Kalshi Markets: DC, LA, Austin Temps & SC Senate

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 12 at 8:30 AM ET through Jul 13 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 198 unique markets across 24 new events, plus 3,279 recurring bracket markets.

🎬 Entertainment

1 event

20 markets

🗳️ Elections

2 events

15 markets

🌤️ Climate and Weather

10 events

100 markets

💹 Financials

11 events

63 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Washington DC temperature on Jul 13, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 78° or above bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, 77° or above bid 18¢ / ask 19¢, 75° or above bid 97¢ / ask 98¢

Los Angeles temperature on Jul 13, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 69° or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 68° or above bid 12¢ / ask 13¢, 67° or above bid 74¢ / ask 75¢

Austin temperature on Jul 13, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 81° or above bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, 80° or above bid 27¢ / ask 28¢, 79° or above bid 69¢ / ask 70¢

Chicago temperature on Jul 13, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 79° or above bid 10¢ / ask 11¢, 77° or above bid 26¢ / ask 27¢, 76° or above bid 81¢ / ask 82¢

New York City temperature on Jul 13, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 77° or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 76° or above bid 22¢ / ask 23¢, 75° or above bid 66¢ / ask 67¢

Next Senator from South Carolina?: Russell Fry bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, Pamela Evette bid 50¢ / ask 51¢, Nancy Mace bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?: Russell Fry bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Pamela Evette bid 41¢ / ask 42¢, Nancy Mace bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🎬 Entertainment

Love Island UK S13 · Week 7 elimination

🗳️ Elections

🌤️ Climate and Weather

💹 Financials

All New Events

🎬 Entertainment — 1 event, 20 markets

Love Island UK S13 · Week 7 elimination — 20 outcomes — listed Jul 12, 2026 at 12:25 PM ET

View market options (20 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yasmine	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Tommy	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Simba	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Sean	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Samraj	bid 20¢ / ask 23¢
Priya	bid 24¢ / ask 25¢
Mica	bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Martha	bid 51¢ / ask 52¢
Lorenzo	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Lola	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Kavan	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Julia	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Jordon	bid 33¢ / ask 35¢
Jasmine	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Finley	bid 31¢ / ask 32¢
Ethan	bid 45¢ / ask 46¢
Ellie	bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Elicia	bid 81¢ / ask 82¢
Angelista	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Aidan	bid 24¢ / ask 25¢

🗳️ Elections — 2 events, 15 markets

Next Senator from South Carolina? — 8 outcomes — listed Jul 12, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Russell Fry	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Pamela Evette	bid 50¢ / ask 51¢
Nancy Mace	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Nikki Haley	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Mark Lynch	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Ralph Norman	bid 3¢ / ask 13¢
Scott Bessent	last 1¢ (book empty)
Darline Graham Nordone	bid 6¢ / ask 47¢

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? — 7 outcomes — listed Jul 12, 2026 at 1:17 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Russell Fry	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Pamela Evette	bid 41¢ / ask 42¢
Nancy Mace	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Nikki Haley	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Mark Lynch	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Ralph Norman	bid 14¢ / ask 31¢
Scott Bessent	last 3¢ (book empty)

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 10 events, 100 markets

Washington DC temperature on Jul 13, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 13, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Los Angeles temperature on Jul 13, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 13, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Austin temperature on Jul 13, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 13, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Chicago temperature on Jul 13, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 13, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

New York City temperature on Jul 13, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 13, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Washington DC temperature on Jul 13, 2026 at 9am EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 13, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET