Kalshi Markets: French Election, Taylor Swift, Anthropic

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 12 at 8:30 AM ET through Oct 13 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 988 unique markets across 419 new events, plus 6,610 recurring bracket markets.

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Oct 13, 2026 at 6:01 AM ET

Bracket	Price
Above $6.330	—
Above $6.325	—
Above $6.320	—
Above $6.315	—
Above $6.310	—
Above $6.305	—
Above $6.300	—
Above $6.295	—
Above $6.290	—
Above $6.285	—
Above $6.280	—
Above $6.275	—
Above $6.270	—
Above $6.265	—
Above $6.260	—
Above $6.255	—
Above $6.250	—
Above $6.245	—
Above $6.240	bid 15¢ (no asks)
Above $6.235	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.230	bid 10¢ (no asks)

EV commodity prices on Oct 13, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 1268.88	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1258.88	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1248.88	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1238.88	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1228.88	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1218.88	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Above 1208.88	bid 11¢ / ask 24¢
Above 1198.88	bid 71¢ / ask 72¢
Above 1188.88	bid 90¢ / ask 91¢
Above 1178.88	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1168.88	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1158.88	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1148.88	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1138.88	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1128.88	bid 99¢ (no asks)

Brazil inflation rate in October — 11 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:07 AM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 4.90%	bid 20¢ / ask 24¢
Above 4.80%	bid 38¢ / ask 39¢
Above 4.70%	bid 64¢ / ask 65¢
Above 4.60%	bid 85¢ / ask 86¢
Above 4.50%	bid 92¢ / ask 93¢
Above 4.40%	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above 4.30%	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 4.20%	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 4.10%	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 4.00%	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 3.90%	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

Grammy nominees: Song of the Year — 20 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 7:23 PM ET

Tracking: Die On This Hill, E85, Lost Boys, The Great Divide, Dracula (with JENNIE), Berghain, Iloveitiloveitiloveit, Boston, Oh Yeah?, Babydoll, Bring Your Love, Chanel, Everything Hallelujah, Dai Dai, Zoo, girl, get up., RUNWAY, White Feather Hawk Tail Deer Hunter, Hit the Wall, Risk It All

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Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Vocal Album — 19 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 8:27 PM ET

Outcome	Price
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love	bid 16¢ / ask 95¢
WILDCHILD	bid 5¢ / ask 78¢
WILD	bid 5¢ / ask 79¢
The Visitor	bid 5¢ / ask 79¢
Vie	bid 5¢ / ask 74¢
SWAG II	bid 5¢ / ask 73¢
The Romantic	bid 22¢ / ask 95¢
My Reckless Abandon	bid 4¢ / ask 78¢
petal	bid 5¢ / ask 50¢
THIS MUSIC MAY CONTAIN HOPE.	bid 5¢ / ask 78¢
Midnight Sun	bid 5¢ / ask 78¢
Luck... or Something	bid 6¢ / ask 73¢
The Life of a Showgirl	bid 21¢ / ask 95¢
Kiss, All The Time. Disco, Occasionally	bid 21¢ / ask 95¢
It's Not That Deep	bid 5¢ / ask 73¢
Do That Again	bid 5¢ / ask 78¢
Daughter from Hell	bid 6¢ / ask 75¢
The Art of Loving	bid 21¢ / ask 95¢
A*Pop	bid 5¢ / ask 73¢

Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance — 17 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 8:05 PM ET

Outcome	Price
What If It’s Right?	bid 5¢ / ask 73¢
Take Me Dancing (feat. SZA)	bid 5¢ / ask 75¢
Still	—
SHE DID IT AGAIN (Zara Larsson)	bid 4¢ / ask 78¢
RUNWAY	bid 22¢ / ask 96¢
Reputation (feat. Dominic Fike)	bid 4¢ / ask 78¢
Rein Me In (with Olivia Dean)	bid 19¢ / ask 96¢
Pick It Up (feat. Selena Gomez)	bid 5¢ / ask 83¢
OPEN UP YOUR HEART	bid 4¢ / ask 73¢
The Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter)	—
Hips Don’t Lie (Anniversary Version)	bid 4¢ / ask 74¢
Fire Away (feat. Slayyyter)	bid 4¢ / ask 74¢
Dracula (with JENNIE)	bid 17¢ / ask 96¢
Click Clack Symphony (feat. Hans Zimmer)	bid 4¢ / ask 78¢
Bring Your Love	bid 17¢ / ask 96¢
Beat A B!tch Up	bid 4¢ / ask 74¢
Animal	—

Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance — 16 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 8:08 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Zoo	bid 4¢ / ask 74¢
Speed Demon	bid 4¢ / ask 74¢
Sauvignon Blanc	bid 4¢ / ask 80¢
Risk It All	bid 22¢ / ask 96¢
Mature	bid 4¢ / ask 78¢
Less Than A Lover	bid 5¢ / ask 78¢
iloveitiloveitiloveit	bid 4¢ / ask 78¢
Hit The Wall	bid 5¢ / ask 74¢
Here All Night	bid 3¢ / ask 74¢
hate that i made you love me	bid 4¢ / ask 80¢
FEVER DREAM	bid 4¢ / ask 78¢
The Fate of Ophelia	bid 17¢ / ask 96¢
the cure	bid 22¢ / ask 96¢
Chanel	bid 4¢ / ask 75¢
Be Her	bid 30¢ / ask 74¢
Aperture	—

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 14, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: Yeshanagula, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, TRALALA, Todo Lo Fue, Shararat, Radhimaa [From "Think Indie"], Parvati, KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 13: z5y8Clp_TdE], KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 6: xvT1jH8B9AM], GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION], Dai Dai, Casa Tupka Anthemo, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat, 295 (MUSIC VIDEO) SIDHU MOOSE WALA

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Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 14, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: Yeshanagula, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, TRALALA, Todo Lo Fue, Shararat, Radhimaa [From "Think Indie"], Parvati, KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 13: z5y8Clp_TdE], KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 6: xvT1jH8B9AM], GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION], Dai Dai, Casa Tupka Anthemo, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat, 295 (MUSIC VIDEO) SIDHU MOOSE WALA

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Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 14, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: WTF GOIN, Todo Lo Fue, The Aura Farmer - Horror Skunx (official song), Nicole Kidman, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, Janice STFU, Gunna - pop it [Official Video], Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 5: hLOheGDwD_0], Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 2: nUsrYVxrDwI], BbY WOW, Anuel AA - Vuelve (Video Oficial), Alma Rota, AH HA

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Grammy nominees: Album of the Year — 13 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET

Tracking: This Music May Contain Hope, The Visitor, The Boys of Dungeon Lane, Music, Fashion, Film, Swag II, Deadbeat, WOR$T GIRL IN AMERICA, Cloud 9, Middle of Nowhere, Oh Yeah?, A*Pop, Daughter From Hell, Vie

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Taylor Swift Top 10 Spots — Billboard Hot 100 (Oct 24, 2026) — 11 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 10:24 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Exactly 9 songs	last 1¢ (book empty)
Exactly 8 songs	last 1¢ (book empty)
Exactly 7 songs	last 1¢ (book empty)
Exactly 6 songs	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Exactly 5 songs	last 1¢ (book empty)
Exactly 4 songs	last 1¢ (book empty)
Exactly 3 songs	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Exactly 2 songs	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Exactly 10 songs	last 1¢ (book empty)
Exactly 1 song	bid 93¢ / ask 97¢
Exactly 0 songs	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Grammy Nominees: Best Dance Pop Recording — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 8:41 PM ET

Outcome	Price
WORSHIP	bid 5¢ / ask 60¢
PINKY UP	bid 50¢ / ask 85¢
New Religion	bid 6¢ / ask 72¢
Life Boat.	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Duro	bid 5¢ / ask 71¢
Dancetria	bid 27¢ / ask 94¢
DANCE...	bid 16¢ / ask 64¢
Blue Moon	bid 7¢ / ask 71¢

Grammy nominees: Best New Artist — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Don Tolliver	bid 25¢ / ask 99¢
Stella Lefty	—
Ken Carson	—
Role Model	—
Underscores	—

Grammy winner: Album of the Year: Through the Wall (bid 1¢ / ask 7¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:35 AM ET

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th — 10 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Outcome	Price
Z.ai	bid 4¢ / ask 7¢
Xiaomi	bid 41¢ / ask 62¢
Tencent	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Moonshot	bid 4¢ / ask 7¢
MiniMax	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Meituan	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
DeepSeek	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
ByteDance	bid 5¢ / ask 10¢
Baidu	bid 5¢ / ask 9¢
Alibaba	bid 6¢ / ask 10¢

Anthropic market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 9:49 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 4.5%	bid 63¢ / ask 70¢
Above 4.0%	bid 63¢ / ask 98¢
Above 3.8%	bid 67¢ / ask 99¢
Above 3.7%	bid 96¢ / ask 98¢
Above 3.6%	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 3.5%	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 3.4%	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 3.2%	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 2.8%	bid 99¢ (no asks)

OpenAI market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 9:49 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 22.5%	ask 91¢ (no bids)
Above 20.5%	bid 38¢ / ask 45¢
Above 19.5%	bid 79¢ / ask 85¢
Above 19.2%	bid 12¢ / ask 91¢
Above 18.8%	bid 79¢ / ask 98¢
Above 18.4%	bid 30¢ / ask 98¢
Above 18.1%	bid 79¢ / ask 99¢
Above 17.1%	bid 13¢ (no asks)
Above 15.1%	bid 99¢ (no asks)

Google market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 9:49 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 20.8%	bid 2¢ / ask 56¢
Above 19.5%	bid 3¢ / ask 61¢
Above 18.9%	bid 10¢ / ask 27¢
Above 18.7%	bid 15¢ / ask 49¢
Above 18.5%	bid 15¢ / ask 37¢
Above 18.2%	bid 31¢ / ask 46¢
Above 18.0%	bid 16¢ / ask 53¢
Above 17.4%	bid 75¢ / ask 94¢
Above 16.2%	bid 65¢ / ask 98¢

DeepSeek market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 9:48 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 27.2%	bid 10¢ / ask 15¢
Above 25.7%	bid 24¢ / ask 35¢
Above 25.0%	bid 11¢ / ask 46¢
Above 24.7%	bid 29¢ / ask 56¢
Above 24.4%	bid 55¢ / ask 91¢
Above 24.1%	bid 19¢ / ask 70¢
Above 23.9%	bid 66¢ / ask 91¢
Above 23.2%	bid 19¢ / ask 91¢
Above 21.7%	bid 66¢ / ask 95¢

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 16, 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 73.8%	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above 69.7%	bid 6¢ / ask 10¢
Above 69.0%	bid 6¢ / ask 10¢
Above 67.0%	bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Above 65.5%	bid 20¢ / ask 23¢
Above 61.6%	bid 33¢ / ask 34¢
Above 56.1%	bid 55¢ / ask 57¢
Above 55.1%	bid 63¢ / ask 65¢
Above 49.4%	bid 90¢ / ask 94¢

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 9.4%	bid 42¢ / ask 43¢
Above 8.5%	bid 50¢ / ask 51¢
Above 5.5%	bid 64¢ / ask 65¢
Above 4.4%	bid 73¢ / ask 74¢
Above 17.6%	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Above 15.0%	bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Above 13.3%	bid 19¢ / ask 20¢
Above 11.7%	bid 26¢ / ask 27¢
Above 10.5%	bid 36¢ / ask 37¢

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 22.3%	bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Above 21.0%	bid 27¢ / ask 28¢
Above 20.1%	bid 37¢ / ask 38¢
Above 19.6%	bid 40¢ / ask 41¢
Above 17.9%	bid 59¢ / ask 60¢
Above 16.5%	bid 76¢ / ask 77¢
Above 15.8%	bid 83¢ / ask 84¢
Above 15.5%	bid 86¢ / ask 87¢
Above 14.2%	bid 93¢ / ask 94¢

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 40.9%	bid 29¢ / ask 30¢
Above 40.1%	bid 30¢ / ask 31¢
Above 39.2%	bid 45¢ / ask 46¢
Above 36.2%	bid 66¢ / ask 68¢
Above 35.3%	bid 73¢ / ask 74¢
Above 33.5%	bid 85¢ / ask 86¢
Above 32.4%	bid 88¢ / ask 89¢
Above 30.7%	bid 92¢ / ask 93¢
Above 28.3%	bid 95¢ / ask 96¢

Google share of requests on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 17.7%	bid 2¢ / ask 8¢
Above 17.0%	bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Above 16.4%	bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Above 15.8%	bid 24¢ / ask 25¢
Above 14.5%	bid 37¢ / ask 38¢
Above 13.6%	bid 55¢ / ask 56¢
Above 12.8%	bid 66¢ / ask 67¢
Above 12.4%	bid 78¢ / ask 79¢
Above 11.5%	bid 90¢ / ask 91¢

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 25.7%	bid 26¢ / ask 27¢
Above 25.1%	bid 32¢ / ask 33¢
Above 24.0%	bid 42¢ / ask 43¢
Above 23.4%	bid 52¢ / ask 53¢
Above 23.3%	bid 56¢ / ask 57¢
Above 22.4%	bid 61¢ / ask 62¢
Above 20.7%	bid 78¢ / ask 80¢
Above 18.9%	bid 89¢ / ask 91¢
Above 17.6%	bid 93¢ / ask 94¢

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 7.9%	bid 33¢ / ask 34¢
Above 7.3%	bid 44¢ / ask 45¢
Above 7.0%	bid 49¢ / ask 50¢
Above 6.9%	bid 51¢ / ask 52¢
Above 6.7%	bid 53¢ / ask 54¢
Above 6.4%	bid 59¢ / ask 60¢
Above 5.1%	bid 80¢ / ask 81¢
Above 4.6%	bid 90¢ / ask 91¢
Above 4.4%	bid 93¢ / ask 95¢

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 9.6%	bid 80¢ / ask 81¢
Above 14.5%	bid 41¢ / ask 42¢
Above 14.0%	bid 47¢ / ask 48¢
Above 13.4%	bid 52¢ / ask 53¢
Above 12.6%	bid 57¢ / ask 58¢
Above 11.7%	bid 61¢ / ask 62¢
Above 11.3%	bid 65¢ / ask 66¢
Above 10.8%	bid 70¢ / ask 71¢
Above 10.4%	bid 78¢ / ask 79¢

Top Coding AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Qwen, MiniMax, Kimi, Grok, GLM, Gemini, Dola, Claude, ChatGPT

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Best AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Grok, ChatGPT, Kimi, MUSE, Gemini, Dola, Claude, Amazon Nova, Qwen

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Most popular AI this week — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Z.ai, Xiaomi, Tencent, OpenAI, Google, DeepSeek, Anthropic

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Alibaba vs Xiaomi: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026 — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 2:57 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Xiaomi	bid 50¢ / ask 52¢
Alibaba	bid 45¢ / ask 47¢

Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026 — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 2:57 PM ET

Outcome	Price
OpenAI	bid 10¢ / ask 20¢
Meta	bid 76¢ / ask 82¢

Anthropic vs Google: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026 — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 2:57 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Google	bid 61¢ / ask 67¢
Anthropic	bid 35¢ / ask 36¢

Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round) — 14 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Xavier Bertrand	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Raphaël Glucksmann	bid 4¢ / ask 8¢
Marine Tondelier	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Marine Le Pen	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Jean-Luc Mélenchon	bid 31¢ / ask 36¢
Jordan Bardella	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Gabriel Attal	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
François Ruffin	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
François Hollande	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Éric Zemmour	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Édouard Philippe	bid 30¢ / ask 32¢
Dominique de Villepin	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
David Lisnard	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Bruno Retailleau	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢

Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round) — 14 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Xavier Bertrand	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Raphaël Glucksmann	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Marine Tondelier	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Marine Le Pen	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Jean-Luc Mélenchon	bid 36¢ / ask 37¢
Jordan Bardella	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Gabriel Attal	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
François Ruffin	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
François Hollande	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Éric Zemmour	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Édouard Philippe	bid 32¢ / ask 33¢
Dominique de Villepin	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
David Lisnard	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Bruno Retailleau	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round) — 14 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Xavier Bertrand	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Raphaël Glucksmann	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Marine Tondelier	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Marine Le Pen	bid 76¢ / ask 79¢
Jean-Luc Mélenchon	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Jordan Bardella	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Gabriel Attal	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
François Ruffin	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
François Hollande	last 1¢ (book empty)
Éric Zemmour	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Édouard Philippe	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Dominique de Villepin	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
David Lisnard	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Bruno Retailleau	last 1¢ (book empty)

Who will be Argentina's Peronist presidential nominee? — 11 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:28 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Sergio Uñac	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Sergio Massa	bid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Ricardo Quintela	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Máximo Kirchner	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Juan Grabois	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Jorge Capitanich	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Gerardo Zamora	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Eduardo de Pedro	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Dante Gebel	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Cristina Fernández de Kirchner	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Axel Kicillof	bid 40¢ / ask 52¢

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Radostin Vasilev	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Nikolay Nenchev	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Kostadin Kostadinov	bid 81¢ / ask 82¢
Iliana Yotova	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Ivaylo Simeonov	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Ivelin Mihaylov	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Ivan Hristanov	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Andrey Gyurov	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Radostin Vasilev	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Nikolay Nenchev	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Kostadin Kostadinov	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Iliana Yotova	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Ivaylo Simeonov	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Ivelin Mihaylov	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Ivan Hristanov	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Andrey Gyurov	bid 84¢ / ask 85¢

Iowa Republican Senate nominee in 2028? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Zach Nunn	bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Randy Feenstra	bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Pat Grassley	bid 7¢ / ask 12¢
Matt Whitaker	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Kim Reynolds	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Kari Lake	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Chuck Grassley	bid 25¢ / ask 26¢

When will Pete Buttigieg announce his presidential candidacy? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:50 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Before Oct 1, 2027	bid 74¢ / ask 75¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 65¢ / ask 66¢
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 56¢ / ask 57¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢

When will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Before May 1, 2027	bid 11¢ / ask 20¢
Before Jun 1, 2027	bid 25¢ / ask 34¢

When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:57 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 8¢ / ask 17¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 15¢ / ask 24¢

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional) — 2 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:23 AM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 253	bid 3¢ / ask 11¢
Above 256	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢

Next French presidential election winner?: Raphaël Glucksmann (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — listed Oct 13, 2026 at 12:11 AM ET

Will PP and Vox win 50% of the vote in Spain's election?: At least 50% (bid 66¢ / ask 69¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:41 PM ET

Will anyone win the Vermont Governor election outright?: First-round winner (bid 64¢ / ask 65¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET

Will anyone win outright in the Cape Verde presidential election?: First-round winner (bid 62¢ / ask 67¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET

New Zealand general election winner?: Opportunity (bid 1¢ / ask 5¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET

Will Jim Justice announce a West Virginia governor run?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 53¢ / ask 63¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:46 PM ET

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?: Before Jan 1, 2028 (bid 47¢ / ask 56¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET

Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout: At least 5,250,000 (bid 44¢ / ask 52¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:22 AM ET

Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout: At least 126,000,000 (bid 12¢ / ask 22¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:19 AM ET

Which states will enact data center moratoriums before 2028? — 48 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 2:52 PM ET

Tracking: Wyoming, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Washington, Vermont, Virginia, Utah, Tennessee, South Dakota, South Carolina, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, Oregon, Oklahoma, Ohio, Nevada, New Mexico, New Jersey, New Hampshire, Nebraska, North Dakota, North Carolina, Montana, Mississippi, Missouri, +23 more

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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 13, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Bracket	Price
Below 37.8%	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
38.4%	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
38.3%	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
38.2%	bid 25¢ / ask 28¢
38.1%	bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
38.0%	bid 7¢ / ask 12¢
37.9%	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
37.8%	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above 38.4%	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 13, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Bracket	Price
Below 8.4%	bid 11¢ / ask 13¢
9.0%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
8.9%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
8.8%	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
8.7%	bid 14¢ / ask 21¢
8.6%	bid 15¢ / ask 19¢
8.5%	bid 15¢ / ask 19¢
8.4%	bid 36¢ / ask 38¢
Above 9.0%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 13, 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

Outcome	Price
<5	bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
40+	bid 2¢ / ask 34¢
5-9	ask 88¢ (no bids)
30-39	bid 2¢ / ask 31¢
25-29	bid 2¢ / ask 27¢
20-24	bid 2¢ / ask 31¢
15-19	ask 94¢ (no bids)
10-14	ask 90¢ (no bids)

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23, 2026? — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 1:51 PM ET

Tracking: Troy Jackson, Sherrod Brown, Mary Peltola, James Talarico, Jon Ossoff, Angie Nixon, Abdul El-Sayed

🔗 View on Kalshi →

When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 12:53 PM ET

Tracking: Before Apr 1, 2027, Before Jul 1, 2027, Before Sep 1, 2027, Before Jan 1, 2028

🔗 View on Kalshi →

AfD in a German state government? — 4 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:44 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 66¢ / ask 75¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 76¢ / ask 85¢
Before Jan 1, 2029	bid 86¢ / ask 95¢
Before Jan 1, 2030	bid 91¢ / ask 98¢

When will the White House announce an end to its press ban? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 5¢ / ask 15¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 26¢ / ask 36¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 47¢ / ask 57¢

When will Trump's next address to the nation be? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:51 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 77¢ / ask 87¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 85¢ / ask 95¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:49 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 51¢ / ask 60¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 63¢ / ask 72¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 75¢ / ask 84¢

Will Trump visit Camp David again? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:43 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 14¢ / ask 23¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 15¢ / ask 24¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 16¢ / ask 25¢

Will Pete Hegseth be impeached? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 61¢ / ask 62¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 52¢ / ask 53¢

Will Brazil's Senate open impeachment proceedings against Alexandre de Moraes? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 59¢ / ask 60¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢

Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be removed from the royal line of succession? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:59 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 25¢ / ask 33¢

Will Tucker Carlson form a third party? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:59 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 16¢ / ask 23¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 19¢ / ask 26¢

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:58 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Before 2028	bid 16¢ / ask 24¢
Before 2029	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢

Will Anthropic and the Vatican meet? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:55 PM ET

Outcome	Price
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 10¢ / ask 18¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 41¢ / ask 49¢

Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:50 PM ET

Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:49 PM ET

Will Kenya and the US reach a critical minerals deal? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:48 PM ET

Jeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:47 PM ET

Ed Davey announces departure as Liberal Democrats leader in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 18¢ / ask 19¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:26 PM ET

Will data center power-cost standards become law?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 38¢ / ask 48¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:59 PM ET

Will the House pass additional defense funding?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 29¢ / ask 39¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:57 PM ET

Kash Patel out as FBI Director?: Before Feb 1, 2027 (bid 12¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:57 PM ET

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?: Before Feb 1, 2027 (bid 34¢ / ask 38¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:57 PM ET

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?: Before 2028 (bid 4¢ / ask 14¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:56 PM ET

Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?: Before 2028 (bid 6¢ / ask 15¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:56 PM ET

Will Pennsylvania ban Flock cameras?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 41¢ / ask 51¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:56 PM ET

Steve Feinberg out as Deputy Secretary of Defense?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 64¢ / ask 74¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:55 PM ET

Will CDC cut the childhood vaccine schedule below 11 diseases?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 26¢ / ask 34¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:55 PM ET

Will Pennsylvania formally begin leaving PJM?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 40¢ / ask 49¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:54 PM ET

Will CMS announce a major Medicaid payment deferral against another state?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 34¢ / ask 43¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:54 PM ET

Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 40¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:52 PM ET

When will Trump rename something else?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 62¢ / ask 72¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:52 PM ET

Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 37¢ / ask 45¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:52 PM ET

Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 33¢ / ask 43¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:51 PM ET

Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?: Before May 1, 2027 (bid 26¢ / ask 35¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:47 PM ET

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?: Before Dec 1, 2026 (bid 2¢ / ask 11¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:47 PM ET

Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice?: Before Dec 1, 2026 (bid 44¢ / ask 53¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:46 PM ET

Will the Treasury grant retroactive cannabis tax relief?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 33¢ / ask 42¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:46 PM ET

Will the FCC ban new Chinese data center transceivers?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 51¢ / ask 59¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET

Will the American Affordability and Jobs Act become law?: Before Mar 1, 2027 (bid 65¢ / ask 72¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18): Above 22 (bid 51¢ / ask 52¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:22 AM ET

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026): At least 9 (bid 44¢ / ask 52¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:19 AM ET

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18): Above 3 (bid 93¢ / ask 94¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:18 AM ET

Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 30¢ / ask 31¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 10:55 AM ET

Will OFAC end its Russian diesel import license?: Yes (bid 10¢ / ask 11¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 10:55 AM ET

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 13, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

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10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 13, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

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7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 13, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 13, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

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2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 13, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

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Fear & Greed Index on Nov 6, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in Q3 — 3 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.42428 (bid 41¢ / ask 45¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 0.69780 (bid 48¢ / ask 52¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 158.121 (bid 36¢ / ask 40¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.11911 (bid 36¢ / ask 38¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.32482 (bid 40¢ / ask 42¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

6,610 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: French Election, Taylor Swift, Anthropic Market — Past 24 Hours (as of 8:30:47 AM ET, Oct 13)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

📊 Economics — 3 events, 47 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 12 events, 155 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 19 events, 149 markets

🗳️ Elections — 20 events, 96 markets

🏛️ Politics — 48 events, 148 markets

💹 Financials — 317 events, 393 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

Prediction News Network

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 46¢ / ask 56¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 66¢ / ask 76¢

Outcome	Price
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 25¢ / ask 35¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 55¢ / ask 65¢

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 4¢ / ask 12¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 13¢ / ask 21¢

Outcome	Price
Extreme Greed	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Extreme Fear	bid 10¢ / ask 23¢
Neutral	bid 15¢ / ask 54¢
Greed	bid 6¢ / ask 49¢
Fear	bid 15¢ / ask 49¢

Bracket	Price
Above 9.5%	bid 20¢ / ask 21¢
Above 10%	bid 15¢ / ask 19¢
Above 10.5%	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	5,256	27	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +24 more
📊 Economics	949	55	Arkansas gas price, New Jersey gas price this week, US gas price up, +52 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	364	54	Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more
🎬 Entertainment	33	4	DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, Billboard Hot 100 #1, +1 more
🏛️ Politics	8	3	Bills signed by Trump this month, Will Trump do anything?, Trump tariffs on Canada: increase