📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (May 25 at 6:30 PM ET through May 26 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 210 unique markets across 37 new events, plus 5,597 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?: Drake — bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
California governor primary: which candidates will win a county?: Xavier Becerra bid 81¢ / ask 82¢, Tom Steyer bid 36¢ / ask 37¢, Steve Hilton bid 81¢ / ask 82¢
South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q1 2026: Above 1.2% bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Above 1.0% bid 11¢ / ask 12¢, Above 0.8% bid 14¢ / ask 15¢
California Insurance Commissioner primary: who will advance?: Stacy A. Korsgaden bid 81¢ / ask 82¢, Steven Craig Bradford bid 13¢ / ask 14¢, Robert P. Howell bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
Arbroath & Broughty Ferry by-election winner: SNP bid 83¢ / ask 84¢, Reform bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, Liberal Democrats bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Aberdeen South by-election winner: SNP bid 69¢ / ask 70¢, Reform bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Conservative bid 28¢ / ask 30¢
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?: Before September 17th bid 85¢ / ask 86¢, Before August 17th bid 76¢ / ask 77¢, Before August bid 62¢ / ask 64¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/25 - 5/31)
- Who will be the next DNC Chair?
- Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
- Altria cigarette shipments in Q2
- Clear+ members in Q2
- eBay gross merchandise volume in Q2
- Meta headcount in Q2
- Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q2
- Sweetgreen profit margin in Q2
- Ulta transaction growth in Q1
- Webull funded accounts in Q2
- Britain's Got Talent Season 19: Top 3
- Britain's Got Talent Season 19: Top 5
- How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
- How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- Sports Emmy Award for Outstanding Sports Documentary: Long?
- Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models
- Who will win Britain's Got Talent: Season 19?
- Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?
- Will Drake occupy the top 3 spots on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for June 6th?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Aberdeen South by-election winner
- Alberta Separation Process Referendum
- Arbroath & Broughty Ferry by-election winner
- AZ-05 Republican nominee?
- California governor primary: which candidates will win a county?
- California Insurance Commissioner primary: who will advance?
- California State Senate District 26 election winner
- CO-03 Republican nominee?
- Los Angeles City Council District 1 winner
- Los Angeles City Council District 13 winner election?
- WI-01 Democratic nominee?
- Will the midterms happen on time?
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 2 events, 7 markets
SpaceX Starship 13th launch? — 6 outcomes — listed May 26, 2026 at 12:43 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before September 17th | bid 85¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Before July | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Before August | bid 62¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Before July 17th | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Before September | bid 79¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Before August 17th | bid 76¢ / ask 77¢ |
Ebola pandemic in 2026?: In Dec 31, 2026 — listed May 26, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET
📊 Economics — 2 events, 22 markets
EV commodity prices on May 26, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed May 25, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1341.18 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1331.18 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1321.18 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1311.18 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1301.18 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1291.18 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1281.18 | bid 26¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 1271.18 | bid 91¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 1261.18 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1251.18 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1241.18 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1231.18 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1221.18 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1211.18 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1201.18 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q1 2026 — 7 brackets — listed May 26, 2026 at 1:38 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1.2% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 1.0% | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 0.8% | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 0.6% | bid 27¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 0.4% | bid 46¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Above 0.2% | bid 65¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 0.0% | bid 84¢ / ask 85¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 3 events, 50 markets
Who will be the next DNC Chair? — 34 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 26, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
Tracking: Virginia McGregor, Tim Walz, Shasti Conrad, Sherrod Brown, Stacey Abrams, Reyna Walters-Morgan, Ro Khanna, Rahm Emanuel, Quintessa Hathaway, Pramila Jayapal, Pete Buttigieg, Nate Snyder, Marianne Williamson, Martin O’Malley, Mitch Landrieu, Malcolm Kenyatta, Michael Blake, Laphonza Butler, Jon Tester, James Skoufis, Jason Rae, J.B. Pritzker, Jason Paul, Jane Kleeb, Jaime Harrison, +9 more
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/25 - 5/31) — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 26, 2026 at 12:37 PM ET
Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit? — 6 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 26, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2035, Before Jan 1, 2033, Before Jan 1, 2031, Before Jan 1, 2030, Before Jan 1, 2029, Before Jan 1, 2028
💹 Financials — 8 events, 37 markets
Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q2 — 5 brackets — listed May 26, 2026 at 4:35 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $124 billion | bid 6¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above $120 billion | bid 16¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above $116 billion | bid 59¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Above $112 billion | bid 83¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above $108 billion | bid 89¢ / ask 97¢ |
eBay gross merchandise volume in Q2 — 5 brackets — listed May 26, 2026 at 4:35 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $23 billion | bid 35¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above $22.5 billion | bid 50¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above $22 billion | bid 65¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above $21.5 billion | bid 80¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above $21 billion | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
Sweetgreen profit margin in Q2 — 5 brackets — listed May 26, 2026 at 4:35 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 8% | bid 76¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 16% | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above 14% | bid 27¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Above 12% | bid 38¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 10% | bid 57¢ / ask 63¢ |
Webull funded accounts in Q2 — 5 brackets — listed May 26, 2026 at 4:35 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5.3 million | bid 15¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 5.25 million | bid 35¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 5.2 million | bid 56¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 5.15 million | bid 76¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 5.1 million | bid 91¢ / ask 98¢ |
Ulta transaction growth in Q1 — 5 brackets — listed May 26, 2026 at 4:35 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 2.5% | — |
| Above 2% | — |
| Above 1.5% | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1% | bid 33¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 0.5% | bid 71¢ / ask 79¢ |
Altria cigarette shipments in Q2 — 5 brackets — listed May 26, 2026 at 4:35 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 15.5 billion | bid 10¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above 15 billion | bid 35¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 14.5 billion | bid 70¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 14 billion | bid 88¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 13.5 billion | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
Clear+ members in Q2 — 4 brackets — listed May 26, 2026 at 4:35 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 8.8 million | bid 11¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above 8.6 million | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 8.4 million | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 8.2 million | bid 76¢ / ask 84¢ |
Meta headcount in Q2 — 3 brackets — listed May 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 75500 | bid 59¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Above 75000 | bid 63¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Above 74500 | bid 71¢ / ask 79¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 9 events, 47 markets
Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models — 16 outcomes — listed May 26, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET
View market options (16 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Behati Prinsloo | bid 50¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Tyra Banks | bid 25¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Taylor Hill | bid 29¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Bella Hadid | bid 50¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Izabel Goulart | bid 27¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Karolina Kurkova | bid 27¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Heidi Klum | bid 17¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Lais Ribeiro | bid 29¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Gisele Bundchen | bid 25¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Miranda Kerr | bid 29¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Selita Ebanks | bid 29¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Martha Hunt | bid 29¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Rosie Huntington-Whiteley | bid 29¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Kendall Jenner | bid 22¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Irina Shayk | bid 50¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Karlie Kloss | bid 25¢ / ask 35¢ |
How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed May 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 million | — |
| At least 6 million | bid 50¢ / ask 99¢ |
| At least 50 million | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| At least 40 million | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| At least 35 million | — |
| At least 30 million | — |
| At least 25 million | — |
| At least 21 million | — |
| At least 18 million | — |
| At least 15 million | — |
| At least 12 million | — |
How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed May 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 million | — |
| At least 6 million | bid 50¢ / ask 99¢ |
| At least 50 million | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| At least 40 million | bid 1¢ / ask 75¢ |
| At least 35 million | — |
| At least 30 million | — |
| At least 25 million | — |
| At least 21 million | — |
| At least 18 million | — |
| At least 15 million | — |
| At least 12 million | — |
Britain's Got Talent Season 19: Top 5 — 2 outcomes — listed May 25, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| The Hawkstone Farmers Choir | bid 40¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Celestial | bid 13¢ / ask 93¢ |
Britain's Got Talent Season 19: Top 3 — 2 outcomes — listed May 25, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| The Hawkstone Farmers Choir | bid 27¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Celestial | bid 10¢ / ask 77¢ |
Who will win Britain's Got Talent: Season 19? — 2 outcomes — listed May 25, 2026 at 6:57 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| The Hawkstone Farmers Choir | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Celestial | bid 8¢ / ask 10¢ |
Sports Emmy Award for Outstanding Sports Documentary: Long?: Butterfly in a Blizzard — listed May 26, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?: Drake (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — listed May 26, 2026 at 3:17 PM ET
Will Drake occupy the top 3 spots on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for June 6th?: Exactly Yes (bid 1¢ / ask 5¢) — listed May 26, 2026 at 2:39 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 13 events, 47 markets
California State Senate District 26 election winner — 8 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 26, 2026 at 12:56 PM ET
Tracking: Wendy Carrillo, Sarah Rascón, Sang Masog, Sara Hernandez, Paul A. Bowers, Maebe Pudlo, Juan Camacho, Claudia Agraz
Aberdeen South by-election winner — 7 outcomes — listed May 26, 2026 at 1:01 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SNP | bid 69¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Reform | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Liberal Democrats | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Labour | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Green | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Conservative | bid 28¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Alliance for Democracy and Freedom | last 1¢ (book empty) |
California governor primary: which candidates will win a county? — 6 outcomes — listed May 26, 2026 at 3:05 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Xavier Becerra | bid 81¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Tom Steyer | bid 36¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Steve Hilton | bid 81¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Matt Mahan | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Katie Porter | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Chad Bianco | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
California Insurance Commissioner primary: who will advance? — 6 outcomes — listed May 26, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Stacy A. Korsgaden | bid 81¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Steven Craig Bradford | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Robert P. Howell | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Patrick Wolff | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Jane Kim | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Ben Allen | bid 81¢ / ask 82¢ |
Arbroath & Broughty Ferry by-election winner — 5 outcomes — listed May 26, 2026 at 1:02 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SNP | bid 83¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Reform | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Liberal Democrats | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Labour | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Conservative | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
Los Angeles City Council District 1 winner — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 26, 2026 at 12:54 PM ET
Tracking: Sylvia Robledo, Raul Claros, Nelson Grande, Maria Lou Calanche, Eunisses Hernandez
Los Angeles City Council District 13 winner election? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 26, 2026 at 12:55 PM ET
Tracking: Rich Sarian, Hugo Soto-Martinez, Dylan Kendall, Colter Carlisle
Alberta Separation Process Referendum: the option in Alberta’s 2026 referendum asking whether the Government of Alberta should commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether Alberta should separate from Canada — listed May 26, 2026 at 5:16 PM ET
AZ-05 Republican nominee?: Daniel Keenan (bid 19¢ / ask 21¢) — listed May 26, 2026 at 2:47 PM ET
WI-01 Democratic nominee?: Peter Burgelis (bid 14¢ / ask 22¢) — listed May 26, 2026 at 2:46 PM ET
CO-03 Republican nominee?: Ron Hanks (bid 1¢ / ask 6¢) — listed May 26, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET
2028 Republican presidential nominee: Candace Owens (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed May 26, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET
Will the midterms happen on time?: Yes — listed May 26, 2026 at 1:44 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,597 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 5,025 | 7 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 range, +4 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 142 | 14 | Daily US Spotify artist chart, Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, +11 more |
| 📊 Economics | 141 | 11 | US gas price up, United States ISM Services PMI, US nonfarm payrolls in [month], +8 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.