📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 19 at 8:30 AM ET through Aug 20 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 807 unique markets across 60 new events, plus 4,067 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
EV commodity prices on Aug 20, 2026: Above 1191.85 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above 1201.85 bid 90¢ / ask 97¢, Above 1241.85 bid 1¢ / ask 46¢
US defaults before 2029?: Defaults — bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Will the Treasury purchase Bitcoin?: Before Jan 1, 2028 bid 13¢ / ask 14¢, Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?: above 13,500,000 bid 96¢ / ask 97¢, above 13,750,000 bid 91¢ / ask 96¢, above 14,800,000 bid 37¢ / ask 43¢
The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year: Big Walk — bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Will US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027?: Above 84.0% — bid 34¢ / ask 37¢
Minnesota Republican Governor primary recount: margin shift?: Lindell gains 1 to 10 bid 4¢ / ask 7¢, Demuth gains 1 to 10 bid 4¢ / ask 7¢, Lindell gains 11 to 40 bid 3¢ / ask 7¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Closest House race in 2026?
- How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?
- Minnesota Republican Governor primary recount: margin shift?
- Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029?
- When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?
- When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority?
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
- Will the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 10am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 11am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 12pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 1pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 2pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 3pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- X Money APY at end of 2026
- How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law?
- How many states will enact a minimum wage increase in 2027?
- NYC teachers' aides paid the Respect Check before Feb 2027?
- Trump's approval rating on Aug 20, 2026?
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?
- Which Senators will vote for Heidi Overton?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028?
- Will the Treasury purchase Bitcoin?
- Will Trump make a recess appointment?
- America’s Got Talent Season 21: Quarterfinal 2 Elimination
- America’s Got Talent Season 21: Quarterfinal 3 Elimination
- America’s Got Talent Season 21: Quarterfinal 4 Elimination
- Grammy winner: Album of the Year
- How many #1 songs in 2026?
- How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
- MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 21, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 21, 2026
- The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 21, 2026
- Who will be featured on Trippie Redd's next album?
- Who will have a #1 album this year?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- EV commodity prices on Aug 20, 2026
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- How high will Tokenized Treasuries climb this year?
- SOFR at end of Q3 2026
- South Dakota corn yield in 2026
- US building permits for August
- US defaults before 2028?
- US defaults before 2029?
- US defaults before 2030?
- US housing starts for August
- US SPR level for the week ending August 21, 2026
- Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
- Will Canada inflation be above Euro Area inflation in August?
- Will UK inflation be above Euro Area inflation in August?
- Will US core inflation be above UK core inflation in August?
- Will US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027?
- Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027?
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 8 events, 103 markets
Closest House race in 2026? — 34 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 2:36 PM ET
Tracking: WI-03, WI-01, VA-01, TX-35, TX-34, TX-23, TX-15, SC-01, PA-01, OH-09, NY-21, NY-17, NV-02, NC-11, NC-01, MT-01, MN-01, MI-10, MI-07, MI-04, ME-02, IA-03, IA-02, FL-25, FL-22, +9 more
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? — 24 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 7:32 PM ET
View market options (24 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yvette Cooper | bid 1¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Wes Streeting | bid 2¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Shabana Mahmood | bid 2¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Richard Tice | bid 1¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Rachel Reeves | bid 1¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Robert Jenrick | bid 2¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Pat McFadden | bid 1¢ / ask 70¢ |
| No new person | bid 2¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Nigel Farage | bid 2¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Mel Stride | bid 1¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Lucy Powell | bid 1¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Lisa Nandy | bid 1¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Louise Haigh | bid 2¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Keir Starmer | bid 1¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Kemi Badenoch | bid 2¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Jonathan Reynolds | bid 1¢ / ask 70¢ |
| John Healey | bid 1¢ / ask 70¢ |
| James Cleverly | bid 1¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Emma Reynolds | bid 1¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Ed Miliband | bid 1¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Ed Davey | bid 1¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Bridget Phillipson | bid 1¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Boris Johnson | bid 1¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Angela Rayner | bid 2¢ / ask 70¢ |
How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026? — 11 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET
When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET
Tracking: Before Nov 19, Before Nov 14, Before Nov 7, Before Nov 5, Before 4AM Nov 4, Before 1AM Nov 4, Before Nov 4, Before 11PM Nov 3, Before Jan 5, Before Dec 3
Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029? — 8 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET
Tracking: Vice President, State Legislator, U.S. Senator, U.S. Representative, President, Mayor, Governor, Cabinet Secretary
When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority? — 8 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 2:37 PM ET
Tracking: Before Nov 14, Before Nov 11, Before Nov 6, Before 4AM Nov 4, Before 1AM Nov 4, Before Nov 4, Before 11PM Nov 3, Before Jan 1
Minnesota Republican Governor primary recount: margin shift? — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 4:01 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Lindell gains 41 or more | bid 7¢ / ask 16¢ |
| No change | bid 41¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Lindell gains 1 to 10 | bid 4¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Demuth gains 1 to 10 | bid 4¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Lindell gains 11 to 40 | bid 3¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Demuth gains 11 to 40 | bid 3¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Demuth gains 41 or more | bid 8¢ / ask 16¢ |
Will the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?: Yes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 2:37 PM ET
💹 Financials — 8 events, 426 markets
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 4pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,570 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,565 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,560 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,555 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,550 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,545 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,540 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,535 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,530 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,525 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,520 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,515 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,510 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,505 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,500 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,495 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,490 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,485 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,480 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,475 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,470 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,465 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,460 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,455 | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
| At least $53,450 | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 3pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,570 | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,565 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,560 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,555 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,550 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,545 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,540 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,535 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,530 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,525 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,520 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,515 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,510 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,505 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,500 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,495 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,490 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,485 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,480 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,475 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,470 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,465 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,460 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,455 | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
| At least $53,450 | bid 43¢ / ask 63¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 2pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,570 | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,565 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,560 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,555 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,550 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,545 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,540 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,535 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,530 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,525 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,520 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,515 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,510 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,505 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,500 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,495 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,490 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,485 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,480 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,475 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,470 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,465 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,460 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,455 | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
| At least $53,450 | bid 43¢ / ask 63¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 1pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,570 | bid 24¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $53,565 | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,560 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,555 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,550 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,545 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,540 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,535 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,530 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,525 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,520 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,515 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,510 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,505 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,500 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,495 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,490 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,485 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,480 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,475 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,470 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,465 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,460 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,455 | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
| At least $53,450 | bid 43¢ / ask 63¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 12pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,570 | bid 24¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $53,565 | bid 24¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $53,560 | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,555 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,550 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,545 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,540 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,535 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,530 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,525 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,520 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,515 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,510 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,505 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,500 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,495 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,490 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,485 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,480 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,475 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,470 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,465 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,460 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,455 | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
| At least $53,450 | bid 43¢ / ask 63¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 11am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,570 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,565 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,560 | last 10¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,555 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,550 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,545 | — |
| At least $53,540 | — |
| At least $53,535 | — |
| At least $53,530 | — |
| At least $53,525 | — |
| At least $53,520 | — |
| At least $53,515 | — |
| At least $53,510 | — |
| At least $53,505 | — |
| At least $53,500 | — |
| At least $53,495 | — |
| At least $53,490 | — |
| At least $53,485 | — |
| At least $53,480 | — |
| At least $53,475 | — |
| At least $53,470 | — |
| At least $53,465 | — |
| At least $53,460 | — |
| At least $53,455 | — |
| At least $53,450 | — |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 10am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,570 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,565 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,560 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,555 | last 13¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,550 | last 14¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,545 | last 15¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,540 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,535 | last 15¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,530 | last 13¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,525 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,520 | last 18¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,515 | last 14¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,510 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,505 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,500 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,495 | ask 80¢ (no bids) |
| At least $53,490 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,485 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least $53,480 | — |
| At least $53,475 | — |
| At least $53,470 | — |
| At least $53,465 | — |
| At least $53,460 | — |
| At least $53,455 | — |
| At least $53,450 | — |
+ 35 more
X Money APY at end of 2026 — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 7:28 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 12 events, 51 markets
Which Senators will vote for Heidi Overton? — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 4:46 PM ET
Tracking: Thom Tillis, Tim Kaine, Susan Collins, Rand Paul, Ruben Gallego, Mitch McConnell, Maggie Hassan, Lisa Murkowski, John Fetterman, Bill Cassidy
Trump's approval rating on Aug 20, 2026? — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 39.5 | bid 61¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 39.5 | ask 79¢ (no bids) |
| 39.4 | ask 79¢ (no bids) |
| 39.3 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 39.2 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 39.1 | ask 35¢ (no bids) |
| 39.0 | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| 38.9 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Below 38.9 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term? — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 5:39 PM ET
Tracking: XRP, Solana, Hyperliquid, Ethereum, Dogecoin, Cardano, Bitcoin
How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law? — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 2:38 PM ET
When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 4:45 PM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2027, Before Feb 1, 2028, Before Dec 1, 2026, Before Aug 1, 2027, Before Apr 1, 2027
How many states will enact a minimum wage increase in 2027? — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 2:38 PM ET
Will Trump make a recess appointment? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 2:38 PM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 21, 2029, Before Jan 1, 2028, Before Jan 1, 2027
Will the Treasury purchase Bitcoin? — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:07 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
NYC teachers' aides paid the Respect Check before Feb 2027?: Before Feb 1, 2027 (bid 4¢ / ask 60¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 10:53 PM ET
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?: Ari Fleischer (last 2¢ (book empty)) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 10:32 PM ET
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?: Dan J. Sullivan — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:19 PM ET
Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028?: Yes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 13 events, 134 markets
Who will be featured on Trippie Redd's next album? — 22 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:16 PM ET
View market options (22 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Young Thug | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Yeat | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| The Weeknd | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Travis Scott | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Sexyy Red | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Swae Lee | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Ski Mask The Slump God | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Rema | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Quavo | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Playboi Carti | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| PARTYNEXTDOOR | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Lil Wayne | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Lil Uzi Vert | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Key Glock | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Kodak Black | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| GloRilla | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Future | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Drake | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Doja Cat | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Chris Brown | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| BigXThaPlug | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| 21 Savage | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform — 20 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 11:40 AM ET
View market options (20 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zara Larsson | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Yung Lean | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Taylor Swift | bid 5¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Tate McRae | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Stella Lefty | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Shakira | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Sabrina Carpenter | bid 5¢ / ask 85¢ |
| PinkPantheress | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Olivia Dean | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Madonna | bid 5¢ / ask 85¢ |
| LISA | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Lady Gaga | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Any member of KATSEYE | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Any member of GENER8ION | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Doja Cat | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Any member of CORTIS | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Bruno Mars | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Billie Eilish | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Bad Bunny | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Ariana Grande | bid 5¢ / ask 85¢ |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 21, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: เพราะพี่รักจริง, Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026, Tera Mera Rishta, Sunflower, Shararat, Sebebi Yar, Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KALYANI (Remix), Jaiye Sajana, Golden, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat, Barbaadi
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 21, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: เพราะพี่รักจริง, Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026, Tera Mera Rishta, Sunflower, Shararat, Sebebi Yar, Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KALYANI (Remix), Jaiye Sajana, Golden, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat, Barbaadi
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 21, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026, Sunflower, Pooh Shiesty - Reap What You Sow [Official Audio], Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, Janice STFU, ICONIC BY MISTAKE, Golden, Ghetto Love Story, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, Big Guy, Be My Friend (The Verity Band), Beat It
America’s Got Talent Season 21: Quarterfinal 4 Elimination — 11 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 6:01 PM ET
Tracking: Young and Strange, Unitree, Tyrone and Margo, Travis Garland, Rubén Roldán, Lara D, Jesse Joe, Cesar Dias, Cameron Logsdon, Bird and Byron, Akira
America’s Got Talent Season 21: Quarterfinal 3 Elimination — 11 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 5:47 PM ET
Tracking: Pynk Beard, Maria, Lai Noelle, Kameron Marshall, Isaac Atkins, Holland and Sienna, Herwan Legaillard, Guy Kelton Jones, Elsie, Daniel Alvarez, Acro Canine Crew
America’s Got Talent Season 21: Quarterfinal 2 Elimination — 11 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:34 PM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Veronika Goroshkova | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Patrox | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Nyjah Music and Zyah Rhythm | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Nene Royal | bid 3¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Mackenzie Sol | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| LaRussell | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Geno Ploeger | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Come Here | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Butter and Grit | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Brad and Tracy | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Bety | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season? — 8 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 10:13 AM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 14,800,000 | bid 37¢ / ask 43¢ |
| above 14,700,000 | bid 45¢ / ask 51¢ |
| above 14,600,000 | bid 58¢ / ask 65¢ |
| above 14,500,000 | bid 73¢ / ask 79¢ |
| above 14,250,000 | bid 79¢ / ask 86¢ |
| above 14,000,000 | bid 86¢ / ask 93¢ |
| above 13,750,000 | bid 91¢ / ask 96¢ |
| above 13,500,000 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
Who will have a #1 album this year? — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 11:12 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Dahi | bid 60¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Victoria Monet | bid 30¢ / ask 49¢ |
How many #1 songs in 2026? — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| More than 15 | bid 51¢ / ask 59¢ |
| More than 16 | bid 41¢ / ask 48¢ |
The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year: Big Walk (bid 1¢ / ask 3¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET
Grammy winner: Album of the Year: Lost Weekend (bid 6¢ / ask 11¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 11:03 AM ET
📊 Economics — 19 events, 93 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.600 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.595 | — |
| Above $5.590 | — |
| Above $5.585 | — |
| Above $5.580 | — |
| Above $5.575 | — |
| Above $5.570 | — |
| Above $5.565 | — |
| Above $5.560 | — |
| Above $5.555 | — |
| Above $5.550 | — |
| Above $5.545 | — |
| Above $5.540 | — |
| Above $5.535 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.530 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.525 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.520 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.515 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.510 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.505 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.500 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
EV commodity prices on Aug 20, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1281.85 | ask 42¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1271.85 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1261.85 | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1251.85 | ask 45¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1241.85 | bid 1¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above 1231.85 | bid 8¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 1221.85 | bid 29¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 1211.85 | bid 30¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 1201.85 | bid 90¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1191.85 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1181.85 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1171.85 | bid 90¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1161.85 | bid 66¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1151.85 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1141.85 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
US SPR level for the week ending August 21, 2026 — 14 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
View market strikes (14 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 297M | — |
| Above 296M | — |
| Above 295M | — |
| Above 294M | — |
| Above 293M | — |
| Above 292M | — |
| Above 291M | bid 7¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 290M | bid 19¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 289M | — |
| Above 288M | bid 50¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Above 287M | bid 64¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 286M | bid 75¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 285M | — |
| Above 284M | — |
US housing starts for August — 8 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 9:19 AM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1.500M | bid 2¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above 1.450M | bid 3¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Above 1.400M | bid 4¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Above 1.350M | bid 6¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Above 1.300M | bid 21¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 1.250M | bid 34¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 1.200M | bid 46¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.150M | bid 51¢ / ask 98¢ |
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026 — 7 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 80,000 jobs | — |
| Above 85,000 jobs | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Above 86,000 jobs | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| Above 87,000 jobs | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 88,000 jobs | — |
| Above 89,000 jobs | — |
| Above 90,000 jobs | — |
US building permits for August — 7 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 9:49 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1.550M | bid 3¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 1.500M | bid 5¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above 1.450M | bid 5¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Above 1.400M | bid 33¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 1.350M | bid 62¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 1.300M | bid 75¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 1.250M | bid 80¢ / ask 98¢ |
South Dakota corn yield in 2026 — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 3:09 PM ET
Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 2:35 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 260,000 jobs | bid 49¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Above 255,000 jobs | bid 68¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above 250,000 jobs | bid 82¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 245,000 jobs | bid 87¢ / ask 94¢ |
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026? — 3 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 2:58 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 91,500 MW | bid 76¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 92,500 MW | bid 35¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above 93,000 MW | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
US defaults before 2030?: Defaults (bid 7¢ / ask 18¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:37 PM ET
US defaults before 2029?: Defaults (bid 7¢ / ask 8¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:27 PM ET
US defaults before 2028?: Defaults (bid 4¢ / ask 27¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:17 PM ET
Will US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027?: Above 84.0% (bid 34¢ / ask 37¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:06 PM ET
Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027?: Above 3.7% (bid 22¢ / ask 28¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 4:44 PM ET
SOFR at end of Q3 2026: Above 3.25% (bid 86¢ / ask 99¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET
How high will Tokenized Treasuries climb this year?: Above 20 Billion — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 3:07 PM ET
Will UK inflation be above Euro Area inflation in August?: United Kingdom higher? (bid 2¢ / ask 55¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 12:18 PM ET
Will Canada inflation be above Euro Area inflation in August?: Canada higher? (bid 45¢ / ask 87¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 12:04 PM ET
Will US core inflation be above UK core inflation in August?: United States Core Inflation Rate YoY (bid 5¢ / ask 56¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 9:59 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,067 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,272 | 7 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, USDSEK Weekly, +4 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 395 | 50 | Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +47 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 359 | 13 | What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, +10 more |
| 📊 Economics | 41 | 4 | US gas price up, South Africa retail sales MoM, South Africa MoM inflation, +1 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.