📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 15 at 8:30 AM ET through Jul 16 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 161 unique markets across 34 new events, plus 3,892 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Los Angeles temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 72° or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 71° or above bid 12¢ / ask 16¢, 69° or above bid 91¢ / ask 95¢
Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in Q2: Above -11% bid 37¢ / ask 38¢, Above -10% bid 32¢ / ask 33¢, Above -9% bid 27¢ / ask 28¢
When will FISA be reauthorized again?: Before Aug 15, 2026 bid 28¢ / ask 29¢, Before Sep 1, 2026 bid 28¢ / ask 32¢
Get-in price of the World Cup Bronze-Final: Above $950 bid 21¢ / ask 22¢, Above $900 bid 25¢ / ask 26¢, Above $850 bid 41¢ / ask 42¢
Santa Catarina Governor election winner?: Mission bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Social Democratic Party bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, Brazilian Socialist Party bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
US SPR level for the week ending July 17, 2026: Above 326M bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Above 324M bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Above 314M bid 30¢ / ask 31¢
Hurricane Elida category?: Category 4 or above bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Category 3 or above bid 14¢ / ask 15¢, Category 2 or above bid 47¢ / ask 48¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Austin temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Austin temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- Chicago temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Chicago temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- Hurricane Elida category?
- Los Angeles temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Los Angeles temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- New York City temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- New York City temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- Washington DC temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Washington DC temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- Get-in price of the World Cup Bronze-Final
- Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in Q2
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- PayPal acquired this year?
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down
- Who will acquire Delivery Hero this year?
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 5 markets
Santa Catarina Governor election winner? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 10:14 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Popular Unity | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Social Democratic Party | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Brazilian Socialist Party | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Liberal Party | bid 86¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Mission | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
📊 Economics — 1 event, 10 markets
US SPR level for the week ending July 17, 2026 — 10 brackets — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 10:55 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 326M | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 324M | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 322M | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 320M | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 318M | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 316M | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 314M | bid 30¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Above 312M | bid 87¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above 310M | bid 87¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above 308M | bid 88¢ / ask 89¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 2 events, 2 markets
FIFA World Cup Final: U.S. Viewership: Above 42.0M (bid 15¢ / ask 87¢) — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 7:39 PM ET
Batman Part II: Delayed past Feb. 18, 2028: Feb 18, 2028 (bid 47¢ / ask 53¢) — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 4:21 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 2 events, 3 markets
When will FISA be reauthorized again? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 5:14 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Aug 15, 2026 | bid 28¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 28¢ / ask 32¢ |
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?: Jon Husted (bid 73¢ / ask 79¢) — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 12:03 PM ET
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 11 events, 105 markets
Washington DC temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Los Angeles temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Austin temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Chicago temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
New York City temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Washington DC temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 9am EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 91° or above | — |
| 90° or above | — |
| 89° or above | ask 19¢ (no bids) |
| 88° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 17¢ |
| 87° or above | bid 4¢ / ask 37¢ |
| 86° or above | bid 44¢ / ask 76¢ |
| 85° or above | bid 85¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 84° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 83° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 82° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Los Angeles temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 9am EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 73° or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 72° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 71° or above | bid 12¢ / ask 16¢ |
| 70° or above | bid 51¢ / ask 64¢ |
| 69° or above | bid 91¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 68° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 67° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 66° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 65° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 64° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Austin temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 9am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 16, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
Chicago temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 9am EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 83° or above | — |
| 82° or above | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| 81° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 80° or above | bid 4¢ / ask 14¢ |
| 79° or above | bid 14¢ / ask 24¢ |
| 78° or above | bid 73¢ / ask 83¢ |
| 77° or above | bid 80¢ / ask 90¢ |
| 76° or above | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 75° or above | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 74° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
New York City temperature on Jul 16, 2026 at 9am EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 82° or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 81° or above | — |
| 80° or above | — |
| 79° or above | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| 78° or above | bid 9¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 77° or above | bid 20¢ / ask 30¢ |
| 76° or above | bid 84¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 75° or above | bid 85¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 74° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 73° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Hurricane Elida category? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 10:39 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Category 5 or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Category 4 or above | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Category 3 or above | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Category 2 or above | bid 47¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Category 1 or above | bid 92¢ / ask 93¢ |
💹 Financials — 17 events, 36 markets
Get-in price of the World Cup Bronze-Final — 15 brackets — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 3:05 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $950 | bid 21¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Above $900 | bid 25¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Above $850 | bid 41¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Above $800 | bid 24¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above $750 | bid 15¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above $1450 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above $1400 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above $1350 | bid 7¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above $1300 | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above $1250 | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above $1200 | bid 17¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Above $1150 | bid 13¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above $1100 | bid 14¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Above $1050 | bid 18¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Above $1000 | bid 9¢ / ask 20¢ |
Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in Q2 — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Above -7% | bid 21¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above -8% | bid 28¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above -9% | bid 27¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above -10% | bid 32¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above -11% | bid 37¢ / ask 38¢ |
Who will acquire Delivery Hero this year? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 9:47 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Uber | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| DoorDash | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 100.5280 — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
PayPal acquired this year?: Stripe and Advent International (collectively) (bid 54¢ / ask 59¢) — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 9:49 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
3,892 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,261 | 8 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, USD/JPY daily range, +5 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 315 | 11 | What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, +8 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 240 | 40 | Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, Lowest Temperature SATX, +37 more |
| 📊 Economics | 76 | 8 | US gas price up, US PPI YoY in [month], Price of a Burger King 8-piece nuggets this month, +5 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.