📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 26 at 8:30 AM ET through Aug 27 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 254 unique markets across 29 new events, plus 4,593 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Bank of Korea rate decision in October: Cut more than 25bps bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Hike more than 25bps bid 9¢ / ask 25¢, Maintain current rate bid 18¢ / ask 66¢
US SPR level for the week ending August 28, 2026: Above 295M, Above 294M, Above 293M all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond: Paul Mescal bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Jack Barton bid 33¢ / ask 34¢, Jack O'Connell bid 6¢ / ask 18¢
Hungary rate decision in September: Hike 25bps, Cut more than 50bps, Cut 50bps all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Poland rate decision in September: Hike more than 50bps bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Hike 50bps bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Hike 25bps bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Czech National Bank rate decision in September: Hike more than 50bps, Hike 50bps, Cut more than 50bps all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Trump's approval rating on Aug 27, 2026?: 39.6 bid 68¢ / ask 73¢, 39.7 bid 20¢ / ask 34¢, Above 39.9 last 67¢ (book empty)
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- BP Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
- Chevron Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
- Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
- ExxonMobil Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
- Hims Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
- Ro Monthly Credit Card Spend in September 2026
- Shell Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
- Daily Top Music Videos USA: Artist(s) with a #1 video in August 2026
- How many wide film releases in Q4 2026?
- James Bond · Release Date
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner(s)
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 28, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 28, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 28, 2026
- Bank of Korea rate decision in October
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- EV commodity prices on Aug 27, 2026
- Hungary rate decision in September
- Poland rate decision in September
- US SPR level for the week ending August 28, 2026
- US trade deficit for 2027
- US trade deficit for 2028
- US trade deficit for 2029
- US trade deficit for 2030
- US trade deficit for 2031
- US trade deficit for 2032
All New Events
🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 9 markets
Trump's approval rating on Aug 27, 2026? — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 39.9 | last 67¢ (book empty) |
| 39.9 | last 43¢ (book empty) |
| 39.8 | ask 47¢ (no bids) |
| 39.7 | bid 20¢ / ask 34¢ |
| 39.6 | bid 68¢ / ask 73¢ |
| 39.5 | ask 43¢ (no bids) |
| 39.4 | ask 12¢ (no bids) |
| 39.3 | last 5¢ (book empty) |
| Below 39.3 | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
💹 Financials — 7 events, 63 markets
Hims Monthly Credit Card Spend in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 125 | bid 8¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 121 | bid 8¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 118 | bid 11¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 116 | bid 13¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 113.5 | bid 13¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 111 | bid 13¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 109 | bid 15¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 106 | bid 15¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 102 | bid 15¢ / ask 95¢ |
Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 12:14 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 96.5 | bid 25¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 173.5 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 160.5 | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above 150.5 | bid 12¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 142.5 | bid 12¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 135 | bid 13¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 127.5 | bid 26¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 119.5 | bid 26¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 110 | bid 25¢ / ask 93¢ |
Ro Monthly Credit Card Spend in September 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 12:13 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 353 | bid 3¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 341 | bid 7¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 332 | bid 11¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 324 | bid 12¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above 317 | bid 12¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above 310 | bid 12¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above 302 | bid 13¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 293 | bid 15¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above 281 | bid 15¢ / ask 93¢ |
Shell Monthly Credit Card Spend in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 12:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 99 | bid 12¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 96 | bid 35¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 113 | bid 5¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 110 | bid 5¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 108 | bid 9¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 106 | bid 9¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 104.5 | bid 10¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 103 | bid 10¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 101 | bid 12¢ / ask 87¢ |
ExxonMobil Monthly Credit Card Spend in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 12:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 98 | bid 16¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 95.5 | bid 35¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 110.5 | bid 4¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 108 | bid 4¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 106 | bid 6¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 104.5 | bid 7¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 103 | bid 12¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above 101.5 | bid 14¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 14¢ / ask 85¢ |
BP Monthly Credit Card Spend in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 12:11 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 98 | bid 40¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 117 | bid 3¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 114 | bid 4¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above 111.5 | bid 8¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 109.5 | bid 9¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 107.5 | bid 9¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 105.5 | bid 9¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above 103.5 | bid 12¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 101 | bid 20¢ / ask 89¢ |
Chevron Monthly Credit Card Spend in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 12:11 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 115.5 | bid 3¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above 113 | bid 8¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Above 111 | bid 8¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Above 109.5 | bid 8¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 108 | bid 8¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 106.5 | bid 8¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above 105 | bid 10¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 103 | bid 15¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 100.5 | bid 30¢ / ask 91¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 8 events, 58 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 28, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 27, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Tera Mera Rishta, Taylor Swift Performance - The Icon Sessions at the Grammy Museum, Sunflower, Shararat, Sebebi Yar, @SaiAbhyankkar - Radhimaa (Music Video) | Bhagyashri Borse | Vivek | Thejo Bharathwaj | Think Indie, Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, KALYANI (Remix), Golden, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat, Barbaadi
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 28, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 27, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Tera Mera Rishta, Taylor Swift Performance - The Icon Sessions at the Grammy Museum, Sunflower, Shararat, Sebebi Yar, @SaiAbhyankkar - Radhimaa (Music Video) | Bhagyashri Borse | Vivek | Thejo Bharathwaj | Think Indie, Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, KALYANI (Remix), Golden, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat, Barbaadi
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 28, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 27, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026, Taylor Swift Performance - The Icon Sessions at the Grammy Museum, Sunflower, Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, Jolene (Official Audio), Janice STFU, I Will Always Love You, ICONIC BY MISTAKE, Golden, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, 9 To 5 (Official Video)
How many wide film releases in Q4 2026? — 4 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 8:37 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 60 | bid 12¢ / ask 84¢ |
| At least 55 | bid 11¢ / ask 90¢ |
| At least 50 | bid 13¢ / ask 92¢ |
| At least 45 | bid 13¢ (no asks) |
James Bond · Release Date — 4 outcomes — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | bid 40¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | bid 11¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 11¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 5¢ / ask 44¢ |
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 11:37 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Jack Barton | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Paul Mescal | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Jack O'Connell | bid 6¢ / ask 18¢ |
Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner(s): Ella Langley (bid 5¢ / ask 13¢) — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 10:34 AM ET
Daily Top Music Videos USA: Artist(s) with a #1 video in August 2026 : Taylor Swift — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 10:02 AM ET
📊 Economics — 13 events, 124 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 27, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.670 | ask 66¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.665 | ask 57¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.660 | ask 84¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.655 | ask 84¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.650 | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.645 | — |
| Above $5.640 | — |
| Above $5.635 | — |
| Above $5.630 | — |
| Above $5.625 | — |
| Above $5.620 | — |
| Above $5.615 | — |
| Above $5.610 | — |
| Above $5.605 | — |
| Above $5.600 | — |
| Above $5.595 | — |
| Above $5.590 | — |
| Above $5.585 | — |
| Above $5.580 | bid 16¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.575 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.570 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
EV commodity prices on Aug 27, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1318.99 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1308.99 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1298.99 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1288.99 | ask 67¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1278.99 | ask 67¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1268.99 | ask 66¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1258.99 | bid 2¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 1248.99 | bid 9¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 1238.99 | bid 34¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 1228.99 | bid 35¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 1218.99 | bid 38¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1208.99 | bid 35¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1198.99 | bid 61¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1188.99 | bid 61¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1178.99 | bid 61¢ (no asks) |
US SPR level for the week ending August 28, 2026 — 14 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET
View market strikes (14 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 295M | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 294M | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 293M | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 292M | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 291M | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 290M | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 289M | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 288M | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 287M | bid 1¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 286M | bid 1¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 285M | bid 7¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 284M | bid 15¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 283M | bid 87¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 282M | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
US trade deficit for 2032 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $900 billion | bid 43¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above $800 billion | bid 58¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above $700 billion | bid 70¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above $600 billion | bid 80¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above $500 billion | bid 86¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $1.2 trillion | bid 11¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Above $1.1 trillion | bid 21¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Above $1.0 trillion | bid 32¢ / ask 53¢ |
US trade deficit for 2031 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 2:17 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $900 billion | bid 55¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above $800 billion | bid 65¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above $700 billion | bid 75¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above $600 billion | bid 82¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above $500 billion | bid 85¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $1.2 trillion | bid 12¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above $1.1 trillion | bid 26¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Above $1.0 trillion | bid 39¢ / ask 60¢ |
US trade deficit for 2030 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 2:06 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $900 billion | bid 34¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Above $800 billion | bid 56¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Above $700 billion | bid 66¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above $600 billion | bid 81¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above $500 billion | bid 86¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above $1.2 trillion | bid 7¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above $1.1 trillion | bid 11¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Above $1.0 trillion | bid 24¢ / ask 45¢ |
US trade deficit for 2029 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 1:27 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $900 billion | bid 34¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Above $800 billion | bid 63¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above $700 billion | bid 75¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above $600 billion | bid 80¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above $500 billion | bid 90¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above $1.2 trillion | bid 10¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Above $1.1 trillion | bid 19¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above $1.0 trillion | bid 24¢ / ask 66¢ |
US trade deficit for 2028 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 1:08 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $900 billion | bid 29¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above $800 billion | bid 51¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above $700 billion | bid 72¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above $600 billion | bid 85¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above $500 billion | bid 90¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $1.2 trillion | bid 5¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above $1.1 trillion | bid 7¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above $1.0 trillion | bid 18¢ / ask 49¢ |
US trade deficit for 2027 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 11:20 AM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $900 billion | bid 34¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Above $800 billion | bid 57¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above $700 billion | bid 73¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above $600 billion | bid 85¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above $500 billion | bid 90¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $1.2 trillion | bid 8¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above $1.1 trillion | bid 9¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above $1.0 trillion | bid 15¢ / ask 42¢ |
Hungary rate decision in September — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 12:52 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | bid 26¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Hike more than 50bps | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Hike 50bps | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Hike 25bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Cut more than 50bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Cut 50bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Cut 25bps | bid 66¢ / ask 68¢ |
Poland rate decision in September — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 12:52 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | bid 11¢ (no asks) |
| Hike more than 50bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Hike 50bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Hike 25bps | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Cut more than 50bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Cut 50bps | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Cut 25bps | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
Czech National Bank rate decision in September — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 12:51 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | bid 11¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Hike more than 50bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Hike 50bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Hike 25bps | bid 22¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Cut more than 50bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Cut 50bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Cut 25bps | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Bank of Korea rate decision in October — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 3:19 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | bid 18¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | bid 9¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Hike 1-25bps | bid 17¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Cut 1-25bps | bid 7¢ / ask 56¢ |
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,593 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,692 | 8 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +5 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 408 | 53 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, +50 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 356 | 12 | What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, +9 more |
| 📊 Economics | 137 | 9 | New Jersey gas prices, Illinois gas price, New York gas price, +6 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.