📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (May 31 at 6:30 PM ET through Jun 01 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 152 unique markets across 27 new events, plus 5,600 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
How strong of an earthquake will occur in Jun 2026?: 7.5+ bid 37¢ / ask 38¢, 7.4+ bid 45¢ / ask 46¢, 7.1+ bid 62¢ / ask 63¢
Ticket prices of Pro Basketball Finals Game 1 : Above $1350 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above $1250 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above $1150 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Will Trump’s name be removed from the Kennedy Center?: Before Jul 1, 2026 bid 73¢ / ask 74¢, Before Aug 1, 2026 bid 82¢ / ask 83¢
Which city will host the Republican midterm convention?: Phoenix bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Houston bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Detroit bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner: SPD bid 21¢ / ask 22¢, Grüne bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, FDP bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Saxony-Anhalt State Election: SPD bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, FDP bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Die Linke bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?: Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 83¢ / ask 84¢, Before Jul 1, 2026 bid 27¢ / ask 28¢, Before Aug 1, 2026 bid 66¢ / ask 67¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- When will the official trailer for Avengers: Doomsday be released?
- Which city will host the Republican midterm convention?
- Alaska commercial salmon harvest in 2026?
- EV commodity prices on Jun 1, 2026
- How high will the 5Y US Treasury Yield climb by month-end?
- ISM Manufacturing PMI in June
- Alaska Senate: who will advance?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner
- Saxony-Anhalt State Election
- Will Graham Platner drop out?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Will any state enact a 100% tax on Anti-Weaponization Fund payouts?
- Will the FCC pull a Big Four TV station license?
- Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?
- Will Trump’s name be removed from the Kennedy Center?
- How strong of an earthquake will occur in Jun 2026?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- Rain in Austin in Jun 2026?
- Rain in Dallas in Jun 2026?
- Rain in Houston in Jun 2026?
- Rain in Los Angeles in Jun 2026?
- Rain in Miami in Jun 2026?
- Rain in San Francisco in Jun 2026?
- Rain in Seattle in Jun 2026?
- When will El Niño conditions be declared present?
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 5 markets
Number of US data centers at the end of 2026? — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 01, 2026 at 4:52 PM ET
💹 Financials — 1 event, 7 markets
Ticket prices of Pro Basketball Finals Game 1 — 7 brackets — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $950 | bid 11¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above $850 | bid 33¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Above $750 | bid 67¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Above $1350 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $1250 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $1150 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above $1050 | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 2 events, 7 markets
Which city will host the Republican midterm convention? — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 1:47 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Phoenix | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Las Vegas | bid 12¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Houston | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Detroit | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Dallas | bid 82¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Atlanta | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
When will the official trailer for Avengers: Doomsday be released?: Before August (bid 75¢ / ask 80¢) — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 10:41 AM ET
🗳️ Elections — 4 events, 24 markets
Alaska Senate: who will advance? — 9 outcomes — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| William Hunt | bid 75¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Sid Hill | bid 11¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Richard Grayson | bid 11¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Mary Peltola | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Fred C. Grauberger | bid 11¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Dan S. Sullivan | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Dan J. Sullivan | bid 72¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Dustin Darden | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Carol Hafner | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner — 7 outcomes — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SPD | bid 21¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Grüne | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| FDP | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Die Linke | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| CDU | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| BSW | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| AfD | bid 41¢ / ask 42¢ |
Saxony-Anhalt State Election — 7 outcomes — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 1:38 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SPD | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Grüne | bid 27¢ / ask 79¢ |
| FDP | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Die Linke | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| CDU | bid 39¢ / ask 86¢ |
| BSW | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| AfD | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
Will Graham Platner drop out?: Yes (bid 10¢ / ask 11¢) — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 11:58 AM ET
📊 Economics — 4 events, 34 markets
EV commodity prices on Jun 1, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed May 31, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1337.28 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1327.28 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1317.28 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1307.28 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1297.28 | bid 11¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above 1287.28 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 1277.28 | bid 80¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 1267.28 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1257.28 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1247.28 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1237.28 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1227.28 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1217.28 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1207.28 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1197.28 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
ISM Manufacturing PMI in June — 8 brackets — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 12:32 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 58 | bid 39¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least 57 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least 56 | bid 32¢ / ask 67¢ |
| At least 55 | bid 71¢ / ask 75¢ |
| At least 54 | bid 81¢ / ask 82¢ |
| At least 53 | bid 83¢ / ask 84¢ |
| At least 52 | bid 73¢ / ask 88¢ |
| At least 51 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
Alaska commercial salmon harvest in 2026? — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 01, 2026 at 4:26 PM ET
How high will the 5Y US Treasury Yield climb by month-end? — 4 brackets — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 12:18 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.40% | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 4.35% | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 4.30% | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 4.25% | bid 89¢ / ask 90¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 5 events, 10 markets
Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban? — 3 outcomes — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 1:26 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 83¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | bid 27¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 66¢ / ask 67¢ |
Will the FCC pull a Big Four TV station license? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 01, 2026 at 1:17 PM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2027, Before Apr 1, 2027, Before Aug 1, 2026
Will Trump’s name be removed from the Kennedy Center? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 2:05 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | bid 73¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 82¢ / ask 83¢ |
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?: Cassidy Hutchinson (bid 9¢ / ask 25¢) — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET
Will any state enact a 100% tax on Anti-Weaponization Fund payouts?: Yes (bid 13¢ / ask 14¢) — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 12:23 PM ET
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 10 events, 65 markets
How strong of an earthquake will occur in Jun 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 3:12 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| 7.5+ | bid 37¢ / ask 38¢ |
| 7.4+ | bid 45¢ / ask 46¢ |
| 7.3+ | bid 32¢ / ask 48¢ |
| 7.2+ | bid 66¢ / ask 71¢ |
| 7.1+ | bid 62¢ / ask 63¢ |
| 7.0+ | bid 68¢ / ask 69¢ |
| 6.9+ | bid 75¢ / ask 76¢ |
| 6.8+ | bid 75¢ / ask 76¢ |
Rain in San Francisco in Jun 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 6 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 5 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 4 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 3 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 2 inches | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1 inch | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
Rain in Dallas in Jun 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7 inches | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 6 inches | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 5 inches | bid 8¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 4 inches | bid 14¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Above 3 inches | bid 50¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above 2 inches | bid 87¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above 1 inch | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
Rain in Seattle in Jun 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 6 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 5 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 4 inches | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 3 inches | bid 7¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 2 inches | bid 17¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above 1 inch | bid 72¢ / ask 73¢ |
Rain in Houston in Jun 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7 inches | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 6 inches | bid 26¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above 5 inches | bid 28¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 4 inches | bid 42¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above 3 inches | bid 75¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above 2 inches | bid 92¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above 1 inch | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
Rain in Los Angeles in Jun 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 6 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 5 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 4 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 3 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 2 inches | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1 inch | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Rain in Austin in Jun 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7 inches | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 6 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 5 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 4 inches | bid 11¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 3 inches | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 2 inches | bid 86¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 1 inch | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
Rain in Miami in Jun 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jun 01, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7 inches | bid 73¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above 6 inches | bid 77¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above 5 inches | bid 87¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 4 inches | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 3 inches | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 2 inches | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1 inch | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
When will El Niño conditions be declared present? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 01, 2026 at 4:12 PM ET
Tracking: Before Sep 1, 2026, Before Oct 1, 2026, Before Jul 1, 2026, Before Jan 1, 2027, Before Aug 1, 2026
Major volcano eruption in 2026? — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 01, 2026 at 3:32 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,600 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 5,025 | 7 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 range, +4 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 303 | 44 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, RAIN DENVER, Rain Chicago, +41 more |
| 📊 Economics | 206 | 19 | TSA check-ins this week, US gas price up, US gas price up, +16 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 66 | 7 | Daily US Spotify artist chart, Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, +4 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.