📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 10 at 8:30 AM ET through Jul 11 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 442 unique markets across 50 new events, plus 282 recurring bracket markets.

📊 Economics
1 event
2 markets
🏛️ Politics
3 events
6 markets
🗳️ Elections
7 events
46 markets
🌤️ Climate and Weather
10 events
100 markets
💹 Financials
14 events
17 markets
🎬 Entertainment
15 events
271 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

2026 FIFA World Cup Final: Attendance: Zendaya bid 58¢ / ask 59¢, Victoria Beckham bid 60¢ / ask 61¢, Travis Kelce bid 49¢ / ask 50¢

Love Island UK S13: 2nd place couple: Julia and Lorenzo bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Jasmine and Kavan ask 95¢ (no bids)

How many Cabinet nominees will be confirmed before the August recess? : 3 bid 27¢ / ask 28¢, 2 bid 49¢ / ask 50¢, 1 bid 15¢ / ask 16¢

Who will acquire Letterboxd?: Netflix bid 55¢ / ask 56¢, Paramount bid 10¢ / ask 13¢, Sony Pictures bid 22¢ / ask 28¢

Big Brother Season 28 · Week 1 elimination: Yash Patel bid 34¢ / ask 35¢, Taylor Brown bid 28¢ / ask 29¢, Rick Devens bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

📊 Economics
🏛️ Politics
🗳️ Elections
🌤️ Climate and Weather
💹 Financials
🎬 Entertainment

All New Events

📊 Economics — 1 event, 2 markets

Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026 — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 10, 2026 at 10:14 AM ET

🏛️ Politics — 3 events, 6 markets

View market options (4 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
3bid 27¢ / ask 28¢
2bid 49¢ / ask 50¢
1bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
0bid 8¢ / ask 9¢

Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?: Before Aug 8, 2026 (bid 47¢ / ask 48¢) — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 2:10 PM ET

Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/10-7/17)?: Above 40.8% (bid 43¢ / ask 46¢) — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

🗳️ Elections — 7 events, 46 markets

View market options (22 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Raphaël Glucksmannbid 50¢ / ask 51¢
Olivier Faurebid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Nicolas Dupont-Aignanbid 63¢ / ask 64¢
Nathalie Arthaudbid 90¢ / ask 91¢
Marine Tondelierbid 26¢ / ask 27¢
Marine Le Penbid 90¢ / ask 91¢
Karim Bouamranebid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Jean-Luc Mélenchonbid 95¢ / ask 96¢
Jérôme Guedjbid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Jordan Bardellabid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Gérald Darmaninbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Gabriel Attalbid 41¢ / ask 42¢
François Ruffinbid 31¢ / ask 32¢
Fabien Rousselbid 78¢ / ask 79¢
François Hollandebid 23¢ / ask 24¢
François Asselineaubid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Éric Zemmourbid 73¢ / ask 74¢
Édouard Philippebid 90¢ / ask 91¢
Dominique de Villepinbid 46¢ / ask 47¢
Clémentine Autainbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Bruno Retailleaubid 82¢ / ask 83¢
Bernard Cazeneuvebid 8¢ / ask 9¢
View market options (13 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Sébastien Lecornubid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Raphaël Glucksmannbid 14¢ / ask 15¢
Olivier Faurebid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Marine Le Penbid 80¢ / ask 81¢
Jean-Luc Mélenchonbid 31¢ / ask 32¢
Jordan Bardellabid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Gabriel Attalbid 16¢ / ask 17¢
François Hollandebid 5¢ / ask 7¢
Édouard Philippebid 41¢ / ask 42¢
Élisabeth Bornebid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Dominique de Villepinbid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Bruno Retailleaubid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Bernard Cazeneuvebid 4¢ / ask 5¢
View market options (7 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Raphaël Glucksmannbid 13¢ / ask 14¢
Philippe Brunbid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Olivier Faurebid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Jérôme Guedjbid 15¢ / ask 16¢
François Hollandebid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Boris Vallaudbid 14¢ / ask 15¢
Bernard Cazeneuvebid 11¢ / ask 12¢

2028 Democratic presidential nominee: Abdul El-Sayed (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 7:12 PM ET

Will Mamdani run for re-election?: Yes (bid 78¢ / ask 79¢) — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 2:23 PM ET

Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/10-7/17)?: Above 5.9% (bid 58¢ / ask 59¢) — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Will the French United Left primary be canceled?: Yes (bid 71¢ / ask 72¢) — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 9:03 AM ET

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 10 events, 100 markets

Washington DC temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

Los Angeles temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

Austin temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

Chicago temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

New York City temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 10am EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
83° or above
82° or above
81° or aboveask 90¢ (no bids)
80° or aboveask 90¢ (no bids)
79° or above
78° or above
77° or above
76° or above
75° or above
74° or abovebid 10¢ (no asks)
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
69° or aboveask 6¢ (no bids)
68° or abovebid 10¢ / ask 18¢
67° or abovebid 60¢ / ask 69¢
66° or abovebid 88¢ / ask 97¢
65° or abovebid 93¢ (no asks)
64° or abovebid 93¢ (no asks)
63° or abovebid 93¢ (no asks)
62° or abovebid 93¢ (no asks)
61° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
60° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
81° or above
80° or above
79° or above
78° or above
77° or above
76° or above
75° or abovebid 10¢ (no asks)
74° or abovebid 10¢ (no asks)
73° or abovebid 10¢ (no asks)
72° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
77° or above
76° or above
75° or aboveask 49¢ (no bids)
74° or abovebid 1¢ / ask 11¢
73° or abovebid 2¢ / ask 41¢
72° or abovebid 58¢ / ask 77¢
71° or abovebid 32¢ / ask 97¢
70° or abovebid 10¢ (no asks)
69° or abovebid 10¢ (no asks)
68° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
78° or aboveask 5¢ (no bids)
77° or aboveask 8¢ (no bids)
76° or abovebid 32¢ / ask 42¢
75° or abovebid 88¢ / ask 95¢
74° or abovebid 98¢ (no asks)
73° or abovebid 92¢ / ask 99¢
72° or abovebid 94¢ / ask 99¢
71° or abovebid 92¢ / ask 99¢
70° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
69° or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)

💹 Financials — 14 events, 17 markets

Who will acquire Letterboxd? — 3 outcomes — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 10:47 AM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Sony Picturesbid 22¢ / ask 28¢
Paramountbid 10¢ / ask 13¢
Netflixbid 55¢ / ask 56¢
View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Nov 1, 2026bid 76¢ / ask 84¢
Before Dec 1, 2026bid 84¢ / ask 92¢

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

🎬 Entertainment — 15 events, 271 markets

Love Island UK S13: 3rd place couple — 61 outcomes — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 3:14 PM ET

View market options (25 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Mica and Jordon
Mica and Tommy S
Mica and Ethan
Angelista and Kavan
Angelista and Jordon
Angelista and Tommy S
Angelista and Ethan
Ellie and Kavan
Ellie and Jordon
Ellie and Tommy S
Ellie and Ethan
Jasmine and Kavanask 93¢ (no bids)
Jasmine and Jordon
Jasmine and Tommy S
Jasmine and Ethan
Lola and Kavan
Lola and Jordon
Lola and Tommy S
Lola and Ethan
Yasmine and Kavan
Yasmine and Jordon
Yasmine and Tommy S
Yasmine and Ethan
Priya and Aidan
Priya and Sean

+ 36 more outcomes

Love Island UK S13: 2nd place couple — 61 outcomes — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 3:09 PM ET

View market options (25 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Mica and Jordon
Mica and Tommy S
Mica and Ethan
Angelista and Kavan
Angelista and Jordon
Angelista and Tommy S
Angelista and Ethan
Ellie and Kavan
Ellie and Jordon
Ellie and Tommy S
Ellie and Ethan
Jasmine and Kavanask 95¢ (no bids)
Jasmine and Jordon
Jasmine and Tommy S
Jasmine and Ethan
Lola and Kavan
Lola and Jordon
Lola and Tommy S
Lola and Ethan
Yasmine and Kavan
Yasmine and Jordon
Yasmine and Tommy S
Yasmine and Ethan
Priya and Aidan
Priya and Sean

+ 36 more outcomes

Love Island UK S13: Top 3 couples — 60 outcomes — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 3:20 PM ET

View market options (25 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Mica and Jordon
Mica and Tommy S
Mica and Ethan
Angelista and Kavan
Angelista and Jordon
Angelista and Tommy S
Angelista and Ethan
Ellie and Kavan
Ellie and Jordon
Ellie and Tommy S
Ellie and Ethan
Jasmine and Jordon
Jasmine and Tommy S
Jasmine and Ethan
Lola and Kavan
Lola and Jordon
Lola and Tommy S
Lola and Ethan
Yasmine and Kavan
Yasmine and Jordon
Yasmine and Tommy S
Yasmine and Ethan
Priya and Aidan
Priya and Sean
Priya and Samraj

+ 35 more outcomes

2026 FIFA World Cup Final: Attendance — 21 outcomes — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 4:24 PM ET

View market options (21 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Zendayabid 58¢ / ask 59¢
Victoria Beckhambid 60¢ / ask 61¢
Travis Kelcebid 49¢ / ask 50¢
Travis Scottbid 22¢ / ask 23¢
Tom Hollandbid 51¢ / ask 52¢
Tom Cruisebid 49¢ / ask 51¢
Timothée Chalametbid 56¢ / ask 57¢
Tom Bradybid 79¢ / ask 80¢
Taylor Swiftbid 38¢ / ask 39¢
Ryan Reynoldsbid 52¢ / ask 54¢
Rihannabid 30¢ / ask 31¢
Paris Hiltonbid 43¢ / ask 44¢
Leonardo DiCapriobid 22¢ / ask 23¢
LeBron Jamesbid 40¢ / ask 41¢
Kylie Jennerbid 34¢ / ask 35¢
Kim Kardashianbid 55¢ / ask 56¢
Kendall Jennerbid 49¢ / ask 50¢
Jay-Zbid 71¢ / ask 72¢
Drakebid 38¢ / ask 39¢
David Beckhambid 71¢ / ask 72¢
Brad Pittbid 44¢ / ask 45¢

Love Island UK S13: Winning couple — 19 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 10, 2026 at 2:46 PM ET

Tracking: Mica and Ethan, Angelista and Ethan, Ellie and Ethan, Jasmine and Ethan, Lola and Ethan, Yasmine and Ethan, Priya and Ethan, Julia and Ethan, Martha and Ethan, Elicia and Aidan, Elicia and Sean, Elicia and Samraj, Elicia and Lorenzo, Elicia and Kavan, Elicia and Simba, Elicia and Finley, Elicia and Jordon, Elicia and Tommy S, Elicia and Ethan

View market options (16 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Yash Patelbid 34¢ / ask 35¢
Taylor Brownbid 28¢ / ask 29¢
Rome Seymourlast 1¢ (book empty)
Rick Devensbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Melody Morrisbid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Mallory Aurichiobid 57¢ / ask 58¢
Lyric Medeirosbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
LaTrice Verrettbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Kamu Kirkbid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Jason De Puylast 1¢ (book empty)
Haley Thogmartinbid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Drew Campbellbid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Chuk Anyanwulast 1¢ (book empty)
Barrett Pfeifferbid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Ashley Trailbid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Angela Murraybid 4¢ / ask 5¢

#3 song on Spotify in 2026? — 7 outcomes — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 1:19 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
hate that i made you love mebid 1¢ / ask 10¢
the curebid 1¢ / ask 9¢
drop deadbid 1¢ / ask 10¢
stupidbid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Billie Jeanbid 12¢ / ask 28¢
Earringsbid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Self Awarebid 1¢ / ask 9¢

#2 Song on Spotify in 2026? — 6 outcomes — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 12:19 PM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
the curebid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Billie Jeanbid 11¢ / ask 28¢
stupid songbid 1¢ / ask 9¢
drop deadbid 1¢ / ask 9¢
hate that i made you love mebid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Self Awarebid 1¢ / ask 10¢

Top Song on Spotify in 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 12:11 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
stupid songbid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Billie Jeanbid 19¢ / ask 33¢
the curebid 1¢ / ask 6¢
drop deadbid 1¢ / ask 6¢
hate that i made you love mebid 1¢ / ask 7¢

#2 Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026? — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 1:36 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Noah Kahanbid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Olivia Rodrigobid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Michael Jacksonbid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Ella Langleybid 1¢ / ask 7¢

#3 Artist on Spotify in 2026? — 3 outcomes — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 1:38 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Justin Bieberbid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Michael Jacksonbid 1¢ / ask 10¢
BTSbid 1¢ / ask 10¢

Oscar winner: Best Actress — 3 outcomes — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 1:29 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Julianne Moorebid 17¢ / ask 23¢
Anne hathawaybid 7¢ / ask 14¢
Mikey Madisonbid 1¢ / ask 4¢

People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026 — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 6:44 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Connor Storriebid 17¢ / ask 22¢
Hudson Williamsbid 1¢ / ask 4¢

Love Island UK S13: Winners — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 10:55 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Ethanbid 8¢ / ask 10¢
Eliciabid 4¢ / ask 8¢

Oscar nominees: Best Picture: Elsinore (bid 33¢ / ask 36¢) — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 12:09 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

282 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.