📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 11 at 8:30 AM ET through Jul 12 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 105 unique markets across 13 new events, plus 274 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Washington DC temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 79° or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 78° or above bid 22¢ / ask 23¢, 77° or above bid 75¢ / ask 76¢
Los Angeles temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 68° or above bid 14¢ / ask 15¢, 66° or above bid 96¢ / ask 97¢, 65° or above bid 96¢ / ask 97¢
Austin temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 82° or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 80° or above bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, 79° or above bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Chicago temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 78° or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 76° or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 74° or above bid 96¢ / ask 97¢
New York City temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 76° or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 75° or above bid 13¢ / ask 14¢, 73° or above bid 85¢ / ask 86¢
Coinbase total trading volume in Q2: Above $160 billion bid 66¢ / ask 89¢, Above $170 billion bid 53¢ / ask 83¢, Above $150 billion bid 64¢ / ask 98¢
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?: Aaron Frey — last 1¢ (book empty)
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Austin temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Austin temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- Chicago temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Chicago temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- Los Angeles temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Los Angeles temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- New York City temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- New York City temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- Washington DC temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Washington DC temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT?
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?: Aaron Frey (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Jul 11, 2026 at 9:58 AM ET
💹 Financials — 2 events, 4 markets
Coinbase total trading volume in Q2 — 3 brackets — listed Jul 11, 2026 at 12:56 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $170 billion | bid 53¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above $160 billion | bid 66¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above $150 billion | bid 64¢ / ask 98¢ |
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 100.9650 — listed Jul 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 10 events, 100 markets
Washington DC temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Los Angeles temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Austin temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Chicago temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
New York City temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Washington DC temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 12, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 81° or above | — |
| 80° or above | — |
| 79° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 78° or above | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
| 77° or above | bid 75¢ / ask 76¢ |
| 76° or above | bid 78¢ / ask 79¢ |
| 75° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 74° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 73° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 72° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Los Angeles temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 12, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 70° or above | — |
| 69° or above | — |
| 68° or above | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 67° or above | bid 52¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 66° or above | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 65° or above | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 64° or above | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 63° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 62° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 61° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Austin temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 12, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 82° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 81° or above | last 8¢ (book empty) |
| 80° or above | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| 79° or above | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 78° or above | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| 77° or above | bid 40¢ / ask 41¢ |
| 76° or above | bid 94¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 75° or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 74° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 73° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Chicago temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 12, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 78° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 77° or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 76° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 75° or above | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| 74° or above | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 73° or above | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 72° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 71° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 70° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 69° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
New York City temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 12, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 79° or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 78° or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 77° or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 76° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 75° or above | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| 74° or above | bid 43¢ / ask 56¢ |
| 73° or above | bid 85¢ / ask 86¢ |
| 72° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 71° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 70° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
🔄 Recurring Markets
274 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 241 | 41 | Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, Lowest Temperature SATX, +38 more |
| 📊 Economics | 33 | 3 | US gas price up, US flight cancellations this week, Hass avocado prices this week |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.