Kalshi Markets: Diesel Prices, FL-23 Nominee, EV Commodities

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 17 at 8:30 AM ET through Aug 18 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 859 unique markets across 89 new events, plus 4,109 recurring bracket markets.

🌤️ Climate and Weather

1 event

1 market

🎬 Entertainment

5 events

47 markets

🗳️ Elections

8 events

13 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

10 events

56 markets

💹 Financials

18 events

574 markets

🏛️ Politics

20 events

50 markets

📊 Economics

27 events

118 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $5.440, Above $5.435, Above $5.430 all at bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

FL-23 Democratic nominee?: Mark Piper — bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

EV commodity prices on Aug 18, 2026: Above 1278.56 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 1198.56 bid 73¢ / ask 99¢, Above 1208.56 bid 70¢ / ask 98¢

Will White House ballroom construction be halted?: Yes — bid 32¢ / ask 33¢

West Virginia total coal production in 2026: Above 78 million short tons bid 61¢ / ask 62¢, Above 76 million short tons bid 76¢ / ask 77¢, Above 80 million short tons bid 22¢ / ask 28¢

Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?: Above 90% — bid 39¢ / ask 40¢

Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026: Above 455,000 jobs bid 37¢ / ask 38¢, Above 452,500 jobs bid 69¢ / ask 70¢, Above 457,500 jobs bid 23¢ / ask 26¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🌤️ Climate and Weather

Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina this year?

🎬 Entertainment

🗳️ Elections

🔬 Science and Technology

💹 Financials

🏛️ Politics

📊 Economics

All New Events

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 1 event, 1 market

Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina this year?: 2026 (bid 7¢ / ask 43¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 10:15 PM ET

🎬 Entertainment — 5 events, 47 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 19, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: เพราะพี่รักจริง, Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026, Tera Mera Rishta, Sunflower, Shararat, Sebebi Yar, Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KALYANI (Remix), Jaiye Sajana, Golden, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat, Barbaadi

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 19, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 19, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026, Sunflower, Reap What You Sow, Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, Janice STFU, ICONIC BY MISTAKE, Golden, Ghetto Love Story, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, Big Guy, Be My Friend (The Verity Band), Beat It

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Oscar nominees: Best Music (Original Score): Behemoth! (bid 71¢ / ask 76¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 10:36 AM ET

Oscar Winner: Best Director: Olivia Wilde (bid 1¢ / ask 3¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 10:35 AM ET

🗳️ Elections — 8 events, 13 markets

Will Dan Bilzerian concede? — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 1:25 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Sep 1, 2026	bid 78¢ / ask 79¢
Before Aug 20, 2026	bid 61¢ / ask 62¢
Before Aug 19, 2026	bid 54¢ / ask 55¢

Will James Fishback concede? — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 1:24 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Sep 1, 2026	bid 88¢ / ask 89¢
Before Aug 20, 2026	bid 82¢ / ask 83¢
Before Aug 19, 2026	bid 75¢ / ask 76¢

DE-AL Republican nominee? — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 10:35 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Joseph Arminio	bid 7¢ / ask 14¢
John J. Whalen III	bid 7¢ / ask 14¢

FL-24 Democratic nominee?: Kendrick Meek (bid 1¢ / ask 3¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 8:12 PM ET

FL-22 Democratic nominee?: Kaysia Earley (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 8:12 PM ET

FL-23 Democratic nominee?: Mark Piper (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 8:11 PM ET

FL-25 Republican nominee?: Raven Harrison (bid 2¢ / ask 7¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 8:11 PM ET

Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?: Yes (bid 89¢ / ask 91¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 7:50 PM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 10 events, 56 markets

Total space launches in August — 8 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 7:44 PM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 20	bid 1¢ / ask 39¢
Above 19	bid 1¢ / ask 39¢
Above 18	bid 1¢ / ask 39¢
Above 17	bid 4¢ / ask 40¢
Above 16	bid 19¢ / ask 69¢
Above 15	bid 34¢ / ask 84¢
Above 14	bid 51¢ / ask 97¢
Above 13	bid 61¢ / ask 99¢

Most popular AI this week — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 4:52 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Z.ai	bid 1¢ / ask 34¢
Xiaomi	bid 3¢ / ask 74¢
Tencent	bid 2¢ / ask 69¢
OpenAI	bid 1¢ / ask 17¢
Google	bid 1¢ / ask 26¢
DeepSeek	bid 26¢ / ask 92¢
Anthropic	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢

Number of data centers in Pennsylvania this year? — 6 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 10:18 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 205	bid 7¢ / ask 57¢
At least 200	bid 17¢ / ask 67¢
At least 195	bid 29¢ / ask 79¢
At least 190	bid 41¢ / ask 91¢
At least 185	bid 47¢ / ask 97¢
At least 180	bid 49¢ / ask 99¢

Xiaomi market share this week — 5 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 6:33 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 4.0%	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
Above 3.5%	bid 56¢ / ask 64¢
Above 3.0%	bid 71¢ / ask 79¢
Above 2.5%	bid 79¢ / ask 87¢
Above 2.0%	bid 85¢ / ask 93¢

Tencent market share this week — 5 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 6:33 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 4.5%	bid 2¢ / ask 8¢
Above 4.0%	bid 11¢ / ask 17¢
Above 3.5%	bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
Above 3.0%	bid 71¢ / ask 79¢
Above 2.5%	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢

Anthropic market share this week — 5 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 6:32 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 5.0%	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Above 4.5%	bid 7¢ / ask 13¢
Above 4.0%	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
Above 3.5%	bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
Above 3.0%	bid 86¢ / ask 91¢

Qwen market share this week — 5 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 6:32 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 6.3%	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Above 5.8%	bid 16¢ / ask 25¢
Above 5.3%	bid 56¢ / ask 64¢
Above 4.8%	bid 86¢ / ask 93¢
Above 4.3%	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢

OpenAI market share this week — 5 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 6:31 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 20%	bid 2¢ / ask 10¢
Above 19%	bid 9¢ / ask 17¢
Above 18%	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
Above 17%	bid 56¢ / ask 64¢
Above 16%	bid 78¢ / ask 86¢

Gemini market share this week — 5 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 26%	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Above 25%	bid 7¢ / ask 15¢
Above 24%	bid 16¢ / ask 24¢
Above 23%	bid 56¢ / ask 64¢
Above 22%	bid 79¢ / ask 81¢

DeepSeek market share this week — 5 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 6:29 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 31%	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Above 29%	bid 4¢ / ask 12¢
Above 27%	bid 27¢ / ask 34¢
Above 25%	bid 76¢ / ask 83¢
Above 23%	bid 89¢ / ask 97¢

💹 Financials — 18 events, 574 markets

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 18, 2026 at 4pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $53,595	bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,590	bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,585	bid 23¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,580	bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,575	bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,570	bid 25¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,565	bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,560	bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,555	bid 27¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,550	bid 28¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,545	bid 28¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,540	bid 29¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,535	bid 30¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,530	bid 35¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,525	bid 35¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,520	bid 35¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,515	bid 35¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,510	bid 35¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,505	bid 36¢ / ask 56¢
At least $53,500	bid 36¢ / ask 56¢
At least $53,495	bid 37¢ / ask 57¢
At least $53,490	bid 38¢ / ask 58¢
At least $53,485	bid 38¢ / ask 58¢
At least $53,480	bid 39¢ / ask 59¢
At least $53,475	bid 40¢ / ask 60¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 18, 2026 at 3pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $53,595	bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,590	bid 23¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,585	bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,580	bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,575	bid 25¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,570	bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,565	bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,560	bid 27¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,555	bid 28¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,550	bid 28¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,545	bid 29¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,540	bid 30¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,535	bid 30¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,530	bid 31¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,525	bid 32¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,520	bid 32¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,515	bid 33¢ / ask 53¢
At least $53,510	bid 34¢ / ask 54¢
At least $53,505	bid 34¢ / ask 54¢
At least $53,500	bid 35¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,495	bid 36¢ / ask 56¢
At least $53,490	bid 37¢ / ask 57¢
At least $53,485	bid 37¢ / ask 57¢
At least $53,480	bid 38¢ / ask 58¢
At least $53,475	bid 39¢ / ask 59¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 18, 2026 at 2pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $53,595	bid 19¢ / ask 39¢
At least $53,590	bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,585	bid 23¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,580	bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,575	bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,570	bid 25¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,565	bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,560	bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,555	bid 27¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,550	bid 28¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,545	bid 28¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,540	bid 29¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,535	bid 30¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,530	bid 31¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,525	bid 31¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,520	bid 32¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,515	bid 33¢ / ask 53¢
At least $53,510	bid 34¢ / ask 54¢
At least $53,505	bid 34¢ / ask 54¢
At least $53,500	bid 35¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,495	bid 36¢ / ask 56¢
At least $53,490	bid 37¢ / ask 57¢
At least $53,485	bid 37¢ / ask 57¢
At least $53,480	bid 38¢ / ask 58¢
At least $53,475	bid 39¢ / ask 59¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 18, 2026 at 1pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $53,595	bid 18¢ / ask 38¢
At least $53,590	bid 21¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,585	bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,580	bid 23¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,575	bid 23¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,570	bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,565	bid 25¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,560	bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,555	bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,550	bid 27¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,545	bid 28¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,540	bid 29¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,535	bid 29¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,530	bid 30¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,525	bid 31¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,520	bid 32¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,515	bid 32¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,510	bid 33¢ / ask 53¢
At least $53,505	bid 34¢ / ask 54¢
At least $53,500	bid 35¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,495	bid 36¢ / ask 56¢
At least $53,490	bid 36¢ / ask 56¢
At least $53,485	bid 37¢ / ask 57¢
At least $53,480	bid 38¢ / ask 58¢
At least $53,475	bid 39¢ / ask 59¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 18, 2026 at 12pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $53,595	bid 18¢ / ask 38¢
At least $53,590	bid 21¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,585	bid 21¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,580	bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,575	bid 23¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,570	bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,565	bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,560	bid 25¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,555	bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,550	bid 27¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,545	bid 27¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,540	bid 28¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,535	bid 29¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,530	bid 30¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,525	bid 31¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,520	bid 31¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,515	bid 32¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,510	bid 33¢ / ask 53¢
At least $53,505	bid 34¢ / ask 54¢
At least $53,500	bid 35¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,495	bid 35¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,490	bid 36¢ / ask 56¢
At least $53,485	bid 37¢ / ask 57¢
At least $53,480	bid 38¢ / ask 58¢
At least $53,475	bid 39¢ / ask 59¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 18, 2026 at 11am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $53,595	bid 18¢ / ask 38¢
At least $53,590	bid 19¢ / ask 39¢
At least $53,585	bid 20¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,580	bid 21¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,575	bid 21¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,570	bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,565	bid 23¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,560	bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,555	bid 25¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,550	bid 25¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,545	bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,540	bid 27¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,535	bid 28¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,530	bid 29¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,525	bid 30¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,520	bid 31¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,515	bid 31¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,510	bid 32¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,505	bid 33¢ / ask 53¢
At least $53,500	bid 34¢ / ask 54¢
At least $53,495	bid 35¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,490	bid 36¢ / ask 56¢
At least $53,485	bid 37¢ / ask 57¢
At least $53,480	bid 38¢ / ask 58¢
At least $53,475	bid 39¢ / ask 59¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 18, 2026 at 10am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $53,595	bid 6¢ / ask 26¢
At least $53,590	bid 6¢ / ask 26¢
At least $53,585	bid 6¢ / ask 26¢
At least $53,580	bid 6¢ / ask 26¢
At least $53,575	bid 16¢ / ask 36¢
At least $53,570	bid 17¢ / ask 37¢
At least $53,565	bid 18¢ / ask 38¢
At least $53,560	bid 19¢ / ask 39¢
At least $53,555	bid 20¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,550	bid 21¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,545	bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,540	bid 23¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,535	bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,530	bid 25¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,525	bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,520	bid 27¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,515	bid 32¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,510	bid 33¢ / ask 53¢
At least $53,505	bid 34¢ / ask 54¢
At least $53,500	bid 35¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,495	bid 36¢ / ask 56¢
At least $53,490	bid 37¢ / ask 57¢
At least $53,485	bid 38¢ / ask 58¢
At least $53,480	bid 39¢ / ask 59¢
At least $53,475	bid 40¢ / ask 60¢

+ 35 more

S&P 2027 year end price range — 32 outcomes — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 10:31 AM ET

View market options (25 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
4,599.99 or below	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
10,600.0001 or above	bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
9,800 to 9,999.99	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
9,600 to 9,799.99	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
9,400 to 9,599.99	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
9,200 to 9,399.99	bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
9,000 to 9,199.99	bid 4¢ / ask 8¢
8,800 to 8,999.99	bid 4¢ / ask 7¢
8,600 to 8,799.99	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
8,400 to 8,599.99	bid 4¢ / ask 8¢
8,200 to 8,399.99	bid 4¢ / ask 9¢
8,000 to 8,199.99	bid 4¢ / ask 6¢
7,800 to 7,999.99	bid 4¢ / ask 6¢
7,600 to 7,799.99	bid 4¢ / ask 7¢
7,400 to 7,599.99	bid 4¢ / ask 7¢
7,200 to 7,399.99	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
7,000 to 7,199.99	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
6,800 to 6,999.99	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
6,600 to 6,799.99	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
6,400 to 6,599.99	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
6,200 to 6,399.99	ask 5¢ (no bids)
6,000 to 6,199.99	—
5,800 to 5,999.99	—
5,600 to 5,799.99	—
5,400 to 5,599.99	—

+ 7 more outcomes

EURUSD price on Aug 21 at 5:00 PM EDT — 20 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 9:25 AM ET

View market strikes (20 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1.177	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1.175	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1.173	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1.171	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1.169	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 1.167	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 1.165	bid 3¢ / ask 10¢
Above 1.163	bid 10¢ / ask 16¢
Above 1.161	bid 27¢ / ask 30¢
Above 1.159	bid 35¢ / ask 40¢
Above 1.157	bid 50¢ / ask 55¢
Above 1.155	bid 68¢ / ask 74¢
Above 1.153	bid 81¢ / ask 85¢
Above 1.151	bid 90¢ / ask 93¢
Above 1.149	bid 93¢ / ask 96¢
Above 1.147	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1.145	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1.143	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1.141	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1.139	bid 99¢ (no asks)

S&P 2027 year end price — 17 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 10:37 AM ET

View market strikes (17 brackets)

Bracket	Price
9,800 or above	bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
9,600 or above	bid 16¢ / ask 17¢
9,400 or above	bid 20¢ / ask 21¢
9,200 or above	bid 25¢ / ask 26¢
9,000 or above	bid 29¢ / ask 30¢
8,800 or above	bid 29¢ / ask 36¢
8,600 or above	bid 36¢ / ask 42¢
8,400 or above	bid 48¢ / ask 49¢
8,200 or above	bid 50¢ / ask 51¢
8,000 or above	bid 52¢ / ask 53¢
7,800 or above	bid 61¢ / ask 62¢
7,600 or above	bid 65¢ / ask 66¢
7,400 or above	bid 68¢ / ask 70¢
7,200 or above	bid 71¢ / ask 72¢
7,000 or above	bid 74¢ / ask 75¢
10,200 or above	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
10,000 or above	bid 10¢ / ask 11¢

30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 19, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 18, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 19, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 18, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 19, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 18, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 19, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 18, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 19, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 18, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Extreme Greed	bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Extreme Fear	bid 13¢ / ask 17¢
Neutral	bid 22¢ / ask 24¢
Greed	bid 20¢ / ask 21¢
Fear	bid 22¢ / ask 23¢

CAVA total restaurants in Q3 — 3 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 496	ask 74¢ (no bids)
Above 498	—
Above 500	—

Instacart App Downloads in August — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 17, 2026 at 11:07 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

🏛️ Politics — 20 events, 50 markets

Trump's approval rating on Aug 18, 2026? — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Above 39.5	ask 5¢ (no bids)
39.5	last 1¢ (book empty)
39.4	ask 75¢ (no bids)
39.3	bid 3¢ / ask 17¢
39.2	bid 15¢ / ask 35¢
39.1	bid 21¢ / ask 46¢
39.0	bid 5¢ / ask 36¢
38.9	bid 6¢ / ask 15¢
Below 38.9	bid 5¢ / ask 10¢

How many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 2:52 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 40,000	bid 2¢ / ask 8¢
Above 37,500	bid 7¢ / ask 13¢
Above 35,000	bid 12¢ / ask 18¢
Above 32,500	bid 42¢ / ask 48¢
Above 30,000	bid 64¢ / ask 70¢
Above 27,500	bid 75¢ / ask 81¢
Above 25,000	bid 86¢ / ask 92¢

How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027? — 7 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 900	bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
Above 800	bid 78¢ / ask 82¢
Above 700	bid 88¢ / ask 92¢
Above 600	bid 89¢ / ask 97¢
Above 500	bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1,100	bid 11¢ / ask 19¢
Above 1,000	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢

What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026? — 5 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 3:33 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 4.5 million	bid 2¢ / ask 49¢
Above 4.4 million	bid 14¢ / ask 60¢
Above 4.3 million	bid 53¢ / ask 87¢
Above 4.2 million	bid 63¢ / ask 97¢
Above 4.1 million	bid 73¢ / ask 98¢

When will the US House censure another member? — 4 outcomes — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 7:42 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Oct 2026	bid 41¢ / ask 48¢
Before Nov 2026	bid 51¢ / ask 78¢
Before Jan 2027	bid 57¢ / ask 78¢
Before Dec 2026	bid 54¢ / ask 78¢

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced? — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 6:56 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Sep 8, 2026	bid 49¢ / ask 54¢
Before Sep 15, 2026	bid 53¢ / ask 58¢
Before Oct 1, 2026	bid 66¢ / ask 73¢

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Kush Desai	last 1¢ (book empty)
Margo Martin	last 3¢ (book empty)

Will an Atlantic Shores offshore wind lease be terminated?: Yes (bid 37¢ / ask 87¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 7:56 PM ET

Will White House ballroom construction be halted?: Yes (bid 32¢ / ask 33¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 7:27 PM ET

Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year?: Yes (bid 17¢ / ask 19¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 7:06 PM ET

Will Virginia regulators approve the Dominion-NextEra merger?: Yes (bid 71¢ / ask 79¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 4:07 PM ET

Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?: Above 90% (bid 39¢ / ask 40¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET

Will NU sell $250M in bonds for the Big Red Rebuild?: Yes (bid 60¢ / ask 76¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET

Will Maryland award the Key Bridge main span contract by summer 2027?: Yes (bid 88¢ / ask 92¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 2:49 PM ET

Will Maryland approve the Camden Yards ground lease before 2028?: Yes (bid 17¢ / ask 33¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 2:44 PM ET

Will Maine approve contracts for the northern Maine wind and transmission project?: Yes (bid 33¢ / ask 40¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 2:43 PM ET

Will the Chiefs' Kansas stadium deal become binding in 2026?: Yes (bid 26¢ / ask 44¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET

Will HART push back Skyline's 2031 opening date?: Yes (bid 18¢ / ask 64¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 2:26 PM ET

Will Georgia regulators approve 4 more gigawatts of generating capacity?: Yes (bid 82¢ / ask 88¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 2:18 PM ET

Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?: Yes (bid 62¢ / ask 66¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 2:06 PM ET

📊 Economics — 27 events, 118 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $5.520	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $5.515	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Above $5.510	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Above $5.505	—
Above $5.500	—
Above $5.495	—
Above $5.490	—
Above $5.485	—
Above $5.480	bid 30¢ / ask 98¢
Above $5.475	bid 40¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.470	bid 75¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.465	bid 75¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.460	bid 60¢ (no asks)
Above $5.455	bid 60¢ (no asks)
Above $5.450	bid 60¢ (no asks)
Above $5.445	bid 60¢ (no asks)
Above $5.440	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.435	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.430	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.425	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $5.420	bid 99¢ (no asks)

EV commodity prices on Aug 18, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1308.56	ask 41¢ (no bids)
Above 1298.56	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1288.56	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1278.56	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1268.56	bid 2¢ / ask 44¢
Above 1258.56	bid 2¢ / ask 54¢
Above 1248.56	bid 6¢ / ask 66¢
Above 1238.56	bid 23¢ / ask 70¢
Above 1228.56	bid 26¢ / ask 88¢
Above 1218.56	bid 56¢ / ask 97¢
Above 1208.56	bid 70¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1198.56	bid 73¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1188.56	bid 62¢ (no asks)
Above 1178.56	bid 62¢ (no asks)
Above 1168.56	bid 62¢ (no asks)

US SPR level for the week ending August 14, 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 12:36 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 298M	—
Above 297M	—
Above 296M	—
Above 295M	—
Above 294M	—
Above 293M	bid 92¢ / ask 99¢
Above 292M	bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
Above 291M	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Above 290M	bid 95¢ (no asks)

Vermont maple syrup production in 2027 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 7:26 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 3.3 million gallons	bid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Above 3.2 million gallons	bid 21¢ / ask 29¢
Above 3.1 million gallons	bid 44¢ / ask 51¢
Above 3.0 million gallons	bid 67¢ / ask 72¢
Above 2.9 million gallons	bid 82¢ / ask 88¢

South Carolina ports total container volume in 2026 — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 17, 2026 at 10:23 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

South Dakota corn yield in 2026 — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 17, 2026 at 10:22 PM ET

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Texas crude oil production in 2026 — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 17, 2026 at 10:22 PM ET

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How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026? — 4 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 8:38 PM ET