📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 30 at 6:30 PM ET through Aug 31 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 681 unique markets across 77 new events, plus 4,749 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Big Brother Season 28 · Week 8 elimination: Yash Patel, Melody Morris, Drew Campbell all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th: Tencent bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Xiaomi bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, MiniMax bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
EURUSD price on Sep 04 at 5:00 PM EDT: Above 1.177 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 1.175 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above 1.169 bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $5.635 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $5.630 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $5.625 bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 1, 2026: BORN DIRE (Short ver.) bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, FALLEN ANGEL (Official Video) bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 1, 2026: Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, KALYANI (Remix), FALLEN ANGEL (Official Video) all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
EV commodity prices on Aug 31, 2026: Above 1224.40 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above 1234.40 bid 90¢ / ask 97¢, Above 1244.40 bid 26¢ / ask 73¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Lieutenant Governor nominee?
- How many states will Trump visit in Sep 2026?
- MAGA Inc. 2026 total disbursements?
- Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?
- Big Brother Season 28 · Week 8 elimination
- Grand Theft Auto VI: New trailer release date
- MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform
- People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 1, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 1, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 1, 2026
- When will Drake release a remix of Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas”?
- Will Sony Music Publishing and Warner Chappell win their law suit against Anthropic?
- Anthropic market share this week
- Best AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Google market share this week
- OpenAI market share this week
- Qwen market share this week
- Tencent market share this week
- Top Chinese AI Company this month
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th
- Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
- Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
- Top Coding AI this week
- Total space launches in September
- Xiaomi market share this week
- Affirm gross merchandise volume in Q1
- Best Buy domestic comparable sales in Q3
- Burger King Foot Traffic in September
- Cava Foot Traffic in September
- ChatGPT App Downloads in September
- Chipotle Foot Traffic in September
- Claude App Downloads in September
- Costco Foot Traffic in September
- Dick's comparable sales in Q3
- Disney+ App Downloads in September
- Dollar General same-store sales growth in Q3
- DoorDash App Downloads in September
- DraftKings App Downloads in September
- Dutch Bros Foot Traffic in September
- ESPN App Downloads in September
- EURUSD price on Sep 04 at 5:00 PM EDT
- Facebook App Downloads in September
- FanDuel App Downloads in September
- Fear & Greed Index on Sep 25, 2026?
- Gemini App Downloads in September
- Grok App Downloads in September
- Grubhub App Downloads in September
- HBO App Downloads in September
- Hulu App Downloads in September
- Instacart App Downloads in September
- Instagram App Downloads in September
- Lowe's comparable sales growth in Q3
- Lyft App Downloads in September
- McDonald's Foot Traffic in September
- Netflix App Downloads in September
- Okta customers with acv over $100k in Q3
- Paramount+ App Downloads in September
- Peacock App Downloads in September
- Shake Shack Foot Traffic in September
- Sweetgreen Foot Traffic in September
- Target Foot Traffic in September
- Twitter App Downloads in September
- Uber Eats App Downloads in September
- Uber Ride App Downloads in September
- Urban Outfitters retail comparable sales in Q1
- Urban Outfitters total stores in Q1
- Will GTA VI preorders be reported?
- Williams-Sonoma brand growth in Q3
- Zoom customers over $100k in TTM revenue in Q3
All New Events
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 1 event, 1 market
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?: Lowell — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 3:52 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 3 events, 7 markets
Rhode Island Democratic Lieutenant Governor nominee? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 1:34 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Xay Khamsyvoravong | bid 40¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Sabina Matos | bid 40¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Sue AnderBois | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Ross McCurdy | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Cindy Coyne | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?: Augusto Cury (bid 1¢ / ask 10¢) — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:51 AM ET
Brazil Presidential election winner?: Augusto Cury (bid 4¢ / ask 5¢) — listed Aug 30, 2026 at 7:31 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 3 events, 21 markets
MAGA Inc. 2026 total disbursements? — 11 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 4:43 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 75 million dollars | bid 70¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 50 million dollars | bid 75¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 40 million dollars | bid 80¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 300 million dollars | bid 13¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above 30 million dollars | bid 85¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 25 million dollars | bid 89¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 200 million dollars | bid 30¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 20 million dollars | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 150 million dollars | bid 48¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Above 15 million dollars | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 100 million dollars | bid 66¢ / ask 76¢ |
How many states will Trump visit in Sep 2026? — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 2:28 PM ET
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?: Peng Liyuan — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 10:37 AM ET
📊 Economics — 3 events, 57 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.650 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.645 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.640 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.635 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $5.630 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $5.625 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above $5.620 | bid 18¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Above $5.615 | bid 28¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above $5.610 | bid 53¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above $5.605 | bid 65¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Above $5.600 | bid 80¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above $5.595 | bid 85¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above $5.590 | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $5.585 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.580 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.575 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.570 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.565 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.560 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.555 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.550 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
Diesel prices this week — 21 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.80 | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above $5.78 | bid 3¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above $5.76 | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above $5.74 | bid 10¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above $5.72 | bid 16¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above $5.70 | bid 19¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Above $5.68 | bid 23¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Above $5.66 | bid 12¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above $5.64 | bid 16¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Above $5.62 | bid 57¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above $5.60 | bid 65¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Above $5.58 | bid 80¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above $5.56 | bid 86¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above $5.54 | bid 90¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above $5.52 | bid 93¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above $5.50 | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $5.48 | bid 94¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $5.46 | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.44 | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.42 | bid 95¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.40 | bid 95¢ (no asks) |
EV commodity prices on Aug 31, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 30, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1304.40 | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1294.40 | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1284.40 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1274.40 | last 28¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1264.40 | ask 13¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1254.40 | ask 32¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1244.40 | bid 26¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above 1234.40 | bid 90¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1224.40 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1214.40 | bid 87¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1204.40 | bid 92¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1194.40 | bid 89¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1184.40 | bid 96¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1174.40 | bid 93¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1164.40 | bid 88¢ (no asks) |
🎬 Entertainment — 9 events, 68 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 1, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela | bid 5¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Tera Mera Rishta | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| @SaiAbhyankkar - Radhimaa (Music Video) | Bhagyashri Borse | Vivek | Thejo Bharathwaj | Think Indie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Pattampoochi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | bid 1¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| FALLEN ANGEL (Official Video) | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| DANGER | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 14¢ / ask 87¢ |
| BORN DIRE (Short ver.) | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barsaat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 1, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Tera Mera Rishta | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| @SaiAbhyankkar - Radhimaa (Music Video) | Bhagyashri Borse | Vivek | Thejo Bharathwaj | Think Indie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Pattampoochi | ask 88¢ (no bids) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| FALLEN ANGEL (Official Video) | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| DANGER | ask 87¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 6¢ / ask 84¢ |
| BORN DIRE (Short ver.) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barsaat | ask 87¢ (no bids) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 1, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| WTF Goin | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sunflower | bid 1¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Look Like My Mama | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dead Fresh | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | ask 86¢ (no bids) |
| Choosin' Texas | ask 86¢ (no bids) |
| Beat It | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| AH HA | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| 9 To 5 (Official Video) | bid 1¢ / ask 44¢ |
Big Brother Season 28 · Week 8 elimination — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yash Patel | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Taylor Brown | bid 33¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Rick Devens | bid 54¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Melody Morris | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| LaTrice Verrett | bid 31¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Drew Campbell | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Dee Valladares | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Barrett Pfeiffer | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Angela Murray | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform — 6 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 1:24 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Ella Langley | bid 29¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Raye | bid 24¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Miley Cyrus | bid 34¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Dua Lipa | bid 36¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Beyonce | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Sienna Spiro | bid 23¢ / ask 32¢ |
When will Drake release a remix of Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas”? — 4 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:28 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 24¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 34¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 52¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 44¢ / ask 52¢ |
Grand Theft Auto VI: New trailer release date — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:54 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before November 2026 | bid 64¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Before December 2026 | bid 81¢ / ask 85¢ |
People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026: Noah Wyle (ask 90¢ (no bids)) — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 1:26 PM ET
Will Sony Music Publishing and Warner Chappell win their law suit against Anthropic?: Before 2028 (bid 57¢ / ask 61¢) — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 14 events, 113 markets
Total space launches in September — 10 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 1:32 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 9 | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 18 | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 17 | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 16 | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 14 | bid 16¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Above 13 | bid 36¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 12 | bid 56¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 11 | bid 74¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
Top Chinese AI Company this month — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 1:01 PM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Z.ai | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Xiaomi | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Tencent | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Moonshot | bid 21¢ / ask 30¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| DeepSeek | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| ByteDance | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Baidu | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 60¢ / ask 64¢ |
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Qwen | — |
| MiniMax | — |
| Kimi | — |
| Grok | — |
| GLM | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| Gemini | — |
| Dola | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Claude | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| ChatGPT | — |
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Z.ai | bid 4¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Xiaomi | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Tencent | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Moonshot | bid 3¢ / ask 44¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| DeepSeek | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| ByteDance | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Baidu | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
Top Coding AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Tracking: Qwen, MiniMax, Kimi, Grok, GLM, Gemini, Dola, Claude, ChatGPT
Best AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Tracking: Grok, ChatGPT, Kimi, MUSE, Gemini, Dola, Claude, Amazon Nova, Qwen
Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE) — 8 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| MiMo | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Kimi | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Grok | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| GLM | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Gemini | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| DeepSeek | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Claude | bid 10¢ / ask 75¢ |
| ChatGPT | bid 15¢ / ask 19¢ |
OpenAI market share this week — 8 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 20.5% | bid 5¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 20% | bid 5¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 19.5% | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 19.0% | bid 21¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 18.5% | bid 31¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 18.0% | bid 43¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above 17.5% | bid 59¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Above 16.5% | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
Google market share this week — 7 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:39 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 23% | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 22% | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 21.5% | bid 4¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above 21% | bid 17¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Above 20.5% | bid 31¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 20% | bid 51¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 19% | bid 74¢ / ask 83¢ |
Anthropic market share this week — 7 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 3.8% | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 3.4% | bid 3¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 3.2% | bid 8¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 3.0% | bid 26¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 2.8% | bid 56¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 2.6% | bid 81¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 2.4% | bid 91¢ / ask 97¢ |
Qwen market share this week — 7 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5.5% | bid 3¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 5.4% | bid 4¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 5.3% | bid 6¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 5.2% | bid 14¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above 5.1% | bid 31¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 5% | bid 61¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 4.9% | bid 86¢ / ask 93¢ |
Tencent market share this week — 7 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 3.6% | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 3.4% | bid 21¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 3.2% | bid 35¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 3.0% | bid 46¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Above 2.8% | bid 57¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 2.6% | bid 63¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above 2.4% | bid 76¢ / ask 85¢ |
Xiaomi market share this week — 7 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 3.8% | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 3.4% | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 3.2% | bid 3¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 3.0% | bid 5¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 2.8% | bid 11¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above 2.6% | bid 26¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 2.4% | bid 47¢ / ask 56¢ |
DeepSeek market share this week — 7 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:37 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 27.5% | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 26.5% | bid 5¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 25.5% | bid 16¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Above 24.5% | bid 43¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above 23.5% | bid 71¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 22.5% | bid 89¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 21.5% | bid 91¢ / ask 95¢ |
💹 Financials — 44 events, 414 markets
EURUSD price on Sep 04 at 5:00 PM EDT — 20 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 9:25 AM ET
View market strikes (20 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1.177 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1.175 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 1.173 | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 1.171 | bid 8¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 1.169 | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 1.167 | bid 20¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above 1.165 | bid 30¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above 1.163 | bid 42¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Above 1.161 | bid 54¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 1.159 | bid 65¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 1.157 | bid 72¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 1.155 | bid 79¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 1.153 | bid 87¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 1.151 | bid 93¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.149 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.147 | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1.145 | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1.143 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1.141 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1.139 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
Burger King Foot Traffic in September — 13 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 3:17 PM ET
View market strikes (13 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 99.5 | — |
| Above 99 | — |
| Above 98.5 | — |
| Above 98 | — |
| Above 97.5 | — |
| Above 97 | — |
| Above 96.5 | — |
| Above 95.5 | — |
| Above 94.5 | — |
| Above 102.5 | bid 2¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 101.5 | — |
| Above 100.5 | — |
| Above 100 | — |
Dutch Bros Foot Traffic in September — 13 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 3:17 PM ET
View market strikes (13 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 113 | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 112 | bid 5¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 111 | bid 11¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above 110 | bid 29¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Above 109 | bid 41¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 108 | bid 61¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 107 | bid 81¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 106 | bid 84¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above 105 | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 104 | bid 87¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 103 | bid 88¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 102 | bid 89¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 101 | bid 90¢ / ask 98¢ |
Cava Foot Traffic in September — 13 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 3:17 PM ET
View market strikes (13 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 98 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 96 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 94 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 92 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 90 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 114 | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Above 112 | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Above 110 | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Above 108 | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Above 106 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 104 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 102 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 100 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
Chipotle Foot Traffic in September — 13 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET
View market strikes (13 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 108.5 | bid 9¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Above 108 | bid 18¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above 107.5 | bid 26¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 107 | bid 32¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above 106.5 | bid 39¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Above 106 | bid 48¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Above 105.5 | bid 56¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 105 | bid 62¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Above 104.5 | bid 67¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above 104 | bid 72¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 103.5 | bid 79¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above 103 | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 102.5 | bid 90¢ / ask 98¢ |
Costco Foot Traffic in September — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET
McDonald's Foot Traffic in September — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET
Shake Shack Foot Traffic in September — 13 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET
View market strikes (13 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 113 | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Above 112 | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Above 111 | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Above 110 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 109 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 108 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 107 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 106 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 105 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 104 | — |
| Above 103 | — |
| Above 102 | — |
| Above 101 | — |
Target Foot Traffic in September — 13 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET
View market strikes (13 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 97 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 96.5 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 96 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 95.5 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 95 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 94.5 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 94 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 93.5 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 93 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 92.5 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 92 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 91.5 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 91 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
Sweetgreen Foot Traffic in September — 11 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 98 | bid 91¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 96 | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 116 | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 114 | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 112 | bid 11¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above 110 | bid 18¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above 108 | bid 26¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 106 | bid 44¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 104 | bid 65¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above 102 | bid 81¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
Lowe's comparable sales growth in Q3 — 11 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above -2% | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above -1.5% | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above -1% | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above -0.5% | bid 76¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 3% | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 2.5% | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 2% | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 1.5% | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 1% | bid 8¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 0.5% | bid 24¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above 0% | bid 51¢ / ask 60¢ |
Urban Outfitters total stores in Q1 — 10 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:36 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 850 | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 848 | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 846 | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 844 | bid 5¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 842 | bid 11¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above 840 | bid 21¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 838 | bid 34¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above 836 | bid 54¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 834 | bid 67¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above 832 | bid 83¢ / ask 88¢ |
HBO App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 5:29 PM ET
Uber Eats App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 5:29 PM ET
Uber Ride App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 5:29 PM ET
Twitter App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 5:29 PM ET
Peacock App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 5:29 PM ET
Paramount+ App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 5:29 PM ET
Netflix App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET
Lyft App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET
Instagram App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET
Hulu App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET
Grubhub App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 5:27 PM ET
Grok App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 5:27 PM ET
Instacart App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 4:22 PM ET
Claude App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 4:22 PM ET
DoorDash App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 4:22 PM ET
ESPN App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 4:21 PM ET
Disney+ App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 4:20 PM ET
DraftKings App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 4:20 PM ET
Facebook App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 4:19 PM ET
ChatGPT App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET
Gemini App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 4:14 PM ET
FanDuel App Downloads in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 4:14 PM ET
Williams-Sonoma brand growth in Q3 — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7% | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 6.5% | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 6% | bid 16¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Above 5.5% | bid 32¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above 5% | bid 51¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 4.5% | bid 69¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above 4% | bid 81¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 3.5% | bid 89¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 3% | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
Affirm gross merchandise volume in Q1 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:39 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $14.75 billion | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above $14.5 billion | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above $14.25 billion | bid 26¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above $14 billion | bid 58¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Above $13.75 billion | bid 84¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above $13.5 billion | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $13.25 billion | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $13 billion | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
Dollar General same-store sales growth in Q3 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:36 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.5% | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 4% | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 3.5% | bid 16¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Above 3% | bid 34¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above 2.5% | bid 56¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 2% | bid 74¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 1.5% | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 1% | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
Dick's comparable sales in Q3 — 7 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 6% | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 5% | bid 3¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 4% | bid 13¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above 3% | bid 38¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 2% | bid 68¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above 1% | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 0% | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
Urban Outfitters retail comparable sales in Q1 — 6 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:44 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 8% | bid 21¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 6% | bid 43¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above 4% | bid 68¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Above 2% | bid 88¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 10% | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 0% | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
Best Buy domestic comparable sales in Q3 — 6 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5% | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 4% | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 3% | bid 14¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above 2% | bid 44¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 1% | bid 78¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 0% | bid 94¢ / ask 98¢ |
Okta customers with acv over $100k in Q3 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:36 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5400 | bid 2¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 5375 | bid 3¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 5350 | bid 24¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above 5325 | bid 58¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Above 5300 | bid 84¢ / ask 93¢ |
Zoom customers over $100k in TTM revenue in Q3 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4775 | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 4750 | bid 12¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above 4725 | bid 44¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 4700 | bid 78¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 4675 | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
Fear & Greed Index on Sep 25, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Extreme Greed | bid 8¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Extreme Fear | bid 8¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Neutral | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Greed | bid 31¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Fear | bid 23¢ / ask 29¢ |
Will GTA VI preorders be reported?: Yes (bid 22¢ / ask 26¢) — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 12:44 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,749 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,960 | 18 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +15 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 492 | 66 | Where will it rain this weekend?, Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional DC Temperature, +63 more |
| 📊 Economics | 236 | 16 | Florida gas price, US gas price up, New Jersey gas price this week, +13 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 56 | 6 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, Billboard Hot 100 #1, +3 more |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 5 | 1 | Top model |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.