๐Ÿ“– New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 16 at 8:30 AM ET through Jul 17 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 674 unique markets across 47 new events, plus 3,802 recurring bracket markets.

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Politics
1 event
2 markets
๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Elections
2 events
5 markets
๐Ÿ“Š Economics
2 events
8 markets
๐Ÿ”ฌ Science and Technology
4 events
8 markets
๐ŸŒค๏ธ Climate and Weather
10 events
100 markets
๐Ÿ’น Financials
28 events
551 markets

โšก What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes โ€” i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

FL-09 Republican nominee?: Jorge Martinez โ€” bid 18ยข / ask 20ยข

Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 17, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 68ยฐ or above, 67ยฐ or above, 66ยฐ or above all at bid 96ยข / ask 99ยข

Bank of Korea rate decision in August: Hike more than 25bps bid 1ยข / ask 4ยข, Maintain current rate bid 67ยข / ask 74ยข, Hike 1-25bps bid 25ยข / ask 32ยข

Temperature in New York City on Jul 17, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 73ยฐ or above bid 95ยข / ask 99ยข, 72ยฐ or above bid 95ยข / ask 99ยข, 74ยฐ or above bid 94ยข / ask 99ยข

Temperature in Chicago on Jul 17, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 82ยฐ or above bid 14ยข / ask 20ยข, 78ยฐ or above bid 93ยข / ask 99ยข, 77ยฐ or above bid 93ยข / ask 99ยข

Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 17, 2026 at 11am EDT: At least $52,350 bid 93ยข / ask 99ยข, At least $52,645 bid 24ยข / ask 34ยข, At least $52,640 bid 25ยข / ask 35ยข

Ruben Gallego out as Senator?: Before Aug 1, 2026 bid 2ยข / ask 9ยข, Before Oct 1, 2026 bid 9ยข / ask 16ยข

All Events โ€” every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Politics
๐Ÿ“Š Economics
๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Elections
๐Ÿ”ฌ Science and Technology
๐ŸŒค๏ธ Climate and Weather
๐Ÿ’น Financials

All New Events

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Politics โ€” 1 event, 2 markets

Ruben Gallego out as Senator? โ€” 2 outcomes โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 4:18 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Oct 1, 2026bid 9ยข / ask 16ยข
Before Aug 1, 2026bid 2ยข / ask 9ยข

๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Elections โ€” 2 events, 5 markets

View market options (4 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Paige Loudlast 1ยข (book empty)
David Costellolast 1ยข (book empty)
Elizabeth Dickersonlast 1ยข (book empty)
Ashley Webblast 1ยข (book empty)

FL-09 Republican nominee?: Jorge Martinez (bid 18ยข / ask 20ยข) โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 10:22 AM ET

๐Ÿ“Š Economics โ€” 2 events, 8 markets

Bank of Korea rate decision in August โ€” 5 outcomes โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 9:28 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Maintain current ratebid 67ยข / ask 74ยข
Hike more than 25bpsbid 1ยข / ask 4ยข
Hike 1-25bpsbid 25ยข / ask 32ยข
Cut more than 25bpslast 1ยข (book empty)
Cut 1-25bpslast 1ยข (book empty)

Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration โ€” 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 16, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET

๐Ÿ”ฌ Science and Technology โ€” 4 events, 8 markets

SpaceX Starship 13th launch? โ€” 5 outcomes โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 7:16 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before July 18thlast 4ยข (book empty)
Before July 19thlast 2ยข (book empty)
Before July 20thbid 3ยข / ask 17ยข
Before July 21stbid 36ยข / ask 49ยข
Before July 24thbid 58ยข / ask 90ยข

Best AI at the end of 2026?: Kimi (last 1ยข (book empty)) โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 5:31 PM ET

Best AI in Jul 2026?: Kimi (last 1ยข (book empty)) โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 5:25 PM ET

Best AI this week: Kimi (last 1ยข (book empty)) โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 5:23 PM ET

๐ŸŒค๏ธ Climate and Weather โ€” 10 events, 100 markets

Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 17, 2026 at 10am EDT? โ€” 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 17, 2026 at 10am EDT? โ€” 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

Temperature in Austin on Jul 17, 2026 at 10am EDT? โ€” 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

Temperature in Chicago on Jul 17, 2026 at 10am EDT? โ€” 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

Temperature in New York City on Jul 17, 2026 at 10am EDT? โ€” 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
86ยฐ or aboveโ€”
85ยฐ or aboveโ€”
84ยฐ or aboveโ€”
83ยฐ or abovelast 11ยข (book empty)
82ยฐ or aboveask 68ยข (no bids)
81ยฐ or abovelast 75ยข (book empty)
80ยฐ or aboveโ€”
79ยฐ or abovebid 82ยข / ask 99ยข
78ยฐ or abovebid 83ยข / ask 99ยข
77ยฐ or abovebid 99ยข (no asks)
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
73ยฐ or aboveโ€”
72ยฐ or aboveโ€”
71ยฐ or abovebid 7ยข / ask 16ยข
70ยฐ or abovebid 59ยข / ask 68ยข
69ยฐ or abovebid 90ยข / ask 98ยข
68ยฐ or abovebid 96ยข / ask 99ยข
67ยฐ or abovebid 96ยข / ask 99ยข
66ยฐ or abovebid 96ยข / ask 99ยข
65ยฐ or abovebid 99ยข (no asks)
64ยฐ or abovebid 99ยข (no asks)
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
83ยฐ or aboveโ€”
82ยฐ or aboveโ€”
81ยฐ or aboveask 95ยข (no bids)
80ยฐ or aboveask 45ยข (no bids)
79ยฐ or aboveโ€”
78ยฐ or abovebid 70ยข / ask 99ยข
77ยฐ or abovebid 5ยข (no asks)
76ยฐ or abovebid 5ยข (no asks)
75ยฐ or abovebid 6ยข (no asks)
74ยฐ or abovebid 99ยข (no asks)
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
83ยฐ or abovebid 2ยข / ask 12ยข
82ยฐ or abovebid 14ยข / ask 20ยข
81ยฐ or abovebid 35ยข / ask 43ยข
80ยฐ or abovebid 83ยข / ask 93ยข
79ยฐ or abovebid 92ยข / ask 99ยข
78ยฐ or abovebid 93ยข / ask 99ยข
77ยฐ or abovebid 93ยข / ask 99ยข
76ยฐ or abovebid 93ยข / ask 99ยข
75ยฐ or abovebid 99ยข (no asks)
74ยฐ or abovebid 99ยข (no asks)
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
80ยฐ or abovelast 2ยข (book empty)
79ยฐ or abovelast 5ยข (book empty)
78ยฐ or aboveask 90ยข (no bids)
77ยฐ or abovelast 6ยข (book empty)
76ยฐ or abovebid 10ยข (no asks)
75ยฐ or abovelast 85ยข (book empty)
74ยฐ or abovebid 94ยข / ask 99ยข
73ยฐ or abovebid 95ยข / ask 99ยข
72ยฐ or abovebid 95ยข / ask 99ยข
71ยฐ or abovebid 99ยข (no asks)

๐Ÿ’น Financials โ€” 28 events, 551 markets

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $52,645โ€”
At least $52,640โ€”
At least $52,635โ€”
At least $52,630โ€”
At least $52,625โ€”
At least $52,620โ€”
At least $52,615โ€”
At least $52,610โ€”
At least $52,605โ€”
At least $52,600โ€”
At least $52,595โ€”
At least $52,590โ€”
At least $52,585โ€”
At least $52,580โ€”
At least $52,575โ€”
At least $52,570โ€”
At least $52,565โ€”
At least $52,560โ€”
At least $52,555โ€”
At least $52,550โ€”
At least $52,545โ€”
At least $52,540โ€”
At least $52,535โ€”
At least $52,530โ€”
At least $52,525โ€”

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $52,645โ€”
At least $52,640โ€”
At least $52,635โ€”
At least $52,630โ€”
At least $52,625โ€”
At least $52,620โ€”
At least $52,615โ€”
At least $52,610โ€”
At least $52,605โ€”
At least $52,600โ€”
At least $52,595โ€”
At least $52,590โ€”
At least $52,585โ€”
At least $52,580โ€”
At least $52,575โ€”
At least $52,570โ€”
At least $52,565โ€”
At least $52,560โ€”
At least $52,555โ€”
At least $52,550โ€”
At least $52,545โ€”
At least $52,540โ€”
At least $52,535โ€”
At least $52,530โ€”
At least $52,525โ€”

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $52,645bid 32ยข / ask 40ยข
At least $52,640bid 32ยข / ask 41ยข
At least $52,635bid 33ยข / ask 41ยข
At least $52,630bid 34ยข / ask 42ยข
At least $52,625bid 34ยข / ask 43ยข
At least $52,620bid 35ยข / ask 43ยข
At least $52,615bid 36ยข / ask 44ยข
At least $52,610bid 36ยข / ask 45ยข
At least $52,605bid 37ยข / ask 46ยข
At least $52,600bid 38ยข / ask 46ยข
At least $52,595bid 39ยข / ask 47ยข
At least $52,590bid 39ยข / ask 48ยข
At least $52,585bid 40ยข / ask 48ยข
At least $52,580bid 41ยข / ask 49ยข
At least $52,575bid 42ยข / ask 50ยข
At least $52,570bid 42ยข / ask 51ยข
At least $52,565bid 43ยข / ask 51ยข
At least $52,560bid 44ยข / ask 52ยข
At least $52,555bid 45ยข / ask 53ยข
At least $52,550bid 50ยข / ask 58ยข
At least $52,545bid 48ยข / ask 56ยข
At least $52,540bid 49ยข / ask 57ยข
At least $52,535bid 49ยข / ask 58ยข
At least $52,530bid 50ยข / ask 59ยข
At least $52,525bid 51ยข / ask 59ยข

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $52,645bid 32ยข / ask 40ยข
At least $52,640bid 33ยข / ask 41ยข
At least $52,635bid 33ยข / ask 41ยข
At least $52,630bid 34ยข / ask 42ยข
At least $52,625bid 35ยข / ask 43ยข
At least $52,620bid 36ยข / ask 44ยข
At least $52,615bid 36ยข / ask 44ยข
At least $52,610bid 37ยข / ask 45ยข
At least $52,605bid 38ยข / ask 46ยข
At least $52,600bid 39ยข / ask 47ยข
At least $52,595bid 39ยข / ask 47ยข
At least $52,590bid 40ยข / ask 48ยข
At least $52,585bid 41ยข / ask 49ยข
At least $52,580bid 42ยข / ask 50ยข
At least $52,575bid 43ยข / ask 51ยข
At least $52,570bid 43ยข / ask 51ยข
At least $52,565bid 44ยข / ask 52ยข
At least $52,560bid 45ยข / ask 53ยข
At least $52,555bid 46ยข / ask 54ยข
At least $52,550bid 47ยข / ask 55ยข
At least $52,545bid 47ยข / ask 55ยข
At least $52,540bid 48ยข / ask 56ยข
At least $52,535bid 49ยข / ask 57ยข
At least $52,530bid 50ยข / ask 58ยข
At least $52,525bid 50ยข / ask 58ยข

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $52,645bid 31ยข / ask 39ยข
At least $52,640bid 32ยข / ask 40ยข
At least $52,635bid 33ยข / ask 41ยข
At least $52,630bid 34ยข / ask 42ยข
At least $52,625bid 34ยข / ask 42ยข
At least $52,620bid 35ยข / ask 43ยข
At least $52,615bid 36ยข / ask 44ยข
At least $52,610bid 37ยข / ask 45ยข
At least $52,605bid 38ยข / ask 46ยข
At least $52,600bid 38ยข / ask 46ยข
At least $52,595bid 39ยข / ask 47ยข
At least $52,590bid 40ยข / ask 48ยข
At least $52,585bid 41ยข / ask 49ยข
At least $52,580bid 42ยข / ask 50ยข
At least $52,575bid 42ยข / ask 50ยข
At least $52,570bid 43ยข / ask 51ยข
At least $52,565bid 44ยข / ask 52ยข
At least $52,560bid 45ยข / ask 53ยข
At least $52,555bid 47ยข / ask 55ยข
At least $52,550bid 46ยข / ask 54ยข
At least $52,545bid 47ยข / ask 55ยข
At least $52,540bid 48ยข / ask 56ยข
At least $52,535bid 49ยข / ask 57ยข
At least $52,530bid 50ยข / ask 58ยข
At least $52,525bid 51ยข / ask 59ยข

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $52,645bid 24ยข / ask 34ยข
At least $52,640bid 25ยข / ask 35ยข
At least $52,635bid 26ยข / ask 36ยข
At least $52,630bid 27ยข / ask 37ยข
At least $52,625bid 27ยข / ask 37ยข
At least $52,620bid 28ยข / ask 38ยข
At least $52,615bid 29ยข / ask 39ยข
At least $52,610bid 30ยข / ask 40ยข
At least $52,605bid 31ยข / ask 41ยข
At least $52,600bid 32ยข / ask 42ยข
At least $52,595bid 32ยข / ask 43ยข
At least $52,590bid 33ยข / ask 43ยข
At least $52,585bid 34ยข / ask 44ยข
At least $52,580bid 35ยข / ask 45ยข
At least $52,575bid 35ยข / ask 46ยข
At least $52,570bid 35ยข / ask 46ยข
At least $52,565bid 35ยข / ask 45ยข
At least $52,560bid 47ยข / ask 57ยข
At least $52,555bid 48ยข / ask 58ยข
At least $52,550bid 53ยข / ask 63ยข
At least $52,545bid 52ยข / ask 62ยข
At least $52,540bid 52ยข / ask 62ยข
At least $52,535bid 53ยข / ask 63ยข
At least $52,530bid 54ยข / ask 64ยข
At least $52,525bid 55ยข / ask 65ยข

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $52,645โ€”
At least $52,640โ€”
At least $52,635โ€”
At least $52,630โ€”
At least $52,625โ€”
At least $52,620โ€”
At least $52,615โ€”
At least $52,610โ€”
At least $52,605โ€”
At least $52,600โ€”
At least $52,595โ€”
At least $52,590โ€”
At least $52,585โ€”
At least $52,580โ€”
At least $52,575โ€”
At least $52,570โ€”
At least $52,565โ€”
At least $52,560โ€”
At least $52,555โ€”
At least $52,550โ€”
At least $52,545โ€”
At least $52,540โ€”
At least $52,535โ€”
At least $52,530โ€”
At least $52,525โ€”

+ 35 more

United Airlines passengers in Q3 โ€” 19 brackets โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 10:22 AM ET

View market strikes (19 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 52.25 millionask 85ยข (no bids)
Above 52 millionask 65ยข (no bids)
Above 51.75 millionโ€”
Above 51.5 millionโ€”
Above 51.25 millionโ€”
Above 51 millionโ€”
Above 50.75 millionโ€”
Above 50.5 millionโ€”
Above 50.25 millionโ€”
Above 50 millionโ€”
Above 49.75 millionโ€”
Above 49.5 millionโ€”
Above 49.25 millionbid 16ยข (no asks)
Above 49 millionbid 6ยข (no asks)
Above 48.75 millionbid 21ยข / ask 99ยข
Above 48.5 millionbid 5ยข (no asks)
Above 48.25 millionbid 50ยข / ask 99ยข
Above 48 millionbid 6ยข (no asks)
Above 47.75 millionโ€”

30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 20, 2026? โ€” 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 20, 2026? โ€” 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 20, 2026? โ€” 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 20, 2026? โ€” 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 20, 2026? โ€” 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026? โ€” 10 brackets โ€” listed Jul 17, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.6% or abovebid 2ยข / ask 47ยข
4.65% or abovebid 1ยข / ask 44ยข
4.7% or abovebid 1ยข / ask 39ยข
4.75% or abovebid 1ยข / ask 37ยข
4.8% or abovebid 1ยข / ask 35ยข
4.85% or abovebid 1ยข / ask 34ยข
4.9% or abovebid 1ยข / ask 31ยข
4.95% or abovebid 1ยข / ask 32ยข
5% or abovebid 1ยข / ask 32ยข
5.05% or abovebid 1ยข / ask 32ยข

5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026? โ€” 10 brackets โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.45% or abovebid 4ยข / ask 22ยข
4.5% or abovebid 4ยข / ask 25ยข
4.55% or abovebid 4ยข / ask 28ยข
4.6% or abovebid 4ยข / ask 28ยข
4.65% or abovebid 4ยข / ask 27ยข
4.7% or abovebid 4ยข / ask 26ยข
4.75% or abovebid 4ยข / ask 26ยข
4.8% or abovebid 4ยข / ask 28ยข
4.85% or abovebid 4ยข / ask 23ยข
4.9% or abovebid 4ยข / ask 25ยข

Get-in price of the World Cup Bronze-Final โ€” 5 brackets โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 11:12 AM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $700bid 3ยข / ask 70ยข
Above $650last 65ยข (book empty)
Above $600bid 11ยข / ask 91ยข
Above $550bid 11ยข (no asks)
Above $500bid 6ยข (no asks)

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ€” listed Jul 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

๐Ÿ”„ Recurring Markets

3,802 recurring markets also launched โ€” these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

CategoryMarketsSeriesTop Series
๐Ÿ’น Financials3,45714Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +11 more
๐ŸŒค๏ธ Climate and Weather26041Where will it rain daily, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +38 more
๐Ÿ“Š Economics658US gas price up, US gasoline CPI in [month], US retail sales MoM, +5 more
๐Ÿ”ฌ Science and Technology202H200 Monthly Price, B200 Monthly Price

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.