📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 17 at 6:30 PM ET through Jul 18 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 112 unique markets across 22 new events, plus 292 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Temperature in Chicago on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 85° or above bid 1¢ / ask 5¢, 80° or above bid 91¢ / ask 96¢, 82° or above bid 45¢ / ask 51¢
Temperature in New York City on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 80° or above, 79° or above, 78° or above all at bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 78° or above bid 1¢ / ask 12¢, 77° or above bid 11¢ / ask 32¢, 76° or above bid 61¢ / ask 86¢
Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 80° or above bid 1¢ / ask 48¢, 75° or above bid 99¢ (no asks), 74° or above bid 99¢ (no asks)
Temperature in Austin on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 89° or above bid 99¢ (no asks), 88° or above bid 99¢ (no asks), 90° or above bid 81¢ (no asks)
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Temperature in Austin on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Temperature in Austin on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Temperature in Chicago on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Temperature in Chicago on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Temperature in New York City on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Temperature in New York City on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
All New Events
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 10 events, 100 markets
Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Temperature in Austin on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Temperature in Chicago on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Temperature in New York City on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 83° or above | ask 50¢ (no bids) |
| 82° or above | ask 50¢ (no bids) |
| 81° or above | ask 50¢ (no bids) |
| 80° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 48¢ |
| 79° or above | — |
| 78° or above | bid 45¢ (no asks) |
| 77° or above | bid 45¢ (no asks) |
| 76° or above | bid 50¢ (no asks) |
| 75° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 74° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 80° or above | — |
| 79° or above | — |
| 78° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 77° or above | bid 11¢ / ask 32¢ |
| 76° or above | bid 61¢ / ask 86¢ |
| 75° or above | bid 92¢ (no asks) |
| 74° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 73° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 72° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 71° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Temperature in Austin on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 97° or above | — |
| 96° or above | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| 95° or above | — |
| 94° or above | — |
| 93° or above | — |
| 92° or above | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| 91° or above | bid 51¢ (no asks) |
| 90° or above | bid 81¢ (no asks) |
| 89° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 88° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Temperature in Chicago on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 88° or above | — |
| 87° or above | — |
| 86° or above | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| 85° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 84° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 83° or above | bid 24¢ / ask 33¢ |
| 82° or above | bid 45¢ / ask 51¢ |
| 81° or above | bid 91¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 80° or above | bid 91¢ / ask 96¢ |
| 79° or above | bid 96¢ (no asks) |
Temperature in New York City on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 80° or above | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 79° or above | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 78° or above | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 77° or above | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 76° or above | bid 7¢ / ask 18¢ |
| 75° or above | bid 2¢ / ask 17¢ |
| 74° or above | bid 89¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 73° or above | bid 94¢ (no asks) |
| 72° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 71° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
💹 Financials — 12 events, 12 markets
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
292 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 240 | 40 | Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, Lowest Temperature SATX, +37 more |
| 📊 Economics | 39 | 3 | US gas price up, Hass avocado prices this week, US flight cancellations this week |
| 💹 Financials | 13 | 4 | S&P 500 above/below, RTX 5090 Monthly, INXDUD, +1 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.