📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 06 at 6:30 PM ET through Jul 07 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 369 unique markets across 59 new events, plus 1,399 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Big Brother Season 28 · Thursday elimination: Yash Patel, Taylor Brown, Rome Seymour all at bid 50¢ / ask 51¢
How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?: At least 12 million bid 72¢ / ask 73¢, At least 18 million bid 56¢ / ask 65¢, At least 30 million bid 30¢ / ask 42¢
How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?: At least 9 million bid 48¢ / ask 49¢, At least 6 million bid 96¢ / ask 97¢, At least 12 million bid 48¢ / ask 49¢
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional): Above 247 bid 14¢ / ask 15¢, Above 244 bid 21¢ / ask 22¢, Above 241 bid 27¢ / ask 28¢
Number of Republican governors after the midterms?: At least 28 bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, At least 27 bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, At least 26 bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
Ilie Bolojan out as Prime Minister of Romania?: Before Oct 1, 2026 bid 43¢ / ask 44¢, Before Sep 1, 2026 bid 28¢ / ask 30¢, Before Aug 1, 2026 bid 19¢ / ask 21¢
How will the Maine Democratic Senate nomination be decided?: Platner drops out with no replacement bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Platner remains nominee bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Another process bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- M2 money supply growth at year-end 2026
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in September
- US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026
- Big Brother Season 28 · Thursday elimination
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Grammy nominees: Song of the Year
- How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
- How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- Love Island UK: Tuesday Elimination
- Love Island USA S8: Tuesday elimination
- Oscar winner: Best Actor
- When will KATSEYE release a new song?
- How will the Maine Democratic Senate nomination be decided?
- How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
- Ilie Bolojan out as Prime Minister of Romania?
- Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?
- Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
- Will China abolish birth limits?
- Will China abolish hukou?
- Will China unban Bitcoin?
- Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei?
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?
- Altria cigarette shipments in Q2
- U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down
- Alaska Governor-Senate combo
- Clacton by-election winner?
- Early elections in the UK announced?
- Georgia Governor-Senate combo
- How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
- How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)
- Iowa Governor-Senate combo
- Kansas Governor-Senate combo
- Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?
- Maine Governor-Senate combo
- Maine Senate winner? (Person)
- Michigan Governor-Senate combo
- Minnesota Governor-Senate combo
- New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo
- Number of Republican governors after the midterms?
- Ohio Governor-Senate combo
- Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?
- When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?
- When will Jon Ossoff announce his presidential candidacy?
- When will Ukraine hold a presidential election?
- Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?
- Will Graham Platner endorse a successor in Jul 2026?
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 8 markets
Total space launches in July — 8 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 10:44 AM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 20 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 19 | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 18 | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 17 | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 16 | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 14 | bid 79¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 13 | bid 87¢ / ask 88¢ |
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 1 event, 20 markets
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Central Pacific this year? — 20 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 07, 2026 at 5:37 PM ET
Tracking: Elida, Fausto, Genevieve, Hernan, Iselle, Julio, Karina, Lowell, Marie, Norbert, Odalys, Polo, Rachel, Simon, Trudy, Vance, Winnie, Xavier, Yolanda, Zeke
📊 Economics — 3 events, 15 markets
M2 money supply growth at year-end 2026 — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 07, 2026 at 6:12 PM ET
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026 — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 07, 2026 at 5:53 PM ET
Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in September — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 07, 2026 at 10:08 AM ET
Tracking: Maintain current rate, Hike more than 25bps, Hike 1-25bps, Cut more than 25bps, Cut 1-25bps
🎬 Entertainment — 9 events, 94 markets
Love Island UK: Tuesday Elimination — 21 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 10:25 AM ET
View market options (21 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yasmine | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tommy | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Simba | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sean | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Samraj | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Priya | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| NONE | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Mica | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Martha | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Mara | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Lorenzo | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Lola | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kavan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Julia | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jordon | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jasmine | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Finley | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Ellie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Charleen | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Angelista | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Aidan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Big Brother Season 28 · Winner — 14 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 07, 2026 at 6:27 PM ET
Tracking: Yash Patel, Taylor Brown, Rome Seymour, Melody Morris, Mallory Aurichio, Lyric Medeiros, LaTrice Verrett, Kamu Kirk, Jason De Puy, Haley Thogmartin, Drew Campbell, Chuk Anyanwu, Barrett Pfeiffer, Ashley Trail
Big Brother Season 28 · Thursday elimination — 14 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 5:40 PM ET
View market options (14 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yash Patel | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Taylor Brown | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Rome Seymour | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Melody Morris | bid 12¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Mallory Aurichio | bid 52¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Lyric Medeiros | bid 12¢ / ask 88¢ |
| LaTrice Verrett | bid 2¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Kamu Kirk | bid 51¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Jason De Puy | bid 50¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Haley Thogmartin | bid 2¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Drew Campbell | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Chuk Anyanwu | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Barrett Pfeiffer | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Ashley Trail | bid 50¢ / ask 52¢ |
Love Island USA S8: Tuesday elimination — 13 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 10:11 AM ET
View market options (13 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zach | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Trinity | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tierra | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sincere | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| NONE | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Melanie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kenzie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KC | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kayda | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dylan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Carl | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Bryce | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Aniya | last 1¢ (book empty) |
How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 million | bid 48¢ / ask 86¢ |
| At least 6 million | bid 51¢ / ask 87¢ |
| At least 50 million | — |
| At least 40 million | — |
| At least 35 million | — |
| At least 30 million | bid 30¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least 25 million | bid 1¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least 21 million | bid 20¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least 18 million | bid 56¢ / ask 65¢ |
| At least 15 million | bid 52¢ / ask 64¢ |
| At least 12 million | bid 72¢ / ask 73¢ |
How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 million | bid 48¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least 6 million | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| At least 50 million | — |
| At least 40 million | — |
| At least 35 million | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least 30 million | bid 12¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least 25 million | bid 12¢ / ask 88¢ |
| At least 21 million | bid 20¢ / ask 95¢ |
| At least 18 million | bid 43¢ / ask 87¢ |
| At least 15 million | bid 18¢ / ask 86¢ |
| At least 12 million | bid 48¢ / ask 49¢ |
When will KATSEYE release a new song? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 6:51 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 88¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 75¢ / ask 76¢ |
Grammy nominees: Song of the Year — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| drop dead | bid 83¢ / ask 88¢ |
| the cure | bid 11¢ / ask 16¢ |
| WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! | bid 37¢ / ask 42¢ |
| hate that i made you love me | bid 52¢ / ask 57¢ |
Oscar winner: Best Actor: Matt Damon (bid 10¢ / ask 15¢) — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 11:57 AM ET
🏛️ Politics — 11 events, 44 markets
Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026? — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 07, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET
Tracking: United Kingdom, Taiwan, Switzerland, Kenya, Indonesia, India, European Union, China, Argentina
How will the Maine Democratic Senate nomination be decided? — 6 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 3:24 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Platner remains nominee | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Another process | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Special convention | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| State committee | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Statewide caucuses | bid 57¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Platner drops out with no replacement | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029? — 6 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 3 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| 2 | bid 38¢ / ask 39¢ |
| 1 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
Will China abolish hukou? — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 2:56 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before 2030 | bid 3¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Before 2029 | bid 19¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Before 2028 | bid 19¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Before 2027 | bid 15¢ / ask 17¢ |
Will China abolish birth limits? — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 2:54 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before 2030 | bid 44¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Before 2029 | bid 41¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Before 2028 | bid 30¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Before 2027 | bid 10¢ / ask 12¢ |
Will China unban Bitcoin? — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 2:52 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before 2030 | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Before 2029 | bid 10¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Before 2028 | bid 8¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Before 2027 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 07, 2026 at 5:55 PM ET
Tracking: Before Oct 1, 2026, Before Aug 1, 2026, Before Jan 1, 2027
Ilie Bolojan out as Prime Minister of Romania? — 3 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 4:43 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 28¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 43¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 19¢ / ask 21¢ |
Will Xi Jinping visit the United States? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 07, 2026 at 6:19 PM ET
Tracking: Before Oct 1, 2026, Before Nov 1, 2026
Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 12:29 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?: Sébastien Lecornu — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 6:27 PM ET
💹 Financials — 12 events, 93 markets
30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.2% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5.15% or above | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 5.1% or above | bid 25¢ / ask 27¢ |
| 5.05% or above | bid 30¢ / ask 32¢ |
| 5% or above | bid 66¢ / ask 68¢ |
| 4.95% or above | bid 76¢ / ask 78¢ |
| 4.9% or above | bid 80¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 4.85% or above | bid 88¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 4.8% or above | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.2% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5.15% or above | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 5.1% or above | bid 37¢ / ask 38¢ |
| 5.05% or above | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| 5% or above | bid 73¢ / ask 74¢ |
| 4.95% or above | bid 88¢ / ask 90¢ |
| 4.9% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.85% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.8% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.7% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 4.65% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 4.6% or above | bid 11¢ / ask 27¢ |
| 4.55% or above | bid 27¢ / ask 28¢ |
| 4.5% or above | bid 29¢ / ask 35¢ |
| 4.45% or above | bid 55¢ / ask 57¢ |
| 4.4% or above | bid 81¢ / ask 83¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 81¢ / ask 85¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.7% or above | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 4.65% or above | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 4.6% or above | bid 37¢ / ask 38¢ |
| 4.55% or above | bid 47¢ / ask 48¢ |
| 4.5% or above | bid 74¢ / ask 75¢ |
| 4.45% or above | bid 91¢ / ask 92¢ |
| 4.4% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.3% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.55% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 4.5% or above | bid 14¢ / ask 16¢ |
| 4.45% or above | bid 31¢ / ask 33¢ |
| 4.4% or above | bid 31¢ / ask 42¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 73¢ / ask 91¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 63¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.25% or above | bid 75¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.2% or above | bid 89¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.15% or above | bid 91¢ / ask 95¢ |
7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.55% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 4.5% or above | bid 13¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 4.45% or above | bid 32¢ / ask 33¢ |
| 4.4% or above | bid 36¢ / ask 37¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 32¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 88¢ / ask 89¢ |
| 4.25% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.2% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.15% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.4% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 4.25% or above | bid 46¢ / ask 48¢ |
| 4.2% or above | bid 46¢ / ask 83¢ |
| 4.15% or above | bid 78¢ / ask 80¢ |
| 4.1% or above | bid 94¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.05% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.4% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 6¢ / ask 20¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 82¢ / ask 83¢ |
| 4.25% or above | bid 87¢ / ask 88¢ |
| 4.2% or above | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 4.15% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.1% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.05% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.35% or above | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 4.25% or above | bid 37¢ / ask 42¢ |
| 4.2% or above | bid 37¢ / ask 39¢ |
| 4.15% or above | bid 33¢ / ask 56¢ |
| 4.1% or above | bid 82¢ / ask 84¢ |
| 4.05% or above | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 4% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 3.95% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.35% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 4.25% or above | bid 14¢ / ask 20¢ |
| 4.2% or above | bid 12¢ / ask 28¢ |
| 4.15% or above | bid 53¢ / ask 61¢ |
| 4.1% or above | bid 89¢ / ask 90¢ |
| 4.05% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 3.95% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Altria cigarette shipments in Q2 — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 07, 2026 at 5:46 PM ET
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 100.9310 — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
🗳️ Elections — 22 events, 95 markets
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional) — 14 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (14 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 250 | bid 7¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 247 | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 244 | bid 21¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Above 241 | bid 27¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 238 | bid 34¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 235 | bid 40¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above 232 | bid 47¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Above 229 | bid 51¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 226 | bid 58¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 223 | bid 63¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 220 | bid 70¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Above 217 | bid 76¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Above 214 | bid 83¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 211 | bid 89¢ / ask 91¢ |
Number of Republican governors after the midterms? — 8 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 4:45 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 28 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| At least 27 | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| At least 26 | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| At least 25 | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| At least 24 | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least 23 | bid 56¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least 22 | bid 69¢ / ask 70¢ |
| At least 21 | bid 92¢ / ask 93¢ |
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional) — 8 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 12:36 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 8 | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| At least 7 | bid 12¢ / ask 14¢ |
| At least 6 | bid 15¢ / ask 17¢ |
| At least 5 | bid 39¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least 4 | bid 59¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least 3 | bid 80¢ / ask 81¢ |
| At least 2 | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
| At least 1 | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? — 6 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 07, 2026 at 6:08 PM ET
Tracking: Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, Michelle Bolsonaro, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Flavio Bolsonaro
Clacton by-election winner? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 10:21 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Reform UK | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Restore Britain | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Labour Party | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Conservative Party | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Count Binface Party | — |
When will Ukraine hold a presidential election? — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 2:29 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before 2030 | bid 51¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Before 2029 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Before 2028 | bid 34¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Before 2027 | bid 30¢ / ask 32¢ |
When will Jon Ossoff announce his presidential candidacy? — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 12:48 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 42¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy? — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 12:47 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 42¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 29¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 15¢ / ask 17¢ |
Ohio Governor-Senate combo — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 11:36 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win | bid 44¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Vivek Ramaswamy and Sherrod Brown win | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Amy Acton and Jon Husted win | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win | bid 38¢ / ask 39¢ |
New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 11:35 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Republicans sweep | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Republican Governor, Democratic Senator | bid 48¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Democratic Governor, Republican Senator | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Democrats sweep | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
Minnesota Governor-Senate combo — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Republicans sweep | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Republican Governor, Democratic Senator | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Democratic Governor, Republican Senator | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Democrats sweep | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
Michigan Governor-Senate combo — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 11:27 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Republicans sweep | bid 17¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Republican Governor, Democratic Senator | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Democratic Governor, Republican Senator | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Democrats sweep | bid 63¢ / ask 64¢ |
Maine Governor-Senate combo — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 11:26 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Republicans sweep | bid 11¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Republican Governor, Democratic Senator | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Democratic Governor, Republican Senator | bid 31¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Democrats sweep | bid 51¢ / ask 53¢ |
Kansas Governor-Senate combo — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 11:22 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Republicans sweep | bid 69¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Republican Governor, Democratic Senator | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Democratic Governor, Republican Senator | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Democrats sweep | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
Iowa Governor-Senate combo — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 11:20 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zach Lahn and Ashley Hinson win | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Zach Lahn and Josh Turek win | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Rob Sand and Josh Turek win | bid 36¢ / ask 37¢ |
Alaska Governor-Senate combo — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 11:14 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Republicans sweep | bid 43¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Republican Governor, Democratic Senator | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Democratic Governor, Republican Senator | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Democrats sweep | bid 39¢ / ask 40¢ |
Georgia Governor-Senate combo — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 10:41 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Rick Jackson and Mike Collins win | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win | bid 37¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Keisha Lance Bottoms and Mike Collins win | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win | bid 41¢ / ask 43¢ |
Maine Senate winner? (Person) — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 10:17 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Angus King III | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jared Golden | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Will Graham Platner endorse a successor in Jul 2026?: Before Aug 1, 2026 (bid 78¢ / ask 82¢) — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 3:50 PM ET
Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?: Monty Fritts (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:21 PM ET
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?: Jared Golden (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 12:22 PM ET
Early elections in the UK announced?: Before Jan 1, 2028 (bid 20¢ / ask 36¢) — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 12:21 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
1,399 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 975 | 11 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 range, +8 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 297 | 43 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Lake Mead water levels, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, +40 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 95 | 11 | RUNNER UP SHOW NETFLIX MOVIE GLOBAL, Netflix movie ranking, RUNNER UP SHOW NETFLIX SHOW GLOBAL, +8 more |
| 📊 Economics | 32 | 3 | US gas price up, Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme price in [month], Average price of a Wendy's Baconator in [month] |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.