📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 16 at 8:30 AM ET through Aug 17 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 189 unique markets across 13 new events, plus 3,840 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
EV commodity prices on Aug 17, 2026: Above 1163.70 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above 1223.70 bid 91¢ / ask 96¢, Above 1253.70 bid 28¢ / ask 53¢
Trump's approval rating on Aug 17, 2026?: 39.3 bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, 39.1 bid 43¢ / ask 44¢, Above 39.4 bid 6¢ / ask 9¢
Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $5.400 bid 91¢ / ask 99¢, Above $5.430 bid 80¢ / ask 99¢, Above $5.435 bid 79¢ / ask 99¢
Dancing with the Stars S35: Contestants: Taylor Hanson bid 7¢ (no asks), Harry Shum Jr. bid 7¢ (no asks), Giada De Laurentiis bid 6¢ (no asks)
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
All New Events
🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 9 markets
Trump's approval rating on Aug 17, 2026? — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 39.4 | bid 6¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 39.4 | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 39.3 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 39.2 | bid 7¢ / ask 20¢ |
| 39.1 | bid 43¢ / ask 44¢ |
| 39.0 | bid 10¢ / ask 16¢ |
| 38.9 | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 38.8 | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Below 38.8 | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
📊 Economics — 3 events, 57 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.495 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.490 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.485 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.480 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.475 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.470 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.465 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.460 | — |
| Above $5.455 | — |
| Above $5.450 | — |
| Above $5.445 | bid 20¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.440 | — |
| Above $5.435 | bid 79¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.430 | bid 80¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.425 | — |
| Above $5.420 | — |
| Above $5.415 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.410 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.405 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.400 | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.395 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Diesel prices this week — 21 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 17, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
EV commodity prices on Aug 17, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1303.70 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1293.70 | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1283.70 | ask 70¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1273.70 | ask 59¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1263.70 | bid 3¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 1253.70 | bid 28¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 1243.70 | bid 24¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above 1233.70 | bid 31¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 1223.70 | bid 91¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 1213.70 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1203.70 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1193.70 | bid 67¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1183.70 | bid 68¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1173.70 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1163.70 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 48 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 18, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: मेरा रंग दे बसंती चोला, Tiranga, Tera Mera Rishta, Sunflower, Shararat, Maa Tujhhe Salaam (Maa Tujhhe Salaam / Soundtrack Version), Kargil Vijay Diwas Special - Aye Watan Aye Watan | Jalwa Jalwa | Hindustan Ki Kasam | Hindi Song, KALYANI (Remix), Jalwa Jalwa, Golden, Des Rangila, Dai Dai, Aye Watan Tere Liye, Aye Mere Watan Ke Logon, Aisa Des Hai Mera
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 18, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: मेरा रंग दे बसंती चोला, Tiranga, Tera Mera Rishta, Sunflower, Shararat, Maa Tujhhe Salaam (Maa Tujhhe Salaam / Soundtrack Version), Kargil Vijay Diwas Special - Aye Watan Aye Watan | Jalwa Jalwa | Hindustan Ki Kasam | Hindi Song, KALYANI (Remix), Jalwa Jalwa, Golden, Des Rangila, Dai Dai, Aye Watan Tere Liye, Aye Mere Watan Ke Logon, Aisa Des Hai Mera
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 18, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026, Sunflower, Reap What You Sow, Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, Janice STFU, ICONIC BY MISTAKE, Golden, Ghetto Love Story, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, Be My Friend (The Verity Band), Beat It, Anuel AA | Donde Hubo Fuego Cenizas Quedan (Video Oficial)
Dancing with the Stars S35: Contestants — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 16, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Giada De Laurentiis | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Harry Shum Jr. | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Taylor Hanson | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
💹 Financials — 5 events, 75 markets
30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 18, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 18, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 18, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 18, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 18, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
3,840 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,310 | 6 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +3 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 380 | 47 | Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +44 more |
| 📊 Economics | 135 | 9 | CPI-U index in [month], TSA check-ins this week, US gas price up, +6 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 15 | 1 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.