📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 04 at 6:30 PM ET through Jul 05 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 21 unique markets across 10 new events, plus 337 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Harry Kane Knighted in 2026 — bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Bank of Israel rate decision in August: Maintain current rate bid 44¢ / ask 45¢, Hike more than 25bps bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, Hike 1-25bps bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
FL-11 Republican nominee?: Ivette Palomo bid 1¢ / ask 50¢, Nizam Razack bid 1¢ / ask 50¢, Joe Strada bid 1¢ / ask 53¢
FL-07 Democratic nominee?: Alan Grayson — ask 93¢ (no bids)
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
All New Events
💹 Financials — 1 event, 1 market
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 100.8780 — listed Jul 05, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
📊 Economics — 2 events, 6 markets
Bank of Israel rate decision in August — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 05, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | bid 44¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Hike 1-25bps | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | bid 12¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Cut 1-25bps | bid 31¢ / ask 32¢ |
Harry Kane Knighted in 2026 (bid 5¢ / ask 6¢) — listed Jul 05, 2026 at 4:18 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 7 events, 14 markets
FL-22 Republican nominee? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 05, 2026 at 4:59 PM ET
Tracking: Casey Askar, Richard Evans, Terri Hasdorff, Belinda Kaiser, Michael Thompson
FL-11 Republican nominee? — 3 outcomes — listed Jul 05, 2026 at 1:28 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Joe Strada | bid 1¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Nizam Razack | bid 1¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Ivette Palomo | bid 1¢ / ask 50¢ |
FL-23 Republican nominee? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 05, 2026 at 4:58 PM ET
Tracking: Deborah Adeimy, Paola Branda
KS-04 Republican nominee?: Frank McCollum — listed Jul 05, 2026 at 5:35 PM ET
VA-07 Republican nominee?: Rick Smithers — listed Jul 05, 2026 at 4:52 PM ET
VA-10 Republican nominee?: Dave Beckwith — listed Jul 05, 2026 at 4:49 PM ET
FL-07 Democratic nominee?: Alan Grayson (ask 93¢ (no bids)) — listed Jul 05, 2026 at 1:31 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
337 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 21 | 5 | Will Album be runner up this week?, Billboard Top 200 #1, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, +2 more |
| 📊 Economics | 17 | 1 | US gas price up |
| 💹 Financials | 10 | 1 | Nasdaq above/below |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.