๐ New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 17 at 6:30 PM ET through Jul 18 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 112 unique markets across 22 new events, plus 292 recurring bracket markets.
โก What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes โ i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Temperature in Chicago on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 85ยฐ or above bid 1ยข / ask 5ยข, 80ยฐ or above bid 91ยข / ask 96ยข, 82ยฐ or above bid 45ยข / ask 51ยข
Temperature in New York City on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 80ยฐ or above, 79ยฐ or above, 78ยฐ or above all at bid 2ยข / ask 6ยข
Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 78ยฐ or above bid 1ยข / ask 12ยข, 77ยฐ or above bid 11ยข / ask 32ยข, 76ยฐ or above bid 61ยข / ask 86ยข
Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 80ยฐ or above bid 1ยข / ask 48ยข, 75ยฐ or above bid 99ยข (no asks), 74ยฐ or above bid 99ยข (no asks)
Temperature in Austin on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 89ยฐ or above bid 99ยข (no asks), 88ยฐ or above bid 99ยข (no asks), 90ยฐ or above bid 81ยข (no asks)
All Events โ every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Temperature in Austin on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Temperature in Austin on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Temperature in Chicago on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Temperature in Chicago on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Temperature in New York City on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Temperature in New York City on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
All New Events
๐ค๏ธ Climate and Weather โ 10 events, 100 markets
Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT? โ 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT? โ 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Temperature in Austin on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT? โ 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Temperature in Chicago on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT? โ 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Temperature in New York City on Jul 18, 2026 at 8pm EDT? โ 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT? โ 10 brackets โ listed Jul 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 83ยฐ or above | ask 50ยข (no bids) |
| 82ยฐ or above | ask 50ยข (no bids) |
| 81ยฐ or above | ask 50ยข (no bids) |
| 80ยฐ or above | bid 1ยข / ask 48ยข |
| 79ยฐ or above | โ |
| 78ยฐ or above | bid 45ยข (no asks) |
| 77ยฐ or above | bid 45ยข (no asks) |
| 76ยฐ or above | bid 50ยข (no asks) |
| 75ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
| 74ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT? โ 10 brackets โ listed Jul 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 80ยฐ or above | โ |
| 79ยฐ or above | โ |
| 78ยฐ or above | bid 1ยข / ask 12ยข |
| 77ยฐ or above | bid 11ยข / ask 32ยข |
| 76ยฐ or above | bid 61ยข / ask 86ยข |
| 75ยฐ or above | bid 92ยข (no asks) |
| 74ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
| 73ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
| 72ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
| 71ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
Temperature in Austin on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT? โ 10 brackets โ listed Jul 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 97ยฐ or above | โ |
| 96ยฐ or above | ask 95ยข (no bids) |
| 95ยฐ or above | โ |
| 94ยฐ or above | โ |
| 93ยฐ or above | โ |
| 92ยฐ or above | bid 6ยข (no asks) |
| 91ยฐ or above | bid 51ยข (no asks) |
| 90ยฐ or above | bid 81ยข (no asks) |
| 89ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
| 88ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
Temperature in Chicago on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT? โ 10 brackets โ listed Jul 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 88ยฐ or above | โ |
| 87ยฐ or above | โ |
| 86ยฐ or above | ask 5ยข (no bids) |
| 85ยฐ or above | bid 1ยข / ask 5ยข |
| 84ยฐ or above | bid 1ยข / ask 8ยข |
| 83ยฐ or above | bid 24ยข / ask 33ยข |
| 82ยฐ or above | bid 45ยข / ask 51ยข |
| 81ยฐ or above | bid 91ยข / ask 98ยข |
| 80ยฐ or above | bid 91ยข / ask 96ยข |
| 79ยฐ or above | bid 96ยข (no asks) |
Temperature in New York City on Jul 18, 2026 at 7pm EDT? โ 10 brackets โ listed Jul 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 80ยฐ or above | bid 2ยข / ask 6ยข |
| 79ยฐ or above | bid 2ยข / ask 6ยข |
| 78ยฐ or above | bid 2ยข / ask 6ยข |
| 77ยฐ or above | bid 2ยข / ask 6ยข |
| 76ยฐ or above | bid 7ยข / ask 18ยข |
| 75ยฐ or above | bid 2ยข / ask 17ยข |
| 74ยฐ or above | bid 89ยข / ask 95ยข |
| 73ยฐ or above | bid 94ยข (no asks) |
| 72ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
| 71ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
๐น Financials โ 12 events, 12 markets
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 โ listed Jul 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
๐ Recurring Markets
292 recurring markets also launched โ these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| ๐ค๏ธ Climate and Weather | 240 | 40 | Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, Lowest Temperature SATX, +37 more |
| ๐ Economics | 39 | 3 | US gas price up, Hass avocado prices this week, US flight cancellations this week |
| ๐น Financials | 13 | 4 | S&P 500 above/below, RTX 5090 Monthly, INXDUD, +1 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.