📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Apr 17 at 8:06 PM ET through Apr 18 at 8:06 PM ET). Our scan picked up 40 unique markets across 6 new events, plus 451 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
When will FISA be reauthorized again?: Before May 3, 2026 bid 84¢ / ask 85¢, Before May 2, 2026 bid 84¢ / ask 85¢, Before Apr 29, 2026 bid 12¢ / ask 15¢
Best AI this week: Claude bid 93¢ / ask 96¢, ChatGPT bid 5¢ / ask 9¢, Muse last 1¢ (book empty)
Top Coding AI this week: Claude bid 94¢ / ask 99¢, Qwen last 1¢ (book empty), MiniMax last 1¢ (book empty)
Will Kash Patel sue The Atlantic in Apr 2026?: Before May 2026 — bid 10¢ / ask 19¢
Keir Starmer Out?: Before Jun 1, 2026 — ask 95¢ (no bids)
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
All New Events
📊 Economics — 1 event, 15 markets
Truflation EV Commodity Index for April 20, 2026 — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Apr 18, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 2 events, 17 markets
Top Coding AI this week — 9 outcomes — listed Apr 18, 2026 at 10:34 AM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Qwen | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| MiniMax | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kimi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Grok | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| GLM | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Gemini | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Dola | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Claude | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
| ChatGPT | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
Best AI this week — 8 outcomes — listed Apr 18, 2026 at 10:27 AM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Grok | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| ChatGPT | bid 5¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Muse | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Gemini | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Dola | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Claude | bid 93¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Amazon Nova | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Qwen | last 1¢ (book empty) |
🏛️ Politics — 3 events, 8 markets
When will FISA be reauthorized again? — 5 outcomes — listed Apr 18, 2026 at 12:11 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before May 3, 2026 | bid 84¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Before May 2, 2026 | bid 84¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Before May 1, 2026 | bid 30¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Before Apr 30, 2026 | bid 30¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Before Apr 29, 2026 | bid 12¢ / ask 15¢ |
Keir Starmer Out? — 2 outcomes — listed Apr 18, 2026 at 3:17 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before May 1, 2026 | — |
| Before Jun 1, 2026 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Will Kash Patel sue The Atlantic in Apr 2026?: Before May 2026 (bid 10¢ / ask 19¢) — listed Apr 18, 2026 at 3:22 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
451 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 241 | 41 | Washington DC Daily Max Temp, New Orleans Max temp Daily, Daily High Temperature Houston, +38 more |
| 📊 Economics | 135 | 9 | US gas price up, Truflation AI & DePIN Index, Truflation Breakfast Commodity Index, +6 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 63 | 4 | Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, +1 more |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 12 | 1 | Top model |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.