Kalshi Markets: Latest on Dancing Stars, Maine, Treasury

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 13 at 6:30 PM ET through Oct 14 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 467 unique markets across 176 new events, plus 6,439 recurring bracket markets.

📊 Economics

2 events

4 markets

🎬 Entertainment

2 events

65 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

8 events

72 markets

🗳️ Elections

15 events

66 markets

🏛️ Politics

21 events

33 markets

💹 Financials

128 events

227 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Dancing with the Stars · Episode 7 Elimination: Tyler Cameron bid 21¢ / ask 22¢, Maura Higgins bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Julia Stiles bid 4¢ / ask 5¢

Maine: Pingree's margin vs. Jackson's margin?: Pingree by 8-12 bid 19¢ / ask 20¢, Pingree by 4-8 bid 17¢ / ask 18¢, Pingree by 16-20 bid 11¢ / ask 12¢

Michigan: Benson's margin vs. El-Sayed's margin?: Benson by 9-12 bid 12¢ / ask 13¢, Benson by 6-9 bid 14¢ / ask 16¢, El-Sayed by 3+ bid 4¢ / ask 7¢

Iowa: Sand's margin vs. Turek's margin?: Turek by 0-3 bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Sand by 3-6 bid 11¢ / ask 14¢, Turek by 3+ bid 1¢ / ask 4¢

Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin?: Paxton by 0-3 bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, Paxton by 3+ bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Abbott by 0-3 bid 17¢ / ask 19¢

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026?: 5.32% or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 5.28% or above bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, 5.16% or above bid 73¢ / ask 74¢

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Yisrael Beiteinu win?: Above 3 bid 95¢ / ask 96¢, Above 9 bid 18¢ / ask 20¢, Above 5 bid 88¢ / ask 90¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

📊 Economics

🎬 Entertainment

🔬 Science and Technology

🗳️ Elections

🏛️ Politics

💹 Financials

All New Events

📊 Economics — 2 events, 4 markets

Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026 — 3 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 10:02 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 3,000 units	bid 64¢ / ask 80¢
Above 2,500 units	bid 53¢ / ask 99¢
Above 2,000 units	bid 67¢ / ask 99¢

France credit rating downgrade in 2026?: Downgrade before 2027? (bid 72¢ / ask 75¢) — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 2:06 PM ET

🎬 Entertainment — 2 events, 65 markets

TIME's Athlete of the Year — 55 outcomes — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 1:29 PM ET

View market options (25 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yan Ziyi	—
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	—
Yulimar Rojas	—
Victor Wembanyama	—
Tigst Assefa	—
Scottie Scheffler	—
Sabastian Sawe	—
Shohei Ohtani	—
Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone	—
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	—
Rumesh Tharanga Pathirage	—
Paul Skenes	—
Nikki Hiltz	—
Mikaela Shiffrin	—
Masai Russell	—
María Pérez	—
Marileidy Paulino	—
Melissa Jefferson-Wooden	—
Mondo Duplantis	—
Mookie Betts	—
Lamine Yamal	—
Lindsey Vonn	—
Lionel Messi	—
Kylian Mbappé	—
Kristjan Čeh	—

+ 30 more outcomes

Dancing with the Stars · Episode 7 Elimination — 10 outcomes — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET

View market options (10 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Tyler Cameron	bid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Tatyana Ali	bid 8¢ / ask 14¢
Maura Higgins	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Julia Stiles	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Jackson Olson	bid 18¢ / ask 19¢
Jenna Dewan	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Harry Shum Jr.	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Ezra Frech	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Connor Wood	bid 13¢ / ask 15¢
Amber Glenn	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢

🔬 Science and Technology — 8 events, 72 markets

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 18, 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 65.9%	bid 10¢ / ask 35¢
Above 64.1%	bid 20¢ / ask 45¢
Above 62.4%	bid 22¢ / ask 48¢
Above 60.9%	bid 32¢ / ask 60¢
Above 59.1%	bid 41¢ / ask 62¢
Above 56.6%	bid 52¢ / ask 67¢
Above 50.6%	bid 76¢ / ask 95¢
Above 49.8%	bid 82¢ / ask 97¢
Above 43.6%	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.3%	bid 28¢ / ask 42¢
Above 8.8%	bid 28¢ / ask 70¢
Above 6.0%	bid 41¢ / ask 57¢
Above 4.9%	bid 53¢ / ask 60¢
Above 17.7%	bid 1¢ / ask 33¢
Above 15.3%	bid 8¢ / ask 31¢
Above 12.8%	bid 15¢ / ask 35¢
Above 11.8%	bid 17¢ / ask 58¢
Above 10.8%	bid 21¢ / ask 54¢

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 21.5%	bid 3¢ / ask 23¢
Above 20.4%	bid 9¢ / ask 19¢
Above 19.4%	bid 17¢ / ask 26¢
Above 18.9%	bid 16¢ / ask 40¢
Above 16.5%	bid 36¢ / ask 65¢
Above 15.7%	bid 37¢ / ask 63¢
Above 15.1%	bid 43¢ / ask 66¢
Above 14.4%	bid 53¢ / ask 80¢
Above 13.5%	bid 43¢ / ask 78¢

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 43.3%	bid 13¢ / ask 21¢
Above 42.6%	bid 16¢ / ask 25¢
Above 41.2%	bid 23¢ / ask 34¢
Above 38.5%	bid 41¢ / ask 54¢
Above 37.6%	bid 25¢ / ask 62¢
Above 35.6%	bid 34¢ / ask 71¢
Above 34.8%	bid 62¢ / ask 78¢
Above 32.7%	bid 69¢ / ask 82¢
Above 30.4%	bid 82¢ / ask 92¢

Google share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 17.8%	bid 1¢ / ask 32¢
Above 17.1%	bid 5¢ / ask 30¢
Above 16.2%	bid 13¢ / ask 33¢
Above 14.9%	bid 27¢ / ask 35¢
Above 13.9%	bid 39¢ / ask 49¢
Above 13.3%	bid 52¢ / ask 60¢
Above 13.0%	bid 54¢ / ask 82¢
Above 12.9%	bid 54¢ / ask 64¢
Above 11.9%	bid 70¢ / ask 80¢

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 26.8%	bid 15¢ / ask 67¢
Above 26.0%	bid 18¢ / ask 74¢
Above 25.1%	bid 19¢ / ask 82¢
Above 24.5%	bid 27¢ / ask 62¢
Above 23.7%	bid 26¢ / ask 65¢
Above 22.6%	bid 17¢ / ask 75¢
Above 21.7%	bid 36¢ / ask 83¢
Above 19.8%	bid 25¢ / ask 92¢
Above 18.6%	bid 31¢ / ask 98¢

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.2%	bid 9¢ / ask 16¢
Above 8.7%	bid 17¢ / ask 42¢
Above 8.2%	bid 21¢ / ask 38¢
Above 8.0%	bid 19¢ / ask 43¢
Above 7.7%	bid 29¢ / ask 48¢
Above 7.4%	bid 37¢ / ask 56¢
Above 6.0%	bid 54¢ / ask 76¢
Above 5.5%	bid 65¢ / ask 85¢
Above 5.3%	bid 70¢ / ask 92¢

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.9%	bid 69¢ / ask 93¢
Above 15.0%	bid 38¢ / ask 48¢
Above 14.1%	bid 48¢ / ask 58¢
Above 13.5%	bid 32¢ / ask 68¢
Above 12.7%	bid 33¢ / ask 70¢
Above 12.3%	bid 30¢ / ask 75¢
Above 12.0%	bid 33¢ / ask 79¢
Above 11.4%	bid 28¢ / ask 85¢
Above 10.9%	bid 59¢ / ask 88¢

🗳️ Elections — 15 events, 66 markets

Michigan: Benson's margin vs. El-Sayed's margin? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:43 AM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Benson by 9-12	bid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Benson by 6-9	bid 14¢ / ask 16¢
Benson by 3-6	bid 13¢ / ask 18¢
El-Sayed by 0-3	bid 5¢ / ask 9¢
El-Sayed by 3+	bid 4¢ / ask 7¢
Benson by 12-15	bid 7¢ / ask 11¢
Benson by 0-3	bid 10¢ / ask 15¢
Benson by 15+	bid 15¢ / ask 18¢

Georgia: Bottoms's margin vs. Ossoff's margin? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:42 AM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Ossoff by 6-9	bid 14¢ / ask 20¢
Ossoff by 3-6	bid 8¢ / ask 14¢
Ossoff by 0-3	bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
Ossoff by 18+	bid 10¢ / ask 13¢
Ossoff by 15-18	bid 10¢ / ask 15¢
Ossoff by 12-15	bid 15¢ / ask 17¢
Ossoff by 9-12	bid 15¢ / ask 23¢
Bottoms by 0+	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢

Maine: Pingree's margin vs. Jackson's margin? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:43 AM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Pingree by 8-12	bid 19¢ / ask 20¢
Pingree by 4-8	bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Jackson by 0+	bid 7¢ / ask 10¢
Pingree by 16-20	bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Pingree by 12-16	bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Pingree by 0-4	bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Pingree by 20+	bid 11¢ / ask 13¢

Iowa: Sand's margin vs. Turek's margin? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:43 AM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Sand by 9-12	bid 13¢ / ask 21¢
Sand by 6-9	bid 14¢ / ask 21¢
Sand by 3-6	bid 11¢ / ask 14¢
Turek by 0-3	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Turek by 3+	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Sand by 0-3	bid 7¢ / ask 12¢
Sand by 12+	bid 35¢ / ask 39¢

Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:43 AM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Abbott by 9-12	bid 10¢ / ask 14¢
Abbott by 6-9	bid 23¢ / ask 26¢
Abbott by 3-6	bid 26¢ / ask 29¢
Paxton by 0-3	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Paxton by 3+	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Abbott by 0-3	bid 17¢ / ask 19¢
Abbott by 12+	bid 4¢ / ask 6¢

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Shas win? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 12:01 AM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9	bid 26¢ / ask 28¢
Above 8	bid 46¢ / ask 47¢
Above 7	bid 69¢ / ask 70¢
Above 6	bid 88¢ / ask 90¢
Above 5	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
Above 11	bid 4¢ / ask 6¢
Above 10	bid 12¢ / ask 13¢

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will The Democrats win? — 6 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 8	bid 53¢ / ask 55¢
Above 6	bid 83¢ / ask 84¢
Above 4	bid 95¢ / ask 96¢
Above 14	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above 12	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Above 10	bid 20¢ / ask 22¢

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Yisrael Beiteinu win? — 5 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 12:01 AM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9	bid 18¢ / ask 20¢
Above 7	bid 60¢ / ask 63¢
Above 5	bid 88¢ / ask 90¢
Above 3	bid 95¢ / ask 96¢
Above 11	bid 3¢ / ask 7¢

2028 Democratic presidential nominee — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 10:35 AM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Hakeem Jeffries	—
Sherrod Brown	—
Mary Peltola	last 1¢ (book empty)

2028 Republican presidential nominee — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 10:35 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Ben Shapiro	—
Wesley Hunt	last 1¢ (book empty)

Mongolian presidential election winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:25 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Luvsantserengiin Enkh-Amgalan	bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
Sandagiin Byambatsogt	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢

Will California Proposition 42 receive more “Yes” votes than Proposition 40?: Yes — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 6:06 PM ET

Closest Governor race in 2026?: Oklahoma — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 5:46 PM ET

Will Treg Taylor drop out?: Yes (bid 62¢ / ask 82¢) — listed Oct 13, 2026 at 10:44 PM ET

Will Dave Bronson drop out?: Yes (bid 12¢ / ask 16¢) — listed Oct 13, 2026 at 10:40 PM ET

🏛️ Politics — 21 events, 33 markets

Will Trump state that he has fired Lisa Cook? — 4 outcomes — listed Oct 13, 2026 at 11:27 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 36¢ / ask 89¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 36¢ / ask 56¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 21¢ / ask 46¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 36¢ / ask 74¢

When will Katie Zacharia deliver her next White House briefing? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Oct 27, 2026	bid 27¢ / ask 96¢
Before Oct 20, 2026	bid 26¢ / ask 96¢
Before Nov 3, 2026	bid 36¢ / ask 96¢

Will another state enact a data center moratorium? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:22 AM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 63¢ / ask 71¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 71¢ / ask 79¢

When will NCAA settlement back-pay payments begin? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 4:28 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2029	bid 13¢ (no asks)
Before Jan 1, 2028	—

When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 21¢ / ask 30¢
Before Sep 1, 2027	bid 71¢ / ask 80¢

Will Trump visit the Pentagon again? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:18 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 20¢ / ask 30¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 40¢ / ask 50¢

Will Trump visit Trump Tower again in 2026? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:19 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 7¢ / ask 17¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 39¢ / ask 49¢

Will any state enact a data center moratorium law? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:16 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 55¢ / ask 65¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 85¢ / ask 95¢

Will Trump talk to Obama in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 6:05 PM ET

Will women get a bigger share of NCAA settlement back pay?: Before Jan 1, 2030 (ask 93¢ (no bids)) — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 4:28 PM ET

Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 40¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET

Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 19¢ / ask 28¢) — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET

When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?: Before Dec 1, 2026 (bid 41¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:20 AM ET

Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch?: Before Dec 1, 2026 (bid 40¢ / ask 49¢) — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:18 AM ET

Will Trump visit the U.S. Capitol again?: Before Feb 1, 2027 (bid 13¢ / ask 23¢) — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:18 AM ET

When will FISA be reauthorized again?: Before Dec 1, 2026 (bid 16¢ / ask 22¢) — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:17 AM ET

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?: Before Oct 1, 2027 (bid 49¢ / ask 59¢) — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:16 AM ET

Will any GOP member of Congress call for the 25th Amendment on Trump?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 15¢ / ask 24¢) — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:16 AM ET

When will the debt limit be increased?: Before Nov 1, 2027 (bid 66¢ / ask 75¢) — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:16 AM ET

How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?: Above 17% (bid 43¢ / ask 51¢) — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 11:04 AM ET

Will the Committee of Inquiry recommend Lisa Cook's removal?: Before Mar 1, 2027 (bid 39¢ / ask 81¢) — listed Oct 13, 2026 at 11:07 PM ET

💹 Financials — 128 events, 227 markets

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.69% or above	—
5.67% or above	—
5.65% or above	ask 5¢ (no bids)
5.63% or above	ask 8¢ (no bids)
5.61% or above	ask 12¢ (no bids)
5.59% or above	bid 3¢ / ask 19¢
5.57% or above	bid 14¢ / ask 27¢
5.55% or above	bid 23¢ / ask 39¢
5.53% or above	bid 39¢ / ask 51¢
5.51% or above	bid 53¢ / ask 68¢
5.49% or above	bid 65¢ / ask 81¢
5.47% or above	bid 85¢ / ask 92¢
5.45% or above	bid 84¢ / ask 97¢
5.43% or above	bid 86¢ / ask 99¢
5.41% or above	bid 90¢ (no asks)

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.34% or above	last 1¢ (book empty)
5.32% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
5.3% or above	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
5.28% or above	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
5.26% or above	bid 9¢ / ask 16¢
5.24% or above	bid 16¢ / ask 23¢
5.22% or above	bid 15¢ / ask 34¢
5.2% or above	bid 31¢ / ask 46¢
5.18% or above	bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
5.16% or above	bid 73¢ / ask 74¢
5.14% or above	bid 66¢ / ask 84¢
5.12% or above	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
5.1% or above	bid 92¢ / ask 96¢
5.08% or above	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
5.06% or above	bid 95¢ (no asks)

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.24% or above	—
5.22% or above	ask 7¢ (no bids)
5.2% or above	ask 11¢ (no bids)
5.18% or above	bid 3¢ / ask 14¢
5.16% or above	bid 10¢ / ask 19¢
5.14% or above	bid 18¢ / ask 27¢
5.12% or above	bid 29¢ / ask 37¢
5.1% or above	bid 40¢ / ask 47¢
5.08% or above	bid 51¢ / ask 60¢
5.06% or above	bid 63¢ / ask 75¢
5.04% or above	bid 73¢ / ask 86¢
5.02% or above	bid 81¢ / ask 93¢
5% or above	bid 86¢ / ask 98¢
4.98% or above	bid 89¢ (no asks)
4.96% or above	bid 89¢ (no asks)

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.14% or above	—
5.12% or above	ask 6¢ (no bids)
5.1% or above	ask 10¢ (no bids)
5.08% or above	ask 14¢ (no bids)
5.06% or above	bid 8¢ / ask 21¢
5.04% or above	bid 18¢ / ask 29¢
5.02% or above	bid 29¢ / ask 40¢
5% or above	bid 40¢ / ask 51¢
4.98% or above	bid 52¢ / ask 65¢
4.96% or above	bid 63¢ / ask 79¢
4.94% or above	bid 73¢ / ask 89¢
4.92% or above	bid 81¢ / ask 95¢
4.9% or above	bid 86¢ / ask 99¢
4.88% or above	bid 88¢ (no asks)
4.86% or above	bid 91¢ (no asks)

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
4.94% or above	ask 9¢ (no bids)
4.92% or above	ask 12¢ (no bids)
4.9% or above	ask 17¢ (no bids)
4.88% or above	bid 5¢ / ask 22¢
4.86% or above	bid 9¢ / ask 29¢
4.84% or above	bid 20¢ / ask 39¢
4.82% or above	bid 36¢ / ask 51¢
4.8% or above	bid 47¢ / ask 62¢
4.78% or above	bid 59¢ / ask 74¢
4.76% or above	bid 68¢ / ask 84¢
4.74% or above	bid 76¢ / ask 93¢
4.72% or above	bid 83¢ / ask 98¢
4.7% or above	bid 88¢ / ask 98¢
4.68% or above	bid 92¢ (no asks)
4.66% or above	bid 94¢ (no asks)

Ro Credit Card Spend in October — 6 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 5:01 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 190	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 162	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 134	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 354	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Above 382	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 410	ask 92¢ (no bids)

Eli Lilly Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 14, 2026 at 6:01 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Kroger Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 6:01 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 95	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 96	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 97	ask 92¢ (no bids)

BP Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 124	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 130	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 136	ask 92¢ (no bids)

Domino's Foot Traffic in October — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 14, 2026 at 5:01 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Dollar General Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 121	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 128	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 135	ask 92¢ (no bids)

Chick-fil-a Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 94	bid 20¢ / ask 99¢
Above 90	—
Above 86	—

Temu Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 187	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 213	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 239	ask 90¢ (no bids)

Shein Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 115	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 123	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 131	ask 92¢ (no bids)

Hims Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Target Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 1:01 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 111	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 114	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 117	ask 92¢ (no bids)

Chipotle Foot Traffic in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 14, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 98	bid 86¢ / ask 90¢
Above 95	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above 92	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢

Rocket Lab vehicles launched in fiscal 2026 — 3 brackets — listed Oct 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 24	bid 57¢ / ask 67¢
Above 23	bid 73¢ / ask 83¢
Above 22	bid 84¢ / ask 94¢

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 13, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.42322 (bid 27¢ / ask 28¢) — listed Oct 13, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 13, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 0.69740 (bid 50¢ / ask 52¢) — listed Oct 13, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 13, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 158.214 (bid 48¢ / ask 51¢) — listed Oct 13, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 13, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.11631 (bid 75¢ / ask 78¢) — listed Oct 13, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 13, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.31968 (bid 69¢ / ask 71¢) — listed Oct 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

6,439 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	5,033	18	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +15 more
📊 Economics	917	53	Maryland gas price, Illinois gas price, Indiana gas price, +50 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	372	54	Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more
🎬 Entertainment	86	5	Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, Billboard Hot 100 #1, WHICH SONG WILL BE IN THE TOP 10 OF THE BILLBOARD HOT 100 HUNDERED FOR THE WEEK OF DATE , +2 more
🏛️ Politics	31	5	VoteHub GCB, Trump approval rating, Number of Trump Truth Social posts today?, +2 more

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: Dancing with the Stars, Maine Margin, 10Y Treasury Yield — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:16 PM ET, Oct 14)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

📊 Economics — 2 events, 4 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 2 events, 65 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 8 events, 72 markets

🗳️ Elections — 15 events, 66 markets

🏛️ Politics — 21 events, 33 markets

💹 Financials — 128 events, 227 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

Prediction News Network