📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 11 at 8:30 AM ET through Jul 12 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 105 unique markets across 13 new events, plus 274 recurring bracket markets.

🗳️ Elections
1 event
1 market
💹 Financials
2 events
4 markets
🌤️ Climate and Weather
10 events
100 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Washington DC temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 79° or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 78° or above bid 22¢ / ask 23¢, 77° or above bid 75¢ / ask 76¢

Los Angeles temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 68° or above bid 14¢ / ask 15¢, 66° or above bid 96¢ / ask 97¢, 65° or above bid 96¢ / ask 97¢

Austin temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 82° or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 80° or above bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, 79° or above bid 8¢ / ask 9¢

Chicago temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 78° or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 76° or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 74° or above bid 96¢ / ask 97¢

New York City temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 76° or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 75° or above bid 13¢ / ask 14¢, 73° or above bid 85¢ / ask 86¢

Coinbase total trading volume in Q2: Above $160 billion bid 66¢ / ask 89¢, Above $170 billion bid 53¢ / ask 83¢, Above $150 billion bid 64¢ / ask 98¢

All New Events

🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?: Aaron Frey (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Jul 11, 2026 at 9:58 AM ET

💹 Financials — 2 events, 4 markets

Coinbase total trading volume in Q2 — 3 brackets — listed Jul 11, 2026 at 12:56 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $170 billionbid 53¢ / ask 83¢
Above $160 billionbid 66¢ / ask 89¢
Above $150 billionbid 64¢ / ask 98¢

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 100.9650 — listed Jul 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 10 events, 100 markets

Washington DC temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

Los Angeles temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

Austin temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

Chicago temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

New York City temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
81° or above
80° or above
79° or abovebid 1¢ / ask 2¢
78° or abovebid 22¢ / ask 23¢
77° or abovebid 75¢ / ask 76¢
76° or abovebid 78¢ / ask 79¢
75° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
74° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
73° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
72° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
70° or above
69° or above
68° or abovebid 14¢ / ask 15¢
67° or abovebid 52¢ / ask 97¢
66° or abovebid 96¢ / ask 97¢
65° or abovebid 96¢ / ask 97¢
64° or abovebid 96¢ / ask 97¢
63° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
62° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
61° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
82° or abovebid 1¢ / ask 2¢
81° or abovelast 8¢ (book empty)
80° or abovebid 6¢ / ask 7¢
79° or abovebid 8¢ / ask 9¢
78° or abovebid 9¢ / ask 10¢
77° or abovebid 40¢ / ask 41¢
76° or abovebid 94¢ / ask 98¢
75° or abovebid 98¢ / ask 99¢
74° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
73° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
78° or abovebid 1¢ / ask 2¢
77° or abovelast 1¢ (book empty)
76° or abovebid 1¢ / ask 2¢
75° or aboveask 8¢ (no bids)
74° or abovebid 96¢ / ask 97¢
73° or abovebid 97¢ / ask 98¢
72° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
71° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
70° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
69° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
79° or abovelast 1¢ (book empty)
78° or abovelast 1¢ (book empty)
77° or abovelast 1¢ (book empty)
76° or abovebid 1¢ / ask 2¢
75° or abovebid 13¢ / ask 14¢
74° or abovebid 43¢ / ask 56¢
73° or abovebid 85¢ / ask 86¢
72° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
71° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
70° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)

🔄 Recurring Markets

274 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.