📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 07 at 8:30 AM ET through Jul 08 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 458 unique markets across 87 new events, plus 1,415 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Will Graham Platner drop out?: Before Jul 13, 2026 bid 82¢ / ask 83¢, Before Jul 12, 2026 bid 74¢ / ask 75¢
How will Trump act on the ROAD to Housing Act?: Vetoed bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Signed bid 19¢ / ask 20¢, Becomes law without signature bid 73¢ / ask 74¢
Big Brother Season 28 · 2nd place: Yash Patel bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, Taylor Brown bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Rome Seymour bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Big Brother Season 28 · 3rd place : Yash Patel bid 9¢ / ask 10¢, Taylor Brown bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Rome Seymour bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?: Ulf Kristersson bid 20¢ / ask 21¢, Ebba Busch bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Magdalena Andersson bid 71¢ / ask 73¢
Taiwan Local Elections winner: Taiwan People’s Party bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Democratic Progressive Party bid 17¢ / ask 18¢, Kuomintang bid 78¢ / ask 80¢
New business applications monthly record in 2026?: Above 546,719 — bid 59¢ / ask 60¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- M2 money supply growth at year-end 2026
- New business applications monthly record in 2026?
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in September
- US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026
- US personal saving rate at year-end 2026
- Big Brother Season 28 · 2nd place
- Big Brother Season 28 · 3rd place
- Big Brother Season 28 · Thursday elimination
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
- How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- Oscar winner: Best Actor
- How will Trump act on the ROAD to Housing Act?
- Ilie Bolojan out as Prime Minister of Romania?
- When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?
- Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
- Will China abolish birth limits?
- Will China abolish hukou?
- Will China unban Bitcoin?
- Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei?
- Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again?
- Will Trump visit Greenland?
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- How will the Maine Democratic Senate nomination be decided?
- Alaska Governor-Senate combo
- Clacton by-election winner?
- Early elections in the UK announced?
- Georgia Governor-Senate combo
- How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
- How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
- How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)
- Iowa Governor-Senate combo
- Kansas Governor-Senate combo
- MA-06 Democratic nominee?
- Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?
- Maine Governor-Senate combo
- Maine Senate winner? (Person)
- Michigan Governor-Senate combo
- Minnesota Governor-Senate combo
- New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo
- Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?
- Number of Republican governors after the midterms?
- Ohio Governor-Senate combo
- Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?
- Taiwan Local Elections winner
- Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?
- When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?
- When will Jon Ossoff announce his presidential candidacy?
- When will Ukraine hold a presidential election?
- Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?
- Will Graham Platner drop out?
- Will Graham Platner endorse a successor in Jul 2026?
- Will Spain announce a snap election in 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?
- 10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?
- Altria cigarette shipments in Q2
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026
- U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 8 markets
Total space launches in July — 8 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 10:44 AM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 20 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 19 | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 18 | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 17 | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 16 | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 14 | bid 79¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 13 | bid 87¢ / ask 88¢ |
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 1 event, 20 markets
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Central Pacific this year? — 20 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 07, 2026 at 5:37 PM ET
Tracking: Elida, Fausto, Genevieve, Hernan, Iselle, Julio, Karina, Lowell, Marie, Norbert, Odalys, Polo, Rachel, Simon, Trudy, Vance, Winnie, Xavier, Yolanda, Zeke
📊 Economics — 5 events, 21 markets
US personal saving rate at year-end 2026 — 5 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 6:36 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.0% or Above | bid 15¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Below 2.5% | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| 3.5% to 3.9% | bid 18¢ / ask 22¢ |
| 3.0% to 3.4% | bid 25¢ / ask 26¢ |
| 2.5% to 2.9% | bid 26¢ / ask 27¢ |
M2 money supply growth at year-end 2026 — 5 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 6:12 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 6.5% or Above | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Below 5.0% | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| 6.0% to 6.4% | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
| 5.5% to 5.9% | bid 21¢ / ask 22¢ |
| 5.0% to 5.4% | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026 — 5 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 5:53 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 62.0% or Above | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Below 60.5% | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 61.5% to 61.9% | bid 34¢ / ask 35¢ |
| 61.0% to 61.4% | bid 36¢ / ask 37¢ |
| 60.5% to 60.9% | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in September — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 07, 2026 at 10:08 AM ET
Tracking: Maintain current rate, Hike more than 25bps, Hike 1-25bps, Cut more than 25bps, Cut 1-25bps
New business applications monthly record in 2026?: Above 546,719 (bid 59¢ / ask 60¢) — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 7:03 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 7 events, 79 markets
Big Brother Season 28 · 2nd place — 14 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET
View market options (14 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yash Patel | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Taylor Brown | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Rome Seymour | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Melody Morris | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Mallory Aurichio | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Lyric Medeiros | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| LaTrice Verrett | bid 6¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Kamu Kirk | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Jason De Puy | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Haley Thogmartin | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Drew Campbell | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Chuk Anyanwu | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Barrett Pfeiffer | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Ashley Trail | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
Big Brother Season 28 · 3rd place — 14 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 7:32 PM ET
View market options (14 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yash Patel | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Taylor Brown | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Rome Seymour | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Melody Morris | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Mallory Aurichio | bid 8¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Lyric Medeiros | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| LaTrice Verrett | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Kamu Kirk | bid 10¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Jason De Puy | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Haley Thogmartin | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Drew Campbell | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Chuk Anyanwu | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Barrett Pfeiffer | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Ashley Trail | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
Big Brother Season 28 · Winner — 14 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 6:27 PM ET
View market options (14 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yash Patel | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Taylor Brown | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Rome Seymour | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Melody Morris | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Mallory Aurichio | bid 3¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Lyric Medeiros | bid 6¢ / ask 8¢ |
| LaTrice Verrett | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Kamu Kirk | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Jason De Puy | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Haley Thogmartin | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Drew Campbell | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Chuk Anyanwu | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Barrett Pfeiffer | bid 13¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Ashley Trail | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
Big Brother Season 28 · Thursday elimination — 14 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 5:40 PM ET
View market options (14 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yash Patel | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Taylor Brown | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Rome Seymour | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Melody Morris | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Mallory Aurichio | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Lyric Medeiros | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| LaTrice Verrett | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Kamu Kirk | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Jason De Puy | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Haley Thogmartin | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Drew Campbell | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Chuk Anyanwu | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Barrett Pfeiffer | bid 7¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Ashley Trail | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 million | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| At least 6 million | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| At least 50 million | — |
| At least 40 million | — |
| At least 35 million | — |
| At least 30 million | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| At least 25 million | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| At least 21 million | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| At least 18 million | bid 34¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least 15 million | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least 12 million | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 million | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| At least 6 million | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| At least 50 million | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least 40 million | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least 35 million | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least 30 million | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| At least 25 million | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| At least 21 million | bid 13¢ / ask 15¢ |
| At least 18 million | bid 38¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least 15 million | bid 50¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least 12 million | bid 57¢ / ask 58¢ |
Oscar winner: Best Actor: Matt Damon (bid 10¢ / ask 14¢) — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 11:57 AM ET
🏛️ Politics — 12 events, 46 markets
Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026? — 9 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| United Kingdom | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Taiwan | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Switzerland | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Kenya | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Indonesia | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| India | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| European Union | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| China | bid 29¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Argentina | bid 35¢ / ask 36¢ |
When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor? — 6 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 6:50 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 66¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 61¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 56¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 21¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 50¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
How will Trump act on the ROAD to Housing Act? — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 7:41 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Vetoed | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Signed | bid 19¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Pocket veto | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Becomes law without signature | bid 73¢ / ask 74¢ |
Will China abolish hukou? — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 2:56 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before 2030 | bid 20¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Before 2029 | bid 19¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Before 2028 | bid 15¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Before 2027 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
Will China abolish birth limits? — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 2:54 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before 2030 | bid 42¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Before 2029 | bid 41¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Before 2028 | bid 25¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Before 2027 | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
Will China unban Bitcoin? — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 2:52 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before 2030 | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Before 2029 | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Before 2028 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Before 2027 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Will Trump visit Greenland? — 3 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 7:01 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | bid 41¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 34¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again? — 3 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 6:41 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei? — 3 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 5:55 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
Ilie Bolojan out as Prime Minister of Romania? — 3 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 4:43 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 35¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 20¢ / ask 21¢ |
Will Xi Jinping visit the United States? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 6:19 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 71¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 86¢ / ask 90¢ |
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?: Sébastien Lecornu (bid 19¢ / ask 32¢) — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 6:27 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 30 events, 120 markets
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional) — 14 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (14 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 250 | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 247 | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 244 | bid 21¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Above 241 | bid 27¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 238 | bid 34¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 235 | bid 40¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above 232 | bid 47¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Above 229 | bid 51¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above 226 | bid 58¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 223 | bid 63¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 220 | bid 70¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Above 217 | bid 76¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Above 214 | bid 83¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 211 | bid 89¢ / ask 90¢ |
Number of Republican governors after the midterms? — 8 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 4:45 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 28 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| At least 27 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| At least 26 | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| At least 25 | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| At least 24 | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least 23 | bid 56¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least 22 | bid 74¢ / ask 75¢ |
| At least 21 | bid 92¢ / ask 93¢ |
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional) — 8 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 12:36 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 8 | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| At least 7 | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| At least 6 | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| At least 5 | bid 39¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least 4 | bid 59¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least 3 | bid 80¢ / ask 81¢ |
| At least 2 | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
| At least 1 | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? — 6 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 6:08 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Romeu Zema | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Renan Santos | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Ronaldo Caiado | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Michelle Bolsonaro | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | bid 93¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | bid 78¢ / ask 79¢ |
How will the Maine Democratic Senate nomination be decided? — 6 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 3:24 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Platner remains nominee | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Another process | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Special convention | bid 24¢ / ask 25¢ |
| State committee | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Statewide caucuses | bid 59¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Platner drops out with no replacement | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029? — 6 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 3 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| 2 | bid 38¢ / ask 39¢ |
| 1 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
Clacton by-election winner? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 10:21 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Reform UK | bid 91¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Restore Britain | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Labour Party | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Conservative Party | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Count Binface Party | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election? — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 7:22 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Ulf Kristersson | bid 20¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Magdalena Andersson | bid 71¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Jimmie Åkesson | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Ebba Busch | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
When will Ukraine hold a presidential election? — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 2:29 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before 2030 | bid 65¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Before 2029 | bid 52¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Before 2028 | bid 34¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Before 2027 | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
When will Jon Ossoff announce his presidential candidacy? — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 12:48 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 42¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy? — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 12:47 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 42¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 29¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
Ohio Governor-Senate combo — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 11:36 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win | bid 45¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Vivek Ramaswamy and Sherrod Brown win | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Amy Acton and Jon Husted win | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win | bid 38¢ / ask 39¢ |
New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 11:35 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Republicans sweep | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Republican Governor, Democratic Senator | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Democratic Governor, Republican Senator | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Democrats sweep | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
Minnesota Governor-Senate combo — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Republicans sweep | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Republican Governor, Democratic Senator | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Democratic Governor, Republican Senator | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Democrats sweep | bid 93¢ / ask 95¢ |
Michigan Governor-Senate combo — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 11:27 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Republicans sweep | bid 17¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Republican Governor, Democratic Senator | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Democratic Governor, Republican Senator | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Democrats sweep | bid 63¢ / ask 64¢ |
Maine Governor-Senate combo — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 11:26 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Republicans sweep | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Republican Governor, Democratic Senator | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Democratic Governor, Republican Senator | bid 32¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Democrats sweep | bid 51¢ / ask 52¢ |
Kansas Governor-Senate combo — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 11:22 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Republicans sweep | bid 69¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Republican Governor, Democratic Senator | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Democratic Governor, Republican Senator | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Democrats sweep | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
Iowa Governor-Senate combo — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 11:20 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zach Lahn and Ashley Hinson win | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Zach Lahn and Josh Turek win | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Rob Sand and Josh Turek win | bid 36¢ / ask 37¢ |
Alaska Governor-Senate combo — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 11:14 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Republicans sweep | bid 43¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Republican Governor, Democratic Senator | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Democratic Governor, Republican Senator | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Democrats sweep | bid 39¢ / ask 40¢ |
Georgia Governor-Senate combo — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 10:41 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Rick Jackson and Mike Collins win | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win | bid 37¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Keisha Lance Bottoms and Mike Collins win | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win | bid 53¢ / ask 54¢ |
Taiwan Local Elections winner — 3 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 7:12 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Taiwan People’s Party | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Kuomintang | bid 78¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Democratic Progressive Party | bid 17¢ / ask 18¢ |
Will Graham Platner drop out? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 9:08 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 12, 2026 | bid 74¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Before Jul 13, 2026 | bid 82¢ / ask 83¢ |
Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 12:29 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
Maine Senate winner? (Person) — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 07, 2026 at 10:17 AM ET
Tracking: Angus King III, Jared Golden
MA-06 Democratic nominee?: Mariah Lancaster (bid 1¢ / ask 3¢) — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 8:37 PM ET
Will Spain announce a snap election in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 33¢ / ask 35¢) — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Will Graham Platner endorse a successor in Jul 2026?: Before Aug 1, 2026 (bid 73¢ / ask 74¢) — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 3:50 PM ET
Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?: Monty Fritts (bid 1¢ / ask 3¢) — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:21 PM ET
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?: Jared Golden (bid 1¢ / ask 3¢) — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 12:22 PM ET
Early elections in the UK announced?: Before Jan 1, 2028 (bid 20¢ / ask 36¢) — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 12:21 PM ET
💹 Financials — 31 events, 164 markets
10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026 — 11 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 70bps | bid 17¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Above 60bps | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above 50bps | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Above 40bps | bid 52¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above -30bps | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 30bps | bid 59¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Above -20bps | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 20bps | bid 66¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Above -10bps | bid 92¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above 10bps | bid 84¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 0bps | bid 88¢ / ask 89¢ |
30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026? — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 08, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026? — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 08, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026? — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 08, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026? — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 08, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026? — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 08, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.2% or above | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 5.15% or above | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| 5.1% or above | bid 26¢ / ask 27¢ |
| 5.05% or above | bid 30¢ / ask 32¢ |
| 5% or above | bid 66¢ / ask 67¢ |
| 4.95% or above | bid 84¢ / ask 85¢ |
| 4.9% or above | bid 87¢ / ask 88¢ |
| 4.85% or above | bid 93¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 4.8% or above | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.2% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 5.15% or above | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 5.1% or above | bid 18¢ / ask 31¢ |
| 5.05% or above | bid 59¢ / ask 64¢ |
| 5% or above | bid 92¢ / ask 96¢ |
| 4.95% or above | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.9% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.85% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.8% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.7% or above | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| 4.65% or above | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 4.6% or above | bid 34¢ / ask 35¢ |
| 4.55% or above | bid 34¢ / ask 36¢ |
| 4.5% or above | bid 43¢ / ask 45¢ |
| 4.45% or above | bid 48¢ / ask 50¢ |
| 4.4% or above | bid 81¢ / ask 82¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 89¢ / ask 90¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.7% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4.65% or above | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 4.6% or above | bid 19¢ / ask 20¢ |
| 4.55% or above | bid 51¢ / ask 70¢ |
| 4.5% or above | bid 74¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 4.45% or above | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.4% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.3% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.55% or above | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 4.5% or above | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| 4.45% or above | bid 31¢ / ask 33¢ |
| 4.4% or above | bid 54¢ / ask 56¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 60¢ / ask 61¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 69¢ / ask 70¢ |
| 4.25% or above | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
| 4.2% or above | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
| 4.15% or above | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.55% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 4.5% or above | bid 5¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 4.45% or above | bid 16¢ / ask 22¢ |
| 4.4% or above | bid 73¢ / ask 74¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 89¢ / ask 93¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 4.25% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.2% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.15% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.4% or above | bid 30¢ / ask 32¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 31¢ / ask 32¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 31¢ / ask 32¢ |
| 4.25% or above | bid 46¢ / ask 48¢ |
| 4.2% or above | bid 55¢ / ask 57¢ |
| 4.15% or above | bid 78¢ / ask 80¢ |
| 4.1% or above | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 4.05% or above | bid 93¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 4% or above | bid 86¢ / ask 97¢ |
5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.4% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 56¢ / ask 57¢ |
| 4.25% or above | bid 81¢ / ask 82¢ |
| 4.2% or above | bid 89¢ / ask 90¢ |
| 4.15% or above | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.1% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.05% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.35% or above | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 4.25% or above | bid 38¢ / ask 39¢ |
| 4.2% or above | bid 38¢ / ask 39¢ |
| 4.15% or above | bid 47¢ / ask 55¢ |
| 4.1% or above | bid 83¢ / ask 84¢ |
| 4.05% or above | bid 83¢ / ask 84¢ |
| 4% or above | bid 83¢ / ask 84¢ |
| 3.95% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.35% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 17¢ |
| 4.25% or above | bid 30¢ / ask 47¢ |
| 4.2% or above | bid 70¢ / ask 82¢ |
| 4.15% or above | bid 87¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 4.1% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.05% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 3.95% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026 — 3 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 7:12 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above .9% | bid 8¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above .8% | bid 17¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above .7% | bid 30¢ / ask 41¢ |
Altria cigarette shipments in Q2 — 2 brackets — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 5:46 PM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 16 billion | bid 14¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Above 16.5 billion | bid 7¢ / ask 15¢ |
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 101.2171 — listed Jul 08, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
1,415 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 990 | 10 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +7 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 297 | 43 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Lake Mead water levels, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, +40 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 95 | 11 | RUNNER UP SHOW NETFLIX MOVIE GLOBAL, Netflix movie ranking, RUNNER UP SHOW NETFLIX SHOW GLOBAL, +8 more |
| 📊 Economics | 33 | 4 | US gas price up, Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme price in [month], Average price of a Wendy's Baconator in [month], +1 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.