Kalshi Markets: Diesel Prices, USD/JPY, EV Commodities

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 11 at 8:31 AM ET through Oct 12 at 8:31 AM ET). Our scan picked up 546 unique markets across 335 new events, plus 4,902 recurring bracket markets.

🎬 Entertainment

3 events

45 markets

📊 Economics

3 events

57 markets

🏛️ Politics

6 events

30 markets

🗳️ Elections

7 events

26 markets

💹 Financials

316 events

388 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Diesel prices this week: Above $6.06 bid 94¢ / ask 95¢, Above $6.44 bid 4¢ / ask 6¢, Above $6.46 bid 3¢ / ask 6¢

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 158.632 — bid 51¢ / ask 52¢

EV commodity prices on Oct 12, 2026: Above 1240.09 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 1230.09 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above 1200.09 bid 80¢ / ask 81¢

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.32303 — bid 71¢ / ask 72¢

Who will run for president in 2028?: Matthew McConaughey, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Mark Cuban all at bid 6¢ / ask 7¢

Will James Talarico drop out?: Yes — bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 12, 2026?: 38.1%, 38.0%, 37.9% all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

📊 Economics

🎬 Entertainment

🏛️ Politics

🗳️ Elections

💹 Financials

All New Events

🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 13, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

Tracking: Yeshanagula, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, TRALALA, Todo Lo Fue, Shararat, Radhimaa [From "Think Indie"], Parvati, KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 12: z5y8Clp_TdE], KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 7: xvT1jH8B9AM], Dame Tu Cosita, Dai Dai, Casa Tupka Anthemo, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat, 295 (MUSIC VIDEO) SIDHU MOOSE WALA

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 13, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 13, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

Tracking: WTF GOIN, Todo Lo Fue, The Aura Farmer - Horror Skunx (official song), Nicole Kidman, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, Gunna - pop it [Official Video], Dai Dai, DADDY YANKEE- BOTZ (Bésame OTra veZ) Official Video, Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 10: hLOheGDwD_0], Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 2: nUsrYVxrDwI], BbY WOW, Anuel AA - Vuelve (Video Oficial), Amnesia, Alma Rota, AH HA

🔗 View on Kalshi →

📊 Economics — 3 events, 57 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 6:01 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.315	ask 84¢ (no bids)
Above $6.310	bid 2¢ / ask 81¢
Above $6.305	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Above $6.300	ask 85¢ (no bids)
Above $6.295	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above $6.290	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above $6.285	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above $6.280	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above $6.275	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above $6.270	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above $6.265	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above $6.260	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢
Above $6.255	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.250	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.245	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.240	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.235	bid 15¢ (no asks)
Above $6.230	bid 20¢ / ask 99¢
Above $6.225	bid 16¢ (no asks)
Above $6.220	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above $6.215	bid 9¢ (no asks)

Diesel prices this week — 21 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 6:01 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.46	bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
Above $6.44	bid 4¢ / ask 6¢
Above $6.42	bid 4¢ / ask 7¢
Above $6.40	bid 6¢ / ask 9¢
Above $6.38	bid 7¢ / ask 12¢
Above $6.36	bid 7¢ / ask 16¢
Above $6.34	bid 13¢ / ask 22¢
Above $6.32	bid 20¢ / ask 29¢
Above $6.30	bid 29¢ / ask 37¢
Above $6.28	bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
Above $6.26	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
Above $6.24	bid 58¢ / ask 66¢
Above $6.22	bid 66¢ / ask 75¢
Above $6.20	bid 74¢ / ask 83¢
Above $6.18	bid 81¢ / ask 89¢
Above $6.16	bid 86¢ / ask 94¢
Above $6.14	bid 89¢ / ask 94¢
Above $6.12	bid 92¢ / ask 98¢
Above $6.10	bid 92¢ / ask 96¢
Above $6.08	bid 94¢ / ask 98¢
Above $6.06	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢

EV commodity prices on Oct 12, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1270.09	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1260.09	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1250.09	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1240.09	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1230.09	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 1220.09	bid 4¢ / ask 12¢
Above 1210.09	bid 19¢ / ask 28¢
Above 1200.09	bid 80¢ / ask 81¢
Above 1190.09	bid 92¢ / ask 93¢
Above 1180.09	bid 96¢ / ask 97¢
Above 1170.09	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1160.09	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1150.09	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1140.09	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1130.09	bid 98¢ (no asks)

🏛️ Politics — 6 events, 30 markets

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 12, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 10:01 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 37.5%	bid 6¢ / ask 11¢
38.1%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
38.0%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
37.9%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
37.8%	bid 13¢ / ask 15¢
37.7%	bid 10¢ / ask 14¢
37.6%	bid 21¢ / ask 23¢
37.5%	bid 44¢ / ask 45¢
Above 38.1%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 8.4%	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
9.0%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
8.9%	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
8.8%	bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
8.7%	bid 13¢ / ask 16¢
8.6%	bid 19¢ / ask 20¢
8.5%	bid 32¢ / ask 38¢
8.4%	bid 14¢ / ask 17¢
Above 9.0%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 12, 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
<5	ask 15¢ (no bids)
40+	bid 49¢ / ask 63¢
5-9	ask 30¢ (no bids)
30-39	bid 25¢ / ask 34¢
25-29	bid 4¢ / ask 21¢
20-24	bid 1¢ / ask 12¢
15-19	ask 34¢ (no bids)
10-14	ask 38¢ (no bids)

Next DCCC chair? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 3:48 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Brad Schneider	bid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Steven Horsford	bid 6¢ / ask 14¢

Who will be the next Deputy Attorney General?: Bill Essayli (bid 15¢ / ask 25¢) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 3:49 PM ET

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy next meet?: United Arab Emirates (ask 92¢ (no bids)) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 3:48 PM ET

🗳️ Elections — 7 events, 26 markets

Who will run for president in 2028? — 19 outcomes — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET

View market options (19 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Thomas Massie	bid 40¢ / ask 49¢
Tucker Carlson	bid 20¢ / ask 29¢
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
Matthew McConaughey	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Marjorie Taylor Greene	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Mark Cuban	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Larry Hogan	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Kanye West	bid 15¢ / ask 22¢
Jesse Ventura	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Jon Stewart	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Joe Rogan	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Joe Manchin	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Jamie Dimon	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Justin Amash	bid 16¢ / ask 22¢
Howard Schultz	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
DeAndre Way	bid 5¢ / ask 8¢
Dwayne Johnson	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Andrew Yang	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Aaron Rodgers	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢

Next Moldovan presidential election winner? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 11, 2026 at 3:49 PM ET

Tracking: Vasile Costiuc, Renato Usatîi

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Mongolian presidential election winner?: Dashdondogiin Ganbat — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 3:49 PM ET

Huon Valley mayoral election winner?: Marshall Callaghan (bid 1¢ / ask 42¢) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 3:49 PM ET

Philippine Senate election winner?: PDP (ask 95¢ (no bids)) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 3:48 PM ET

Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?: Ilija Srdanović (bid 1¢ / ask 33¢) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 3:48 PM ET

Will James Talarico drop out?: Yes (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 3:39 PM ET

💹 Financials — 316 events, 388 markets

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

McDonald's total restaurants in fiscal 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.42644 (bid 57¢ / ask 63¢) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 0.69690 (bid 20¢ / ask 27¢) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 158.632 (bid 51¢ / ask 52¢) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.11763 (bid 50¢ / ask 54¢) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.32303 (bid 71¢ / ask 72¢) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

4,902 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	3,589	9	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +6 more
📊 Economics	907	53	TSA check-ins this week, Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, West Virginia gas price, +50 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	391	55	Where will it rain daily, Where will it rain this weekend?, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, +52 more
🎬 Entertainment	15	1	DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: Diesel Prices, USD/JPY, EV Commodity Prices — Past 24 Hours (as of 8:31:16 AM ET, Oct 12)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets

📊 Economics — 3 events, 57 markets

🏛️ Politics — 6 events, 30 markets

🗳️ Elections — 7 events, 26 markets

💹 Financials — 316 events, 388 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

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