📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 16 at 8:30 AM ET through Jul 17 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 674 unique markets across 47 new events, plus 3,802 recurring bracket markets.

🏛️ Politics
1 event
2 markets
🗳️ Elections
2 events
5 markets
📊 Economics
2 events
8 markets
🔬 Science and Technology
4 events
8 markets
🌤️ Climate and Weather
10 events
100 markets
💹 Financials
28 events
551 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 17, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 68° or above, 67° or above, 66° or above all at bid 96¢ / ask 99¢

Bank of Korea rate decision in August: Hike more than 25bps bid 1¢ / ask 4¢, Maintain current rate bid 67¢ / ask 74¢, Hike 1-25bps bid 25¢ / ask 32¢

Temperature in New York City on Jul 17, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 73° or above bid 95¢ / ask 99¢, 72° or above bid 95¢ / ask 99¢, 74° or above bid 94¢ / ask 99¢

Temperature in Chicago on Jul 17, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 82° or above bid 14¢ / ask 20¢, 78° or above bid 93¢ / ask 99¢, 77° or above bid 93¢ / ask 99¢

Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 17, 2026 at 11am EDT: At least $52,350 bid 93¢ / ask 99¢, At least $52,645 bid 24¢ / ask 34¢, At least $52,640 bid 25¢ / ask 35¢

Ruben Gallego out as Senator?: Before Aug 1, 2026 bid 2¢ / ask 9¢, Before Oct 1, 2026 bid 9¢ / ask 16¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🏛️ Politics
📊 Economics
🗳️ Elections
🔬 Science and Technology
🌤️ Climate and Weather
💹 Financials

All New Events

🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 2 markets

Ruben Gallego out as Senator? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 4:18 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Oct 1, 2026bid 9¢ / ask 16¢
Before Aug 1, 2026bid 2¢ / ask 9¢

🗳️ Elections — 2 events, 5 markets

View market options (4 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Paige Loudlast 1¢ (book empty)
David Costellolast 1¢ (book empty)
Elizabeth Dickersonlast 1¢ (book empty)
Ashley Webblast 1¢ (book empty)

FL-09 Republican nominee?: Jorge Martinez (bid 18¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 10:22 AM ET

📊 Economics — 2 events, 8 markets

Bank of Korea rate decision in August — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 9:28 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Maintain current ratebid 67¢ / ask 74¢
Hike more than 25bpsbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Hike 1-25bpsbid 25¢ / ask 32¢
Cut more than 25bpslast 1¢ (book empty)
Cut 1-25bpslast 1¢ (book empty)

Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 16, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 4 events, 8 markets

SpaceX Starship 13th launch? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 7:16 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before July 18thlast 4¢ (book empty)
Before July 19thlast 2¢ (book empty)
Before July 20thbid 3¢ / ask 17¢
Before July 21stbid 36¢ / ask 49¢
Before July 24thbid 58¢ / ask 90¢

Best AI at the end of 2026?: Kimi (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 5:31 PM ET

Best AI in Jul 2026?: Kimi (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 5:25 PM ET

Best AI this week: Kimi (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 5:23 PM ET

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 10 events, 100 markets

Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 17, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 17, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

Temperature in Austin on Jul 17, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

Temperature in Chicago on Jul 17, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

Temperature in New York City on Jul 17, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
86° or above
85° or above
84° or above
83° or abovelast 11¢ (book empty)
82° or aboveask 68¢ (no bids)
81° or abovelast 75¢ (book empty)
80° or above
79° or abovebid 82¢ / ask 99¢
78° or abovebid 83¢ / ask 99¢
77° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
73° or above
72° or above
71° or abovebid 7¢ / ask 16¢
70° or abovebid 59¢ / ask 68¢
69° or abovebid 90¢ / ask 98¢
68° or abovebid 96¢ / ask 99¢
67° or abovebid 96¢ / ask 99¢
66° or abovebid 96¢ / ask 99¢
65° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
64° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
83° or above
82° or above
81° or aboveask 95¢ (no bids)
80° or aboveask 45¢ (no bids)
79° or above
78° or abovebid 70¢ / ask 99¢
77° or abovebid 5¢ (no asks)
76° or abovebid 5¢ (no asks)
75° or abovebid 6¢ (no asks)
74° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
83° or abovebid 2¢ / ask 12¢
82° or abovebid 14¢ / ask 20¢
81° or abovebid 35¢ / ask 43¢
80° or abovebid 83¢ / ask 93¢
79° or abovebid 92¢ / ask 99¢
78° or abovebid 93¢ / ask 99¢
77° or abovebid 93¢ / ask 99¢
76° or abovebid 93¢ / ask 99¢
75° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
74° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
80° or abovelast 2¢ (book empty)
79° or abovelast 5¢ (book empty)
78° or aboveask 90¢ (no bids)
77° or abovelast 6¢ (book empty)
76° or abovebid 10¢ (no asks)
75° or abovelast 85¢ (book empty)
74° or abovebid 94¢ / ask 99¢
73° or abovebid 95¢ / ask 99¢
72° or abovebid 95¢ / ask 99¢
71° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)

💹 Financials — 28 events, 551 markets

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $52,645
At least $52,640
At least $52,635
At least $52,630
At least $52,625
At least $52,620
At least $52,615
At least $52,610
At least $52,605
At least $52,600
At least $52,595
At least $52,590
At least $52,585
At least $52,580
At least $52,575
At least $52,570
At least $52,565
At least $52,560
At least $52,555
At least $52,550
At least $52,545
At least $52,540
At least $52,535
At least $52,530
At least $52,525

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $52,645
At least $52,640
At least $52,635
At least $52,630
At least $52,625
At least $52,620
At least $52,615
At least $52,610
At least $52,605
At least $52,600
At least $52,595
At least $52,590
At least $52,585
At least $52,580
At least $52,575
At least $52,570
At least $52,565
At least $52,560
At least $52,555
At least $52,550
At least $52,545
At least $52,540
At least $52,535
At least $52,530
At least $52,525

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $52,645bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
At least $52,640bid 32¢ / ask 41¢
At least $52,635bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $52,630bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $52,625bid 34¢ / ask 43¢
At least $52,620bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $52,615bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $52,610bid 36¢ / ask 45¢
At least $52,605bid 37¢ / ask 46¢
At least $52,600bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $52,595bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $52,590bid 39¢ / ask 48¢
At least $52,585bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $52,580bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $52,575bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $52,570bid 42¢ / ask 51¢
At least $52,565bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $52,560bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $52,555bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
At least $52,550bid 50¢ / ask 58¢
At least $52,545bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
At least $52,540bid 49¢ / ask 57¢
At least $52,535bid 49¢ / ask 58¢
At least $52,530bid 50¢ / ask 59¢
At least $52,525bid 51¢ / ask 59¢

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $52,645bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
At least $52,640bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $52,635bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $52,630bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $52,625bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $52,620bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $52,615bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $52,610bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $52,605bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $52,600bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $52,595bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $52,590bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $52,585bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $52,580bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $52,575bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $52,570bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $52,565bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $52,560bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
At least $52,555bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
At least $52,550bid 47¢ / ask 55¢
At least $52,545bid 47¢ / ask 55¢
At least $52,540bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
At least $52,535bid 49¢ / ask 57¢
At least $52,530bid 50¢ / ask 58¢
At least $52,525bid 50¢ / ask 58¢

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $52,645bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
At least $52,640bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
At least $52,635bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $52,630bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $52,625bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $52,620bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $52,615bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $52,610bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $52,605bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $52,600bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $52,595bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $52,590bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $52,585bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $52,580bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $52,575bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $52,570bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $52,565bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $52,560bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
At least $52,555bid 47¢ / ask 55¢
At least $52,550bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
At least $52,545bid 47¢ / ask 55¢
At least $52,540bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
At least $52,535bid 49¢ / ask 57¢
At least $52,530bid 50¢ / ask 58¢
At least $52,525bid 51¢ / ask 59¢

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $52,645bid 24¢ / ask 34¢
At least $52,640bid 25¢ / ask 35¢
At least $52,635bid 26¢ / ask 36¢
At least $52,630bid 27¢ / ask 37¢
At least $52,625bid 27¢ / ask 37¢
At least $52,620bid 28¢ / ask 38¢
At least $52,615bid 29¢ / ask 39¢
At least $52,610bid 30¢ / ask 40¢
At least $52,605bid 31¢ / ask 41¢
At least $52,600bid 32¢ / ask 42¢
At least $52,595bid 32¢ / ask 43¢
At least $52,590bid 33¢ / ask 43¢
At least $52,585bid 34¢ / ask 44¢
At least $52,580bid 35¢ / ask 45¢
At least $52,575bid 35¢ / ask 46¢
At least $52,570bid 35¢ / ask 46¢
At least $52,565bid 35¢ / ask 45¢
At least $52,560bid 47¢ / ask 57¢
At least $52,555bid 48¢ / ask 58¢
At least $52,550bid 53¢ / ask 63¢
At least $52,545bid 52¢ / ask 62¢
At least $52,540bid 52¢ / ask 62¢
At least $52,535bid 53¢ / ask 63¢
At least $52,530bid 54¢ / ask 64¢
At least $52,525bid 55¢ / ask 65¢

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $52,645
At least $52,640
At least $52,635
At least $52,630
At least $52,625
At least $52,620
At least $52,615
At least $52,610
At least $52,605
At least $52,600
At least $52,595
At least $52,590
At least $52,585
At least $52,580
At least $52,575
At least $52,570
At least $52,565
At least $52,560
At least $52,555
At least $52,550
At least $52,545
At least $52,540
At least $52,535
At least $52,530
At least $52,525

+ 35 more

United Airlines passengers in Q3 — 19 brackets — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 10:22 AM ET

View market strikes (19 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 52.25 millionask 85¢ (no bids)
Above 52 millionask 65¢ (no bids)
Above 51.75 million
Above 51.5 million
Above 51.25 million
Above 51 million
Above 50.75 million
Above 50.5 million
Above 50.25 million
Above 50 million
Above 49.75 million
Above 49.5 million
Above 49.25 millionbid 16¢ (no asks)
Above 49 millionbid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 48.75 millionbid 21¢ / ask 99¢
Above 48.5 millionbid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 48.25 millionbid 50¢ / ask 99¢
Above 48 millionbid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 47.75 million

30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 20, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 20, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 20, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 20, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 20, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.6% or abovebid 2¢ / ask 47¢
4.65% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 44¢
4.7% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 39¢
4.75% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 37¢
4.8% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 35¢
4.85% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 34¢
4.9% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 31¢
4.95% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 32¢
5% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 32¢
5.05% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 32¢

5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.45% or abovebid 4¢ / ask 22¢
4.5% or abovebid 4¢ / ask 25¢
4.55% or abovebid 4¢ / ask 28¢
4.6% or abovebid 4¢ / ask 28¢
4.65% or abovebid 4¢ / ask 27¢
4.7% or abovebid 4¢ / ask 26¢
4.75% or abovebid 4¢ / ask 26¢
4.8% or abovebid 4¢ / ask 28¢
4.85% or abovebid 4¢ / ask 23¢
4.9% or abovebid 4¢ / ask 25¢

Get-in price of the World Cup Bronze-Final — 5 brackets — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 11:12 AM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $700bid 3¢ / ask 70¢
Above $650last 65¢ (book empty)
Above $600bid 11¢ / ask 91¢
Above $550bid 11¢ (no asks)
Above $500bid 6¢ (no asks)

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

3,802 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

CategoryMarketsSeriesTop Series
💹 Financials3,45714Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +11 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather26041Where will it rain daily, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +38 more
📊 Economics658US gas price up, US gasoline CPI in [month], US retail sales MoM, +5 more
🔬 Science and Technology202H200 Monthly Price, B200 Monthly Price

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.