📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 17 at 8:30 AM ET through Oct 18 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 84 unique markets across 12 new events, plus 1,321 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth in October: Above 144 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 140 bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, Above 136 bid 11¢ / ask 14¢
Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth in October: Above 101 bid 7¢ / ask 17¢, Above 99 bid 12¢ / ask 27¢, Above 97 bid 18¢ / ask 33¢
OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18: Above 166T tokens — bid 6¢ / ask 66¢
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?: George Santos — last 1¢ (book empty)
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?: 5.16% or above, 5.2% or above, 5.22% or above all at bid 5¢ (no asks)
Game Awards: Best Game Direction: Forza Horizon 6, Onimusha: Way of the Sword, Big Walk all at ask 95¢ (no bids)
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?: Ric Grenell — last 99¢ (book empty)
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?
- C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth in October
- Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth in October
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 1 market
OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18: Above 166T tokens (bid 6¢ / ask 66¢) — listed Oct 17, 2026 at 10:21 AM ET
🏢 Companies — 1 event, 3 markets
Starbucks headcount in fiscal 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 17, 2026 at 1:01 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 12 markets
Who will be Knesset Speaker after the election? — 12 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 17, 2026 at 5:12 PM ET
Tracking: Vladimir Beliak, Ram Ben-Barak, Ofir Katz, Oded Forer, Orit Farkash Hacohen, Matan Kahana, Meirav Cohen, Merav Ben Ari, Gilad Kariv, Chili Tropper, Boaz Bismuth, Amir Ohana
🏛️ Politics — 2 events, 2 markets
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?: Ric Grenell (last 99¢ (book empty)) — listed Oct 17, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?: George Santos (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Oct 17, 2026 at 1:08 PM ET
💹 Financials — 3 events, 16 markets
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 7:50 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.16% or above | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| 5.18% or above | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| 5.2% or above | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| 5.22% or above | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| 5.24% or above | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| 5.26% or above | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| 5.28% or above | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| 5.3% or above | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| 5.32% or above | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| 5.34% or above | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 97 | bid 18¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above 99 | bid 12¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above 101 | bid 7¢ / ask 17¢ |
C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 17, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 136 | bid 11¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 140 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 144 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 50 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Yeshanagula, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, TRALALA, Tate McRae - Housewife (Official Video), Shararat, Parvati, Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video), KALYANI (Remix), KAALI HOODIE (MUSIC VIDEO) SIDHU MOOSE WALA FT BOHEMIA | THE KIDD, GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION], Flower In A Hurricane [from GTAVI], Dai Dai, Casa Tupka Anthemo, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Yeshanagula, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, TRALALA, Tate McRae - Housewife (Official Video), Shararat, Parvati, Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video), KALYANI (Remix), KAALI HOODIE (MUSIC VIDEO) SIDHU MOOSE WALA FT BOHEMIA | THE KIDD, GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION], Flower In A Hurricane [from GTAVI], Dai Dai, Casa Tupka Anthemo, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: WTF GOIN, Tom MacDonald - "What America Is", Todo Lo Fue, The Live Footage That Launched Van Halen on MTV | Oakland Coliseum 1981, Tate McRae - Housewife (Official Video), Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video), Nicole Kidman, Meek Mill - Wanna Be Free (feat. G Herbo) [Visualizer], Going On A Date - NSP, Flower In A Hurricane [from GTAVI], Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 10: hLOheGDwD_0], Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 5: nUsrYVxrDwI], Blue Moon, Alma Rota
Game Awards: Best Game Direction — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 17, 2026 at 9:44 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Phantom Blade Zero | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| 007 First Light | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Big Walk | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Onimusha: Way of the Sword | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Forza Horizon 6 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
🔄 Recurring Markets
1,321 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 📊 Economics | 907 | 53 | Daily Diesel Price, Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, West Virginia gas price, +50 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 372 | 54 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 27 | 4 | VoteHub GCB, Trump approval rating, Number of Trump Truth Social posts today?, +1 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 15 | 1 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.