📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 22 at 6:30 PM ET through Aug 23 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 128 unique markets across 12 new events, plus 450 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $5.635 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $5.565 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above $5.590 bid 65¢ / ask 99¢
When will the House leave for its pre-election recess?: Before Sep 4, 2026 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Before Nov 4, 2026 bid 94¢ / ask 95¢, Before Sep 18, 2026 bid 3¢ / ask 7¢
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?: Ted Lieu, Tom Emmer, Pete Aguilar all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
When will AP call the South Carolina Senate runoff?: Before 8AM Aug 26 bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, Before 2AM Aug 26 bid 94¢ / ask 98¢, Before Aug 26 bid 88¢ / ask 94¢
Trump's approval rating on Aug 24, 2026?: 39.7 bid 2¢ / ask 4¢, 39.3 bid 2¢ / ask 4¢, 39.8 bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?: Matt Schultz bid 92¢ / ask 98¢, Tom Begich bid 42¢ / ask 50¢, Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. bid 5¢ / ask 40¢
Next DCCC chair?: Sharice Davids bid 2¢ / ask 10¢, Lauren Underwood bid 2¢ / ask 10¢, Morgan McGarvey bid 7¢ / ask 16¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 24, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 24, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 24, 2026
- Next DCCC chair?
- Trump's approval rating on Aug 24, 2026?
- When will the House leave for its pre-election recess?
All New Events
📊 Economics — 2 events, 31 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.655 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.650 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.645 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.640 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.635 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $5.630 | bid 4¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above $5.625 | bid 7¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Above $5.620 | bid 9¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above $5.615 | bid 11¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above $5.610 | bid 17¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above $5.605 | bid 31¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above $5.600 | bid 44¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above $5.595 | bid 52¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.590 | bid 65¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.585 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.580 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.575 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.570 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.565 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.560 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.555 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Diesel prices this week — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 23, 2026 at 7:20 AM ET
🏛️ Politics — 3 events, 23 markets
Trump's approval rating on Aug 24, 2026? — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 23, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 39.8 | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 39.8 | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 39.7 | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 39.6 | bid 9¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 39.5 | bid 42¢ / ask 48¢ |
| 39.4 | bid 27¢ / ask 34¢ |
| 39.3 | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 39.2 | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Below 39.2 | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
Next DCCC chair? — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 23, 2026 at 3:54 AM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Ted Lieu | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Sharice Davids | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Morgan McGarvey | bid 7¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Lauren Underwood | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Lizzie Fletcher | bid 7¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Jamie Raskin | bid 7¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Jason Crow | bid 7¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Greg Stanton | bid 7¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Ami Bera | bid 7¢ / ask 16¢ |
When will the House leave for its pre-election recess? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 23, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 26, 2026 | bid 12¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Before Sep 18, 2026 | bid 3¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Before Sep 4, 2026 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Before Oct 2, 2026 | bid 82¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Before Nov 4, 2026 | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 24, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 23, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| เพราะพี่รักจริง | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tera Mera Rishta | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Sunflower | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | — |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| BIGBANG - ‘BiiiG’ M/V | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barsaat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 24, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 23, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| เพราะพี่รักจริง | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tera Mera Rishta | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sunflower | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | bid 1¢ / ask 49¢ |
| KALYANI (Remix) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| BIGBANG - ‘BiiiG’ M/V | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barsaat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 24, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 23, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tom Cruise vs Evel Knievel. Epic Rap Battles Of History | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026 | ask 50¢ (no bids) |
| Sunflower | ask 89¢ (no bids) |
| Sam Smith - Big Girls Don’t Cry (Fergie Cover) (Live) - Spotify Live Room | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Pooh Shiesty - Reap What You Sow [Official Audio] | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | — |
| Janice STFU | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| ICONIC BY MISTAKE | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| ENHYPEN (엔하이픈) 'Bloody Paradise' Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dead Fresh | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Choosin' Texas | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
🗳️ Elections — 4 events, 29 markets
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress? — 13 outcomes — listed Aug 23, 2026 at 3:57 AM ET
View market options (13 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Ted Lieu | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Tom Emmer | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Steve Scalise | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Pete Aguilar | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Mike Lawler | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Mike Johnson | bid 56¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Lisa McClain | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Katherine Clark | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Jay Obernolte | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Joe Neguse | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Jim Jordan | bid 26¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Hakeem Jeffries | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
When will AP call the South Carolina Senate runoff? — 8 outcomes — listed Aug 23, 2026 at 3:55 AM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before 8AM Aug 26 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Before 2AM Aug 26 | bid 94¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Before Aug 26 | bid 88¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Before 9PM Aug 25 | bid 73¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Before 8PM Aug 25 | bid 38¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Before 7:30PM Aug 25 | bid 12¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Before 7:15PM Aug 25 | bid 4¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Before 10PM Aug 25 | bid 84¢ / ask 90¢ |
Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026? — 6 outcomes — listed Aug 23, 2026 at 3:57 AM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tom Begich | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Matt Schultz | bid 92¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | bid 17¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. | bid 5¢ / ask 40¢ |
| David B. Leslie | bid 5¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Dave Bronson | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
Missouri State Senate District 8 winner? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 23, 2026 at 5:33 PM ET
Tracking: Keri Ingle, Jon Patterson
🔄 Recurring Markets
450 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 382 | 49 | Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +46 more |
| 📊 Economics | 43 | 3 | TX gas price, US gas price up, US gas price |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 25 | 3 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Album be runner up this week?, Billboard Top 200 #1 |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.