📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 14 at 8:30 AM ET through Aug 15 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 647 unique markets across 34 new events, plus 816 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $5.490, Above $5.485, Above $5.480 all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Sep 25 (Week 39): Above $2.00, Above $1.75, Above $1.50 all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
NVIDIA H100 · Hourly price on Sep 25 (Week 39): Above $3.00 bid 29¢ / ask 30¢, Above $2.75 bid 48¢ / ask 49¢, Above $2.50 bid 68¢ / ask 69¢
Top Text to Image AI this week: Reve, Recraft, Nvidia all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Top Open Source AI this week: Xiaomi, Thinking Machines, OpenAI all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Top Text to Speech AI this week: VUI Labs, StepFun, SpaceXAI all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Top Text to Video AI this week: Vidu, SpaceXAI, Skywork AI all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Big Brother Season 28 · Week 6 elimination
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 16, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 16, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 16, 2026
- Top Open Source AI this week
- Top Text to Image AI this week
- Top Text to Speech AI this week
- Top Text to Video AI this week
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026?
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 17, 2026 at 10am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 17, 2026 at 11am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 17, 2026 at 12pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 17, 2026 at 1pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 17, 2026 at 2pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 17, 2026 at 3pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Sep 25 (Week 39)
- NVIDIA H100 · Hourly price on Sep 25 (Week 39)
- Will the USD Settlement Price for the Current Auction of the August 19, 2026 CARB Joint Auction #48 settle at or above the official August 19, 2026 ICE settlement price for the August 2026 California Carbon Allowance Vintage 2026 Future?
- How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (8/16-8/22)
- How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/15-8/21)
- Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/17 - 8/23)
- Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/7 - 8/13)
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/17 - 8/23)
- Traffic through the Panama Canal? (8/17 - 8/23)
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/17 - 8/23)
- Trump late night post this week? (8/16-8/22)
- Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?
- Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/16 - 8/22)
- Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/14-8/21)?
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (8/14-8/21)?: Above 6.8% (bid 49¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 11:11 AM ET
📊 Economics — 2 events, 22 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 15, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.490 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $5.485 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $5.480 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $5.475 | — |
| Above $5.470 | — |
| Above $5.465 | — |
| Above $5.460 | — |
| Above $5.455 | — |
| Above $5.450 | — |
| Above $5.445 | — |
| Above $5.440 | — |
| Above $5.435 | — |
| Above $5.430 | — |
| Above $5.425 | — |
| Above $5.420 | — |
| Above $5.415 | — |
| Above $5.410 | — |
| Above $5.405 | — |
| Above $5.400 | bid 60¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $5.395 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.390 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?: At least $1 billion (bid 3¢ / ask 11¢) — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 10:09 AM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 4 events, 51 markets
Top Text to Speech AI this week — 17 outcomes — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 4:08 PM ET
View market options (17 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| VUI Labs | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| StepFun | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| SpeechifyAI | bid 48¢ / ask 50¢ |
| SpaceXAI | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Smallest.ai | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Nvidia | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Mistral | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Inworld | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ | |
| Fish Audio | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| ElevenLabs | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Cartesia | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Async | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Amazon | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 36¢ / ask 40¢ |
Top Open Source AI this week — 13 outcomes — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 4:08 PM ET
View market options (13 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Xiaomi | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Thinking Machines | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Nvidia | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Mistral | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Meta | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Kimi | bid 87¢ / ask 88¢ |
| bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ | |
| GLM | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| DeepSeek | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Cohere | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Top Text to Image AI this week — 11 outcomes — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 4:08 PM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SpaceXAI | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Reve | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Recraft | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 90¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Nvidia | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Microsoft | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Krea | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| HiDream | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ | |
| Bytedance | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Black Forest Labs | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Top Text to Video AI this week — 10 outcomes — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 4:08 PM ET
View market options (10 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Vidu | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| SpaceXAI | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Skywork AI | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| PixVerse | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Lightricks | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| KlingAI | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| bid 91¢ / ask 96¢ | |
| ByteDance | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 57 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 16, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 15, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: เพราะพี่รักจริง, Sunflower, Shararat, Sebebi Yar, Pakistan Zindabad, Nano, Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KALYANI (Remix), Jaiye Sajana, Golden, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi, Arz Kiya Hai
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 16, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 15, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: เพราะพี่รักจริง, Sunflower, Shararat, Sebebi Yar, Pakistan Zindabad, Nano, Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KALYANI (Remix), Jaiye Sajana, Golden, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi, Arz Kiya Hai
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 16, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 15, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026, Sunflower, Reap What You Sow, Pooh Shiesty - Last Man Breathin [Official Audio], Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, Janice STFU, ICONIC BY MISTAKE, Golden, Ghetto Love Story, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, Be My Friend (The Verity Band), Beat It
Big Brother Season 28 · Week 6 elimination — 12 outcomes — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 12:19 PM ET
View market options (12 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yash Patel | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Taylor Brown | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Rick Devens | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Melody Morris | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Mallory Aurichio | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| LaTrice Verrett | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Kamu Kirk | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Haley Thogmartin | bid 36¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Drew Campbell | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Dee Valladares | bid 4¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Barrett Pfeiffer | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Angela Murray | bid 41¢ / ask 42¢ |
💹 Financials — 11 events, 453 markets
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 17, 2026 at 10am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,845 | bid 17¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $53,840 | bid 18¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least $53,835 | bid 19¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $53,830 | bid 20¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $53,825 | bid 20¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $53,820 | bid 21¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $53,815 | bid 22¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $53,810 | bid 23¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $53,805 | bid 24¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $53,800 | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,795 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,790 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,785 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,780 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,775 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,770 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,765 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,760 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,755 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,750 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,745 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,740 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,735 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,730 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,725 | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,845 | bid 22¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $53,840 | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,835 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,830 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,825 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,820 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,815 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,810 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,805 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,800 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,795 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,790 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,785 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,780 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,775 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,770 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,765 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,760 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,755 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,750 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,745 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,740 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,735 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,730 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,725 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 17, 2026 at 3pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,845 | bid 21¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $53,840 | bid 24¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $53,835 | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,830 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,825 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,820 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,815 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,810 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,805 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,800 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,795 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,790 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,785 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,780 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,775 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,770 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,765 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,760 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,755 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,750 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,745 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,740 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,735 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,730 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,725 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 17, 2026 at 2pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,845 | bid 21¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $53,840 | bid 24¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $53,835 | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,830 | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,825 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,820 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,815 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,810 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,805 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,800 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,795 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,790 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,785 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,780 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,775 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,770 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,765 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,760 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,755 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,750 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,745 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,740 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,735 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,730 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,725 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 17, 2026 at 1pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,845 | bid 20¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $53,840 | bid 23¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $53,835 | bid 24¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $53,830 | bid 24¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $53,825 | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,820 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,815 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,810 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,805 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,800 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,795 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,790 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,785 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,780 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,775 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,770 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,765 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,760 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,755 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,750 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,745 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,740 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,735 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,730 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,725 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 17, 2026 at 12pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,845 | bid 22¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $53,840 | bid 22¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $53,835 | bid 23¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $53,830 | bid 24¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $53,825 | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,820 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,815 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,810 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,805 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,800 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,795 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,790 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,785 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,780 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,775 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,770 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,765 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,760 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,755 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,750 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,745 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,740 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,735 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,730 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,725 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 17, 2026 at 11am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,845 | bid 20¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $53,840 | bid 21¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $53,835 | bid 22¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $53,830 | bid 23¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $53,825 | bid 23¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $53,820 | bid 24¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $53,815 | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,810 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,805 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,800 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,795 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,790 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,785 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,780 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,775 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,770 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,765 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,760 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,755 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,750 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,745 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,740 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,735 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,730 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,725 | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
+ 35 more
NVIDIA H100 · Hourly price on Sep 25 (Week 39) — 12 brackets — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $4.00 | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above $3.75 | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above $3.50 | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above $3.25 | bid 15¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above $3.00 | bid 29¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above $2.75 | bid 48¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above $2.50 | bid 68¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above $2.25 | bid 83¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above $2.00 | bid 91¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above $1.75 | bid 94¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $1.25 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $1.00 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Sep 25 (Week 39) — 10 brackets — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $2.00 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $1.75 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $1.50 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $1.25 | bid 4¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above $1.00 | bid 57¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above $0.75 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $0.60 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $0.50 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $0.40 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $0.30 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 8:50 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.14% or above | bid 45¢ / ask 59¢ |
| 4.12% or above | bid 50¢ / ask 64¢ |
| 4.1% or above | bid 54¢ / ask 69¢ |
| 4.08% or above | bid 59¢ / ask 74¢ |
| 4.06% or above | bid 62¢ / ask 78¢ |
| 4.04% or above | bid 64¢ / ask 82¢ |
| 4.02% or above | bid 77¢ / ask 86¢ |
| 4% or above | bid 81¢ / ask 89¢ |
| 3.98% or above | bid 86¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 3.96% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
Will the USD Settlement Price for the Current Auction of the August 19, 2026 CARB Joint Auction #48 settle at or above the official August 19, 2026 ICE settlement price for the August 2026 California Carbon Allowance Vintage 2026 Future?: CARB ≥ ICE (bid 23¢ / ask 30¢) — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 2:55 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 12 events, 63 markets
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23) — 11 brackets — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 11:12 AM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 75 | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 50 | bid 4¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above 45 | bid 8¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above 40 | bid 15¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 35 | bid 32¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 25¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 60¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 88¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 86¢ / ask 96¢ |
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/17 - 8/23) — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 11:12 AM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| August 23 | bid 12¢ / ask 20¢ |
| August 22 | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| August 21 | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| August 20 | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| August 19 | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| August 18 | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| August 17 | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/15-8/21) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 14, 2026 at 11:12 AM ET
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026? — 6 outcomes — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 11:17 AM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Troy Jackson | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Sherrod Brown | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Mary Peltola | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| James Talarico | bid 62¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Jon Ossoff | bid 15¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Abdul El-Sayed | bid 15¢ / ask 22¢ |
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/7 - 8/13) — 6 brackets — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 11:17 AM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5 | bid 85¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 5¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/17 - 8/23) — 5 brackets — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 11:18 AM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 300 | bid 18¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Above 290 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Above 280 | bid 64¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above 270 | bid 75¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 260 | bid 86¢ / ask 94¢ |
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (8/17 - 8/23) — 5 brackets — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 11:18 AM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 275 | bid 3¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 250 | bid 7¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 225 | bid 22¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 72¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 175 | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/17 - 8/23) — 5 brackets — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 11:18 AM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 250 | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 225 | bid 8¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 22¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 175 | bid 56¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 150 | bid 82¢ / ask 88¢ |
Trump late night post this week? (8/16-8/22) — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 14, 2026 at 11:12 AM ET
Tracking: 5-6 AM, 4-5 AM, 3-4 AM, 2-3 AM, 1-2 AM
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (8/16-8/22) — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 14, 2026 at 11:17 AM ET
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/16 - 8/22): Above 0 — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 11:12 AM ET
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/14-8/21)?: Above 38.7% (bid 48¢ / ask 51¢) — listed Aug 14, 2026 at 11:11 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
816 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 620 | 47 | Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +44 more |
| 💹 Financials | 83 | 7 | DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT, Weekly DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600, RTX 5090 Weekly, +4 more |
| 📊 Economics | 45 | 5 | US gas price up, Hass avocado prices this week, US retail sales MoM, +2 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 34 | 5 | Will Trump do anything today?, Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, President RCP approval rating this week, +2 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 29 | 5 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, RUNNER UP SHOW NETFLIX SHOW GLOBAL, Netflix TV ranking, +2 more |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 5 | 5 | RTX 5090 Weekly Price, B200 Weekly Price, A100 Weekly Price, +2 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.