📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 16 at 6:30 PM ET through Jul 17 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 359 unique markets across 43 new events, plus 3,870 recurring bracket markets.

🔬 Science and Technology
1 event
5 markets
📊 Economics
2 events
17 markets
🎬 Entertainment
2 events
23 markets
🗳️ Elections
4 events
8 markets
🌤️ Climate and Weather
10 events
100 markets
🏛️ Politics
11 events
54 markets
💹 Financials
13 events
152 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 17, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 90° or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 87° or above bid 85¢ / ask 87¢, 88° or above bid 76¢ / ask 90¢

Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 17, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 82° or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 79° or above bid 69¢ / ask 70¢, 78° or above bid 93¢ / ask 94¢

Temperature in Austin on Jul 17, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 95° or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 92° or above bid 80¢ / ask 81¢, 91° or above bid 86¢ / ask 87¢

Temperature in Chicago on Jul 17, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 90° or above bid 48¢ / ask 49¢, 89° or above bid 81¢ / ask 82¢, 91° or above bid 3¢ / ask 7¢

Temperature in New York City on Jul 17, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 84° or above bid 64¢ / ask 65¢, 83° or above bid 79¢ / ask 80¢, 82° or above bid 96¢ / ask 97¢

NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Aug 28 (Week 35): Above $1.75 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above $1.50 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Above $1.25 bid 6¢ / ask 7¢

NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Aug 21 (Week 34): Above $1.75 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above $1.50 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above $1.25 bid 5¢ / ask 6¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🔬 Science and Technology
📊 Economics
🎬 Entertainment
🗳️ Elections
🌤️ Climate and Weather
🏛️ Politics
💹 Financials

All New Events

🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 5 markets

SpaceX Starship 13th launch? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 16, 2026 at 7:16 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before July 18thlast 4¢ (book empty)
Before July 19thlast 2¢ (book empty)
Before July 20thlast 4¢ (book empty)
Before July 21stbid 42¢ / ask 49¢
Before July 24thbid 75¢ / ask 80¢

📊 Economics — 2 events, 17 markets

US housing starts for July — 10 brackets — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 10:07 AM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 1.540Mbid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above 1.520Mbid 2¢ / ask 9¢
Above 1.500Mbid 7¢ / ask 14¢
Above 1.480Mbid 11¢ / ask 19¢
Above 1.460Mbid 14¢ / ask 21¢
Above 1.440Mbid 18¢ / ask 25¢
Above 1.420Mbid 22¢ / ask 29¢
Above 1.400Mbid 26¢ / ask 33¢
Above 1.380Mbid 39¢ / ask 46¢
Above 1.360Mbid 54¢ / ask 59¢

US building permits for July — 7 brackets — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 10:23 AM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 1.550Mbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above 1.500Mbid 19¢ / ask 21¢
Above 1.450Mbid 41¢ / ask 42¢
Above 1.400Mbid 75¢ / ask 82¢
Above 1.350Mbid 86¢ / ask 92¢
Above 1.300Mbid 91¢ / ask 92¢
Above 1.250Mbid 93¢ / ask 98¢

🎬 Entertainment — 2 events, 23 markets

View market options (16 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Yash Patelbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Taylor Brownbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Rome Seymourbid 35¢ / ask 36¢
Rick Devenslast 2¢ (book empty)
Melody Morrisbid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Mallory Aurichiobid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Lyric Medeirosbid 16¢ / ask 17¢
LaTrice Verrettbid 5¢ / ask 11¢
Kamu Kirkbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Jason De Puybid 37¢ / ask 38¢
Haley Thogmartinbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Drew Campbellbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Dee Valladareslast 1¢ (book empty)
Chuk Anyanwubid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Barrett Pfeifferlast 2¢ (book empty)
Angela Murraybid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Latin Grammy Awards: Album of the Year — 7 outcomes — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 1:01 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Tropicoquetabid 14¢ / ask 20¢
Taracábid 2¢ / ask 6¢
LUXbid 66¢ / ask 67¢
La vida era más cortabid 2¢ / ask 7¢
La montaña encendidabid 3¢ / ask 4¢
JuanesTebanbid 6¢ / ask 15¢
Femme fatalebid 3¢ / ask 4¢

🗳️ Elections — 4 events, 8 markets

View market options (5 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Ralph Normanbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Russell Frylast 1¢ (book empty)
No onelast 1¢ (book empty)
Mark Lynchlast 1¢ (book empty)
Darline Graham Nordonebid 96¢ / ask 99¢

Who will drop out of their primary?: Mandela Barnes — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 4:17 PM ET

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?: Mark Sanford (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET

Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/17-7/24)?: Above 5.2% (bid 42¢ / ask 43¢) — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 10:40 AM ET

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 10 events, 100 markets

Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 17, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 17, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 17, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 17, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

Temperature in Austin on Jul 17, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 17, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

Temperature in Chicago on Jul 17, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 17, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

Temperature in New York City on Jul 17, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 17, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
93° or above
92° or above
91° or abovelast 1¢ (book empty)
90° or abovebid 1¢ / ask 2¢
89° or abovelast 1¢ (book empty)
88° or abovebid 76¢ / ask 90¢
87° or abovebid 85¢ / ask 87¢
86° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
85° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
84° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
83° or abovelast 1¢ (book empty)
82° or abovebid 1¢ / ask 2¢
81° or abovebid 11¢ / ask 16¢
80° or abovebid 35¢ / ask 40¢
79° or abovebid 69¢ / ask 70¢
78° or abovebid 93¢ / ask 94¢
77° or abovebid 96¢ / ask 98¢
76° or abovebid 98¢ / ask 99¢
75° or abovebid 98¢ / ask 99¢
74° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
95° or abovebid 1¢ / ask 2¢
94° or abovebid 18¢ / ask 23¢
93° or abovebid 45¢ / ask 49¢
92° or abovebid 80¢ / ask 81¢
91° or abovebid 86¢ / ask 87¢
90° or abovebid 98¢ / ask 99¢
89° or abovebid 98¢ / ask 99¢
88° or abovebid 98¢ / ask 99¢
87° or abovebid 98¢ / ask 99¢
86° or abovebid 98¢ / ask 99¢
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
92° or abovelast 1¢ (book empty)
91° or abovebid 3¢ / ask 7¢
90° or abovebid 48¢ / ask 49¢
89° or abovebid 81¢ / ask 82¢
88° or abovebid 92¢ / ask 98¢
87° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
86° or abovebid 98¢ (no asks)
85° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
84° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
83° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
86° or abovebid 6¢ / ask 10¢
85° or abovebid 11¢ / ask 13¢
84° or abovebid 64¢ / ask 65¢
83° or abovebid 79¢ / ask 80¢
82° or abovebid 96¢ / ask 97¢
81° or abovebid 95¢ / ask 98¢
80° or abovebid 95¢ / ask 98¢
79° or abovebid 95¢ / ask 98¢
78° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
77° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)

🏛️ Politics — 11 events, 54 markets

View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 90bid 4¢ / ask 11¢
Above 80bid 13¢ / ask 16¢
Above 70bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Above 60bid 28¢ / ask 29¢
Above 50bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
Above 40bid 67¢ / ask 68¢
Above 30bid 78¢ / ask 85¢
Above 20bid 91¢ / ask 98¢
Above 150bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Above 100bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
View market options (9 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Troy Jacksonbid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Sherrod Brownbid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Shenna Bellowsbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Nirav Shahbid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Mary Peltolabid 1¢ / ask 4¢
James Talaricobid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Jon Ossoffbid 37¢ / ask 39¢
Haley Stevensbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Abdul El-Sayedbid 38¢ / ask 40¢
View market options (7 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
July 26bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
July 25bid 14¢ / ask 15¢
July 24bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
July 23bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
July 22bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
July 21bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
July 20bid 17¢ / ask 18¢

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (7/19-7/25) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 17, 2026 at 10:48 AM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 40bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Above 30bid 10¢ / ask 12¢
Above 25bid 21¢ / ask 25¢
Above 20bid 28¢ / ask 29¢
Above 15bid 41¢ / ask 55¢
Above 10bid 91¢ / ask 92¢

Trump late night post this week? (7/19-7/25) — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 17, 2026 at 10:49 AM ET

Tracking: 5-6 AM, 4-5 AM, 3-4 AM, 2-3 AM, 1-2 AM

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (7/20-7/26) — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 17, 2026 at 10:48 AM ET

Tracking: 7, 6, 5, 4

View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
9bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
10bid 16¢ / ask 22¢
11bid 5¢ / ask 11¢

Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/17-7/24)?: Above 40.5% (bid 37¢ / ask 38¢) — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 10:40 AM ET

Who will be the next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?: Ed Miliband (bid 46¢ / ask 54¢) — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 10:17 AM ET

💹 Financials — 13 events, 152 markets

30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 20, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
5.24% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 2¢
5.22% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 2¢
5.2% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 2¢
5.18% or abovebid 2¢ / ask 3¢
5.16% or abovebid 5¢ / ask 6¢
5.14% or abovebid 8¢ / ask 9¢
5.12% or abovebid 20¢ / ask 21¢
5.1% or abovebid 32¢ / ask 33¢
5.08% or abovebid 44¢ / ask 45¢
5.06% or abovebid 60¢ / ask 61¢
5.04% or abovebid 71¢ / ask 72¢
5.02% or abovebid 84¢ / ask 85¢
5% or abovebid 93¢ / ask 94¢
4.98% or abovebid 97¢ / ask 98¢
4.96% or abovebid 97¢ / ask 98¢

10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 20, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.69% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 3¢
4.67% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 3¢
4.65% or abovebid 4¢ / ask 5¢
4.63% or abovebid 7¢ / ask 8¢
4.61% or abovebid 20¢ / ask 21¢
4.59% or abovebid 29¢ / ask 30¢
4.57% or abovebid 42¢ / ask 43¢
4.55% or abovebid 58¢ / ask 59¢
4.53% or abovebid 69¢ / ask 71¢
4.51% or abovebid 81¢ / ask 82¢
4.49% or abovebid 93¢ / ask 94¢
4.47% or abovebid 96¢ / ask 97¢
4.45% or abovebid 98¢ / ask 99¢
4.43% or abovebid 98¢ / ask 99¢
4.41% or abovebid 98¢ / ask 99¢

7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 20, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.54% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 3¢
4.52% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 3¢
4.5% or abovebid 6¢ / ask 7¢
4.48% or abovebid 5¢ / ask 6¢
4.46% or abovebid 14¢ / ask 15¢
4.44% or abovebid 23¢ / ask 25¢
4.42% or abovebid 33¢ / ask 35¢
4.4% or abovebid 45¢ / ask 47¢
4.38% or abovebid 61¢ / ask 62¢
4.36% or abovebid 72¢ / ask 73¢
4.34% or abovebid 86¢ / ask 88¢
4.32% or abovebid 94¢ / ask 95¢
4.3% or abovebid 97¢ / ask 99¢
4.28% or abovebid 97¢ / ask 99¢
4.26% or abovebid 97¢ / ask 99¢

5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 20, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.44% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 2¢
4.42% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 2¢
4.4% or abovebid 4¢ / ask 5¢
4.38% or abovebid 4¢ / ask 5¢
4.36% or abovebid 5¢ / ask 6¢
4.34% or abovebid 7¢ / ask 8¢
4.32% or abovebid 20¢ / ask 21¢
4.3% or abovebid 30¢ / ask 31¢
4.28% or abovebid 41¢ / ask 42¢
4.26% or abovebid 52¢ / ask 53¢
4.24% or abovebid 66¢ / ask 67¢
4.22% or abovebid 77¢ / ask 78¢
4.2% or abovebid 94¢ / ask 95¢
4.18% or abovebid 97¢ / ask 98¢
4.16% or abovebid 97¢ / ask 98¢

2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 20, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.29% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 3¢
4.27% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 3¢
4.25% or abovebid 3¢ / ask 4¢
4.23% or abovebid 4¢ / ask 5¢
4.21% or abovebid 6¢ / ask 7¢
4.19% or abovebid 20¢ / ask 21¢
4.17% or abovebid 31¢ / ask 33¢
4.15% or abovebid 43¢ / ask 44¢
4.13% or abovebid 76¢ / ask 77¢
4.11% or abovebid 86¢ / ask 87¢
4.09% or abovebid 95¢ / ask 96¢
4.07% or abovebid 97¢ / ask 98¢
4.05% or abovebid 97¢ / ask 98¢
4.03% or abovebid 97¢ / ask 98¢
4.01% or abovebid 97¢ / ask 99¢
View market strikes (12 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $4.00bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above $3.75bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
Above $3.50bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Above $3.25bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Above $3.00bid 25¢ / ask 27¢
Above $2.75bid 41¢ / ask 43¢
Above $2.50bid 59¢ / ask 62¢
Above $2.25bid 77¢ / ask 78¢
Above $2.00bid 93¢ / ask 94¢
Above $1.75bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above $1.25bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above $1.00bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
View market strikes (12 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $4.00bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above $3.75bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Above $3.50bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Above $3.25bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Above $3.00bid 23¢ / ask 25¢
Above $2.75bid 40¢ / ask 41¢
Above $2.50bid 60¢ / ask 63¢
Above $2.25bid 79¢ / ask 83¢
Above $2.00bid 94¢ / ask 97¢
Above $1.75bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $1.25bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $1.00bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
View market strikes (12 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $4.00bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above $3.75bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above $3.50bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Above $3.25bid 4¢ / ask 8¢
Above $3.00bid 21¢ / ask 23¢
Above $2.75bid 39¢ / ask 42¢
Above $2.50bid 62¢ / ask 63¢
Above $2.25bid 81¢ / ask 82¢
Above $2.00bid 92¢ / ask 93¢
Above $1.75bid 96¢ / ask 98¢
Above $1.25bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $1.00bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $2.00bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above $1.75bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above $1.50bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above $1.25bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Above $1.00bid 55¢ / ask 58¢
Above $0.75bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $0.60bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Above $0.50bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Above $0.40bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Above $0.30bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $2.00bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above $1.75bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above $1.50bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above $1.25bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Above $1.00bid 55¢ / ask 58¢
Above $0.75bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $0.60bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $0.50bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $0.40bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $0.30bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $2.00bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above $1.75bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above $1.50bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above $1.25bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Above $1.00bid 55¢ / ask 59¢
Above $0.75bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $0.60bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $0.50bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $0.40bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $0.30bid 96¢ / ask 99¢

7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.6% or abovebid 26¢ / ask 32¢
4.65% or abovebid 14¢ / ask 20¢
4.7% or abovebid 9¢ / ask 14¢
4.75% or abovebid 4¢ / ask 10¢
4.8% or aboveask 6¢ (no bids)
4.85% or above
4.9% or above
4.95% or above
5% or above
5.05% or above

Which brands will advertise during the World Soccer Cup Final: Don Julio (bid 33¢ / ask 61¢) — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 2:42 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

3,870 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

CategoryMarketsSeriesTop Series
💹 Financials3,56814Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +11 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather24040Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, Lowest Temperature SATX, +37 more
🏛️ Politics314Will Trump do anything today?, Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, President RCP approval rating this week, +1 more
📊 Economics262US gas price up, US gas price up
🔬 Science and Technology55RTX 5090 Weekly Price, B200 Weekly Price, A100 Weekly Price, +2 more

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.