Kalshi Markets: Critics Choice Awards Predictions

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 05 at 6:30 PM ET through Oct 06 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 649 unique markets across 119 new events, plus 4,676 recurring bracket markets.

🗳️ Elections

1 event

1 market

🌤️ Climate and Weather

2 events

2 markets

📊 Economics

4 events

46 markets

🏛️ Politics

6 events

39 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

8 events

72 markets

🎬 Entertainment

25 events

334 markets

💹 Financials

73 events

155 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Critics Choice Awards: Best Hair and Makeup: Tie bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Rose bid 1¢ / ask 50¢, La Bola Negra bid 1¢ / ask 50¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Costume Design: Wild Horse Nine bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Werwulf bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, Tie bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Editing: Tie bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Wild Horse Nine bid 2¢ / ask 30¢, The Social Reckoning bid 2¢ / ask 35¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Production Design: Tie bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Sense and Sensibility bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Project Hail Mary bid 4¢ / ask 5¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Cinematography: Tie bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Disclosure Day bid 2¢ / ask 40¢, Wild Horse Nine bid 2¢ / ask 41¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Adapted Screenplay: Tie bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, The Social Reckoning bid 3¢ / ask 5¢, Project Hail Mary bid 3¢ / ask 5¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Original Screenplay: Tony bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Tie bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Tender Loving Care bid 4¢ / ask 5¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🗳️ Elections

Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

🌤️ Climate and Weather

📊 Economics

🏛️ Politics

🔬 Science and Technology

🎬 Entertainment

💹 Financials

All New Events

🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market

Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?: Roraima (bid 95¢ / ask 99¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 10:58 PM ET

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 2 events, 2 markets

Northeast Cat 3+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?: Category 3 or higher landfall (bid 3¢ / ask 6¢) — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 11:02 AM ET

Florida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?: Category 4 or higher landfall (bid 9¢ / ask 53¢) — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 10:21 AM ET

📊 Economics — 4 events, 46 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.365	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.360	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.355	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.350	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.345	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.340	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.335	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.330	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.325	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.320	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above $6.315	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above $6.310	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Above $6.305	bid 15¢ / ask 17¢
Above $6.300	bid 47¢ / ask 51¢
Above $6.295	bid 81¢ / ask 85¢
Above $6.290	bid 82¢ / ask 93¢
Above $6.285	bid 90¢ / ask 96¢
Above $6.280	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $6.275	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $6.270	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $6.265	bid 99¢ (no asks)

EV commodity prices on Oct 6, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1254.52	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1244.52	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1234.52	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1224.52	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1214.52	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1204.52	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1194.52	bid 57¢ / ask 78¢
Above 1184.52	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1174.52	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1164.52	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1154.52	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1144.52	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1134.52	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1124.52	bid 95¢ (no asks)
Above 1114.52	bid 86¢ (no asks)

Poland rate decision in November — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 2:54 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Maintain current rate	bid 6¢ / ask 85¢
Hike more than 25bps	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Hike 1-25bps	bid 5¢ / ask 82¢
Cut more than 25bps	bid 3¢ / ask 82¢
Cut 1-25bps	bid 4¢ / ask 82¢

Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 10:13 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Maintain current rate	bid 20¢ / ask 67¢
Hike more than 25bps	bid 7¢ / ask 62¢
Hike 1-25bps	bid 16¢ / ask 74¢
Cut more than 25bps	bid 5¢ / ask 49¢
Cut 1-25bps	bid 10¢ / ask 50¢

🏛️ Politics — 6 events, 39 markets

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 7, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 38.1%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
38.7%	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
38.6%	bid 16¢ / ask 18¢
38.5%	bid 44¢ / ask 45¢
38.4%	bid 12¢ / ask 13¢
38.3%	bid 6¢ / ask 9¢
38.2%	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
38.1%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 38.7%	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 7, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 8.4%	bid 4¢ / ask 8¢
9.0%	bid 6¢ / ask 9¢
8.9%	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
8.8%	bid 16¢ / ask 23¢
8.7%	bid 24¢ / ask 29¢
8.6%	bid 7¢ / ask 15¢
8.5%	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
8.4%	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Above 9.0%	bid 6¢ / ask 9¢

Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 6, 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
<5	ask 49¢ (no bids)
40+	bid 5¢ / ask 39¢
5-9	bid 3¢ / ask 29¢
30-39	bid 5¢ / ask 40¢
25-29	bid 7¢ / ask 39¢
20-24	bid 6¢ / ask 40¢
15-19	bid 8¢ / ask 40¢
10-14	bid 7¢ / ask 40¢

How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term? — 6 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 7:57 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 5	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
At least 4	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
At least 3	bid 23¢ / ask 26¢
At least 2	bid 44¢ / ask 46¢
At least 10	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
At least 1	bid 62¢ / ask 63¢

How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term? — 4 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 7:57 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 4	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
At least 3	bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
At least 2	bid 14¢ / ask 16¢
At least 1	bid 62¢ / ask 63¢

Will Trump be impeached? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 7:03 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 3¢ / ask 29¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 34¢ / ask 48¢
Before Oct 1, 2027	bid 7¢ / ask 67¢

🔬 Science and Technology — 8 events, 72 markets

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 10, 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 72.1%	bid 4¢ / ask 20¢
Above 68.6%	bid 8¢ / ask 30¢
Above 66.5%	bid 20¢ / ask 40¢
Above 65.5%	bid 30¢ / ask 45¢
Above 63.3%	bid 40¢ / ask 50¢
Above 58.7%	bid 50¢ / ask 60¢
Above 54.0%	bid 60¢ / ask 70¢
Above 51.6%	bid 65¢ / ask 88¢
Above 45.1%	bid 70¢ / ask 95¢

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 10, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 8.7%	bid 46¢ / ask 65¢
Above 5.0%	bid 66¢ / ask 82¢
Above 4.5%	bid 75¢ / ask 86¢
Above 3.1%	bid 80¢ / ask 93¢
Above 17.2%	bid 9¢ / ask 24¢
Above 15.0%	bid 16¢ / ask 34¢
Above 13.6%	bid 23¢ / ask 34¢
Above 11.3%	bid 36¢ / ask 49¢
Above 10.3%	bid 36¢ / ask 54¢

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 10, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 27.3%	bid 1¢ / ask 79¢
Above 24.8%	bid 1¢ / ask 78¢
Above 23.4%	bid 5¢ / ask 83¢
Above 22.8%	bid 8¢ / ask 82¢
Above 21.9%	bid 11¢ / ask 90¢
Above 19.8%	bid 12¢ / ask 81¢
Above 18.5%	bid 16¢ / ask 81¢
Above 17.5%	bid 9¢ / ask 85¢
Above 16.4%	bid 15¢ / ask 85¢

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 10, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 48.9%	bid 8¢ / ask 19¢
Above 47.0%	bid 15¢ / ask 28¢
Above 44.4%	bid 40¢ / ask 52¢
Above 43.0%	bid 40¢ / ask 58¢
Above 41.8%	bid 45¢ / ask 63¢
Above 40.0%	bid 57¢ / ask 74¢
Above 38.7%	bid 69¢ / ask 79¢
Above 37.1%	bid 80¢ / ask 87¢
Above 34.3%	bid 85¢ / ask 95¢

Google share of requests on Oct 10, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 20.5%	bid 5¢ / ask 19¢
Above 19.6%	bid 10¢ / ask 39¢
Above 19.2%	bid 15¢ / ask 43¢
Above 17.7%	bid 42¢ / ask 52¢
Above 16.5%	bid 50¢ / ask 73¢
Above 15.7%	bid 64¢ / ask 78¢
Above 14.5%	bid 70¢ / ask 86¢
Above 13.3%	bid 77¢ / ask 95¢
Above 12.1%	bid 82¢ / ask 98¢

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 10, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 29.4%	bid 16¢ / ask 30¢
Above 28.2%	bid 25¢ / ask 44¢
Above 27.5%	bid 30¢ / ask 49¢
Above 27.2%	bid 35¢ / ask 50¢
Above 26.5%	bid 45¢ / ask 59¢
Above 25.1%	bid 61¢ / ask 74¢
Above 24.8%	bid 65¢ / ask 79¢
Above 22.4%	bid 80¢ / ask 92¢
Above 19.5%	bid 90¢ / ask 98¢

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 10, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.4%	bid 20¢ / ask 33¢
Above 8.9%	bid 42¢ / ask 47¢
Above 8.4%	bid 47¢ / ask 57¢
Above 8.1%	bid 35¢ / ask 58¢
Above 6.7%	bid 65¢ / ask 74¢
Above 6.0%	bid 75¢ / ask 85¢
Above 5.6%	bid 80¢ / ask 90¢
Above 11.2%	bid 8¢ / ask 18¢
Above 10.4%	bid 14¢ / ask 25¢

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 10, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.7%	bid 75¢ / ask 87¢
Above 8.9%	bid 85¢ / ask 95¢
Above 19.3%	bid 3¢ / ask 19¢
Above 14.6%	bid 14¢ / ask 35¢
Above 13.4%	bid 18¢ / ask 45¢
Above 12.4%	bid 26¢ / ask 64¢
Above 11.2%	bid 41¢ / ask 77¢
Above 10.6%	bid 56¢ / ask 84¢
Above 10.3%	bid 64¢ / ask 84¢

🎬 Entertainment — 25 events, 334 markets

Steam: Weekly Top Seller — 20 outcomes — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET

View market options (20 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Wuthering Waves	bid 2¢ / ask 49¢
Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2	last 1¢ (book empty)
Warframe	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
WARDOGS	bid 2¢ / ask 59¢
Transport Fever 3	last 1¢ (book empty)
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege	ask 60¢ (no bids)
Steam Deck	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
STAR WARS: Galactic Racer™	bid 9¢ / ask 76¢
Nivalis Nights	ask 50¢ (no bids)
Minecraft Dungeons II	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Marvel Rivals	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Gears of War: E-Day	bid 8¢ / ask 57¢
Dressmaker	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Destiny 2	ask 50¢ (no bids)
Cyberpunk 2077	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Counter-Strike 2	bid 8¢ / ask 57¢
Aniimo	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
American Truck Simulator	ask 10¢ (no bids)
AION 2	bid 2¢ / ask 59¢
ACE COMBAT 8: WINGS OF THEVE	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Score — 16 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 06, 2026 at 6:21 PM ET

Tracking: Wild Horse Nine, Werwulf, Toy Story 5, Tie, The Social Reckoning, Ray Gunn, Project Hail Mary, The Odyssey, La Bola Negra, Ink, The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth, Dune: Part Three, Disclosure Day, Digger, The Debut, Behemoth!

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Critics Choice Awards: Best Foreign Language Film — 16 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 06, 2026 at 6:06 PM ET

Tracking: Yellow Letters, Woman Unknown, Tie, Shame and Money, Rose, Possible Love, Minotaur, La Gradiva, La Bola Negra, Iron Boy, Godzilla Minus Zero, Fjord, Fatherland, Everytime, Coward, All of a Sudden

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Critics Choice Awards: Best Comedy — 16 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 06, 2026 at 5:55 PM ET

Tracking: Wild Horse Nine, Tie, Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma, The Sheep Detectives, Project Hail Mary, The Invite, I Love Boosters, The Gallerist, The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth, Focker-in-Law, The Drama, Digger, The Devil Wears Prada 2, The Debut, Coyote vs. Acme, Club Kid

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Critics Choice Awards: Best Animated Feature — 16 outcomes — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 5:51 PM ET

View market options (16 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Wildwood	bid 53¢ / ask 63¢
The Violinist	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Toy Story 5	bid 2¢ / ask 12¢
Tie	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Tangles	bid 6¢ / ask 16¢
Steps	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Ray Gunn	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Minions & Monsters	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Julián	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Iron Boy	bid 4¢ / ask 14¢
In Waves	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Hoppers	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Hexed	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
GOAT	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Forgotten Island	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Visual Effects — 16 outcomes — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 5:39 PM ET

View market options (16 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Wildwood	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Whalefall	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Werwulf	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Tie	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Supergirl	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Spider-Man: Brand New Day	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
The Sheep Detectives	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Project Hail Mary	bid 5¢ / ask 15¢
The Odyssey	bid 35¢ / ask 45¢
The Mandalorian and Grogu	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Godzilla Minus Zero	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
The End of Oak Street	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Dune: Part Three	bid 25¢ / ask 35¢
Disclosure Day	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Clayface	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Avengers: Doomsday	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Hair and Makeup — 16 outcomes — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 3:41 PM ET

View market options (16 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Wicker	ask 91¢ (no bids)
Werwulf	—
Tie	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Rose	bid 1¢ / ask 50¢
The Odyssey	—
Michael	bid 1¢ / ask 70¢
La Bola Negra	bid 1¢ / ask 50¢
Is God Is	bid 1¢ / ask 60¢
I Play Rocky	bid 1¢ / ask 50¢
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth	bid 1¢ / ask 50¢
Elsinore	bid 1¢ / ask 50¢
Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol	bid 1¢ / ask 50¢
Dune: Part Three	bid 1¢ / ask 50¢
Digger	bid 1¢ / ask 60¢
Clayface	bid 1¢ / ask 70¢
The Bride	bid 1¢ / ask 50¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Costume Design — 16 outcomes — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 3:37 PM ET

View market options (16 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Wuthering Heights	bid 4¢ / ask 45¢
Wild Horse Nine	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Werwulf	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Tie	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Sense and Sensibility	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Project Hail Mary	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
The Odyssey	bid 5¢ / ask 54¢
Michael	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
La Bola Negra	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
I Love Boosters	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Fatherland	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Dune: Part Three	bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Disclosure Day	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Digger	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
The Devil Wears Prada 2	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Editing — 16 outcomes — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 3:10 PM ET

View market options (16 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
You Can See Everything	bid 2¢ / ask 50¢
Wild Horse Nine	bid 2¢ / ask 30¢
Tie	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
The Social Reckoning	bid 2¢ / ask 35¢
Project Hail Mary	bid 3¢ / ask 46¢
The Odyssey	ask 93¢ (no bids)
La Bola Negra	ask 95¢ (no bids)
I Play Rocky	bid 2¢ / ask 35¢
The Invite	bid 3¢ / ask 45¢
Ink	bid 2¢ / ask 48¢
Fjord	bid 2¢ / ask 38¢
Elsinore	bid 2¢ / ask 39¢
Dune: Part Three	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Digger	bid 2¢ / ask 43¢
The Debut	bid 2¢ / ask 45¢
Club Kid	bid 2¢ / ask 40¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Production Design — 16 outcomes — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 3:02 PM ET

View market options (16 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Wuthering Heights	bid 3¢ / ask 25¢
Wild Horse Nine	bid 2¢ / ask 29¢
Wildwood	bid 2¢ / ask 29¢
Werwulf	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Tie	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Sense and Sensibility	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Project Hail Mary	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
The Odyssey	bid 30¢ / ask 48¢
La Bola Negra	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Ink	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Fatherland	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Dune: Part Three	bid 15¢ / ask 30¢
Digger	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
The Devil Wears Prada 2	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Backrooms	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Cinematography — 16 outcomes — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 2:51 PM ET

View market options (16 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Wild Horse Nine	bid 2¢ / ask 41¢
Werwulf	bid 3¢ / ask 45¢
Tie	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Rose	bid 2¢ / ask 45¢
Project Hail Mary	bid 3¢ / ask 45¢
The Odyssey	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Minotaur	bid 2¢ / ask 43¢
La Bola Negra	—
Ink	bid 2¢ / ask 45¢
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth	bid 2¢ / ask 45¢
Fjord	bid 2¢ / ask 46¢
Fatherland	bid 3¢ / ask 45¢
Dune: Part Three	ask 89¢ (no bids)
Disclosure Day	bid 2¢ / ask 40¢
Digger	bid 3¢ / ask 48¢
Behemoth!	bid 2¢ / ask 49¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Adapted Screenplay — 16 outcomes — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET

View market options (16 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Wildwood	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Tie	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
The Social Reckoning	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Project Hail Mary	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Primetime	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
The Odyssey	bid 3¢ / ask 11¢
La Bola Negra	bid 45¢ / ask 55¢
The Invite	bid 3¢ / ask 16¢
Ink	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Fatherland	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Dune: Part Three	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Cry to Heaven	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Clarissa	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Being Heumann	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
All of a Sudden	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Original Screenplay — 16 outcomes — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET

View market options (16 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Wild Horse Nine	bid 47¢ / ask 52¢
Tony	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Tie	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Tender Loving Care	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Paper Tiger	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Obsession	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Misty Green	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Josephine	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
I Play Rocky	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Fjord	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Elsinore	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Digger	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
The Debut	bid 19¢ / ask 20¢
Club Kid	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Behemoth!	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Artificial	bid 3¢ / ask 6¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Director — 16 outcomes — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 2:35 PM ET

View market options (16 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Tie	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Simon Stone	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Sian Heder	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Ryusuke Hamaguchi	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Phil Lord and Chris Miller	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Peter Farrelly	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Olivia Wilde	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Martin McDonagh	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Mike Leigh	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
James Gray	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Jesse Eisenberg	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi	bid 7¢ / ask 17¢
Denis Villeneuve	bid 12¢ / ask 20¢
Christopher Nolan	bid 60¢ / ask 70¢
Cristian Mungiu	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Alejandro G. Iñárritu	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Supporting Actress — 16 outcomes — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET

View market options (16 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Wunmi Mosaku	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Tie	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Sophie Okonedo	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Samantha Morton	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Scarlett Johansson	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Sandra Hüller	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Penélope Cruz	bid 2¢ / ask 14¢
Olivia Colman	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Merritt Wever	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Mariana Di Girolamo	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Kate O’Flynn	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Gemma Chan	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Elizabeth Debicki	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Colleen Camp	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Anne Hathaway	bid 49¢ / ask 59¢
Alice Bailey Johnson	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Supporting Actor — 16 outcomes — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 2:25 PM ET

View market options (16 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Tie	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Sam Rockwell	bid 3¢ / ask 7¢
Steve Buscemi	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Robert Pattinson	bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
Riz Ahmed	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Paul Giamatti	bid 28¢ / ask 38¢
Mark Ruffalo	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Jeremy Strong	bid 3¢ / ask 7¢
John Leguizamo	bid 10¢ / ask 20¢
John Goodman	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Edward Norton	bid 3¢ / ask 7¢
Channing Tatum	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Colman Domingo	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Andrew Garfield	bid 15¢ / ask 25¢
Adam Driver	bid 3¢ / ask 7¢
Antonio Banderas	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Actress — 16 outcomes — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET

View market options (16 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Virginie Efira	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Tie	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Sandra Hüller	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Renate Reinsve	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Ruth Madeley	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Rosalind Eleazar	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Olivia Wilde	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Mason Reeves	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Mikey Madison	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Marion Bailey	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Léa Seydoux	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Julianne Moore	bid 6¢ / ask 71¢
Jeon Do-yeon	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Inde Navarrette	bid 3¢ / ask 30¢
Emily Blunt	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Carrie Coon	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Actor — 16 outcomes — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 2:12 PM ET

View market options (16 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Tie	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Tom Cruise	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Sebastian Stan	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Robert Pattinson	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Ryan Gosling	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Pedro Pascal	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Miles Teller	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Matt Damon	bid 3¢ / ask 27¢
John Turturro	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Jack O’Connell	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
John Malkovich	bid 2¢ / ask 44¢
Jordan Firstman	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Dominic Sessa	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Brad Pitt	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Andrew Scott	bid 2¢ / ask 17¢
Anthony Ippolito	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢

Critics Choice Awards: Best Picture — 16 outcomes — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 2:04 PM ET

View market options (16 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Wild Horse Nine	bid 3¢ / ask 8¢
Tie	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Tender Loving Care	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Project Hail Mary	bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
Possible Love	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
The Odyssey	bid 43¢ / ask 52¢
La Bola Negra	bid 25¢ / ask 34¢
I Play Rocky	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
The Invite	bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
Fjord	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Elsinore	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Dune: Part Three	bid 4¢ / ask 11¢
Digger	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
The Debut	bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
Club Kid	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Being Heumann	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢

How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 9 million	bid 17¢ / ask 93¢
At least 6 million	bid 61¢ / ask 89¢
At least 50 million	last 1¢ (book empty)
At least 40 million	ask 88¢ (no bids)
At least 35 million	ask 88¢ (no bids)
At least 30 million	ask 88¢ (no bids)
At least 25 million	ask 88¢ (no bids)
At least 21 million	ask 88¢ (no bids)
At least 18 million	ask 95¢ (no bids)
At least 15 million	ask 95¢ (no bids)
At least 12 million	ask 94¢ (no bids)

How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 9 million	bid 38¢ / ask 92¢
At least 6 million	bid 66¢ / ask 90¢
At least 50 million	ask 91¢ (no bids)
At least 40 million	ask 91¢ (no bids)
At least 35 million	—
At least 30 million	—
At least 25 million	—
At least 21 million	bid 5¢ (no asks)
At least 18 million	bid 5¢ (no asks)
At least 15 million	bid 5¢ (no asks)
At least 12 million	bid 33¢ / ask 95¢

Oscar Winner: Best Actor: Yura Borisov (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 10:41 AM ET

Oscar nominees: Best Actor: Yura Borisov (bid 3¢ / ask 21¢) — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 10:40 AM ET

Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actor: Andrew Garfield (bid 61¢ / ask 69¢) — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 10:39 AM ET

Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor: Andrew Garfield (bid 21¢ / ask 22¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 9:17 PM ET

💹 Financials — 73 events, 155 markets

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 7, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.79% or above	ask 5¢ (no bids)
5.77% or above	ask 7¢ (no bids)
5.75% or above	ask 11¢ (no bids)
5.73% or above	bid 4¢ / ask 15¢
5.71% or above	bid 9¢ / ask 22¢
5.69% or above	bid 17¢ / ask 34¢
5.67% or above	bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
5.65% or above	bid 45¢ / ask 65¢
5.63% or above	bid 63¢ / ask 79¢
5.61% or above	bid 73¢ / ask 88¢
5.59% or above	bid 85¢ / ask 94¢
5.57% or above	bid 87¢ / ask 97¢
5.55% or above	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢
5.53% or above	bid 94¢ (no asks)
5.51% or above	bid 97¢ (no asks)

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 7, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.44% or above	last 1¢ (book empty)
5.42% or above	last 1¢ (book empty)
5.4% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
5.38% or above	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
5.36% or above	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
5.34% or above	bid 14¢ / ask 17¢
5.32% or above	bid 25¢ / ask 32¢
5.3% or above	bid 33¢ / ask 43¢
5.28% or above	bid 51¢ / ask 60¢
5.26% or above	bid 64¢ / ask 76¢
5.24% or above	bid 73¢ / ask 83¢
5.22% or above	bid 86¢ / ask 91¢
5.2% or above	bid 90¢ / ask 96¢
5.18% or above	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
5.16% or above	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 7, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.34% or above	last 11¢ (book empty)
5.32% or above	—
5.3% or above	ask 5¢ (no bids)
5.28% or above	ask 8¢ (no bids)
5.26% or above	ask 12¢ (no bids)
5.24% or above	bid 6¢ / ask 14¢
5.22% or above	bid 9¢ / ask 23¢
5.2% or above	bid 19¢ / ask 33¢
5.18% or above	bid 34¢ / ask 46¢
5.16% or above	bid 42¢ / ask 54¢
5.14% or above	bid 58¢ / ask 72¢
5.12% or above	bid 69¢ / ask 82¢
5.1% or above	bid 78¢ / ask 90¢
5.08% or above	bid 86¢ / ask 94¢
5.06% or above	bid 94¢ / ask 97¢

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 7, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.19% or above	ask 5¢ (no bids)
5.17% or above	ask 7¢ (no bids)
5.15% or above	ask 10¢ (no bids)
5.13% or above	bid 4¢ / ask 7¢
5.11% or above	bid 7¢ / ask 15¢
5.09% or above	bid 13¢ / ask 25¢
5.07% or above	bid 21¢ / ask 38¢
5.05% or above	bid 32¢ / ask 51¢
5.03% or above	bid 48¢ / ask 64¢
5.01% or above	bid 59¢ / ask 77¢
4.99% or above	bid 70¢ / ask 87¢
4.97% or above	bid 79¢ / ask 92¢
4.95% or above	bid 86¢ / ask 96¢
4.93% or above	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
4.91% or above	bid 93¢ (no asks)

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 7, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
4.99% or above	—
4.97% or above	—
4.95% or above	—
4.93% or above	—
4.91% or above	ask 8¢ (no bids)
4.89% or above	bid 2¢ / ask 8¢
4.87% or above	bid 8¢ / ask 16¢
4.85% or above	bid 17¢ / ask 25¢
4.83% or above	bid 22¢ / ask 37¢
4.81% or above	bid 34¢ / ask 52¢
4.79% or above	bid 50¢ / ask 66¢
4.77% or above	bid 65¢ / ask 78¢
4.75% or above	bid 76¢ / ask 87¢
4.73% or above	bid 83¢ / ask 92¢
4.71% or above	bid 92¢ / ask 97¢

Constellation Brands beer shipments in Q3 — 11 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 06, 2026 at 5:50 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Boeing commercial deliveries in Q3 — 3 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 1:06 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 159	bid 22¢ / ask 79¢
Above 161	bid 10¢ / ask 50¢
Above 163	bid 15¢ / ask 64¢

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 158.164 (bid 44¢ / ask 54¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.12603 (bid 47¢ / ask 53¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.32742 (bid 46¢ / ask 54¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

4,676 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	3,606	15	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +12 more
📊 Economics	611	35	Ohio gas price, South Carolina gas price, Florida gas price, +32 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	376	56	Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +53 more
🎬 Entertainment	83	11	RUNNER UP SHOW NETFLIX MOVIE GLOBAL, Netflix movie ranking, RUNNER UP SHOW NETFLIX SHOW GLOBAL, +8 more

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: Best Hair and Makeup, Best Costume Design, Best Editing — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:35 PM ET, Oct 06)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 2 events, 2 markets

📊 Economics — 4 events, 46 markets

🏛️ Politics — 6 events, 39 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 8 events, 72 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 25 events, 334 markets

💹 Financials — 73 events, 155 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

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