📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 24 at 8:30 AM ET through Aug 25 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 393 unique markets across 55 new events, plus 4,592 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
EV commodity prices on Aug 25, 2026: Above 1261.88 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 1211.88 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above 1201.88 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Will the Kentucky State Fair ham auction set a record?: Yes — bid 32¢ / ask 33¢
S&P 500 move on Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech day?: At least 3.00% bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, At least 2.75% bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, At least 2.50% bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
FTC investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?: Yes — bid 33¢ / ask 34¢
Who will Donald Trump sue in 2026?: Michael Wolff bid 11¢ / ask 12¢, Jeffrey Epstein's estate bid 11¢ / ask 12¢, Center for American Progress bid 16¢ / ask 17¢
Will courts let the 75-country visa suspension resume?: Yes — bid 76¢ / ask 77¢
Berlin State Election: 3rd Place: FDP bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, BSW bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, AfD bid 17¢ / ask 38¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- 50% tariffs on Canadian autos and steel in effect?
- Canada countertariffs in effect before Sep 9?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- EV commodity prices on Aug 25, 2026
- S&P 500 move on Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech day?
- When will DOE next sell or exchange SPR oil?
- KATSEYE’s “WILD”: Weeks at No. 1 in 2026
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 26, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 26, 2026
- serena joy: #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated Sep 5th?
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 26, 2026
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 26, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 26, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 26, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 26, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 26, 2026?
- EURUSD price on Aug 28 at 5:00 PM EDT
- Fear & Greed Index on Sep 18, 2026?
- AfD in a German state government in 2026?
- FTC investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?
- Trump's approval rating on Aug 25, 2026?
- When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Which jurisdictions will drop Flock before Feb 2027?
- Who will Donald Trump sue in 2026?
- Will California and Paramount settle the WBD merger suit?
- Will courts let the 75-country visa suspension resume?
- Will the Kentucky State Fair ham auction set a record?
- Anthropic market share this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Gemini market share this week
- Most popular AI this week
- Most popular AI this week
- Open Source market share on Aug 27, 2026
- OpenAI market share this week
- OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 24–30
- Qwen market share this week
- Stealth market share this week
- Tencent market share this week
- Xiaomi market share this week
- Berlin State Election: 2nd Place
- Berlin State Election: 3rd Place
- Berlin State Election: 4th Place
- Parti Québécois majority in Quebec's National Assembly?
- Swedish general election: Centre Party vote percent
- Swedish general election: Green Party vote percent
- Swedish general election: Moderate Party vote percent
- Swedish general election: Sweden Democrats vote percent
- Swedish general election: Swedish Social Democratic Party vote percent
- When will AP call the South Carolina Senate runoff?
- Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?
- Which of these parties will win a Riksdag seat?
- Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
- Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
All New Events
📊 Economics — 6 events, 52 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 25, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.670 | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above $5.665 | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above $5.660 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.655 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.650 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.645 | — |
| Above $5.640 | — |
| Above $5.635 | — |
| Above $5.630 | — |
| Above $5.625 | — |
| Above $5.620 | — |
| Above $5.615 | — |
| Above $5.610 | — |
| Above $5.605 | — |
| Above $5.600 | — |
| Above $5.595 | — |
| Above $5.590 | — |
| Above $5.585 | — |
| Above $5.580 | — |
| Above $5.575 | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.570 | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
EV commodity prices on Aug 25, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1301.88 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1291.88 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1281.88 | ask 79¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1271.88 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1261.88 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1251.88 | bid 3¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 1241.88 | bid 15¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 1231.88 | bid 43¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Above 1221.88 | bid 79¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 1211.88 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1201.88 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1191.88 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1181.88 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1171.88 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1161.88 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
S&P 500 move on Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech day? — 11 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 4:06 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 3.00% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| At least 2.75% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| At least 2.50% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| At least 2.25% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| At least 2.00% | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| At least 1.75% | bid 6¢ / ask 9¢ |
| At least 1.50% | bid 8¢ / ask 14¢ |
| At least 1.25% | bid 13¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least 1.00% | bid 23¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least 0.75% | bid 35¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least 0.50% | bid 59¢ / ask 63¢ |
When will DOE next sell or exchange SPR oil? — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:27 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 49¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 26¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 9¢ / ask 54¢ |
Canada countertariffs in effect before Sep 9?: Yes (bid 50¢ / ask 93¢) — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:26 PM ET
50% tariffs on Canadian autos and steel in effect?: Yes (bid 22¢ / ask 27¢) — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:21 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 6 events, 52 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 26, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 25, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
Tracking: Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026, Tera Mera Rishta, Sunflower, Shararat, Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, KALYANI (Remix), Golden, ENHYPEN (엔하이픈) 'Bloody Paradise' Official MV, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat, Barbaadi
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 26, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 25, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
Tracking: Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026, Tera Mera Rishta, Sunflower, Shararat, Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, KALYANI (Remix), Golden, ENHYPEN (엔하이픈) 'Bloody Paradise' Official MV, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat, Barbaadi
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 26, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 25, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
Tracking: WTF Goin, Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026, Sunflower, Pooh Shiesty - Reap What You Sow [Official Audio], Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, Janice STFU, ICONIC BY MISTAKE, Golden, Ghetto Love Story, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, Beat It
KATSEYE’s “WILD”: Weeks at No. 1 in 2026 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 1:34 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 6 weeks | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| At least 5 weeks | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| At least 4 weeks | bid 6¢ / ask 14¢ |
| At least 3 weeks | bid 9¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least 2 weeks | bid 12¢ / ask 48¢ |
serena joy: #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated Sep 5th?: serena joy by Olivia Rodrigo (bid 1¢ / ask 5¢) — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond: Robert Pattinson (ask 9¢ (no bids)) — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
💹 Financials — 7 events, 100 markets
EURUSD price on Aug 28 at 5:00 PM EDT — 20 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 9:25 AM ET
View market strikes (20 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1.185 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1.183 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1.181 | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 1.179 | bid 3¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 1.177 | bid 4¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 1.175 | bid 8¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 1.173 | bid 14¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 1.171 | bid 23¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above 1.169 | bid 25¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 1.167 | bid 39¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above 1.165 | bid 56¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Above 1.163 | bid 65¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above 1.161 | bid 79¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 1.159 | bid 85¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 1.157 | bid 89¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.155 | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1.153 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1.151 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1.149 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1.147 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 26, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 25, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 26, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 25, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 26, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 25, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 26, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 25, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 26, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 25, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
Fear & Greed Index on Sep 18, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Extreme Greed | bid 9¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Extreme Fear | bid 10¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Neutral | bid 13¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Greed | bid 22¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Fear | bid 22¢ / ask 39¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 10 events, 27 markets
Trump's approval rating on Aug 25, 2026? — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 39.8 | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 39.8 | bid 6¢ / ask 48¢ |
| 39.7 | bid 11¢ / ask 39¢ |
| 39.6 | bid 11¢ / ask 57¢ |
| 39.5 | bid 17¢ / ask 39¢ |
| 39.4 | bid 5¢ / ask 20¢ |
| 39.3 | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 39.2 | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Below 39.2 | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
Who will Donald Trump sue in 2026? — 4 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:27 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Trevor Noah | bid 14¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Michael Wolff | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Jeffrey Epstein's estate | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Center for American Progress | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
Which jurisdictions will drop Flock before Feb 2027? — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 12:05 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Boulder, CO | bid 46¢ / ask 65¢ |
| New Bedford, MA | bid 66¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Atlanta, GA | bid 46¢ / ask 65¢ |
When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal? — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 11:59 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 51¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | bid 55¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | bid 60¢ / ask 80¢ |
Will the Kentucky State Fair ham auction set a record?: Yes (bid 32¢ / ask 33¢) — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 4:29 PM ET
Will California and Paramount settle the WBD merger suit?: Yes (bid 56¢ / ask 64¢) — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:31 PM ET
FTC investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?: Yes (bid 33¢ / ask 34¢) — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:27 PM ET
Will courts let the 75-country visa suspension resume?: Yes (bid 76¢ / ask 77¢) — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:21 PM ET
AfD in a German state government in 2026?: Yes (bid 12¢ / ask 62¢) — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:18 PM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 12 events, 77 markets
Open Source market share on Aug 27, 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:38 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 68% | bid 1¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 66% | bid 2¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above 64% | bid 6¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Above 62% | bid 17¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Above 60% | bid 28¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above 58% | bid 39¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 56% | bid 46¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 54% | bid 49¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 52% | bid 49¢ / ask 98¢ |
Stealth market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 2:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 9.0% | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
| Above 7.5% | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
| Above 6.0% | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
| Above 4.5% | bid 11¢ (no asks) |
| Above 3.0% | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| Above 15.0% | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above 13.5% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 12.0% | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above 10.5% | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 24–30 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 1:24 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 124T tokens | bid 4¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 122T tokens | bid 4¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 120T tokens | bid 4¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 118T tokens | bid 5¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above 116T tokens | bid 8¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Above 114T tokens | bid 9¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 112T tokens | bid 11¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 110T tokens | bid 15¢ / ask 65¢ |
DeepSeek market share this week — 7 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 2:06 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 27.5% | ask 89¢ (no bids) |
| Above 26.5% | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Above 25.5% | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Above 24.5% | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above 23.5% | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above 22.5% | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
| Above 21.5% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
Most popular AI this week — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Tracking: Z.ai, Xiaomi, Tencent, OpenAI, Google, DeepSeek, Anthropic
Anthropic market share this week — 6 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 2:11 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.5% | ask 86¢ (no bids) |
| Above 4.0% | ask 89¢ (no bids) |
| Above 3.5% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 3.0% | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above 2.5% | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
| Above 2.0% | bid 13¢ (no asks) |
Xiaomi market share this week — 6 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 2:10 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.5% | ask 89¢ (no bids) |
| Above 4.0% | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Above 3.5% | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Above 3.0% | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above 2.5% | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Above 2.0% | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
Tencent market share this week — 6 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 2:10 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.0% | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| Above 3.5% | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Above 3.0% | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Above 2.5% | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Above 2.0% | — |
| Above 1.5% | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
Qwen market share this week — 6 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 2:08 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 6.3% | bid 1¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 5.8% | bid 3¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Above 5.3% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 4.8% | bid 10¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 4.3% | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| Above 3.8% | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
OpenAI market share this week — 6 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 2:08 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 20.5% | bid 1¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above 19.5% | ask 84¢ (no bids) |
| Above 18.5% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 17.5% | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
| Above 16.5% | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
| Above 15.5% | bid 13¢ (no asks) |
Gemini market share this week — 6 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 2:07 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 23.5% | bid 2¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above 22.5% | bid 5¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 21.5% | bid 6¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 20.5% | bid 6¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 19.5% | bid 13¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above 18.5% | bid 11¢ (no asks) |
Most popular AI this week: Ox Alpha (bid 87¢ / ask 98¢) — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 12:52 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 14 events, 85 markets
Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028? — 10 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:20 PM ET
View market options (10 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Saskatchewan | bid 6¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Quebec | bid 6¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Prince Edward Island | bid 6¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Ontario | bid 6¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Nova Scotia | bid 5¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Newfoundland and Labrador | bid 8¢ / ask 51¢ |
| New Brunswick | bid 6¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Manitoba | bid 8¢ / ask 51¢ |
| British Columbia | bid 13¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Alberta | bid 8¢ / ask 55¢ |
Swedish general election: Sweden Democrats vote percent — 10 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:12 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 28% | bid 4¢ / ask 12¢ |
| At least 25% | bid 5¢ / ask 16¢ |
| At least 23% | bid 6¢ / ask 18¢ |
| At least 22% | bid 10¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least 21% | bid 14¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least 20% | bid 26¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least 19% | bid 51¢ / ask 70¢ |
| At least 18% | bid 65¢ / ask 84¢ |
| At least 17% | bid 77¢ / ask 89¢ |
| At least 15% | bid 88¢ / ask 95¢ |
Swedish general election: Centre Party vote percent — 9 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9% | bid 11¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least 8% | bid 19¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least 7% | bid 37¢ / ask 65¢ |
| At least 6% | bid 59¢ / ask 88¢ |
| At least 5% | bid 74¢ / ask 91¢ |
| At least 4% | bid 81¢ / ask 93¢ |
| At least 3% | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
| At least 12% | bid 4¢ / ask 20¢ |
| At least 10% | bid 6¢ / ask 30¢ |
Swedish general election: Green Party vote percent — 8 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:13 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9% | bid 8¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least 8% | bid 13¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least 7% | bid 34¢ / ask 66¢ |
| At least 6% | bid 58¢ / ask 85¢ |
| At least 5% | bid 73¢ / ask 91¢ |
| At least 4% | bid 83¢ / ask 94¢ |
| At least 3% | bid 87¢ / ask 95¢ |
| At least 11% | bid 5¢ / ask 13¢ |
Berlin State Election: 4th Place — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SPD | bid 11¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Grüne | bid 16¢ / ask 49¢ |
| FDP | bid 3¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Die Linke | bid 6¢ / ask 36¢ |
| CDU | bid 9¢ / ask 36¢ |
| BSW | bid 4¢ / ask 8¢ |
| AfD | bid 14¢ / ask 46¢ |
Berlin State Election: 3rd Place — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SPD | bid 7¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Grüne | bid 16¢ / ask 43¢ |
| FDP | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Die Linke | bid 9¢ / ask 38¢ |
| CDU | bid 14¢ / ask 37¢ |
| BSW | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| AfD | bid 17¢ / ask 38¢ |
Berlin State Election: 2nd Place — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:14 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SPD | bid 4¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Grüne | bid 9¢ / ask 28¢ |
| FDP | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Die Linke | bid 18¢ / ask 47¢ |
| CDU | bid 18¢ / ask 50¢ |
| BSW | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| AfD | bid 15¢ / ask 39¢ |
Swedish general election: Moderate Party vote percent — 7 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:12 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 21% | bid 7¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least 19% | bid 15¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least 18% | bid 22¢ / ask 65¢ |
| At least 17% | bid 42¢ / ask 84¢ |
| At least 16% | bid 49¢ / ask 87¢ |
| At least 15% | bid 76¢ / ask 93¢ |
| At least 13% | bid 88¢ / ask 95¢ |
Swedish general election: Swedish Social Democratic Party vote percent — 7 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:11 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 35% | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| At least 33% | bid 13¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least 32% | bid 19¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least 31% | bid 31¢ / ask 62¢ |
| At least 30% | bid 47¢ / ask 83¢ |
| At least 29% | bid 73¢ / ask 89¢ |
| At least 27% | bid 88¢ / ask 94¢ |
Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election? — 6 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| No one | bid 2¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Lars Klingbeil | bid 4¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Friedrich Merz | bid 7¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Felix Banaszak | bid 3¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Baerbel Bas | bid 2¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Alice Weidel | bid 4¢ / ask 51¢ |
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 12:02 PM ET
Tracking: Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett, Macky Sall, Olara Otunnu
Which of these parties will win a Riksdag seat? — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Örebropartiet | bid 10¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Liberals | bid 9¢ / ask 51¢ |
When will AP call the South Carolina Senate runoff?: Before 8:30PM Aug 25 (ask 89¢ (no bids)) — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 9:41 PM ET
Parti Québécois majority in Quebec's National Assembly?: 64 or more (bid 66¢ / ask 74¢) — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:17 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,592 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,982 | 20 | Nasdaq above/below, DJI Hourly, S&P 500 above/below, +17 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 382 | 49 | Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +46 more |
| 📊 Economics | 181 | 11 | New Jersey gas price this week, US gas price up, New Jersey gas prices, +8 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 47 | 6 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Album be runner up this week?, Billboard Top 200 #1, +3 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.