📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Apr 17 at 8:06 PM ET through Apr 18 at 8:06 PM ET). Our scan picked up 40 unique markets across 6 new events, plus 451 recurring bracket markets.

📊 Economics
1 event
15 markets
🔬 Science and Technology
2 events
17 markets
🏛️ Politics
3 events
8 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

When will FISA be reauthorized again?: Before May 3, 2026 bid 84¢ / ask 85¢, Before May 2, 2026 bid 84¢ / ask 85¢, Before Apr 29, 2026 bid 12¢ / ask 15¢

Best AI this week: Claude bid 93¢ / ask 96¢, ChatGPT bid 5¢ / ask 9¢, Muse last 1¢ (book empty)

Top Coding AI this week: Claude bid 94¢ / ask 99¢, Qwen last 1¢ (book empty), MiniMax last 1¢ (book empty)

All New Events

📊 Economics — 1 event, 15 markets

Truflation EV Commodity Index for April 20, 2026 — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Apr 18, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 2 events, 17 markets

Top Coding AI this week — 9 outcomes — listed Apr 18, 2026 at 10:34 AM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Qwenlast 1¢ (book empty)
MiniMaxlast 1¢ (book empty)
Kimilast 1¢ (book empty)
Grokask 5¢ (no bids)
GLMlast 1¢ (book empty)
Geminiask 5¢ (no bids)
Dolalast 1¢ (book empty)
Claudebid 94¢ / ask 99¢
ChatGPTask 5¢ (no bids)

Best AI this week — 8 outcomes — listed Apr 18, 2026 at 10:27 AM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Grokask 5¢ (no bids)
ChatGPTbid 5¢ / ask 9¢
Muselast 1¢ (book empty)
Geminiask 5¢ (no bids)
Dolalast 1¢ (book empty)
Claudebid 93¢ / ask 96¢
Amazon Novalast 1¢ (book empty)
Qwenlast 1¢ (book empty)

🏛️ Politics — 3 events, 8 markets

When will FISA be reauthorized again? — 5 outcomes — listed Apr 18, 2026 at 12:11 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before May 3, 2026bid 84¢ / ask 85¢
Before May 2, 2026bid 84¢ / ask 85¢
Before May 1, 2026bid 30¢ / ask 75¢
Before Apr 30, 2026bid 30¢ / ask 65¢
Before Apr 29, 2026bid 12¢ / ask 15¢

Keir Starmer Out? — 2 outcomes — listed Apr 18, 2026 at 3:17 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before May 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026 ask 95¢ (no bids)

Will Kash Patel sue The Atlantic in Apr 2026?: Before May 2026 (bid 10¢ / ask 19¢) — listed Apr 18, 2026 at 3:22 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

451 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

CategoryMarketsSeriesTop Series
🌤️ Climate and Weather24141Washington DC Daily Max Temp, New Orleans Max temp Daily, Daily High Temperature Houston, +38 more
📊 Economics1359US gas price up, Truflation AI & DePIN Index, Truflation Breakfast Commodity Index, +6 more
🎬 Entertainment634Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, +1 more
🔬 Science and Technology121Top model

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.