Kalshi Markets: Diesel Prices, Trump Impeachment, Brazil

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 05 at 8:30 AM ET through Oct 06 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 617 unique markets across 249 new events, plus 5,033 recurring bracket markets.

📊 Economics

4 events

49 markets

🎬 Entertainment

7 events

21 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

10 events

86 markets

🏛️ Politics

14 events

60 markets

🗳️ Elections

19 events

113 markets

💹 Financials

195 events

288 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $6.270 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above $6.315 bid 10¢ / ask 90¢, Above $6.320 bid 8¢ (no asks)

EV commodity prices on Oct 6, 2026: Above 1234.52 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 1224.52 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Above 1214.52 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?: At least 5 bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, At least 4 bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, At least 10 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?: At least 3 bid 10¢ / ask 11¢, At least 4 bid 4¢ / ask 6¢, At least 1 bid 61¢ / ask 63¢

Disneyland ticket price at year-end 2026: Above $240 bid 49¢ / ask 50¢, Above $234 bid 78¢ / ask 79¢, Above $232 bid 86¢ / ask 87¢

Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory: Lula da Silva, ≥9%, Lula da Silva, 6-9%, Lula da Silva, 3-6% all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout: At least 129,000,000 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, At least 127,000,000 bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, At least 125,000,000 bid 45¢ / ask 46¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

📊 Economics

🎬 Entertainment

🔬 Science and Technology

🏛️ Politics

🗳️ Elections

💹 Financials

All New Events

📊 Economics — 4 events, 49 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Oct 06, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.365	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above $6.360	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above $6.355	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above $6.350	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above $6.345	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above $6.340	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above $6.335	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above $6.330	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above $6.325	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above $6.320	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above $6.315	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢
Above $6.310	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.305	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.300	—
Above $6.295	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.290	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.285	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.280	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.275	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.270	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above $6.265	bid 9¢ (no asks)

EV commodity prices on Oct 6, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1254.52	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1244.52	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1234.52	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1224.52	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above 1214.52	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above 1204.52	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Above 1194.52	bid 33¢ / ask 51¢
Above 1184.52	bid 87¢ / ask 90¢
Above 1174.52	bid 96¢ / ask 97¢
Above 1164.52	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1154.52	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1144.52	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1134.52	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1124.52	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1114.52	bid 98¢ (no asks)

Disneyland ticket price at year-end 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 5:16 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $240	bid 49¢ / ask 50¢
Above $238	bid 59¢ / ask 61¢
Above $236	bid 68¢ / ask 71¢
Above $234	bid 78¢ / ask 79¢
Above $232	bid 86¢ / ask 87¢
Above $230	bid 87¢ / ask 88¢
Above $228	bid 87¢ / ask 89¢
Above $226	bid 90¢ / ask 91¢
Above $224	bid 96¢ / ask 97¢

Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1.3%	—
Above 1.2%	—
Above 1.1%	bid 29¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1.0%	bid 29¢ / ask 99¢

🎬 Entertainment — 7 events, 21 markets

Taylor Swift Top 10 Spots — Billboard Hot 100 (Oct 17, 2026) — 11 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 10:19 AM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Exactly 9 songs	last 1¢ (book empty)
Exactly 8 songs	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Exactly 7 songs	last 1¢ (book empty)
Exactly 6 songs	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Exactly 5 songs	last 1¢ (book empty)
Exactly 4 songs	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Exactly 3 songs	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Exactly 2 songs	bid 3¢ / ask 10¢
Exactly 10 songs	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Exactly 1 song	bid 85¢ / ask 91¢
Exactly 0 songs	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection total sale price — 5 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 9:03 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $405 million	bid 24¢ / ask 93¢
Above $395 million	bid 25¢ / ask 93¢
Above $385 million	bid 25¢ / ask 93¢
Above $375 million	bid 26¢ / ask 95¢
Above $365 million	bid 26¢ / ask 94¢

Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor: Andrew Garfield (bid 17¢ / ask 19¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 9:17 PM ET

Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner(s): Beyoncé (bid 2¢ / ask 4¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET

Oscar nominees: Best Director: Nathan Fielder (bid 1¢ / ask 12¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 1:48 PM ET

Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actress: Merritt Wever (ask 85¢ (no bids)) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 1:47 PM ET

Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actor: Skyler Gisondo (bid 5¢ / ask 13¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 1:43 PM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 10 events, 86 markets

OpenRouter token usage in Oct 5–11 — 14 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET

View market strikes (14 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 188 T tokens	bid 7¢ / ask 28¢
Above 186 T tokens	bid 14¢ / ask 26¢
Above 184 T tokens	bid 12¢ / ask 31¢
Above 182 T tokens	bid 7¢ / ask 29¢
Above 180 T tokens	bid 14¢ / ask 60¢
Above 178 T tokens	bid 14¢ / ask 57¢
Above 176 T tokens	bid 28¢ / ask 53¢
Above 174 T tokens	bid 29¢ / ask 70¢
Above 172 T tokens	bid 39¢ / ask 57¢
Above 170 T tokens	bid 43¢ / ask 60¢
Above 168 T tokens	bid 50¢ / ask 63¢
Above 166 T tokens	bid 54¢ / ask 70¢
Above 164 T tokens	bid 58¢ / ask 87¢
Above 162 T tokens	bid 68¢ / ask 89¢

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th — 10 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market options (10 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Z.ai	bid 5¢ / ask 43¢
Xiaomi	bid 14¢ / ask 73¢
Tencent	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Moonshot	bid 4¢ / ask 61¢
MiniMax	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Meituan	bid 2¢ / ask 8¢
DeepSeek	bid 4¢ / ask 30¢
ByteDance	bid 6¢ / ask 25¢
Baidu	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Alibaba	bid 8¢ / ask 66¢

DeepSeek market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 2:22 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 24.6%	bid 8¢ / ask 12¢
Above 23.4%	bid 20¢ / ask 21¢
Above 22.9%	bid 37¢ / ask 42¢
Above 22.6%	bid 50¢ / ask 56¢
Above 22.4%	bid 57¢ / ask 66¢
Above 22.2%	bid 53¢ / ask 77¢
Above 21.9%	bid 74¢ / ask 86¢
Above 21.3%	bid 86¢ / ask 90¢
Above 20.0%	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢

Google market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 2:22 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 22.4%	bid 3¢ / ask 7¢
Above 21.5%	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Above 21.1%	bid 2¢ / ask 16¢
Above 20.8%	bid 7¢ / ask 20¢
Above 20.6%	bid 5¢ / ask 19¢
Above 20.4%	bid 13¢ / ask 26¢
Above 20.0%	bid 18¢ / ask 24¢
Above 19.3%	bid 22¢ / ask 29¢
Above 17.8%	bid 41¢ / ask 59¢

OpenAI market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 2:21 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 21.9%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 19.8%	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Above 18.7%	bid 15¢ / ask 25¢
Above 18.4%	bid 28¢ / ask 35¢
Above 18.1%	bid 43¢ / ask 46¢
Above 17.8%	bid 51¢ / ask 53¢
Above 17.5%	bid 56¢ / ask 60¢
Above 16.5%	bid 82¢ / ask 84¢
Above 14.1%	bid 95¢ / ask 98¢

Top Coding AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 05, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Qwen, MiniMax, Kimi, Grok, GLM, Gemini, Dola, Claude, ChatGPT

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Best AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 05, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Grok, ChatGPT, Kimi, MUSE, Gemini, Dola, Claude, Amazon Nova, Qwen

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Anthropic market share this week — 8 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 2:21 PM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 2.9%	bid 8¢ / ask 11¢
Above 2.8%	bid 12¢ / ask 16¢
Above 2.7%	bid 27¢ / ask 34¢
Above 2.6%	bid 30¢ / ask 41¢
Above 2.5%	bid 62¢ / ask 64¢
Above 2.4%	bid 72¢ / ask 82¢
Above 2.3%	bid 77¢ / ask 84¢
Above 2.1%	bid 91¢ / ask 93¢

Most popular AI this week — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 05, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Z.ai, Xiaomi, Tencent, OpenAI, Google, DeepSeek, Anthropic

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026 — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Alexis Wright	bid 15¢ (no asks)
Cristina Rivera Garza	bid 10¢ (no asks)

🏛️ Politics — 14 events, 60 markets

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 38.0%	bid 4¢ / ask 7¢
38.6%	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
38.5%	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
38.4%	bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
38.3%	bid 33¢ / ask 36¢
38.2%	bid 23¢ / ask 25¢
38.1%	bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
38.0%	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Above 38.6%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 6, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 8.5%	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
9.1%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
9.0%	bid 9¢ / ask 12¢
8.9%	bid 14¢ / ask 17¢
8.8%	bid 32¢ / ask 33¢
8.7%	bid 24¢ / ask 28¢
8.6%	bid 12¢ / ask 16¢
8.5%	bid 3¢ / ask 7¢
Above 9.1%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 6, 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
<5	bid 1¢ / ask 35¢
40+	bid 2¢ / ask 40¢
5-9	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
30-39	ask 85¢ (no bids)
25-29	ask 85¢ (no bids)
20-24	ask 85¢ (no bids)
15-19	ask 90¢ (no bids)
10-14	ask 85¢ (no bids)

Who will be the next President of the European Central Bank? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:46 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Pablo Hernández de Cos	bid 14¢ / ask 69¢
Olli Rehn	bid 7¢ / ask 56¢
Nadia Calviño	bid 7¢ / ask 56¢
Klaas Knot	bid 8¢ / ask 64¢
Joachim Nagel	bid 12¢ / ask 61¢
François Villeroy de Galhau	bid 11¢ / ask 59¢
Fabio Panetta	bid 7¢ / ask 57¢

Who will Barack Obama rally with? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:41 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Troy Jackson	bid 30¢ / ask 39¢
Sherrod Brown	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
Mary Peltola	bid 9¢ / ask 18¢
Josh Turek	bid 40¢ / ask 49¢
James Talarico	bid 60¢ / ask 67¢
Jon Ossoff	bid 41¢ / ask 61¢
Adam Hamilton	bid 13¢ / ask 24¢

How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term? — 6 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 7:57 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 5	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
At least 4	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
At least 3	bid 22¢ / ask 26¢
At least 2	bid 43¢ / ask 46¢
At least 10	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
At least 1	bid 61¢ / ask 63¢

How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term? — 4 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 7:57 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 4	bid 4¢ / ask 6¢
At least 3	bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
At least 2	bid 12¢ / ask 16¢
At least 1	bid 61¢ / ask 63¢

Will Trump be impeached? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 7:03 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 6¢ / ask 29¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 34¢ / ask 65¢
Before Oct 1, 2027	bid 18¢ / ask 66¢

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 6:08 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Greta Thunberg	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Campaign to Stop Killer Robots	bid 1¢ / ask 8¢

Will AI.gov be rebranded as SI.gov before Nov 1, 2026?: Yes (bid 71¢ / ask 77¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:44 PM ET

Will Anthropic and the Vatican meet before Jan 1, 2027?: Yes (bid 26¢ / ask 32¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:43 PM ET

Brazil presidential runoff: will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate?: Before Oct 25, 2026 (bid 75¢ / ask 76¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:41 PM ET

Will any state enact a data center moratorium law in 2026?: Yes (bid 21¢ / ask 27¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:38 PM ET

Will Trump issue dividend payments: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 12¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 3:17 PM ET

🗳️ Elections — 19 events, 113 markets

Who will be a part of the next government of Spain? — 12 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:40 PM ET

View market options (12 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Vox	bid 12¢ / ask 88¢
PSOE	bid 4¢ / ask 49¢
People's Party	bid 13¢ / ask 89¢
Podemos	bid 10¢ / ask 88¢
Basque Nationalist Party	bid 3¢ / ask 49¢
Más Madrid	bid 4¢ / ask 49¢
Junts per Catalunya	bid 3¢ / ask 49¢
United Left	bid 4¢ / ask 49¢
Frente Amplio	bid 4¢ / ask 49¢
Republican Left of Catalonia	bid 4¢ / ask 49¢
Comuns	bid 4¢ / ask 49¢
EH Bildu	bid 4¢ / ask 49¢

Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout — 11 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:41 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 5,800,000	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
At least 5,700,000	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
At least 5,600,000	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
At least 5,500,000	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
At least 5,400,000	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
At least 5,300,000	bid 7¢ (no asks)
At least 5,200,000	bid 12¢ / ask 88¢
At least 5,100,000	bid 13¢ / ask 91¢
At least 5,000,000	bid 20¢ / ask 93¢
At least 4,900,000	bid 13¢ / ask 90¢
At least 4,800,000	bid 23¢ / ask 91¢

Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent — 10 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:40 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 31%	bid 6¢ / ask 73¢
At least 30%	bid 7¢ / ask 77¢
At least 29%	bid 7¢ / ask 76¢
At least 28%	bid 12¢ / ask 87¢
At least 27%	bid 14¢ / ask 85¢
At least 26%	bid 24¢ / ask 93¢
At least 25%	bid 27¢ / ask 93¢
At least 24%	bid 24¢ / ask 92¢
At least 23%	bid 50¢ / ask 91¢
At least 21%	bid 43¢ / ask 93¢

Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent — 9 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:40 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 37%	bid 5¢ / ask 8¢
At least 36%	bid 20¢ / ask 59¢
At least 35%	bid 20¢ / ask 58¢
At least 34%	bid 25¢ / ask 60¢
At least 33%	bid 35¢ / ask 65¢
At least 32%	bid 35¢ / ask 75¢
At least 31%	bid 50¢ / ask 85¢
At least 30%	bid 50¢ / ask 89¢
At least 28%	bid 80¢ / ask 97¢

Ljubljana mayoral election winner? — 9 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:39 PM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Zoran Janković	bid 56¢ / ask 59¢
Mihael Jarc	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Luka Mesec	bid 19¢ / ask 20¢
Jasmin Feratović	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Gregor Novak	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Apolonija Simon	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Anton Rop	bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Aleksandar Repić	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Aleš Primc	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

Argentina presidential election: first round winner? — 9 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:39 PM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Victoria Villarruel	bid 2¢ / ask 48¢
Sergio Massa	bid 4¢ / ask 48¢
Patricia Bullrich	bid 3¢ / ask 48¢
Mauricio Macri	bid 2¢ / ask 48¢
Myriam Bregman	bid 3¢ / ask 48¢
Juan Schiaretti	bid 3¢ / ask 48¢
Javier Milei	bid 10¢ / ask 73¢
Juan Grabois	bid 3¢ / ask 48¢
Axel Kicillof	bid 8¢ / ask 77¢

Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:46 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Lula da Silva, ≥9%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Lula da Silva, 6-9%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Lula da Silva, 3-6%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Lula da Silva, 0-3%	bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Flávio Bolsonaro, 6-9%	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%	bid 34¢ / ask 36¢
Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%	bid 46¢ / ask 49¢

Spanish general election: margin of victory — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:39 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
PSOE, ≥3%	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
PSOE, 0-3%	bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
People's Party, 6-9%	bid 26¢ / ask 27¢
People's Party, 3-6%	bid 29¢ / ask 31¢
People's Party, ≥12%	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
People's Party, 9-12%	bid 9¢ / ask 14¢
People's Party, 0-3%	bid 17¢ / ask 23¢

Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — 6 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:37 PM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Tocantins	bid 88¢ / ask 89¢
Pará	bid 10¢ / ask 15¢
Minas Gerais	bid 87¢ / ask 88¢
Amapá	bid 63¢ / ask 64¢
Amazonas	bid 38¢ / ask 41¢
Roraima	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢

Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout — 6 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:41 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 129,000,000	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 127,000,000	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
At least 125,000,000	bid 45¢ / ask 46¢
At least 123,000,000	bid 87¢ / ask 88¢
At least 121,000,000	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
At least 119,000,000	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

When will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:43 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 31¢ / ask 93¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 34¢ / ask 75¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 7¢ / ask 76¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 30¢ / ask 76¢
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 7¢ / ask 76¢

Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:38 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Uruguay	bid 29¢ / ask 30¢
Mexico	bid 55¢ / ask 59¢
Costa Rica	bid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Colombia	bid 52¢ / ask 53¢
Chile	bid 23¢ / ask 24¢

Spanish general election: 2nd place — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:40 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Vox	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
PSOE	bid 85¢ / ask 86¢
People's Party	bid 11¢ / ask 12¢

Spanish general election: 3rd place — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:40 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Vox	bid 92¢ / ask 93¢
PSOE	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
People's Party	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢

Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Romania? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 12:09 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Leonardo Badea	bid 1¢ / ask 53¢
Luca Niculescu	bid 1¢ / ask 66¢
Alexandru Rogobete	bid 1¢ / ask 53¢

Brazil presidential runoff: who will win the vote abroad? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:41 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva	bid 51¢ / ask 53¢
Flávio Bolsonaro	bid 45¢ / ask 46¢

Espírito Santo Governor winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 12:35 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Ricardo Ferraço	bid 14¢ / ask 15¢
Lorenzo Pazolini	bid 86¢ / ask 87¢

Tocantins Governor winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 12:35 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Vicentinho Júnior	bid 37¢ / ask 38¢
Professora Dorinha	bid 14¢ / ask 49¢

Will Sweden announce a snap election in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 6¢ / ask 77¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:41 PM ET

💹 Financials — 195 events, 288 markets

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 7, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 06, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 7, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 06, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 7, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 06, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 7, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 06, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 7, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 06, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 12:10 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.26% or above	bid 9¢ / ask 30¢
5.28% or above	bid 8¢ / ask 28¢
5.3% or above	bid 6¢ / ask 26¢
5.32% or above	bid 6¢ / ask 24¢
5.34% or above	bid 5¢ / ask 22¢
5.36% or above	bid 4¢ / ask 21¢
5.38% or above	bid 3¢ / ask 19¢
5.4% or above	bid 3¢ / ask 18¢
5.42% or above	bid 2¢ / ask 16¢
5.44% or above	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢

Grok App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 1:09 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 62	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 66	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 70	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 74	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 78	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 82	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 86	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 90	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 94	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

Fear & Greed Index on Oct 30, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Extreme Greed	bid 1¢ / ask 60¢
Extreme Fear	bid 1¢ / ask 70¢
Neutral	bid 9¢ / ask 75¢
Greed	bid 8¢ / ask 74¢
Fear	bid 12¢ / ask 75¢

ChatGPT App Downloads in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 65	bid 25¢ / ask 93¢
Above 50	bid 31¢ / ask 98¢
Above 35	bid 54¢ / ask 98¢

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 158.207 (bid 44¢ / ask 49¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.12636 (bid 50¢ / ask 55¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.32723 (bid 48¢ / ask 53¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

5,033 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	3,973	23	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +20 more
📊 Economics	638	38	New Jersey gas price this week, US gas price up, Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, +35 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	368	54	Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more
🎬 Entertainment	34	5	Will Album be runner up this week?, Billboard Top 200 #1, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, +2 more
🔬 Science and Technology	16	2	Z.ai market share, Top model
🏛️ Politics	4	1	Which states will Trump visit this month?

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: Diesel Prices, Trump Impeachment, Brazil Runoff — Past 24 Hours (as of 8:30:34 AM ET, Oct 06)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

📊 Economics — 4 events, 49 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 7 events, 21 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 10 events, 86 markets

🏛️ Politics — 14 events, 60 markets

🗳️ Elections — 19 events, 113 markets

💹 Financials — 195 events, 288 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

Prediction News Network