Kalshi Markets: DC Temperature, SC Senate Predictions

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 11 at 6:30 PM ET through Jul 12 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 152 unique markets across 15 new events, plus 268 recurring bracket markets.

💹 Financials

1 event

1 market

🗳️ Elections

2 events

10 markets

🎬 Entertainment

2 events

41 markets

🌤️ Climate and Weather

10 events

100 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Washington DC temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 84° or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 83° or above bid 22¢ / ask 23¢, 82° or above bid 61¢ / ask 62¢

Los Angeles temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 72° or above bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, 71° or above bid 57¢ / ask 58¢, 70° or above bid 68¢ / ask 69¢

Austin temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 93° or above bid 12¢ / ask 13¢, 92° or above bid 69¢ / ask 70¢, 91° or above bid 78¢ / ask 79¢

Chicago temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 85° or above bid 68¢ / ask 69¢, 84° or above bid 94¢ / ask 95¢, 83° or above bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

New York City temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 78° or above bid 49¢ / ask 50¢, 77° or above bid 96¢ / ask 97¢, 76° or above bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

Next Senator from South Carolina?: Pamela Evette bid 49¢ / ask 50¢, Nancy Mace bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Nikki Haley bid 10¢ / ask 11¢

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?: Nancy Mace bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Nikki Haley bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Mark Lynch bid 7¢ / ask 8¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

💹 Financials

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down

🗳️ Elections

🎬 Entertainment

🌤️ Climate and Weather

All New Events

💹 Financials — 1 event, 1 market

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 100.9650 — listed Jul 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

🗳️ Elections — 2 events, 10 markets

Next Senator from South Carolina? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 12, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Russell Fry	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Pamela Evette	bid 49¢ / ask 50¢
Nancy Mace	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Nikki Haley	bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Mark Lynch	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 12, 2026 at 1:17 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Russell Fry	bid 11¢ / ask 17¢
Pamela Evette	bid 48¢ / ask 50¢
Nancy Mace	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Nikki Haley	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Mark Lynch	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢

🎬 Entertainment — 2 events, 41 markets

Love Island UK: Sunday Elimination — 21 outcomes — listed Jul 12, 2026 at 12:22 PM ET

View market options (21 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yasmine	last 1¢ (book empty)
Tommy	last 1¢ (book empty)
Simba	last 1¢ (book empty)
Sean	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Samraj	last 1¢ (book empty)
Priya	last 1¢ (book empty)
None	—
Mica	last 1¢ (book empty)
Martha	last 1¢ (book empty)
Lorenzo	last 1¢ (book empty)
Lola	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Kavan	last 1¢ (book empty)
Julia	last 1¢ (book empty)
Jordon	last 1¢ (book empty)
Jasmine	last 1¢ (book empty)
Finley	last 1¢ (book empty)
Ethan	last 1¢ (book empty)
Ellie	last 1¢ (book empty)
Elicia	last 1¢ (book empty)
Angelista	last 1¢ (book empty)
Aidan	last 1¢ (book empty)

Love Island UK S13 · Week 7 elimination — 20 outcomes — listed Jul 12, 2026 at 12:25 PM ET

View market options (20 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yasmine	bid 18¢ / ask 19¢
Tommy	bid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Simba	bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Sean	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Samraj	bid 37¢ / ask 38¢
Priya	bid 33¢ / ask 34¢
Mica	bid 37¢ / ask 39¢
Martha	bid 40¢ / ask 41¢
Lorenzo	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Lola	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Kavan	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Julia	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Jordon	bid 26¢ / ask 27¢
Jasmine	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Finley	bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Ethan	bid 45¢ / ask 47¢
Ellie	bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Elicia	bid 45¢ / ask 46¢
Angelista	bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Aidan	bid 23¢ / ask 25¢

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 10 events, 100 markets

Washington DC temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Los Angeles temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Austin temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Chicago temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

New York City temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Washington DC temperature on Jul 12, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET