📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 25 at 6:30 PM ET through Aug 26 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 329 unique markets across 35 new events, plus 4,652 recurring bracket markets.

🗳️ Elections
1 event
3 markets
🏛️ Politics
1 event
9 markets
🎬 Entertainment
8 events
55 markets
💹 Financials
12 events
138 markets
📊 Economics
13 events
124 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond: Paul Mescal bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Jack Barton bid 30¢ / ask 32¢

Hungary rate decision in September: Hike more than 50bps bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Hike 50bps bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Hike 25bps bid 1¢ / ask 3¢

Poland rate decision in September: Hike more than 50bps, Hike 50bps, Cut more than 50bps all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Czech National Bank rate decision in September: Hike more than 50bps, Hike 50bps, Cut more than 50bps all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $5.650 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above $5.645 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Above $5.605 bid 96¢ / ask 97¢

US SPR level for the week ending August 28, 2026: Above 282M bid 90¢ / ask 92¢, Above 283M bid 85¢ / ask 92¢, Above 288M bid 1¢ / ask 10¢

Trump's approval rating on Aug 27, 2026?: 39.6 bid 39¢ / ask 41¢, Below 39.3 bid 1¢ / ask 5¢, 39.3 bid 1¢ / ask 6¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🗳️ Elections
🏛️ Politics
🎬 Entertainment
💹 Financials
📊 Economics

All New Events

🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 3 markets

View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
11bid 16¢ / ask 22¢
12bid 10¢ / ask 16¢
Above 12bid 32¢ / ask 38¢

🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 9 markets

Trump's approval rating on Aug 27, 2026? — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Above 39.9bid 3¢ / ask 18¢
39.9bid 1¢ / ask 39¢
39.8bid 5¢ / ask 39¢
39.7bid 18¢ / ask 59¢
39.6bid 39¢ / ask 41¢
39.5bid 19¢ / ask 45¢
39.4bid 3¢ / ask 24¢
39.3bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Below 39.3bid 1¢ / ask 5¢

🎬 Entertainment — 8 events, 55 markets

View market options (15 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip
Tera Mera Rishtaask 94¢ (no bids)
Sunflowerask 94¢ (no bids)
Shararatask 94¢ (no bids)
Sebebi Yarask 94¢ (no bids)
Life Goes Onask 94¢ (no bids)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MVask 94¢ (no bids)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV
KALYANI (Remix)
Goldenask 94¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai
CORTIS (코르티스) ‘MONEYMONEYMONEY’ Official Visualizer
Basinga Balaaluask 94¢ (no bids)
Barsaatask 94¢ (no bids)
Barbaadilast 1¢ (book empty)
View market options (15 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Kliplast 1¢ (book empty)
Tera Mera Rishtaask 94¢ (no bids)
Sunflowerask 94¢ (no bids)
Shararatask 94¢ (no bids)
Sebebi Yarask 94¢ (no bids)
Life Goes Onask 94¢ (no bids)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MVask 94¢ (no bids)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MVlast 1¢ (book empty)
KALYANI (Remix)last 1¢ (book empty)
Goldenask 94¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai
CORTIS (코르티스) ‘MONEYMONEYMONEY’ Official Visualizerask 85¢ (no bids)
Basinga Balaaluask 94¢ (no bids)
Barsaatask 94¢ (no bids)
Barbaadiask 94¢ (no bids)
View market options (15 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
WTF Goinask 94¢ (no bids)
Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026ask 94¢ (no bids)
Taylor Swift Performance - The Icon Sessions at the Grammy Museum
Sunflowerask 94¢ (no bids)
Pooh Shiesty - Reap What You Sow [Official Audio]ask 94¢ (no bids)
Life Goes Onask 94¢ (no bids)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MVask 94¢ (no bids)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV
Janice STFUask 94¢ (no bids)
ICONIC BY MISTAKEask 94¢ (no bids)
Goldenask 94¢ (no bids)
Dead Freshask 94¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai
Choosin' Texasask 94¢ (no bids)
Beat Itask 94¢ (no bids)

James Bond · Release Date — 4 outcomes — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Jan 1, 2029bid 39¢ / ask 91¢
Before Jul 1, 2028bid 7¢ / ask 64¢
Before Jan 1, 2028bid 4¢ / ask 59¢
Before Jul 1, 2027bid 4¢ / ask 49¢
View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Jack Bartonbid 30¢ / ask 32¢
Paul Mescalbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Jack O'Connell

Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner(s): Ella Langley (bid 1¢ / ask 13¢) — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 10:34 AM ET

Daily Top Music Videos USA: Artist(s) with a #1 video in August 2026 : Taylor Swift (ask 90¢ (no bids)) — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 10:02 AM ET

Who will have a top 10 song this year?: Dolly Parton (last 97¢ (book empty)) — listed Aug 25, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET

💹 Financials — 12 events, 138 markets

30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 27, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
5.29% or aboveask 10¢ (no bids)
5.27% or aboveask 10¢ (no bids)
5.25% or aboveask 10¢ (no bids)
5.23% or aboveask 10¢ (no bids)
5.21% or abovebid 8¢ / ask 28¢
5.19% or abovebid 25¢ / ask 45¢
5.17% or abovebid 53¢ / ask 73¢
5.15% or abovebid 69¢ / ask 89¢
5.13% or abovebid 80¢ / ask 99¢
5.11% or abovebid 83¢ / ask 99¢
5.09% or abovebid 89¢ (no asks)
5.07% or abovebid 90¢ (no asks)
5.05% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
5.03% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
5.01% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)

10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 27, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.79% or above
4.77% or aboveask 10¢ (no bids)
4.75% or aboveask 10¢ (no bids)
4.73% or aboveask 15¢ (no bids)
4.71% or aboveask 18¢ (no bids)
4.69% or abovebid 14¢ / ask 34¢
4.67% or abovebid 28¢ / ask 48¢
4.65% or abovebid 48¢ / ask 68¢
4.63% or abovebid 65¢ / ask 85¢
4.61% or abovebid 82¢ / ask 99¢
4.59% or abovebid 90¢ (no asks)
4.57% or abovebid 90¢ (no asks)
4.55% or abovebid 90¢ (no asks)
4.53% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
4.51% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)

7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 27, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.64% or above
4.62% or aboveask 10¢ (no bids)
4.6% or aboveask 10¢ (no bids)
4.58% or aboveask 14¢ (no bids)
4.56% or aboveask 16¢ (no bids)
4.54% or abovebid 8¢ / ask 28¢
4.52% or abovebid 28¢ / ask 48¢
4.5% or abovebid 47¢ / ask 67¢
4.48% or abovebid 64¢ / ask 84¢
4.46% or abovebid 76¢ / ask 96¢
4.44% or abovebid 83¢ (no asks)
4.42% or abovebid 87¢ (no asks)
4.4% or abovebid 90¢ (no asks)
4.38% or abovebid 90¢ (no asks)
4.36% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)

5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 27, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.49% or aboveask 10¢ (no bids)
4.47% or aboveask 10¢ (no bids)
4.45% or aboveask 12¢ (no bids)
4.43% or aboveask 13¢ (no bids)
4.41% or abovebid 10¢ / ask 25¢
4.39% or abovebid 27¢ / ask 45¢
4.37% or abovebid 45¢ / ask 62¢
4.35% or abovebid 60¢ / ask 80¢
4.33% or abovebid 71¢ / ask 89¢
4.31% or abovebid 84¢ / ask 99¢
4.29% or abovebid 88¢ (no asks)
4.27% or abovebid 90¢ (no asks)
4.25% or abovebid 90¢ (no asks)
4.23% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
4.21% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)

2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 27, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.29% or aboveask 15¢ (no bids)
4.27% or aboveask 18¢ (no bids)
4.25% or abovebid 4¢ / ask 24¢
4.23% or abovebid 23¢ / ask 41¢
4.21% or abovebid 27¢ / ask 47¢
4.19% or abovebid 41¢ / ask 61¢
4.17% or abovebid 62¢ / ask 81¢
4.15% or abovebid 78¢ / ask 98¢
4.13% or abovebid 82¢ / ask 99¢
4.11% or abovebid 89¢ (no asks)
4.09% or abovebid 90¢ (no asks)
4.07% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
4.05% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
4.03% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
4.01% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)

Hims Monthly Credit Card Spend in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 26, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET

Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 26, 2026 at 12:14 PM ET

Ro Monthly Credit Card Spend in September 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 26, 2026 at 12:13 PM ET

Shell Monthly Credit Card Spend in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 26, 2026 at 12:12 PM ET

ExxonMobil Monthly Credit Card Spend in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 26, 2026 at 12:12 PM ET

BP Monthly Credit Card Spend in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 26, 2026 at 12:11 PM ET

Chevron Monthly Credit Card Spend in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 26, 2026 at 12:11 PM ET

📊 Economics — 13 events, 124 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $5.675last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $5.670last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $5.665last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $5.660last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $5.655last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $5.650bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above $5.645bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above $5.640bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Above $5.635bid 16¢ / ask 21¢
Above $5.630bid 19¢ / ask 29¢
Above $5.625bid 31¢ / ask 34¢
Above $5.620bid 44¢ / ask 55¢
Above $5.615bid 89¢ / ask 92¢
Above $5.610bid 91¢ / ask 94¢
Above $5.605bid 96¢ / ask 97¢
Above $5.600bid 96¢ / ask 98¢
Above $5.595bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.590bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.585bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $5.580bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $5.575bid 99¢ (no asks)

EV commodity prices on Aug 26, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 25, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 1308.52last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1298.52last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1288.52
Above 1278.52ask 10¢ (no bids)
Above 1268.52ask 24¢ (no bids)
Above 1258.52ask 44¢ (no bids)
Above 1248.52ask 58¢ (no bids)
Above 1238.52bid 5¢ / ask 59¢
Above 1228.52bid 21¢ / ask 90¢
Above 1218.52bid 90¢ (no asks)
Above 1208.52bid 70¢ (no asks)
Above 1198.52bid 60¢ (no asks)
Above 1188.52bid 60¢ (no asks)
Above 1178.52bid 60¢ (no asks)
Above 1168.52bid 75¢ (no asks)
View market strikes (14 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 295Mask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 294Mask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 293Mask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 292Mask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 291Mask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 290Mask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 289Mask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 288Mbid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Above 287Mask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 286Mask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 285Mask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 284Mask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 283Mbid 85¢ / ask 92¢
Above 282Mbid 90¢ / ask 92¢

US trade deficit for 2032 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $900 billionbid 32¢ / ask 80¢
Above $800 billionbid 45¢ / ask 86¢
Above $700 billionbid 60¢ / ask 92¢
Above $600 billionbid 75¢ / ask 96¢
Above $500 billionbid 81¢ / ask 98¢
Above $1.2 trillionbid 5¢ / ask 45¢
Above $1.1 trillionbid 12¢ / ask 60¢
Above $1.0 trillionbid 22¢ / ask 70¢

US trade deficit for 2031 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 2:17 PM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $900 billionbid 40¢ / ask 85¢
Above $800 billionbid 55¢ / ask 92¢
Above $700 billionbid 65¢ / ask 95¢
Above $600 billionbid 75¢ / ask 97¢
Above $500 billionbid 80¢ / ask 98¢
Above $1.2 trillionbid 5¢ / ask 50¢
Above $1.1 trillionbid 15¢ / ask 65¢
Above $1.0 trillionbid 25¢ / ask 75¢

US trade deficit for 2030 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 2:06 PM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $900 billionbid 20¢ / ask 76¢
Above $800 billionbid 40¢ / ask 86¢
Above $700 billionbid 55¢ / ask 92¢
Above $600 billionbid 70¢ / ask 97¢
Above $500 billionbid 80¢ / ask 98¢
Above $1.2 trillionbid 2¢ / ask 30¢
Above $1.1 trillionbid 5¢ / ask 45¢
Above $1.0 trillionbid 10¢ / ask 65¢

US trade deficit for 2029 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 1:27 PM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $900 billionbid 20¢ / ask 86¢
Above $800 billionbid 45¢ / ask 94¢
Above $700 billionbid 65¢ / ask 97¢
Above $600 billionbid 70¢ / ask 98¢
Above $500 billionbid 75¢ / ask 98¢
Above $1.2 trillionbid 2¢ / ask 50¢
Above $1.1 trillionbid 5¢ / ask 65¢
Above $1.0 trillionbid 10¢ / ask 80¢

US trade deficit for 2028 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 1:08 PM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $900 billionbid 15¢ / ask 80¢
Above $800 billionbid 30¢ / ask 89¢
Above $700 billionbid 60¢ / ask 96¢
Above $600 billionbid 80¢ / ask 98¢
Above $500 billionbid 85¢ / ask 98¢
Above $1.2 trillionbid 2¢ / ask 30¢
Above $1.1 trillionbid 3¢ / ask 45¢
Above $1.0 trillionbid 5¢ / ask 70¢

US trade deficit for 2027 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 11:20 AM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $900 billionbid 25¢ / ask 70¢
Above $800 billionbid 40¢ / ask 89¢
Above $700 billionbid 60¢ / ask 96¢
Above $600 billionbid 80¢ / ask 98¢
Above $500 billionbid 85¢ / ask 98¢
Above $1.2 trillionbid 2¢ / ask 50¢
Above $1.1 trillionbid 2¢ / ask 55¢
Above $1.0 trillionbid 5¢ / ask 60¢

Hungary rate decision in September — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 12:52 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Maintain current ratebid 25¢ / ask 34¢
Hike more than 50bpsbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Hike 50bpsbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Hike 25bpsbid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Cut more than 50bpsbid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Cut 50bpsbid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Cut 25bpsbid 65¢ / ask 74¢

Poland rate decision in September — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 12:52 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Maintain current ratebid 89¢ / ask 97¢
Hike more than 50bpsbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Hike 50bpsbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Hike 25bpsbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Cut more than 50bpsbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Cut 50bpsbid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Cut 25bpsbid 2¢ / ask 9¢
View market options (7 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Maintain current ratebid 14¢ / ask 77¢
Hike more than 50bpsbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Hike 50bpsbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Hike 25bpsbid 20¢ / ask 28¢
Cut more than 50bpsbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Cut 50bpsbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Cut 25bpsbid 1¢ / ask 3¢

Bank of Korea rate decision in October — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 26, 2026 at 3:19 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Maintain current ratebid 5¢ (no asks)
Hike more than 25bpsbid 1¢ / ask 67¢
Hike 1-25bpsask 85¢ (no bids)
Cut more than 25bpsbid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Cut 1-25bpsask 89¢ (no bids)

🔄 Recurring Markets

4,652 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

CategoryMarketsSeriesTop Series
💹 Financials3,7509Nasdaq above/below, DJI Hourly, S&P 500 above/below, +6 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather40853Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, +50 more
🎬 Entertainment35612What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, +9 more
📊 Economics1389Florida gas price, New Jersey gas prices, Illinois gas price, +6 more

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.