New Kalshi Markets: Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:16 PM ET, Jul 16)

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 15 at 6:30 PM ET through Jul 16 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 596 unique markets across 32 new events, plus 3,621 recurring bracket markets.

🏛️ Politics

1 event

2 markets

🗳️ Elections

2 events

5 markets

📊 Economics

2 events

8 markets

🎬 Entertainment

2 events

18 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

3 events

3 markets

🌤️ Climate and Weather

10 events

100 markets

💹 Financials

12 events

460 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Best AI this week: Kimi — bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?: Ashley Webb, Elizabeth Dickerson, David Costello all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

FL-09 Republican nominee?: Jorge Martinez — bid 19¢ / ask 20¢

Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in Q2: Above -11% bid 47¢ / ask 48¢, Above -9% bid 30¢ / ask 31¢, Above -7% bid 21¢ / ask 22¢

Best AI in Jul 2026?: Kimi — bid 1¢ / ask 3¢

Temperature in New York City on Jul 16, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 85° or above bid 26¢ / ask 28¢, 82° or above bid 96¢ / ask 98¢, 87° or above bid 2¢ / ask 5¢

Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 16, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 80° or above bid 2¢ / ask 5¢, 81° or above bid 1¢ / ask 5¢, 77° or above bid 88¢ / ask 94¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🏛️ Politics

Ruben Gallego out as Senator?

📊 Economics

🗳️ Elections

🎬 Entertainment

🔬 Science and Technology

🌤️ Climate and Weather

💹 Financials

All New Events

🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 2 markets

Ruben Gallego out as Senator? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 4:18 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Oct 1, 2026	bid 8¢ / ask 16¢
Before Aug 1, 2026	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢

🗳️ Elections — 2 events, 5 markets

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026? — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 2:42 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Paige Loud	last 1¢ (book empty)
David Costello	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Elizabeth Dickerson	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Ashley Webb	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

FL-09 Republican nominee?: Jorge Martinez (bid 19¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 10:22 AM ET

📊 Economics — 2 events, 8 markets

Bank of Korea rate decision in August — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 9:28 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Maintain current rate	bid 67¢ / ask 74¢
Hike more than 25bps	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Hike 1-25bps	bid 25¢ / ask 32¢
Cut more than 25bps	last 1¢ (book empty)
Cut 1-25bps	last 1¢ (book empty)

Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 16, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

🎬 Entertainment — 2 events, 18 markets

Love Island UK: Thursday Elimination — 17 outcomes — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 11:05 AM ET

View market options (17 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yasmine	last 1¢ (book empty)
Tommy	last 1¢ (book empty)
Simba	last 1¢ (book empty)
Samraj	last 1¢ (book empty)
Priya	last 1¢ (book empty)
Mica	last 1¢ (book empty)
Martha	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Lorenzo	last 1¢ (book empty)
Kavan	last 1¢ (book empty)
Julia	last 1¢ (book empty)
Jordon	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Jasmine	last 1¢ (book empty)
Finley	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Ethan	last 1¢ (book empty)
Elicia	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Angelista	last 1¢ (book empty)
Aidan	last 1¢ (book empty)

FIFA World Cup Final: U.S. Viewership: Above 42.0M (bid 70¢ / ask 73¢) — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 7:39 PM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 3 events, 3 markets

Best AI at the end of 2026?: Kimi (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 5:31 PM ET

Best AI in Jul 2026?: Kimi (bid 1¢ / ask 3¢) — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 5:25 PM ET

Best AI this week: Kimi (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 5:23 PM ET

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 10 events, 100 markets

Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 16, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 16, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Temperature in Austin on Jul 16, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Temperature in Chicago on Jul 16, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Temperature in New York City on Jul 16, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 16, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
97° or above	bid 13¢ / ask 43¢
96° or above	bid 45¢ / ask 74¢
95° or above	bid 64¢ / ask 91¢
94° or above	bid 78¢ / ask 98¢
93° or above	bid 81¢ / ask 98¢
92° or above	bid 82¢ / ask 99¢
91° or above	bid 82¢ / ask 99¢
90° or above	bid 82¢ / ask 99¢
89° or above	bid 99¢ (no asks)
88° or above	bid 99¢ (no asks)

Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 16, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
81° or above	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
80° or above	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
79° or above	bid 7¢ / ask 14¢
78° or above	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
77° or above	bid 88¢ / ask 94¢
76° or above	bid 91¢ / ask 98¢
75° or above	bid 81¢ (no asks)
74° or above	bid 82¢ / ask 99¢
73° or above	bid 99¢ (no asks)
72° or above	bid 99¢ (no asks)

Temperature in Austin on Jul 16, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
86° or above	ask 50¢ (no bids)
85° or above	ask 50¢ (no bids)
84° or above	ask 50¢ (no bids)
83° or above	—
82° or above	—
81° or above	—
80° or above	—
79° or above	bid 50¢ / ask 97¢
78° or above	bid 50¢ / ask 98¢
77° or above	bid 75¢ (no asks)

Temperature in Chicago on Jul 16, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
88° or above	—
87° or above	ask 8¢ (no bids)
86° or above	bid 34¢ / ask 39¢
85° or above	bid 46¢ / ask 55¢
84° or above	bid 91¢ / ask 98¢
83° or above	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
82° or above	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
81° or above	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
80° or above	bid 99¢ (no asks)
79° or above	bid 99¢ (no asks)

Temperature in New York City on Jul 16, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
87° or above	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
86° or above	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
85° or above	bid 26¢ / ask 28¢
84° or above	bid 55¢ / ask 65¢
83° or above	bid 90¢ / ask 95¢
82° or above	bid 96¢ / ask 98¢
81° or above	bid 95¢ (no asks)
80° or above	bid 96¢ (no asks)
79° or above	bid 99¢ (no asks)
78° or above	bid 99¢ (no asks)

💹 Financials — 12 events, 460 markets

Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT — 60 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 16, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT — 60 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 16, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $52,645	bid 31¢ / ask 40¢
At least $52,640	bid 32¢ / ask 41¢
At least $52,635	bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $52,630	bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $52,625	bid 34¢ / ask 43¢
At least $52,620	bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $52,615	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $52,610	bid 36¢ / ask 45¢
At least $52,605	bid 37¢ / ask 46¢
At least $52,600	bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $52,595	bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $52,590	bid 39¢ / ask 48¢
At least $52,585	bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $52,580	bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $52,575	bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $52,570	bid 42¢ / ask 51¢
At least $52,565	bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $52,560	bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $52,555	bid 44¢ / ask 53¢
At least $52,550	bid 52¢ / ask 60¢
At least $52,545	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
At least $52,540	bid 49¢ / ask 57¢
At least $52,535	bid 49¢ / ask 58¢
At least $52,530	bid 50¢ / ask 59¢
At least $52,525	bid 51¢ / ask 59¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 17, 2026 at 1pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $52,645	bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
At least $52,640	bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $52,635	bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $52,630	bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $52,625	bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $52,620	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $52,615	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $52,610	bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $52,605	bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $52,600	bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $52,595	bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $52,590	bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $52,585	bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $52,580	bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $52,575	bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $52,570	bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $52,565	bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $52,560	bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
At least $52,555	bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
At least $52,550	bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
At least $52,545	bid 47¢ / ask 55¢
At least $52,540	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
At least $52,535	bid 49¢ / ask 57¢
At least $52,530	bid 50¢ / ask 58¢
At least $52,525	bid 50¢ / ask 58¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 17, 2026 at 12pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $52,645	bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
At least $52,640	bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
At least $52,635	bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $52,630	bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $52,625	bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $52,620	bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $52,615	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $52,610	bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $52,605	bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $52,600	bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $52,595	bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $52,590	bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $52,585	bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $52,580	bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $52,575	bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $52,570	bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $52,565	bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $52,560	bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
At least $52,555	bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
At least $52,550	bid 47¢ / ask 55¢
At least $52,545	bid 47¢ / ask 55¢
At least $52,540	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
At least $52,535	bid 49¢ / ask 57¢
At least $52,530	bid 50¢ / ask 58¢
At least $52,525	bid 51¢ / ask 59¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 17, 2026 at 11am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $52,645	bid 29¢ / ask 37¢
At least $52,640	bid 30¢ / ask 38¢
At least $52,635	bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
At least $52,630	bid 31¢ / ask 40¢
At least $52,625	bid 32¢ / ask 41¢
At least $52,620	bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $52,615	bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $52,610	bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $52,605	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $52,600	bid 36¢ / ask 45¢
At least $52,595	bid 37¢ / ask 46¢
At least $52,590	bid 38¢ / ask 47¢
At least $52,585	bid 39¢ / ask 48¢
At least $52,580	bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $52,575	bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $52,570	bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $52,565	bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $52,560	bid 43¢ / ask 52¢
At least $52,555	bid 47¢ / ask 56¢
At least $52,550	bid 47¢ / ask 56¢
At least $52,545	bid 54¢ / ask 63¢
At least $52,540	bid 49¢ / ask 57¢
At least $52,535	bid 50¢ / ask 58¢
At least $52,530	bid 51¢ / ask 59¢
At least $52,525	bid 52¢ / ask 60¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 17, 2026 at 10am EDT — 60 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 16, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

United Airlines passengers in Q3 — 19 brackets — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 10:22 AM ET

View market strikes (19 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 52.25 million	ask 85¢ (no bids)
Above 52 million	ask 65¢ (no bids)
Above 51.75 million	—
Above 51.5 million	—
Above 51.25 million	—
Above 51 million	—
Above 50.75 million	—
Above 50.5 million	—
Above 50.25 million	—
Above 50 million	—
Above 49.75 million	—
Above 49.5 million	—
Above 49.25 million	bid 15¢ (no asks)
Above 49 million	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 48.75 million	bid 20¢ / ask 99¢
Above 48.5 million	—
Above 48.25 million	bid 50¢ / ask 99¢
Above 48 million	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 47.75 million	—

5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
4.45% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 32¢
4.5% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 34¢
4.55% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 34¢
4.6% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 35¢
4.65% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 32¢
4.7% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 27¢
4.75% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 26¢
4.8% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 24¢
4.85% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 23¢
4.9% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 23¢

Get-in price of the World Cup Bronze-Final — 5 brackets — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 11:12 AM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $700	ask 72¢ (no bids)
Above $650	last 65¢ (book empty)
Above $600	bid 60¢ / ask 80¢
Above $550	ask 93¢ (no bids)
Above $500	ask 95¢ (no bids)

Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in Q2 — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Above -7%	bid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Above -8%	bid 20¢ / ask 26¢
Above -9%	bid 30¢ / ask 31¢
Above -10%	bid 34¢ / ask 40¢
Above -11%	bid 47¢ / ask 48¢

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 100.5280 — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

3,621 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	3,269	6	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, B200 Weekly, +3 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	260	41	Where will it rain daily, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +38 more
📊 Economics	72	8	US gas price up, US gasoline CPI in [month], US retail sales MoM, +5 more
🔬 Science and Technology	20	2	H200 Monthly Price, B200 Monthly Price

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:16 PM ET, Jul 16)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 2 markets

🗳️ Elections — 2 events, 5 markets

📊 Economics — 2 events, 8 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 2 events, 18 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 3 events, 3 markets

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 10 events, 100 markets

💹 Financials — 12 events, 460 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

Prediction News Network