Kalshi Markets: Democratic VP, NVIDIA CEO, USD/CAD

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Nov 11 at 6:30 PM ET through Nov 12 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 513 unique markets across 201 new events, plus 5,840 recurring bracket markets.

🏢 Companies

1 event

11 markets

🌤️ Climate and Weather

3 events

11 markets

🗳️ Elections

9 events

21 markets

🏛️ Politics

9 events

23 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

12 events

108 markets

🎬 Entertainment

17 events

140 markets

💹 Financials

150 events

199 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

2028 Democratic VP nominee: Chris Van Hollen — bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Who will be the next CEO of NVIDIA?: Jensen Huang bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Nikesh Arora bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Johny Srouji bid 10¢ / ask 11¢

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.42588 — bid 67¢ / ask 68¢

Will Jensen Huang be seen in public before Nov 13?: Before Nov 13, 2026 — bid 6¢ / ask 7¢

When will NVIDIA announce its next permanent CEO?: Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 25¢ / ask 26¢, Before Feb 1, 2027 bid 59¢ / ask 60¢, Before Dec 16, 2026 bid 14¢ / ask 15¢

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 0.68062 — bid 38¢ / ask 40¢

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 159.865 — bid 47¢ / ask 49¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🏢 Companies

Where will Jensen Huang work next in 2026?

🌤️ Climate and Weather

🗳️ Elections

🏛️ Politics

🔬 Science and Technology

🎬 Entertainment

💹 Financials

All New Events

🏢 Companies — 1 event, 11 markets

Where will Jensen Huang work next in 2026? — 11 outcomes — listed Nov 11, 2026 at 6:33 PM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
TSMC	last 3¢ (book empty)
Tesla	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
SpaceX / xAI	bid 6¢ / ask 9¢
OpenAI	last 2¢ (book empty)
Microsoft	—
Meta	—
Intel	last 3¢ (book empty)
AMD	last 3¢ (book empty)
Apple	last 4¢ (book empty)
SoftBank	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Oracle	last 3¢ (book empty)

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 3 events, 11 markets

How much will it rain in Great Falls, MT in March–April 2027? — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 11, 2026 at 9:21 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

How much will it rain in Great Falls, MT in May–June 2027? — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 11, 2026 at 9:17 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Atlanta days with 0.1+ inches of snow (Dec 1, 2026–Apr 1, 2027): Higher snow-day count — listed Nov 12, 2026 at 6:19 PM ET

🗳️ Elections — 9 events, 21 markets

AOC 2028 run × Mamdani endorsement — 12 outcomes — listed Nov 11, 2026 at 7:47 PM ET

View market options (12 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
AOC runs, Mamdani doesn't endorse her	bid 6¢ / ask 15¢
AOC runs, Mamdani endorses her	bid 55¢ / ask 65¢
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Sara Nelson	ask 6¢ (no bids)
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Shawn Fain	ask 6¢ (no bids)
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Ro Khanna	ask 10¢ (no bids)
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Pete Buttigieg	ask 5¢ (no bids)
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses no one else	bid 8¢ / ask 18¢
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Kamala Harris	ask 5¢ (no bids)
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Jon Ossoff	ask 6¢ (no bids)
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Gavin Newsom	ask 5¢ (no bids)
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Bernie Sanders	ask 6¢ (no bids)
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Abdul El-Sayed	ask 6¢ (no bids)

Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 2 outcomes — listed Nov 12, 2026 at 3:29 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Mike Pence	bid 16¢ / ask 25¢
Don Bacon	bid 16¢ / ask 25¢

Indianapolis Democratic mayoral nominee?: Ryan Mears (bid 4¢ / ask 24¢) — listed Nov 12, 2026 at 5:08 PM ET

Turkish general election winner?: Yeni Parti — listed Nov 12, 2026 at 5:08 PM ET

Next South Korea Presidential election winner?: Song Young-gil — listed Nov 12, 2026 at 5:07 PM ET

Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?: Hendrik Wüst — listed Nov 12, 2026 at 5:07 PM ET

Who will be the next Speaker of the House?: Ayanna Pressley (bid 2¢ / ask 6¢) — listed Nov 12, 2026 at 1:58 PM ET

New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028?: Brad Lander (bid 1¢ / ask 6¢) — listed Nov 12, 2026 at 1:55 PM ET

2028 Democratic VP nominee: Chris Van Hollen (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — listed Nov 12, 2026 at 1:55 PM ET

🏛️ Politics — 9 events, 23 markets

How many days will Trump golf in Nov 2026? — 8 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 12, 2026 at 11:50 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

When will Trump and Kim Jong Un meet in person? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 12, 2026 at 6:23 PM ET

Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2029, Before Jan 1, 2028, Before Jul 1, 2027, Before Jan 1, 2027

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — 4 outcomes — listed Nov 12, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 43¢ / ask 58¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 40¢ / ask 74¢
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 45¢ / ask 85¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 46¢ / ask 88¢

Will John Williams be out as President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 12, 2026 at 6:22 PM ET

Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2028, Before Jul 1, 2027

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Will Texas approve Hinojosa's $1,500 checks before 2028?: Yes — listed Nov 12, 2026 at 6:22 PM ET

Will the House pass a bill lowering the Medicare age?: Yes — listed Nov 12, 2026 at 6:22 PM ET

Will Israel enact term limits for its prime minister?: Yes — listed Nov 12, 2026 at 6:22 PM ET

Will the Senate pass the Epstein Files Transparency Act II?: Yes — listed Nov 12, 2026 at 6:22 PM ET

Will Jensen Huang testify in front of Congress?: Before Dec 2026 (bid 72¢ / ask 77¢) — listed Nov 11, 2026 at 6:31 PM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 12 events, 108 markets

Open source share of spend on Nov 16, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 12, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 16, 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 12, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Google share of spend on Nov 16, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Nov 12, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET