📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (May 19 at 6:30 PM ET through May 20 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 433 unique markets across 59 new events, plus 5,888 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Klarna active consumers in Q2: above 123 million bid 12¢ / ask 13¢, above 125 million bid 5¢ / ask 9¢, above 121 million bid 45¢ / ask 49¢
Futu total funded accounts in Q1: above 3750 thousand bid 10¢ / ask 11¢, above 3650 thousand bid 44¢ / ask 45¢, above 3700 thousand bid 24¢ / ask 28¢
Hims & Hers subscribers in Q2: above 2.7 million bid 12¢ / ask 13¢, above 2.64 million bid 37¢ / ask 41¢, above 2.62 million bid 53¢ / ask 57¢
2028 popular vote margin of victory?: Republican by 9.0% or more bid 10¢ / ask 11¢, Republican by 8.0% to 8.99% bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Republican by 7.0% to 7.99% bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?: At least 90% bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, At least 80% bid 14¢ / ask 15¢, At least 70% bid 30¢ / ask 31¢
Which states will experience extreme drought? (6/4 - 7/30): Washington bid 78¢ / ask 79¢, Oregon bid 78¢ / ask 79¢, North Dakota bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
EV commodity prices on May 20, 2026: Above 1241.99 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above 1261.99 bid 87¢ / ask 89¢, Above 1251.99 bid 76¢ / ask 98¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
- Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
- 2028 popular vote margin of victory?
- Alabama Democratic Senate nominee?
- FL-04 Democratic nominee?
- FL-09 Republican nominee?
- FL-11 Democratic nominee?
- Louisville Mayor Election winner?
- Airbnb bookings in Q2
- Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q2
- DoorDash total orders in Q2
- Figma paid customers >$100k arr in Q2
- Futu total funded accounts in Q1
- Grab monthly transacting users in Q2
- Hims & Hers subscribers in Q2
- How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026?
- Klarna active consumers in Q2
- Lyft total rides in Q2
- Match total payers in Q2
- MercadoLibre items sold in Q2
- Palantir total customers in Q2
- Reddit daily active uniques in Q2
- Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q2
- Robinhood funded customers in Q2
- Robinhood Markets Inc. gold subs in Q2 2026
- Roku hours streamed in Q2
- Sea Garena paying users in Q2
- Spotify monthly active users in Q2
- Toast total locations in Q2
- Which companies will be acquired this year?
- #2 Album on Spotify in 2026?
- #2 album on Spotify U.S. in 2026?
- #2 Song on Spotify in 2026?
- #3 album on Spotify in 2026?
- #3 Album on Spotify U.S. in 2026?
- #3 song on Spotify in 2026?
- #3 Song on Spotify U.S. in 2026?
- Oscar for Best Actor?
- Oscar nominations for Achievement in Casting?
- Oscar nominations for Best Actor?
- Oscar nominations for Best Actress?
- Oscar nominations for Best Adapted Screenplay?
- Oscar nominations for Best Animated Feature Film?
- Oscar nominations for Best Director?
- Oscar nominations for Best International Feature Film?
- Oscar nominations for Best Makeup and Hairstyling?
- Oscar nominations for Best Original Screenplay?
- Oscar nominations for Best Picture?
- Oscar nominations for Best Supporting Actress?
- Top Album on Spotify in 2026?
- Top Album on Spotify U.S in 2026?
- Top Song on Spotify in 2026?
- Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models
- Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?
- Who will wear the Fantasy Bra during the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show 2026?
All New Events
🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 2 markets
Sara Duterte out as Vice President of the Philippines? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 20, 2026 at 5:43 PM ET
Tracking: Before Sep 1, 2026, Before Jan 1, 2027
🏢 Companies — 1 event, 9 markets
Which companies will conduct layoffs this year? — 9 outcomes — listed May 20, 2026 at 12:19 PM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tesla | bid 63¢ / ask 67¢ |
| TikTok | bid 43¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Oracle | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| NVIDIA | bid 43¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Netflix | bid 51¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Microsoft | bid 64¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Alphabet | bid 63¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Amazon | bid 56¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Apple | bid 68¢ / ask 72¢ |
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 1 event, 15 markets
Which states will experience extreme drought? (6/4 - 7/30) — 15 outcomes — listed May 19, 2026 at 9:59 PM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Washington | bid 78¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Virginia | bid 78¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Tennessee | bid 79¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Oregon | bid 78¢ / ask 79¢ |
| North Dakota | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| North Carolina | bid 82¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Missouri | bid 82¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Minnesota | bid 26¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Louisiana | bid 82¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Kansas | bid 83¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Indiana | bid 20¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Illinois | bid 23¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Iowa | bid 27¢ / ask 33¢ |
| California | bid 12¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Arizona | bid 52¢ / ask 53¢ |
📊 Economics — 1 event, 15 markets
EV commodity prices on May 20, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed May 19, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1331.99 | — |
| Above 1321.99 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1311.99 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1301.99 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1291.99 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1281.99 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1271.99 | bid 10¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Above 1261.99 | bid 87¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 1251.99 | bid 76¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1241.99 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1231.99 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1221.99 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1211.99 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1201.99 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1191.99 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
🔬 Science and Technology — 2 events, 17 markets
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed May 19, 2026 at 10:56 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 90% | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| At least 85% | bid 5¢ / ask 8¢ |
| At least 80% | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| At least 75% | bid 18¢ / ask 20¢ |
| At least 70% | bid 30¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least 65% | bid 39¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least 60% | bid 55¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least 55% | bid 62¢ / ask 63¢ |
| At least 50% | bid 83¢ / ask 84¢ |
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027? — 8 brackets — listed May 19, 2026 at 10:55 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 95% | bid 15¢ / ask 17¢ |
| At least 90% | bid 22¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least 85% | bid 30¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least 80% | bid 42¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least 75% | bid 55¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least 70% | bid 68¢ / ask 71¢ |
| At least 65% | bid 77¢ / ask 80¢ |
| At least 60% | bid 89¢ / ask 91¢ |
🗳️ Elections — 6 events, 27 markets
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — 20 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 11:25 AM ET
View market strikes (20 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Republican by 9.0% or more | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Republican by 8.0% to 8.99% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Republican by 7.0% to 7.99% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Republican by 6.0% to 6.99% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Republican by 5.0% to 5.99% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Republican by 4.0% to 4.99% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Republican by 3.0% to 3.99% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Republican by 2.0% to 2.99% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Republican by 0.01% to 0.99% | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Republican by 1.0% to 1.99% | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Democratic by 9.0% or more | bid 13¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Democratic by 6.0% to 6.99% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Democratic by 5.0% to 5.99% | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Democratic by 4.0% to 4.99% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Democratic by 3.0% to 3.99% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Democratic by 2.0% to 2.99% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Democratic by 0.01% to 0.99% | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
Louisville Mayor Election winner? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 20, 2026 at 6:29 PM ET
Tracking: Shameka Parrish-Wright, Craig Greenberg
FL-09 Republican nominee? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 20, 2026 at 6:12 PM ET
Tracking: Ingrid Morales Vazquez, Robbie Brackett
FL-11 Democratic nominee?: Walter J. Walker — listed May 20, 2026 at 6:13 PM ET
FL-04 Democratic nominee?: Ricky Knoles — listed May 20, 2026 at 6:11 PM ET
Alabama Democratic Senate nominee?: Everett Wess (bid 83¢ / ask 89¢) — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:30 AM ET
💹 Financials — 22 events, 136 markets
Reddit daily active uniques in Q2 — 9 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 136 million | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| above 135 million | bid 4¢ / ask 11¢ |
| above 134 million | bid 8¢ / ask 13¢ |
| above 133 million | bid 12¢ / ask 17¢ |
| above 132 million | bid 17¢ / ask 24¢ |
| above 131 million | bid 25¢ / ask 32¢ |
| above 130 million | bid 33¢ / ask 40¢ |
| above 129 million | bid 45¢ / ask 50¢ |
| above 128 million | bid 58¢ / ask 65¢ |
Sea Garena paying users in Q2 — 8 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 74 million | bid 29¢ / ask 31¢ |
| above 72 million | bid 45¢ / ask 49¢ |
| above 70 million | bid 56¢ / ask 62¢ |
| above 68 million | bid 64¢ / ask 68¢ |
| above 66 million | bid 77¢ / ask 81¢ |
| above 64 million | bid 81¢ / ask 87¢ |
| above 62 million | bid 88¢ / ask 92¢ |
| above 60 million | bid 91¢ / ask 95¢ |
DoorDash total orders in Q2 — 7 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 980 million | bid 38¢ / ask 45¢ |
| above 960 million | bid 59¢ / ask 66¢ |
| above 940 million | bid 87¢ / ask 91¢ |
| above 1060 million | bid 5¢ / ask 9¢ |
| above 1040 million | bid 9¢ / ask 13¢ |
| above 1020 million | bid 11¢ / ask 16¢ |
| above 1000 million | bid 18¢ / ask 23¢ |
Hims & Hers subscribers in Q2 — 7 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 2.72 million | bid 8¢ / ask 15¢ |
| above 2.7 million | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| above 2.68 million | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| above 2.66 million | bid 26¢ / ask 32¢ |
| above 2.64 million | bid 37¢ / ask 41¢ |
| above 2.62 million | bid 53¢ / ask 57¢ |
| above 2.6 million | bid 71¢ / ask 78¢ |
Palantir total customers in Q2 — 7 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 1100 | bid 3¢ / ask 9¢ |
| above 1090 | bid 8¢ / ask 14¢ |
| above 1080 | bid 12¢ / ask 18¢ |
| above 1070 | bid 19¢ / ask 26¢ |
| above 1060 | bid 36¢ / ask 43¢ |
| above 1050 | bid 63¢ / ask 70¢ |
| above 1040 | bid 85¢ / ask 91¢ |
Match total payers in Q2 — 7 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 13.45 million | bid 33¢ / ask 39¢ |
| above 13.4 million | bid 44¢ / ask 51¢ |
| above 13.35 million | bid 51¢ / ask 58¢ |
| above 13.3 million | bid 58¢ / ask 65¢ |
| above 13.25 million | bid 65¢ / ask 72¢ |
| above 13.2 million | bid 72¢ / ask 76¢ |
| above 13.15 million | bid 78¢ / ask 82¢ |
Robinhood Markets Inc. gold subs in Q2 2026 — 7 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 4.65 million | bid 25¢ / ask 29¢ |
| above 4.6 million | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| above 4.55 million | bid 48¢ / ask 54¢ |
| above 4.5 million | bid 61¢ / ask 68¢ |
| above 4.45 million | bid 74¢ / ask 81¢ |
| above 4.4 million | bid 83¢ / ask 90¢ |
| above 4.35 million | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
Which companies will be acquired this year? — 6 outcomes — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:42 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| ElevenLabs | bid 11¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Six Flags Entertainment | bid 14¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Universal Music Group | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Cordis | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Spire Healthcare | bid 16¢ / ask 24¢ |
| bid 16¢ / ask 24¢ |
Klarna active consumers in Q2 — 6 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 125 million | bid 5¢ / ask 9¢ |
| above 124 million | bid 8¢ / ask 14¢ |
| above 123 million | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| above 122 million | bid 27¢ / ask 33¢ |
| above 121 million | bid 45¢ / ask 49¢ |
| above 120 million | bid 68¢ / ask 72¢ |
Futu total funded accounts in Q1 — 6 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 3750 thousand | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| above 3700 thousand | bid 24¢ / ask 28¢ |
| above 3650 thousand | bid 44¢ / ask 45¢ |
| above 3600 thousand | bid 61¢ / ask 66¢ |
| above 3550 thousand | bid 85¢ / ask 89¢ |
| above 3500 thousand | bid 93¢ / ask 97¢ |
Grab monthly transacting users in Q2 — 6 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 54.5 million | bid 7¢ / ask 13¢ |
| above 54 million | bid 21¢ / ask 25¢ |
| above 53.5 million | bid 51¢ / ask 55¢ |
| above 53 million | bid 72¢ / ask 76¢ |
| above 52.5 million | bid 85¢ / ask 89¢ |
| above 52 million | bid 93¢ / ask 96¢ |
MercadoLibre items sold in Q2 — 6 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 840 million | bid 7¢ / ask 10¢ |
| above 820 million | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| above 800 million | bid 38¢ / ask 44¢ |
| above 780 million | bid 66¢ / ask 72¢ |
| above 760 million | bid 81¢ / ask 87¢ |
| above 740 million | bid 91¢ / ask 95¢ |
Toast total locations in Q2 — 6 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 186 thousand | bid 4¢ / ask 9¢ |
| above 184 thousand | bid 7¢ / ask 11¢ |
| above 182 thousand | bid 8¢ / ask 13¢ |
| above 180 thousand | bid 22¢ / ask 29¢ |
| above 178 thousand | bid 54¢ / ask 61¢ |
| above 176 thousand | bid 78¢ / ask 82¢ |
Figma paid customers >$100k arr in Q2 — 6 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 1675 | bid 19¢ / ask 21¢ |
| above 1650 | bid 34¢ / ask 41¢ |
| above 1625 | bid 61¢ / ask 67¢ |
| above 1600 | bid 78¢ / ask 84¢ |
| above 1575 | bid 88¢ / ask 92¢ |
| above 1550 | bid 92¢ / ask 96¢ |
Roku hours streamed in Q2 — 6 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 40.5 billion | bid 4¢ / ask 8¢ |
| above 40 billion | bid 6¢ / ask 12¢ |
| above 39.5 billion | bid 7¢ / ask 13¢ |
| above 39 billion | bid 8¢ / ask 14¢ |
| above 38.5 billion | bid 24¢ / ask 31¢ |
| above 38 billion | bid 53¢ / ask 57¢ |
Spotify monthly active users in Q2 — 6 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 790 million | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| above 785 million | bid 3¢ / ask 9¢ |
| above 780 million | bid 35¢ / ask 42¢ |
| above 775 million | bid 91¢ / ask 95¢ |
| above 770 million | bid 94¢ / ask 97¢ |
| above 765 million | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
Airbnb bookings in Q2 — 6 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 156 million | bid 3¢ / ask 9¢ |
| above 153 million | bid 10¢ / ask 14¢ |
| above 150 million | bid 19¢ / ask 23¢ |
| above 147 million | bid 39¢ / ask 44¢ |
| above 144 million | bid 75¢ / ask 80¢ |
| above 141 million | bid 89¢ / ask 95¢ |
Robinhood funded customers in Q2 — 6 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 28 million | bid 13¢ / ask 19¢ |
| above 27.9 million | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| above 27.8 million | bid 33¢ / ask 39¢ |
| above 27.7 million | bid 54¢ / ask 60¢ |
| above 27.6 million | bid 77¢ / ask 81¢ |
| above 27.5 million | bid 90¢ / ask 93¢ |
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q2 — 5 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 210000 | bid 8¢ / ask 15¢ |
| above 205000 | bid 27¢ / ask 34¢ |
| above 200000 | bid 48¢ / ask 55¢ |
| above 195000 | bid 70¢ / ask 76¢ |
| above 190000 | bid 91¢ / ask 95¢ |
Lyft total rides in Q2 — 5 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 260 million | bid 13¢ / ask 19¢ |
| above 257 million | bid 22¢ / ask 26¢ |
| above 254 million | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| above 251 million | bid 61¢ / ask 67¢ |
| above 248 million | bid 75¢ / ask 79¢ |
How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026? — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 20, 2026 at 4:43 PM ET
Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q2 — 4 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 3:09 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 12500 | bid 19¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 12000 | bid 24¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above 11500 | bid 35¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 11000 | bid 55¢ / ask 64¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 25 events, 212 markets
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? — 134 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 20, 2026 at 5:19 PM ET
Tracking: Zach Bryan, YoungBoy Never Broke Again, Lil Yachty, Charli xcx, The Weeknd, Lil Wayne, Lil Uzi Vert, USHER, Tyla, Tyler, The Creator, Tyga, Trippie Redd, Travis Scott, T-Pain, Justin Timberlake, Young Thug, Taylor Swift, Tate McRae, SZA, Swae Lee, Stray Kids, sombr, Sia, Shawn Mendes, Shakira, +109 more
Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models — 22 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 20, 2026 at 6:05 PM ET
Tracking: Yumi Nu, Suni Lee, Stella Maxwell, Quen Blackwell, Precious Lee, Lily Aldridge, Joan Smalls, Iris Law, Imaan Hammam, Gigi Hadid, Emily Ratajkowski, Doutzen Kroes, Daiane Sodre, Candice Swanepoel, Barbie Ferreira, Barbara Palvin, Ashley Graham, Anok Yai, Angel Reese, Alessandra Ambrosio, Alex Consani, Adriana Lima
Who will wear the Fantasy Bra during the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show 2026? — 22 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 20, 2026 at 5:09 PM ET
Tracking: Yumi Nu, Suni Lee, Stella Maxwell, Quen Blackwell, Precious Lee, Lily Aldridge, Joan Smalls, Iris Law, Imaan Hammam, Gigi Hadid, Emily Ratajkowski, Doutzen Kroes, Daiane Sodre, Candice Swanepoel, Barbie Ferreira, Barbara Palvin, Ashley Graham, Anok Yai, Angel Reese, Alessandra Ambrosio, Alex Consani, Adriana Lima
#3 Song on Spotify U.S. in 2026? — 4 outcomes — listed May 20, 2026 at 10:43 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Janice STFU | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Ran To Atlanta (feat. Future & Molly Santana) | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Make Them Cry | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Beat It | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
Oscar for Best Actor? — 4 outcomes — listed May 20, 2026 at 10:17 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Hanns Zischler | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Jafar Jackson | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Jeremy Strong | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Ryan Gosling | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
Oscar nominations for Best International Feature Film? — 3 outcomes — listed May 20, 2026 at 10:12 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Sheep in the Box | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| The Black Ball | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Rose | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
Oscar nominations for Achievement in Casting? — 3 outcomes — listed May 20, 2026 at 10:27 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Digger | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Fjord | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Cry to Heaven | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
Oscar nominations for Best Picture? — 2 outcomes — listed May 20, 2026 at 11:22 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| The Invite | bid 6¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Minotaur | bid 16¢ / ask 24¢ |
Oscar nominations for Best Makeup and Hairstyling? — 2 outcomes — listed May 20, 2026 at 10:23 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Cry to Heaven | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Rose | bid 16¢ / ask 24¢ |
Oscar nominations for Best Adapted Screenplay?: All of a Sudden (bid 21¢ / ask 29¢) — listed May 20, 2026 at 11:27 AM ET
Oscar nominations for Best Director?: Ryusuke Hamaguchi (bid 21¢ / ask 29¢) — listed May 20, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET
Oscar nominations for Best Supporting Actress?: Inde Navarrette (bid 16¢ / ask 24¢) — listed May 20, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET
#2 album on Spotify U.S. in 2026?: The Great Divide: The Last Of The Bugs (bid 19¢ / ask 37¢) — listed May 20, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET
Top Album on Spotify in 2026?: The Great Divide: The Last Of The Bugs (bid 1¢ / ask 15¢) — listed May 20, 2026 at 11:20 AM ET
#2 Album on Spotify in 2026?: The Great Divide: The Last of the Bugs (bid 8¢ / ask 25¢) — listed May 20, 2026 at 11:12 AM ET
Top Album on Spotify U.S in 2026?: The Great Divide: The Last Of The Bugs (bid 6¢ / ask 18¢) — listed May 20, 2026 at 10:53 AM ET
#3 album on Spotify in 2026?: The Great Divide: The Last Of The Bugs (bid 1¢ / ask 10¢) — listed May 20, 2026 at 10:52 AM ET
#3 Album on Spotify U.S. in 2026?: The Great Divide: The Last of the Bugs (bid 2¢ / ask 19¢) — listed May 20, 2026 at 10:50 AM ET
Top Song on Spotify in 2026?: Beauty and a Beat (bid 6¢ / ask 24¢) — listed May 20, 2026 at 10:48 AM ET
#2 Song on Spotify in 2026?: Beauty and a Beat (bid 13¢ / ask 31¢) — listed May 20, 2026 at 10:48 AM ET
#3 song on Spotify in 2026?: Beauty and a Beat (bid 17¢ / ask 33¢) — listed May 20, 2026 at 10:47 AM ET
Oscar nominations for Best Actress?: Inde Navarrette (bid 19¢ / ask 27¢) — listed May 20, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET
Oscar nominations for Best Animated Feature Film?: Tangles (bid 56¢ / ask 64¢) — listed May 20, 2026 at 10:22 AM ET
Oscar nominations for Best Actor?: Hanns Zischler (bid 16¢ / ask 24¢) — listed May 20, 2026 at 10:14 AM ET
Oscar nominations for Best Original Screenplay?: Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma (bid 11¢ / ask 19¢) — listed May 20, 2026 at 10:12 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,888 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 5,025 | 7 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 range, +4 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 387 | 12 | What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, +9 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 299 | 43 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Lake Mead water levels, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, +40 more |
| 📊 Economics | 176 | 14 | US gas price up, United Kingdom Inflation Rate YoY, Canada Inflation Rate YoY, +11 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 1 | 1 | EO this week? |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.