¢ / ask 98¢
Above 84	bid 96¢ / ask 97¢
Above 80	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢

Grok App Downloads in October 2026 — 3 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 4:44 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 55	bid 72¢ / ask 77¢
Above 65	bid 35¢ / ask 39¢
Above 70	bid 15¢ / ask 38¢

Wendy's Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 81	bid 60¢ / ask 76¢
Above 79	bid 89¢ / ask 92¢
Above 77	bid 83¢ / ask 98¢

Kroger Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 98	bid 20¢ / ask 21¢
Above 99	bid 14¢ / ask 15¢
Above 100	bid 9¢ / ask 10¢

Dick's Sporting Goods Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 83	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
Above 79	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above 75	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

ChatGPT App Downloads in October — 2 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 4:50 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 75	bid 68¢ / ask 71¢
Above 85	bid 11¢ / ask 29¢

Uber Eats App Downloads in October — 2 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 4:46 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 110	bid 54¢ / ask 56¢
Above 105	bid 66¢ / ask 69¢

Tesla Roadster delivery — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 11:36 AM ET

Outcome	Price
Before 2028	bid 8¢ / ask 13¢
Before July, 2027	bid 3¢ / ask 9¢

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.41612 (bid 64¢ / ask 66¢) — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 0.69603 (bid 27¢ / ask 28¢) — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 157.963 (bid 49¢ / ask 51¢) — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.12497 (bid 40¢ / ask 43¢) — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.33400 (bid 48¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

Max App Downloads in October: Above 60 (bid 68¢ / ask 72¢) — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 4:48 PM ET

6,658 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	5,141	30	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +27 more
📊 Economics	1,101	69	CPI-U index in [month], Daily Diesel Price, Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, +66 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	364	54	Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more
🏛️ Politics	31	7	Trump approval rating, VoteHub GCB, Number of Trump Truth Social posts today?, +4 more
🎬 Entertainment	21	4	DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Billboard Hot 100 #1, Will Album be runner up this week?, +1 more

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: AUD/USD, Chipotle Spend, AI Companies — Past 24 Hours (as of 8:30:21 AM ET, Oct 16)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

🗳️ Elections — 2 events, 2 markets

📊 Economics — 3 events, 8 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 3 events, 28 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 5 events, 75 markets

🏛️ Politics — 7 events, 23 markets

💹 Financials — 194 events, 325 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

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