📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 01 at 6:30 PM ET through Jul 02 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 121 unique markets across 13 new events, plus 359 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
When will Ferrari deliver the Ferrari Luce?: Before May 1, 2027 bid 90¢ / ask 91¢, Before Jun 1, 2027 bid 92¢ / ask 94¢, Before Mar 1, 2027 bid 87¢ / ask 90¢
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026): At least 50 bid 84¢ / ask 85¢, At least 30 bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, At least 90 bid 14¢ / ask 16¢
Who will have a #1 album this year?: ENHYPEN bid 33¢ / ask 34¢, Madonna bid 30¢ / ask 48¢
How many launches will SpaceX have in July?: Above 10 bid 96¢ / ask 97¢, Above 11 bid 93¢ / ask 94¢
Companies removed from the Nasdaq-100 in Q3?: Workday bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Thomson Reuters Corporation bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Strategy bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Companies removed from the S&P 500 in Q3?: The Trade Desk bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Solventum Corporation bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Norwegian Cruise Line bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Which companies will be added to the Nasdaq-100 in Q3?: Zscaler bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Viking Therapeutics bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, The Trade Desk bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Love Island UK: Thursday Elimination
- Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film
- Who will have a #1 album this year?
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 2 markets
How many launches will SpaceX have in July? — 2 brackets — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 10:04 PM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 11 | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 1 event, 5 markets
What will the peak RONI value be for the NDJ 2026-27 quarter? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 02, 2026 at 5:07 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 2.0°C | bid 12¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Below 0.5°C | bid 12¢ / ask 21¢ |
| 1.5°C to 1.9°C | bid 12¢ / ask 21¢ |
| 1.0°C to 1.4°C | bid 12¢ / ask 21¢ |
| 0.5°C to 0.9°C | bid 12¢ / ask 21¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 8 markets
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026) — 8 brackets — listed Jul 02, 2026 at 10:36 AM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 90 | bid 14¢ / ask 16¢ |
| At least 80 | bid 20¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least 70 | bid 33¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least 60 | bid 56¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least 50 | bid 84¢ / ask 85¢ |
| At least 30 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| At least 100 | bid 9¢ / ask 11¢ |
| At least 40 | bid 86¢ / ask 91¢ |
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 13 markets
Which ballot measures will pass in California? — 13 outcomes — listed Jul 02, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET
View market options (13 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Proposition 45 | bid 41¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Proposition 44 | bid 34¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Proposition 43 | bid 36¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Proposition 42 | bid 41¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Proposition 41 | bid 37¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Proposition 39 | bid 16¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Proposition 38 | bid 46¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Proposition 37 | bid 53¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Proposition 5 | bid 50¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Proposition 4 | bid 36¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Proposition 3 | bid 66¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Proposition 2 | bid 70¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Proposition 1 | bid 75¢ / ask 80¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 30 markets
Love Island UK: Thursday Elimination — 26 outcomes — listed Jul 02, 2026 at 10:25 AM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yasmine | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Will | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Tommy | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Simba | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sean | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Samraj | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Priya | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Olivia | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| NONE | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Nevaeh | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Mica | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Martha | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Mara | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Lorenzo | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Lola | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kavan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Julia | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jordon | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jasmine | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Finley | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Ellie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Charleen | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Carlos | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Angelista | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Aidan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
+ 1 more outcome
Who will have a #1 album this year? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 02, 2026 at 10:34 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Madonna | bid 30¢ / ask 48¢ |
| ENHYPEN | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 02, 2026 at 10:19 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Once Upon a Time in Harlem | bid 62¢ / ask 69¢ |
| American Doctor | bid 61¢ / ask 69¢ |
💹 Financials — 6 events, 63 markets
Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q3? — 22 outcomes — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 6:55 PM ET
View market options (22 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Venture Global | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Toast | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Talen Energy | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| SpaceX | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| SoFi | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Snowflake | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| bid 34¢ / ask 35¢ | |
| Roblox | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Pure Storage | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Cloudflare | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Strategy (MicroStrategy) | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Guidewire Software | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Duolingo | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Curtiss-Wright Corporation | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| CoreWeave | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Circle Internet Group | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Cerebras | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Casey's General Stores | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| BWX Technologies | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Bloom Energy | bid 28¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Alnylam Pharmaceuticals | bid 29¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Affirm Holdings | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Companies removed from the S&P 500 in Q3? — 12 outcomes — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 9:22 PM ET
View market options (12 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| The Trade Desk | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Solventum Corporation | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Norwegian Cruise Line | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| LyondellBasell Industries | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Intel | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Hasbro | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Electronic Arts | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Dow | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Dollar Tree | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Deckers Outdoor Corporation | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Charter Communications | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| AvalonBay Communities | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
Which companies will be added to the Nasdaq-100 in Q3? — 11 outcomes — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 7:27 PM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zscaler | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Viking Therapeutics | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| The Trade Desk | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Tempus AI | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ | |
| Roblox | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| GlobalFoundries | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Carvana | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Cerebras Systems | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Anthropic | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
Companies removed from the Nasdaq-100 in Q3? — 9 outcomes — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 10:01 PM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Workday | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Strategy | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Kraft Heinz | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| GE HealthCare | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Electronic Arts | bid 21¢ / ask 22¢ |
| DexCom | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Copart | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Baker Hughes | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
When will Ferrari deliver the Ferrari Luce? — 8 outcomes — listed Jul 02, 2026 at 1:25 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before May 1, 2027 | bid 90¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | bid 87¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | bid 92¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 81¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | bid 84¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 89¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 56¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 76¢ / ask 79¢ |
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 101.1382 — listed Jul 02, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
359 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 296 | 43 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, St Petersburg Rain Monthly, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, +40 more |
| 📊 Economics | 53 | 6 | US gas price up, Employment Combo, Weekly initial jobless claims, +3 more |
| 💹 Financials | 6 | 1 | USD/BRL Max Monthly |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 4 | 4 | WHICH SONG WILL BE NUMBER THIS MONTH, RUNNER UP NETFLIX SHOW, RUNNER UP NETFLIX MOVIE, +1 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.