Kalshi Markets: Iowa Senate, Brazil Impeachment, Buttigieg

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 11 at 6:30 PM ET through Oct 12 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 666 unique markets across 208 new events, plus 5,281 recurring bracket markets.

🎬 Entertainment

4 events

46 markets

📊 Economics

4 events

68 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

15 events

113 markets

🗳️ Elections

19 events

95 markets

🏛️ Politics

48 events

148 markets

💹 Financials

118 events

196 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Iowa Republican Senate nominee in 2028?: Pat Grassley bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Zach Nunn bid 9¢ / ask 17¢, Randy Feenstra bid 9¢ / ask 17¢

Will Brazil's Senate open impeachment proceedings against Alexandre de Moraes?: Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, Before Mar 1, 2027 bid 55¢ / ask 65¢

When will Pete Buttigieg announce his presidential candidacy?: Before Dec 1, 2026 bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Before Feb 1, 2027 bid 13¢ / ask 20¢, Before Oct 1, 2027 bid 71¢ / ask 79¢

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel): Above 8.5% bid 50¢ / ask 51¢, Above 4.4% bid 72¢ / ask 75¢, Above 9.4% bid 41¢ / ask 45¢

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18): Above 22 — bid 51¢ / ask 52¢

Brazil inflation rate in October: Above 4.80% bid 39¢ / ask 40¢, Above 4.70% bid 64¢ / ask 65¢, Above 4.60% bid 84¢ / ask 85¢

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 13, 2026?: Below 37.8% bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, 38.4% bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, 38.3% bid 11¢ / ask 12¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

📊 Economics

🎬 Entertainment

🔬 Science and Technology

🗳️ Elections

🏛️ Politics

💹 Financials

All New Events

🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 46 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 13, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yeshanagula	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip	bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
TRALALA	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Todo Lo Fue	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Shararat	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Radhimaa [From "Think Indie"]	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Parvati	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 12: z5y8Clp_TdE]	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 7: xvT1jH8B9AM]	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Dame Tu Cosita	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Dai Dai	bid 21¢ / ask 23¢
Casa Tupka Anthemo	bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Basinga Balaalu	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Barsaat	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
295 (MUSIC VIDEO) SIDHU MOOSE WALA	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 13, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yeshanagula	bid 3¢ / ask 36¢
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip	bid 6¢ / ask 41¢
TRALALA	bid 6¢ / ask 49¢
Todo Lo Fue	bid 1¢ / ask 42¢
Shararat	bid 1¢ / ask 49¢
Radhimaa [From "Think Indie"]	bid 1¢ / ask 40¢
Parvati	bid 1¢ / ask 47¢
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 12: z5y8Clp_TdE]	bid 1¢ / ask 44¢
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 7: xvT1jH8B9AM]	bid 2¢ / ask 36¢
Dame Tu Cosita	bid 1¢ / ask 46¢
Dai Dai	bid 32¢ / ask 62¢
Casa Tupka Anthemo	bid 4¢ / ask 82¢
Basinga Balaalu	bid 1¢ / ask 49¢
Barsaat	bid 1¢ / ask 43¢
295 (MUSIC VIDEO) SIDHU MOOSE WALA	bid 6¢ / ask 55¢

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 13, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
WTF GOIN	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Todo Lo Fue	ask 95¢ (no bids)
The Aura Farmer - Horror Skunx (official song)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Nicole Kidman	ask 95¢ (no bids)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Gunna - pop it [Official Video]	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai	ask 95¢ (no bids)
DADDY YANKEE- BOTZ (Bésame OTra veZ) Official Video	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 10: hLOheGDwD_0]	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 2: nUsrYVxrDwI]	ask 95¢ (no bids)
BbY WOW	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Anuel AA - Vuelve (Video Oficial)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Amnesia	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Alma Rota	ask 95¢ (no bids)
AH HA	ask 95¢ (no bids)

Grammy winner: Album of the Year: Through the Wall (bid 1¢ / ask 10¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:35 AM ET

📊 Economics — 4 events, 68 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 6:01 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.315	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.310	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.305	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.300	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.295	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.290	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above $6.285	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above $6.280	bid 3¢ / ask 7¢
Above $6.275	bid 58¢ / ask 72¢
Above $6.270	bid 50¢ / ask 71¢
Above $6.265	bid 57¢ / ask 87¢
Above $6.260	bid 45¢ / ask 98¢
Above $6.255	bid 96¢ / ask 98¢
Above $6.250	bid 90¢ / ask 98¢
Above $6.245	bid 92¢ / ask 98¢
Above $6.240	bid 95¢ (no asks)
Above $6.235	bid 92¢ (no asks)
Above $6.230	bid 75¢ (no asks)
Above $6.225	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $6.220	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $6.215	bid 99¢ (no asks)

Diesel prices this week — 21 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 6:01 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.46	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above $6.44	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Above $6.42	bid 5¢ / ask 7¢
Above $6.40	bid 5¢ / ask 7¢
Above $6.38	bid 2¢ / ask 8¢
Above $6.36	bid 2¢ / ask 9¢
Above $6.34	bid 6¢ / ask 11¢
Above $6.32	bid 12¢ / ask 14¢
Above $6.30	bid 12¢ / ask 16¢
Above $6.28	bid 12¢ / ask 18¢
Above $6.26	bid 18¢ / ask 23¢
Above $6.24	bid 60¢ / ask 66¢
Above $6.22	bid 71¢ / ask 77¢
Above $6.20	bid 70¢ / ask 78¢
Above $6.18	bid 71¢ / ask 80¢
Above $6.16	bid 80¢ / ask 90¢
Above $6.14	bid 87¢ / ask 96¢
Above $6.12	bid 91¢ / ask 95¢
Above $6.10	bid 93¢ / ask 96¢
Above $6.08	bid 94¢ / ask 98¢
Above $6.06	bid 95¢ (no asks)

EV commodity prices on Oct 12, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1270.09	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1260.09	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1250.09	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1240.09	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1230.09	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1220.09	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1210.09	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Above 1200.09	bid 96¢ / ask 97¢
Above 1190.09	bid 96¢ / ask 97¢
Above 1180.09	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1170.09	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1160.09	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1150.09	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1140.09	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1130.09	bid 98¢ (no asks)

Brazil inflation rate in October — 11 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:07 AM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 4.90%	bid 32¢ / ask 42¢
Above 4.80%	bid 39¢ / ask 40¢
Above 4.70%	bid 64¢ / ask 65¢
Above 4.60%	bid 84¢ / ask 85¢
Above 4.50%	bid 92¢ / ask 93¢
Above 4.40%	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above 4.30%	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above 4.20%	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above 4.10%	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 4.00%	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 3.90%	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

🔬 Science and Technology — 15 events, 113 markets

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th — 10 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market options (10 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Z.ai	bid 9¢ / ask 13¢
Xiaomi	bid 48¢ / ask 69¢
Tencent	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Moonshot	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
MiniMax	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Meituan	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
DeepSeek	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
ByteDance	bid 8¢ / ask 14¢
Baidu	bid 8¢ / ask 14¢
Alibaba	bid 8¢ / ask 17¢

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 16, 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 73.8%	bid 3¢ / ask 20¢
Above 69.7%	bid 10¢ / ask 30¢
Above 69.0%	bid 12¢ / ask 30¢
Above 67.0%	bid 15¢ / ask 35¢
Above 65.5%	bid 25¢ / ask 45¢
Above 61.6%	bid 40¢ / ask 70¢
Above 56.1%	bid 50¢ / ask 70¢
Above 55.1%	bid 55¢ / ask 78¢
Above 49.4%	bid 80¢ / ask 95¢

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.4%	bid 41¢ / ask 45¢
Above 8.5%	bid 50¢ / ask 51¢
Above 5.5%	bid 58¢ / ask 70¢
Above 4.4%	bid 72¢ / ask 75¢
Above 17.6%	bid 6¢ / ask 12¢
Above 15.0%	bid 12¢ / ask 20¢
Above 13.3%	bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
Above 11.7%	bid 25¢ / ask 30¢
Above 10.5%	bid 35¢ / ask 40¢

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 22.3%	bid 15¢ / ask 23¢
Above 21.0%	bid 26¢ / ask 30¢
Above 20.1%	bid 32¢ / ask 36¢
Above 19.6%	bid 37¢ / ask 41¢
Above 17.9%	bid 55¢ / ask 61¢
Above 16.5%	bid 73¢ / ask 78¢
Above 15.8%	bid 80¢ / ask 87¢
Above 15.5%	bid 82¢ / ask 89¢
Above 14.2%	bid 85¢ / ask 95¢

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 40.9%	bid 19¢ / ask 30¢
Above 40.1%	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
Above 39.2%	bid 32¢ / ask 41¢
Above 36.2%	bid 62¢ / ask 65¢
Above 35.3%	bid 65¢ / ask 68¢
Above 33.5%	bid 75¢ / ask 81¢
Above 32.4%	bid 78¢ / ask 86¢
Above 30.7%	bid 86¢ / ask 94¢
Above 28.3%	bid 85¢ / ask 97¢

Google share of requests on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 17.7%	bid 9¢ / ask 15¢
Above 17.0%	bid 9¢ / ask 20¢
Above 16.4%	bid 13¢ / ask 24¢
Above 15.8%	bid 22¢ / ask 35¢
Above 14.5%	bid 36¢ / ask 43¢
Above 13.6%	bid 51¢ / ask 59¢
Above 12.8%	bid 65¢ / ask 75¢
Above 12.4%	bid 72¢ / ask 82¢
Above 11.5%	bid 85¢ / ask 91¢

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 25.7%	bid 20¢ / ask 33¢
Above 25.1%	bid 27¢ / ask 38¢
Above 24.0%	bid 36¢ / ask 46¢
Above 23.4%	bid 45¢ / ask 58¢
Above 23.3%	bid 45¢ / ask 59¢
Above 22.4%	bid 55¢ / ask 64¢
Above 20.7%	bid 76¢ / ask 84¢
Above 18.9%	bid 87¢ / ask 92¢
Above 17.6%	bid 85¢ / ask 94¢

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7.9%	bid 25¢ / ask 43¢
Above 7.3%	bid 35¢ / ask 53¢
Above 7.0%	bid 42¢ / ask 53¢
Above 6.9%	bid 45¢ / ask 55¢
Above 6.7%	bid 48¢ / ask 58¢
Above 6.4%	bid 50¢ / ask 63¢
Above 5.1%	bid 72¢ / ask 85¢
Above 4.6%	bid 80¢ / ask 91¢
Above 4.4%	bid 85¢ / ask 95¢

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.6%	bid 80¢ / ask 82¢
Above 14.5%	bid 35¢ / ask 40¢
Above 14.0%	bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
Above 13.4%	bid 46¢ / ask 65¢
Above 12.6%	bid 54¢ / ask 63¢
Above 11.7%	bid 60¢ / ask 63¢
Above 11.3%	bid 65¢ / ask 67¢
Above 10.8%	bid 70¢ / ask 72¢
Above 10.4%	bid 75¢ / ask 84¢

Top Coding AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Qwen, MiniMax, Kimi, Grok, GLM, Gemini, Dola, Claude, ChatGPT

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Best AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Grok, ChatGPT, Kimi, MUSE, Gemini, Dola, Claude, Amazon Nova, Qwen

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Most popular AI this week — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Z.ai, Xiaomi, Tencent, OpenAI, Google, DeepSeek, Anthropic

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Alibaba vs Xiaomi: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026 — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 2:57 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Xiaomi	bid 36¢ / ask 67¢
Alibaba	bid 34¢ / ask 65¢

Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026 — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 2:57 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
OpenAI	bid 10¢ / ask 48¢
Meta	bid 52¢ / ask 90¢

Anthropic vs Google: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026 — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 2:57 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Google	bid 40¢ / ask 90¢
Anthropic	bid 10¢ / ask 40¢

🗳️ Elections — 19 events, 95 markets

Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round) — 14 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET

View market options (14 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Xavier Bertrand	bid 2¢ / ask 78¢
Raphaël Glucksmann	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Marine Tondelier	bid 1¢ / ask 78¢
Marine Le Pen	ask 93¢ (no bids)
Jean-Luc Mélenchon	—
Jordan Bardella	bid 2¢ / ask 77¢
Gabriel Attal	ask 93¢ (no bids)
François Ruffin	bid 2¢ / ask 77¢
François Hollande	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Éric Zemmour	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Édouard Philippe	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Dominique de Villepin	bid 2¢ / ask 78¢
David Lisnard	bid 1¢ / ask 78¢
Bruno Retailleau	ask 93¢ (no bids)

Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round) — 14 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET

View market options (14 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Xavier Bertrand	bid 1¢ / ask 77¢
Raphaël Glucksmann	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Marine Tondelier	bid 1¢ / ask 76¢
Marine Le Pen	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Jean-Luc Mélenchon	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Jordan Bardella	ask 93¢ (no bids)
Gabriel Attal	ask 93¢ (no bids)
François Ruffin	bid 1¢ / ask 76¢
François Hollande	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Éric Zemmour	bid 1¢ / ask 77¢
Édouard Philippe	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Dominique de Villepin	bid 1¢ / ask 77¢
David Lisnard	bid 1¢ / ask 77¢
Bruno Retailleau	ask 92¢ (no bids)

Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round) — 14 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET

View market options (14 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Xavier Bertrand	bid 2¢ / ask 55¢
Raphaël Glucksmann	bid 2¢ / ask 55¢
Marine Tondelier	bid 2¢ / ask 55¢
Marine Le Pen	bid 50¢ / ask 96¢
Jean-Luc Mélenchon	bid 2¢ / ask 55¢
Jordan Bardella	bid 2¢ / ask 56¢
Gabriel Attal	bid 2¢ / ask 55¢
François Ruffin	bid 2¢ / ask 55¢
François Hollande	bid 1¢ / ask 29¢
Éric Zemmour	bid 1¢ / ask 55¢
Édouard Philippe	bid 2¢ / ask 55¢
Dominique de Villepin	bid 2¢ / ask 55¢
David Lisnard	bid 1¢ / ask 55¢
Bruno Retailleau	bid 2¢ / ask 55¢

Who will be Argentina's Peronist presidential nominee? — 11 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:28 PM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Sergio Uñac	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Sergio Massa	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Ricardo Quintela	bid 2¢ / ask 78¢
Máximo Kirchner	bid 3¢ / ask 78¢
Juan Grabois	bid 2¢ / ask 78¢
Jorge Capitanich	bid 2¢ / ask 78¢
Gerardo Zamora	bid 2¢ / ask 78¢
Eduardo de Pedro	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Dante Gebel	bid 2¢ / ask 78¢
Cristina Fernández de Kirchner	ask 91¢ (no bids)
Axel Kicillof	ask 93¢ (no bids)

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Radostin Vasilev	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Nikolay Nenchev	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Kostadin Kostadinov	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Iliana Yotova	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Ivaylo Simeonov	bid 3¢ / ask 79¢
Ivelin Mihaylov	bid 3¢ / ask 79¢
Ivan Hristanov	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Andrey Gyurov	ask 91¢ (no bids)

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Radostin Vasilev	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Nikolay Nenchev	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Kostadin Kostadinov	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Iliana Yotova	ask 93¢ (no bids)
Ivaylo Simeonov	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Ivelin Mihaylov	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Ivan Hristanov	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Andrey Gyurov	ask 93¢ (no bids)

Iowa Republican Senate nominee in 2028? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Zach Nunn	bid 9¢ / ask 17¢
Randy Feenstra	bid 9¢ / ask 17¢
Pat Grassley	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Matt Whitaker	bid 8¢ / ask 17¢
Kim Reynolds	bid 8¢ / ask 17¢
Kari Lake	bid 5¢ / ask 13¢
Chuck Grassley	bid 21¢ / ask 29¢

When will Pete Buttigieg announce his presidential candidacy? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:50 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Oct 1, 2027	bid 71¢ / ask 79¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 62¢ / ask 71¢
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 13¢ / ask 20¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 51¢ / ask 59¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢

When will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before May 1, 2027	bid 11¢ / ask 20¢
Before Jun 1, 2027	bid 25¢ / ask 34¢

When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:57 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 8¢ / ask 17¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 15¢ / ask 24¢

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional) — 2 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:23 AM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 253	bid 3¢ / ask 11¢
Above 256	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢

Will PP and Vox win 50% of the vote in Spain's election?: At least 50% (bid 11¢ / ask 89¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:41 PM ET

Will anyone win the Vermont Governor election outright?: First-round winner (bid 49¢ / ask 58¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET

Will anyone win outright in the Cape Verde presidential election?: First-round winner (bid 21¢ / ask 89¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET

New Zealand general election winner?: Opportunity (ask 95¢ (no bids)) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET

Will Jim Justice announce a West Virginia governor run?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 53¢ / ask 63¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:46 PM ET

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?: Before Jan 1, 2028 (bid 47¢ / ask 56¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET

Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout: At least 5,250,000 (bid 44¢ / ask 52¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:22 AM ET

Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout: At least 126,000,000 (bid 12¢ / ask 22¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:19 AM ET

🏛️ Politics — 48 events, 148 markets

Which states will enact data center moratoriums before 2028? — 48 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 2:52 PM ET

Tracking: Wyoming, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Washington, Vermont, Virginia, Utah, Tennessee, South Dakota, South Carolina, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, Oregon, Oklahoma, Ohio, Nevada, New Mexico, New Jersey, New Hampshire, Nebraska, North Dakota, North Carolina, Montana, Mississippi, Missouri, +23 more

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 13, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 37.8%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
38.4%	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
38.3%	bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
38.2%	bid 22¢ / ask 23¢
38.1%	bid 33¢ / ask 34¢
38.0%	bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
37.9%	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
37.8%	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above 38.4%	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 13, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 8.4%	bid 10¢ / ask 17¢
9.0%	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
8.9%	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
8.8%	bid 2¢ / ask 12¢
8.7%	bid 21¢ / ask 42¢
8.6%	bid 10¢ / ask 15¢
8.5%	bid 15¢ / ask 24¢
8.4%	bid 21¢ / ask 43¢
Above 9.0%	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢

Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 12, 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
<5	ask 14¢ (no bids)
40+	bid 76¢ / ask 91¢
5-9	ask 7¢ (no bids)
30-39	bid 9¢ / ask 24¢
25-29	last 2¢ (book empty)
20-24	ask 7¢ (no bids)
15-19	ask 7¢ (no bids)
10-14	ask 6¢ (no bids)

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23, 2026? — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 1:51 PM ET

Tracking: Troy Jackson, Sherrod Brown, Mary Peltola, James Talarico, Jon Ossoff, Angie Nixon, Abdul El-Sayed

🔗 View on Kalshi →

When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 12, 2026 at 12:53 PM ET

Tracking: Before Apr 1, 2027, Before Jul 1, 2027, Before Sep 1, 2027, Before Jan 1, 2028

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AfD in a German state government in 2026? — 4 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:44 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 66¢ / ask 75¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 76¢ / ask 85¢
Before Jan 1, 2029	bid 86¢ / ask 95¢
Before Jan 1, 2030	bid 91¢ / ask 98¢

When will the White House announce an end to its press ban? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 6¢ / ask 15¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 26¢ / ask 36¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 47¢ / ask 57¢

When will Trump's next address to the nation be? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:51 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 77¢ / ask 87¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 85¢ / ask 95¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:49 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 53¢ / ask 62¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 64¢ / ask 73¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 76¢ / ask 85¢

Will Trump visit Camp David again in 2026? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:43 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 14¢ / ask 23¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 15¢ / ask 24¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 16¢ / ask 25¢

Will Pete Hegseth be impeached? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 60¢ / ask 70¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 50¢ / ask 66¢

Will Brazil's Senate open impeachment proceedings against Alexandre de Moraes? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 55¢ / ask 65¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢

Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be removed from the royal line of succession? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:59 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 25¢ / ask 33¢

Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:59 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 16¢ / ask 23¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 19¢ / ask 26¢

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:58 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before 2028	bid 16¢ / ask 24¢
Before 2029	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢

Will Anthropic and the Vatican meet before Jan 1, 2027? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:55 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 10¢ / ask 18¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 41¢ / ask 49¢

Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:50 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 46¢ / ask 56¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 66¢ / ask 76¢

Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:49 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 25¢ / ask 35¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 55¢ / ask 65¢

Will Kenya and the US reach a critical minerals deal? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:48 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 4¢ / ask 12¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 13¢ / ask 21¢

Jeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:47 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 12¢ / ask 21¢

Ed Davey announces departure as Liberal Democrats leader in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 11¢ / ask 89¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 3:26 PM ET

Will data center power-cost standards become law?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 27¢ / ask 37¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:59 PM ET

Will the House pass additional defense funding?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 29¢ / ask 39¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:57 PM ET

Kash Patel out as FBI Director?: Before Feb 1, 2027 (bid 11¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:57 PM ET

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?: Before Feb 1, 2027 (bid 40¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:57 PM ET

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?: Before 2028 (bid 4¢ / ask 14¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:56 PM ET

Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?: Before 2028 (bid 6¢ / ask 15¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:56 PM ET

Will Pennsylvania ban Flock cameras?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 41¢ / ask 51¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:56 PM ET

Steve Feinberg out as Deputy Secretary of Defense?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 64¢ / ask 74¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:55 PM ET

Will CDC cut the childhood vaccine schedule below 11 diseases in 2026?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 26¢ / ask 34¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:55 PM ET

Will Pennsylvania formally begin leaving PJM in 2026?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 40¢ / ask 49¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:54 PM ET

Will CMS announce a major Medicaid payment deferral against another state?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 34¢ / ask 43¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:54 PM ET

Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 40¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:52 PM ET

When will Trump rename something else?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 62¢ / ask 72¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:52 PM ET

Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 37¢ / ask 45¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:52 PM ET

Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 30¢ / ask 40¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:51 PM ET

Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?: Before May 1, 2027 (bid 26¢ / ask 35¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:47 PM ET

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?: Before Dec 1, 2026 (bid 2¢ / ask 11¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:47 PM ET

Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice?: Before Dec 1, 2026 (bid 44¢ / ask 53¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:46 PM ET

Will the Treasury grant retroactive cannabis tax relief?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 33¢ / ask 42¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:46 PM ET

Will the FCC ban new Chinese data center transceivers this year?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 51¢ / ask 59¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET

Will the American Affordability and Jobs Act become law?: Before Mar 1, 2027 (bid 64¢ / ask 74¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18): Above 22 (bid 51¢ / ask 52¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:22 AM ET

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026): At least 9 (bid 44¢ / ask 52¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:19 AM ET

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18): Above 3 (bid 91¢ / ask 97¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:18 AM ET

Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 33¢ / ask 48¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 10:55 AM ET

Will OFAC end its Russian diesel import license?: Yes (bid 10¢ / ask 14¢) — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 10:55 AM ET

💹 Financials — 118 events, 196 markets

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.74% or above	—
5.72% or above	ask 6¢ (no bids)
5.7% or above	ask 10¢ (no bids)
5.68% or above	bid 3¢ / ask 14¢
5.66% or above	bid 12¢ / ask 21¢
5.64% or above	bid 22¢ / ask 33¢
5.62% or above	bid 34¢ / ask 46¢
5.6% or above	bid 46¢ / ask 62¢
5.58% or above	bid 58¢ / ask 76¢
5.56% or above	bid 69¢ / ask 86¢
5.54% or above	bid 78¢ / ask 91¢
5.52% or above	bid 86¢ / ask 98¢
5.5% or above	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢
5.48% or above	bid 94¢ (no asks)
5.46% or above	bid 97¢ (no asks)

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.39% or above	last 1¢ (book empty)
5.37% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
5.35% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
5.33% or above	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
5.31% or above	bid 8¢ / ask 11¢
5.29% or above	bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
5.27% or above	bid 29¢ / ask 31¢
5.25% or above	bid 48¢ / ask 50¢
5.23% or above	bid 62¢ / ask 67¢
5.21% or above	bid 79¢ / ask 81¢
5.19% or above	bid 84¢ / ask 91¢
5.17% or above	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
5.15% or above	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
5.13% or above	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
5.11% or above	bid 98¢ (no asks)

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.29% or above	—
5.27% or above	ask 6¢ (no bids)
5.25% or above	ask 9¢ (no bids)
5.23% or above	ask 11¢ (no bids)
5.21% or above	bid 6¢ / ask 16¢
5.19% or above	bid 15¢ / ask 23¢
5.17% or above	bid 24¢ / ask 36¢
5.15% or above	bid 35¢ / ask 48¢
5.13% or above	bid 45¢ / ask 63¢
5.11% or above	bid 56¢ / ask 76¢
5.09% or above	bid 68¢ / ask 85¢
5.07% or above	bid 79¢ / ask 90¢
5.05% or above	bid 86¢ / ask 98¢
5.03% or above	bid 90¢ / ask 98¢
5.01% or above	bid 93¢ (no asks)

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.14% or above	ask 8¢ (no bids)
5.12% or above	ask 11¢ (no bids)
5.1% or above	ask 18¢ (no bids)
5.08% or above	bid 10¢ / ask 24¢
5.06% or above	bid 17¢ / ask 37¢
5.04% or above	bid 28¢ / ask 48¢
5.02% or above	bid 40¢ / ask 60¢
5% or above	bid 55¢ / ask 72¢
4.98% or above	bid 67¢ / ask 82¢
4.96% or above	bid 78¢ / ask 91¢
4.94% or above	bid 85¢ / ask 98¢
4.92% or above	bid 90¢ / ask 98¢
4.9% or above	bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
4.88% or above	bid 96¢ (no asks)
4.86% or above	bid 97¢ (no asks)

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
4.94% or above	ask 7¢ (no bids)
4.92% or above	ask 10¢ (no bids)
4.9% or above	ask 12¢ (no bids)
4.88% or above	ask 14¢ (no bids)
4.86% or above	bid 4¢ / ask 17¢
4.84% or above	bid 8¢ / ask 22¢
4.82% or above	bid 16¢ / ask 30¢
4.8% or above	bid 29¢ / ask 40¢
4.78% or above	bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
4.76% or above	bid 59¢ / ask 68¢
4.74% or above	bid 69¢ / ask 78¢
4.72% or above	bid 78¢ / ask 88¢
4.7% or above	bid 84¢ / ask 95¢
4.68% or above	bid 89¢ / ask 98¢
4.66% or above	bid 93¢ (no asks)

Fear & Greed Index on Nov 6, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Extreme Greed	bid 7¢ / ask 15¢
Extreme Fear	bid 10¢ / ask 25¢
Neutral	bid 15¢ / ask 60¢
Greed	bid 6¢ / ask 49¢
Fear	bid 15¢ / ask 60¢

The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in Q3 — 3 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.5%	bid 18¢ / ask 23¢
Above 10%	bid 11¢ / ask 15¢
Above 10.5%	bid 5¢ / ask 8¢

McDonald's total restaurants in fiscal 2026 — 3 brackets — listed Oct 12, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 47800	bid 15¢ / ask 25¢
Above 48000	bid 7¢ / ask 17¢
Above 48200	bid 3¢ / ask 13¢

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.42801 (bid 81¢ / ask 87¢) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 0.69600 (bid 13¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 158.599 (bid 65¢ / ask 67¢) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.11588 (bid 26¢ / ask 27¢) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.32096 (bid 32¢ / ask 38¢) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

5,281 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	3,841	23	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +20 more
📊 Economics	1,005	57	North Carolina gas price, Arkansas gas price, New Jersey gas price this week, +54 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	394	55	Where will it rain daily, Where will it rain this weekend?, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, +52 more
🎬 Entertainment	33	4	DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, Billboard Hot 100 #1, +1 more
🏛️ Politics	8	3	Bills signed by Trump this month, Will Trump do anything?, Trump tariffs on Canada: increase

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: Iowa Republican Senate 2028, Brazil Impeachment, Buttigieg C — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:16 PM ET, Oct 12)

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All New Events

🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 46 markets

📊 Economics — 4 events, 68 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 15 events, 113 markets

🗳️ Elections — 19 events, 95 markets

🏛️ Politics — 48 events, 148 markets

💹 Financials — 118 events, 196 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

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