Kalshi Markets: HBO, EUR/USD, Tesla Energy Updates

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 01 at 8:30 AM ET through Oct 02 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 732 unique markets across 191 new events, plus 4,981 recurring bracket markets.

🏢 Companies

1 event

3 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

1 event

12 markets

🎬 Entertainment

4 events

60 markets

📊 Economics

6 events

64 markets

🏛️ Politics

12 events

28 markets

🗳️ Elections

15 events

107 markets

🌤️ Climate and Weather

24 events

171 markets

💹 Financials

128 events

287 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

HBO App Downloads in September: Above 60 bid 92¢ / ask 93¢, Above 62 bid 92¢ / ask 93¢, Above 64 bid 82¢ / ask 83¢

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.12326 — bid 86¢ / ask 87¢

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.32083 — bid 89¢ / ask 90¢

EV commodity prices on Oct 2, 2026: Above 1207.58 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above 1167.58 bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, Above 1157.58 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?: Vermont bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Pennsylvania bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Minnesota bid 5¢ / ask 6¢

San Francisco District 8 Supervisor election winner?: Manny Yekutiel bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Michael Nguyen bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Gary McCoy bid 81¢ / ask 82¢

Tesla energy deployment in Q4: Above 8 GWh bid 92¢ / ask 93¢, Above 24 GWh bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, Above 22 GWh bid 12¢ / ask 13¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🏢 Companies

Chipotle headcount in fiscal 2026

🔬 Science and Technology

Total space launches in October

🎬 Entertainment

📊 Economics

🏛️ Politics

🗳️ Elections

🌤️ Climate and Weather

💹 Financials

All New Events

🏢 Companies — 1 event, 3 markets

Chipotle headcount in fiscal 2026 — 3 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 4:01 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 136 thousand	ask 73¢ (no bids)
Above 138 thousand	ask 73¢ (no bids)
Above 140 thousand	ask 73¢ (no bids)

🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 12 markets

Total space launches in October — 12 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 10:53 AM ET

View market strikes (12 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9	bid 80¢ / ask 99¢
Above 20	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Above 19	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Above 18	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Above 17	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢
Above 16	bid 5¢ / ask 29¢
Above 15	bid 4¢ / ask 50¢
Above 14	bid 4¢ / ask 75¢
Above 13	bid 5¢ / ask 84¢
Above 12	bid 18¢ / ask 83¢
Above 11	bid 25¢ / ask 86¢
Above 10	bid 67¢ / ask 98¢

🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 60 markets

YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 02, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

Tracking: Yeshanagula, Пешта, Training Season, Sebebi Yar (Live), SaWaDiKa, Parvati, new trick, KALYANI (Remix), Hootie Frutti, Golden, Dai Dai, Casa Tupka Anthemo (feat. Priyanshi Srivastava), BbY WOW, Barsaat, BACKROOMS

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 3, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 02, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

Tracking: Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), Taylor Swift - Patient Zero (Official Music Video), Shararat, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, KALYANI (Remix), Dai Dai, Casa Tupka Anthemo, BbY WOW, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat, Ashke (Music Video) Karan Aujla | Mxrci | Aujla Szn 1, Aaya Sher

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 3, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 02, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

🔗 View on Kalshi →

YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 02, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

Tracking: WTF GOIN (feat. 21 Savage), What You Need, Sunflower, September, Pink Blush, misery., Joseph, Janice STFU, Hootie Frutti, Golden, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, BbY WOW, Animal, AH HA

🔗 View on Kalshi →

📊 Economics — 6 events, 64 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.425	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.420	ask 72¢ (no bids)
Above $6.415	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.410	—
Above $6.405	—
Above $6.400	—
Above $6.395	—
Above $6.390	—
Above $6.385	—
Above $6.380	—
Above $6.375	—
Above $6.370	—
Above $6.365	—
Above $6.360	—
Above $6.355	—
Above $6.350	—
Above $6.345	—
Above $6.340	—
Above $6.335	—
Above $6.330	—
Above $6.325	last 99¢ (book empty)

EV commodity prices on Oct 2, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1267.58	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1257.58	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1247.58	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1237.58	—
Above 1227.58	—
Above 1217.58	ask 11¢ (no bids)
Above 1207.58	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 1197.58	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Above 1187.58	bid 11¢ / ask 46¢
Above 1177.58	bid 62¢ / ask 91¢
Above 1167.58	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1157.58	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1147.58	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1137.58	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1127.58	bid 98¢ (no asks)

New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026 — 14 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:58 PM ET

View market strikes (14 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 5.0000	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Above 4.9000	bid 9¢ / ask 46¢
Above 4.8000	bid 11¢ / ask 49¢
Above 4.7000	bid 12¢ / ask 53¢
Above 4.6000	bid 20¢ / ask 55¢
Above 4.5000	bid 15¢ / ask 64¢
Above 4.4000	bid 16¢ / ask 64¢
Above 4.3000	bid 31¢ / ask 63¢
Above 4.2000	bid 41¢ / ask 68¢
Above 4.1000	bid 42¢ / ask 72¢
Above 4.0000	bid 52¢ / ask 78¢
Above 3.9000	bid 67¢ / ask 85¢
Above 3.8000	bid 67¢ / ask 86¢
Above 3.7000	bid 76¢ / ask 89¢

Grocery inflation at the end of 2026? — 6 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 2:43 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 3.5%	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above 3.0%	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Above 2.5%	bid 27¢ / ask 28¢
Above 2.0%	bid 58¢ / ask 59¢
Above 1.5%	bid 86¢ / ask 87¢
Above 1.0%	bid 95¢ / ask 96¢

Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q4 2026 — 5 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 12:16 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 4.50%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 4.25%	bid 25¢ / ask 28¢
Above 4.00%	bid 46¢ / ask 84¢
Above 3.75%	bid 72¢ / ask 92¢
Above 3.50%	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢

When will the US cut the 50% aluminum tariff on Canada? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 13¢ / ask 89¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 15¢ / ask 73¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 15¢ / ask 74¢

🏛️ Politics — 12 events, 28 markets

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 38.5%	bid 85¢ / ask 86¢
39.1%	last 1¢ (book empty)
39.0%	last 1¢ (book empty)
38.9%	last 1¢ (book empty)
38.8%	last 1¢ (book empty)
38.7%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
38.6%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
38.5%	bid 13¢ / ask 15¢
Above 39.1%	last 1¢ (book empty)

Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 2, 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
<5	ask 7¢ (no bids)
40+	bid 1¢ / ask 29¢
5-9	bid 1¢ / ask 13¢
30-39	bid 1¢ / ask 22¢
25-29	bid 1¢ / ask 16¢
20-24	bid 1¢ / ask 18¢
15-19	bid 1¢ / ask 19¢
10-14	bid 1¢ / ask 18¢

Will Lai Ching-te visit the United States? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 10¢ / ask 13¢

Will DOJ formally investigate Watergate prosecutorial misconduct in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 26¢ / ask 27¢) — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 2:22 PM ET

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as US Ambassador to Greece?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 15¢ / ask 16¢) — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET

Will Trump visit the Kennedy Center again in 2026?: Yes (bid 35¢ / ask 43¢) — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 10:33 AM ET

Will Trump visit Trump National Doral again in 2026?: Yes (bid 84¢ / ask 94¢) — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 10:33 AM ET

Will Trump visit the Pentagon again in 2026?: Yes (bid 30¢ / ask 31¢) — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 10:32 AM ET

Will Trump visit Camp David again in 2026?: Yes (bid 64¢ / ask 65¢) — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 10:32 AM ET

Will Trump visit the U.S. Capitol again in 2026?: Yes (bid 18¢ / ask 25¢) — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 10:32 AM ET

Will Trump visit the Federal Reserve this year?: Yes (bid 10¢ / ask 13¢) — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 10:31 AM ET

Will Trump visit Trump Tower again in 2026?: Yes (bid 51¢ / ask 58¢) — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 10:31 AM ET

🗳️ Elections — 15 events, 107 markets

Where will Democrats win state legislative supermajorities in 2026? — 24 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 3:57 PM ET

View market options (24 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Washington Senate	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Washington House	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Vermont Senate	—
Vermont House	—
Oregon Senate	—
Oregon House	—
New York Senate	—
New York Assembly	bid 21¢ / ask 99¢
Nevada Senate	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Nevada Assembly	—
New Mexico House	—
Maine Senate	—
Maryland Senate	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Illinois Senate	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Illinois House	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Hawaii Senate	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Delaware Senate	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Delaware House	bid 96¢ / ask 97¢
Connecticut Senate	—
Connecticut House	—
Colorado Senate	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Colorado House	bid 7¢ (no asks)
California Senate	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
California Assembly	bid 95¢ / ask 96¢

Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026? — 21 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 3:57 PM ET

View market options (21 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Wisconsin Senate	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Utah Senate	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Texas Senate	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
South Carolina House	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Ohio Senate	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Ohio House	—
New Hampshire Senate	—
North Carolina Senate	ask 88¢ (no bids)
North Carolina House	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Montana Senate	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Missouri Senate	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Missouri House	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Kansas House	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Idaho Senate	bid 90¢ / ask 91¢
Iowa Senate	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Iowa House	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Georgia Senate	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Florida Senate	bid 24¢ / ask 25¢
Florida House	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Arizona Senate	bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Arizona House	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢

How many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026? — 10 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET

View market options (10 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
9 or more	bid 93¢ / ask 97¢
18 or more	bid 10¢ / ask 14¢
17 or more	bid 11¢ / ask 18¢
16 or more	bid 17¢ / ask 24¢
15 or more	bid 26¢ / ask 32¢
14 or more	bid 36¢ / ask 41¢
13 or more	bid 47¢ / ask 53¢
12 or more	bid 58¢ / ask 67¢
11 or more	bid 73¢ / ask 81¢
10 or more	bid 84¢ / ask 93¢

2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot? — 9 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
R+0.9 to D+0.9	bid 24¢ / ask 25¢
R+7 or more	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
R+5 to R+6.9	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
R+3 to R+4.9	bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
R+1 to R+2.9	bid 19¢ / ask 20¢
D+7 or more	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
D+5 to D+6.9	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
D+3 to D+4.9	bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
D+1 to D+2.9	bid 19¢ / ask 20¢

How many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026? — 9 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
48 or more	bid 3¢ / ask 10¢
44 or more	bid 6¢ / ask 14¢
40 or more	bid 11¢ / ask 18¢
36 or more	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
32 or more	bid 27¢ / ask 35¢
28 or more	bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
24 or more	bid 55¢ / ask 63¢
20 or more	bid 71¢ / ask 78¢
16 or more	bid 85¢ / ask 92¢

Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 5:02 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Wisconsin	bid 16¢ / ask 23¢
Vermont	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Pennsylvania	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Nevada	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Minnesota	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Michigan	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Arizona	bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Alaska	bid 9¢ / ask 10¢

Ohio: Acton's margin vs. Brown's margin? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:17 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Brown by 6-9	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Acton by 6-9	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Brown by 3-6	bid 14¢ / ask 21¢
Acton by 3-6	bid 11¢ / ask 16¢
Brown by 0-3	bid 26¢ / ask 33¢
Brown by 9+	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Acton by 0-3	bid 28¢ / ask 33¢
Acton by 9+	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢

San Francisco District 8 Supervisor election winner? — 4 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 4:54 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Manny Yekutiel	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Michael Nguyen	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Gary McCoy	bid 81¢ / ask 82¢
Darshini Patel	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢

Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Texas US Senate	bid 52¢ / ask 53¢
Maine US Senate	bid 48¢ / ask 49¢

Closer Senate Race: Alaska or Texas? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Texas US Senate	bid 56¢ / ask 57¢
Alaska US Senate	bid 45¢ / ask 46¢

Closer Senate Race: Florida or South Carolina? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
South Carolina US Senate	bid 58¢ / ask 59¢
Florida US Senate	bid 41¢ / ask 42¢

Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
New Hampshire US Senate	bid 34¢ / ask 35¢
Michigan US Senate	bid 64¢ / ask 65¢

Closer Senate Race: Nebraska or Texas? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Texas US Senate	bid 53¢ / ask 54¢
Nebraska US Senate	bid 46¢ / ask 47¢

Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
New Jersey US Senate	bid 33¢ / ask 34¢
Montana US Senate	bid 66¢ / ask 67¢

Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Mississippi US Senate	bid 29¢ / ask 34¢
Minnesota US Senate	bid 61¢ / ask 62¢

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 24 events, 171 markets

Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 51¢ / ask 52¢
Above 6 inches	bid 71¢ / ask 74¢
Above 5 inches	bid 90¢ / ask 95¢
Above 4 inches	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above 3 inches	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 2 inches	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1 inch	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 8 inches	bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
Above 9 inches	bid 19¢ / ask 28¢
Above 10 inches	bid 16¢ / ask 21¢

Rain in College Station in Oct 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 6¢ / ask 28¢
Above 6 inches	bid 13¢ / ask 36¢
Above 5 inches	bid 45¢ / ask 60¢
Above 4 inches	bid 51¢ / ask 90¢
Above 3 inches	bid 66¢ / ask 98¢
Above 2 inches	bid 85¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1 inch	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

Rain in Providence in Oct 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 7¢ / ask 26¢
Above 6 inches	bid 8¢ / ask 34¢
Above 5 inches	bid 14¢ / ask 35¢
Above 4 inches	bid 38¢ / ask 76¢
Above 3 inches	bid 64¢ / ask 93¢
Above 2 inches	bid 76¢ / ask 96¢
Above 1 inch	bid 86¢ / ask 98¢

Rain in Columbus in Oct 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Above 6 inches	bid 1¢ / ask 11¢
Above 5 inches	bid 1¢ / ask 18¢
Above 4 inches	bid 5¢ / ask 28¢
Above 3 inches	bid 10¢ / ask 48¢
Above 2 inches	bid 65¢ / ask 82¢
Above 1 inch	bid 80¢ / ask 95¢

Rain in Lexington in Oct 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 2¢ / ask 20¢
Above 6 inches	bid 5¢ / ask 29¢
Above 5 inches	bid 6¢ / ask 37¢
Above 4 inches	bid 6¢ / ask 49¢
Above 3 inches	bid 35¢ / ask 74¢
Above 2 inches	bid 71¢ / ask 86¢
Above 1 inch	bid 87¢ / ask 99¢

Rain in Milwaukee in Oct 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Above 6 inches	bid 1¢ / ask 23¢
Above 5 inches	bid 15¢ / ask 31¢
Above 4 inches	bid 8¢ / ask 48¢
Above 3 inches	bid 46¢ / ask 75¢
Above 2 inches	bid 76¢ / ask 96¢
Above 1 inch	bid 87¢ / ask 99¢

Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above 6 inches	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 5 inches	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Above 4 inches	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Above 3 inches	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Above 2 inches	bid 13¢ / ask 15¢
Above 1 inch	bid 23¢ / ask 27¢

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Above 6 inches	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Above 5 inches	bid 13¢ / ask 16¢
Above 4 inches	bid 23¢ / ask 24¢
Above 3 inches	bid 46¢ / ask 49¢
Above 2 inches	bid 72¢ / ask 78¢
Above 1 inch	bid 92¢ / ask 96¢

Rain in Houston in Oct 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 27¢ / ask 30¢
Above 6 inches	bid 35¢ / ask 36¢
Above 5 inches	bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
Above 4 inches	bid 59¢ / ask 64¢
Above 3 inches	bid 78¢ / ask 79¢
Above 2 inches	bid 86¢ / ask 94¢
Above 1 inch	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢

Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 6 inches	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 5 inches	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 4 inches	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 3 inches	bid 5¢ / ask 7¢
Above 2 inches	bid 8¢ / ask 14¢
Above 1 inch	bid 18¢ / ask 20¢

Rain in Austin in Oct 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 28¢ / ask 32¢
Above 6 inches	bid 44¢ / ask 45¢
Above 5 inches	bid 59¢ / ask 60¢
Above 4 inches	bid 73¢ / ask 76¢
Above 3 inches	bid 89¢ / ask 90¢
Above 2 inches	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1 inch	bid 99¢ (no asks)

Rain in Miami in Oct 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 41¢ / ask 45¢
Above 6 inches	bid 53¢ / ask 55¢
Above 5 inches	bid 67¢ / ask 69¢
Above 4 inches	bid 82¢ / ask 83¢
Above 3 inches	bid 91¢ / ask 92¢
Above 2 inches	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1 inch	bid 99¢ (no asks)

Rain in College Station in Nov 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:16 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 4¢ / ask 42¢
Above 6 inches	bid 4¢ / ask 43¢
Above 5 inches	bid 27¢ / ask 73¢
Above 4 inches	bid 26¢ / ask 74¢
Above 3 inches	bid 28¢ / ask 74¢
Above 2 inches	bid 27¢ / ask 75¢
Above 1 inch	bid 36¢ / ask 84¢

Rain in Providence in Nov 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:16 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 20¢ / ask 66¢
Above 6 inches	bid 19¢ / ask 65¢
Above 5 inches	bid 26¢ / ask 74¢
Above 4 inches	bid 26¢ / ask 74¢
Above 3 inches	bid 25¢ / ask 73¢
Above 2 inches	bid 22¢ / ask 92¢
Above 1 inch	bid 21¢ / ask 97¢

Rain in Columbus in Nov 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:16 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 20¢ / ask 68¢
Above 6 inches	bid 18¢ / ask 66¢
Above 5 inches	bid 16¢ / ask 62¢
Above 4 inches	bid 18¢ / ask 66¢
Above 3 inches	bid 7¢ / ask 79¢
Above 2 inches	bid 25¢ / ask 71¢
Above 1 inch	bid 22¢ / ask 92¢

Rain in Lexington in Nov 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:16 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 23¢ / ask 69¢
Above 6 inches	bid 17¢ / ask 65¢
Above 5 inches	bid 23¢ / ask 69¢
Above 4 inches	bid 26¢ / ask 74¢
Above 3 inches	bid 26¢ / ask 74¢
Above 2 inches	bid 22¢ / ask 92¢
Above 1 inch	bid 31¢ / ask 96¢

Rain in Milwaukee in Nov 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:16 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 1¢ / ask 41¢
Above 6 inches	bid 16¢ / ask 52¢
Above 5 inches	bid 16¢ / ask 61¢
Above 4 inches	bid 17¢ / ask 65¢
Above 3 inches	bid 18¢ / ask 66¢
Above 2 inches	bid 25¢ / ask 73¢
Above 1 inch	bid 36¢ / ask 82¢

Rain in San Francisco in Nov 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:16 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Above 6 inches	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Above 5 inches	bid 3¢ / ask 13¢
Above 4 inches	bid 14¢ / ask 15¢
Above 3 inches	bid 23¢ / ask 29¢
Above 2 inches	bid 39¢ / ask 44¢
Above 1 inch	bid 76¢ / ask 79¢

Rain in Dallas in Nov 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:16 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above 6 inches	bid 7¢ / ask 9¢
Above 5 inches	bid 17¢ / ask 19¢
Above 4 inches	bid 24¢ / ask 25¢
Above 3 inches	bid 34¢ / ask 37¢
Above 2 inches	bid 45¢ / ask 58¢
Above 1 inch	bid 72¢ / ask 79¢

Rain in Seattle in Nov 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:16 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 25¢ / ask 46¢
Above 6 inches	bid 30¢ / ask 70¢
Above 5 inches	bid 48¢ / ask 79¢
Above 4 inches	bid 67¢ / ask 92¢
Above 3 inches	bid 53¢ / ask 88¢
Above 2 inches	bid 65¢ / ask 97¢
Above 1 inch	bid 60¢ / ask 98¢

Rain in Houston in Nov 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:16 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 11¢ / ask 13¢
Above 6 inches	bid 13¢ / ask 24¢
Above 5 inches	bid 18¢ / ask 33¢
Above 4 inches	bid 35¢ / ask 48¢
Above 3 inches	bid 43¢ / ask 60¢
Above 2 inches	bid 70¢ / ask 74¢
Above 1 inch	bid 91¢ / ask 93¢

Rain in Los Angeles in Nov 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:16 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 6 inches	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Above 5 inches	bid 4¢ / ask 7¢
Above 4 inches	bid 5¢ / ask 36¢
Above 3 inches	bid 6¢ / ask 18¢
Above 2 inches	bid 10¢ / ask 19¢
Above 1 inch	bid 41¢ / ask 49¢

Rain in Austin in Nov 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:16 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 7¢ / ask 10¢
Above 6 inches	bid 10¢ / ask 12¢
Above 5 inches	bid 11¢ / ask 13¢
Above 4 inches	bid 19¢ / ask 22¢
Above 3 inches	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
Above 2 inches	bid 47¢ / ask 50¢
Above 1 inch	bid 64¢ / ask 69¢

Rain in Miami in Nov 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 1:16 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 12¢ / ask 15¢
Above 6 inches	bid 19¢ / ask 37¢
Above 5 inches	bid 17¢ / ask 45¢
Above 4 inches	bid 32¢ / ask 46¢
Above 3 inches	bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
Above 2 inches	bid 54¢ / ask 70¢
Above 1 inch	bid 65¢ / ask 76¢

💹 Financials — 128 events, 287 markets

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 02, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 02, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

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7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 02, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

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5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 02, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

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2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 02, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Tesla energy deployment in Q1 2027 — 12 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 5:41 PM ET

View market strikes (12 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 8 GWh	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above 30 GWh	bid 7¢ / ask 78¢
Above 28 GWh	bid 4¢ / ask 76¢
Above 26 GWh	bid 3¢ / ask 76¢
Above 24 GWh	bid 6¢ / ask 77¢
Above 22 GWh	bid 6¢ / ask 77¢
Above 20 GWh	bid 7¢ / ask 78¢
Above 18 GWh	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 16 GWh	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 14 GWh	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 12 GWh	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 10 GWh	bid 7¢ (no asks)

Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027 — 12 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 5:39 PM ET

View market strikes (12 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 575,000	bid 1¢ / ask 76¢
Above 550,000	bid 2¢ / ask 76¢
Above 525,000	bid 4¢ / ask 76¢
Above 500,000	bid 5¢ / ask 76¢
Above 475,000	bid 8¢ / ask 76¢
Above 450,000	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 425,000	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 400,000	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 375,000	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 350,000	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 325,000	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 300,000	bid 9¢ (no asks)

Tesla production in Q1 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 5:39 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 575,000	bid 1¢ / ask 76¢
Above 550,000	bid 2¢ / ask 75¢
Above 525,000	bid 3¢ / ask 77¢
Above 500,000	bid 6¢ / ask 76¢
Above 475,000	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 450,000	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 425,000	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 400,000	bid 24¢ / ask 94¢
Above 375,000	bid 22¢ / ask 92¢
Above 350,000	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above 325,000	bid 7¢ (no asks)

Tesla energy deployment in Q4 — 9 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 4:49 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 8 GWh	bid 92¢ / ask 93¢
Above 24 GWh	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Above 22 GWh	bid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Above 20 GWh	bid 26¢ / ask 27¢
Above 18 GWh	bid 48¢ / ask 49¢
Above 16 GWh	bid 69¢ / ask 70¢
Above 14 GWh	bid 84¢ / ask 85¢
Above 12 GWh	bid 86¢ / ask 87¢
Above 10 GWh	bid 89¢ / ask 90¢

Starbucks Foot Traffic in October — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 2:54 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 98	bid 16¢ / ask 37¢
Above 97	bid 18¢ / ask 51¢
Above 96	bid 21¢ / ask 74¢
Above 95	bid 24¢ / ask 80¢
Above 94	bid 44¢ / ask 79¢
Above 91	bid 69¢ / ask 91¢
Above 101	bid 9¢ / ask 23¢

Walmart Foot Traffic in October — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 2:54 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 98	bid 14¢ / ask 46¢
Above 96	bid 13¢ / ask 52¢
Above 94	bid 15¢ / ask 68¢
Above 92	bid 41¢ / ask 82¢
Above 88	bid 68¢ / ask 93¢
Above 104	bid 4¢ / ask 24¢
Above 100	bid 11¢ / ask 38¢

Domino's Foot Traffic in October — 7 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 2:54 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 99	bid 16¢ / ask 38¢
Above 97	bid 19¢ / ask 48¢
Above 95	bid 18¢ / ask 67¢
Above 93	bid 28¢ / ask 80¢
Above 89	bid 37¢ / ask 93¢
Above 105	bid 2¢ / ask 19¢
Above 101	bid 10¢ / ask 29¢

Sporting Goods Ad Spend in September — 6 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 2:01 AM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 92	bid 41¢ / ask 89¢
Above 94	bid 78¢ / ask 89¢
Above 96	bid 75¢ / ask 89¢
Above 98	bid 18¢ / ask 89¢
Above 100	bid 18¢ / ask 89¢
Above 102	bid 11¢ (no asks)

Max App Downloads in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 6:01 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 35	bid 28¢ / ask 96¢
Above 20	bid 34¢ / ask 97¢
Above 5	bid 29¢ / ask 99¢

Casino Ad Spend in September — 3 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 79	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 78	bid 22¢ / ask 94¢
Above 77	bid 9¢ (no asks)

Fitness Centers Ad Spend in September — 3 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 4:01 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 119	bid 13¢ / ask 73¢
Above 118	bid 12¢ / ask 73¢
Above 117	bid 26¢ / ask 73¢

Dollar General Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 2:01 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 85	bid 63¢ (no asks)
Above 78	bid 63¢ (no asks)
Above 71	bid 63¢ (no asks)

Streaming Ad Spend in September — 3 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 85	bid 30¢ / ask 70¢
Above 84	bid 28¢ / ask 73¢
Above 83	bid 21¢ / ask 84¢

Footwear Retail Ad Spend in September — 3 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 1:01 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 94	bid 12¢ / ask 86¢
Above 92	bid 12¢ / ask 82¢
Above 90	bid 18¢ / ask 83¢

Consumer Electronics Ad Spend in September — 3 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 12:01 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 114	bid 60¢ / ask 77¢
Above 112	bid 60¢ / ask 79¢
Above 110	bid 76¢ / ask 96¢

HBO App Downloads in September — 3 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 10:01 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 64	bid 82¢ / ask 83¢
Above 62	bid 92¢ / ask 93¢
Above 60	bid 92¢ / ask 93¢

Online Sportsbook Ad Spend in September — 3 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 9:01 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 148	bid 3¢ / ask 28¢
Above 150	bid 2¢ / ask 17¢
Above 152	bid 1¢ / ask 15¢

Eli Lilly Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 7:03 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 209	bid 2¢ / ask 43¢
Above 230	bid 2¢ / ask 42¢
Above 251	bid 2¢ / ask 42¢

Hims Monthly Credit Card Spend in September — 3 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 98	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 94	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Above 90	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢

Disney+ App Downloads in September — 3 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 91	bid 6¢ / ask 26¢
Above 87	bid 77¢ / ask 78¢
Above 83	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢

on! Point of Sale Growth in September — 3 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 9:01 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 119	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 122	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 125	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 157.563 (bid 6¢ / ask 8¢) — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.12326 (bid 86¢ / ask 87¢) — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.32083 (bid 89¢ / ask 90¢) — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

4,981 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	3,926	16	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +13 more
📊 Economics	651	43	30-year mortgage rate this week, Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, Utah gas price, +40 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	396	56	Where will it rain daily, RAIN DENVER, Rain Chicago, +53 more
🎬 Entertainment	8	6	RUNNER UP NETFLIX MOVIE, Netflix movie ranking, Will Album be runner up this week?, +3 more

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: HBO App Downloads, EUR/USD, Tesla Energy Deployment — Past 24 Hours (as of 8:30:34 AM ET, Oct 02)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

🏢 Companies — 1 event, 3 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 12 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 60 markets

📊 Economics — 6 events, 64 markets

🏛️ Politics — 12 events, 28 markets

🗳️ Elections — 15 events, 107 markets

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 24 events, 171 markets

💹 Financials — 128 events, 287 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

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