📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (May 29 at 8:30 AM ET through May 30 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 334 unique markets across 29 new events, plus 546 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Los Angeles mayoral primary: exact place: Raman, Pratt, Bass bid 4¢ / ask 4¢, Raman, Bass, Pratt bid 5¢ / ask 5¢, Pratt, Raman, Bass bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Drake Top 10 Spots — Billboard Hot 100 (June 13, 2026): Exactly 6 songs bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Exactly 5 songs bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Exactly 3 songs bid 14¢ / ask 15¢
Oscar nominations for Best Director?: Ben Affleck — bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (5/29-6/5)?: Above 7.6% — bid 64¢ / ask 65¢
Will JPMorgan acquire any company before 2028?: Before Jan 1, 2028 — bid 76¢ / ask 77¢
Oscar for Best Director?: Ben Affleck — bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Love Island USA S8E1: Will a new Bombshell enter?: a new bombshell — bid 79¢ / ask 81¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- California Governor primary: exact place
- Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (5/29-6/5)?
- How many states will Trump visit in Jun 2026?
- Iowa Blue Wave Combo
- Los Angeles mayoral primary: exact place
- How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (5/31-6/6)
- How many Truths will Trump delete in Jun 2026?
- Number of White House Press Briefings in Jun 2026?
- Trump late night post this week? (5/31-6/6)
- Who will be seen in public in Jun 2026?
- Who will join the Trump administration before July?
- Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Jun 2026?
- Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
- Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (5/31 - 6/6)
- Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (6/1-6/7)
- Drake Top 10 Spots — Billboard Hot 100 (June 13, 2026)
- Love Island UK S13E1: Will a new Bombshell enter?
- Love Island UK Season 13: 2nd Place Couple
- Love Island UK Season 13: 3rd Place Couple
- Love Island UK Season 13: Top 3 Couples
- Love Island USA S8E1: Will a new Bombshell enter?
- Love Island USA Season 8: 2nd Place Couple
- Love Island USA Season 8: 3rd Place Couple
- Love Island USA Season 8: Top 3 Couples
- Oscar for Best Director?
- Oscar nominations for Best Director?
All New Events
📊 Economics — 1 event, 1 market
Major US protest in Jun 2026?: In June 2026 — listed May 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET
💹 Financials — 1 event, 1 market
Will JPMorgan acquire any company before 2028?: Before Jan 1, 2028 (bid 76¢ / ask 77¢) — listed May 29, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET
✈️ Transportation — 1 event, 4 markets
How many times will Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Jun 2026? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET
Tracking: 4, 3, 2, 1
🗳️ Elections — 5 events, 64 markets
California Governor primary: exact place — 48 outcomes — listed May 29, 2026 at 6:46 PM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Steyer, Hilton, Bianco, Becerra, Porter, Mahan | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Steyer, Hilton, Bianco, Becerra, Mahan, Porter | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Steyer, Hilton, Becerra, Porter, Bianco, Mahan | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Steyer, Hilton, Becerra, Mahan, Bianco, Porter | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Steyer, Hilton, Becerra, Bianco, Porter, Mahan | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Steyer, Hilton, Becerra, Bianco, Mahan, Porter | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Steyer, Bianco, Hilton, Becerra, Porter, Mahan | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Steyer, Bianco, Hilton, Becerra, Mahan, Porter | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Steyer, Bianco, Becerra, Hilton, Porter, Mahan | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Steyer, Bianco, Becerra, Hilton, Mahan, Porter | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Steyer, Becerra, Hilton, Porter, Bianco, Mahan | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Steyer, Becerra, Hilton, Mahan, Bianco, Porter | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Steyer, Becerra, Hilton, Bianco, Porter, Mahan | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Steyer, Becerra, Hilton, Bianco, Mahan, Porter | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Steyer, Becerra, Bianco, Hilton, Porter, Mahan | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Steyer, Becerra, Bianco, Hilton, Mahan, Porter | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Becerra, Porter, Mahan | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Becerra, Mahan, Porter | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Hilton, Steyer, Becerra, Porter, Bianco, Mahan | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Hilton, Steyer, Becerra, Mahan, Bianco, Porter | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Hilton, Steyer, Becerra, Bianco, Porter, Mahan | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Hilton, Steyer, Becerra, Bianco, Mahan, Porter | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Hilton, Bianco, Steyer, Becerra, Porter, Mahan | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Hilton, Bianco, Steyer, Becerra, Mahan, Porter | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Hilton, Bianco, Becerra, Steyer, Porter, Mahan | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
+ 23 more outcomes
How many states will Trump visit in Jun 2026? — 8 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET
Tracking: 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1
Los Angeles mayoral primary: exact place — 6 outcomes — listed May 29, 2026 at 6:47 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Raman, Pratt, Bass | bid 4¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Raman, Bass, Pratt | bid 5¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Pratt, Raman, Bass | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Pratt, Bass, Raman | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Bass, Raman, Pratt | bid 32¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Bass, Pratt, Raman | bid 47¢ / ask 48¢ |
Iowa Blue Wave Combo: Yes (bid 20¢ / ask 23¢) — listed May 29, 2026 at 1:57 PM ET
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (5/29-6/5)?: Above 7.6% (bid 64¢ / ask 65¢) — listed May 29, 2026 at 11:04 AM ET
🏛️ Politics — 10 events, 33 markets
How many Truths will Trump delete in Jun 2026? — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 29, 2026 at 11:29 AM ET
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (5/31-6/6) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 29, 2026 at 11:29 AM ET
Trump late night post this week? (5/31-6/6) — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 29, 2026 at 11:29 AM ET
Tracking: 5-6 AM, 4-5 AM, 3-4 AM, 2-3 AM, 1-2 AM
Number of White House Press Briefings in Jun 2026? — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 29, 2026 at 11:29 AM ET
Who will be seen in public in Jun 2026? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 29, 2026 at 12:03 PM ET
Tracking: Mitt Romney, Kamala Harris, John Roberts, Jerome Powell
Who will join the Trump administration before July?: John Solomon (bid 82¢ / ask 89¢) — listed May 29, 2026 at 10:22 PM ET
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?: Before Aug 1, 2026 (bid 1¢ / ask 9¢) — listed May 29, 2026 at 1:21 PM ET
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (6/1-6/7): Yes — listed May 29, 2026 at 11:29 AM ET
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (5/31 - 6/6): Above 0 — listed May 29, 2026 at 11:28 AM ET
Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Jun 2026?: Yes — listed May 29, 2026 at 11:28 AM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 11 events, 231 markets
Love Island UK Season 13: Top 3 Couples — 36 outcomes — listed May 29, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Robyn and Sean | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Robyn and Sam | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Robyn and Samraj | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Robyn and Ope | ask 11¢ (no bids) |
| Robyn and Lorenzo | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Robyn and Aidan | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Sean | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Sam | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Samraj | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Ope | ask 11¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Lorenzo | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Aidan | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Lola and Sean | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Lola and Sam | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Lola and Samraj | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Lola and Ope | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Lola and Lorenzo | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Lola and Aidan | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Jasmine and Sean | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Jasmine and Sam | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Jasmine and Samraj | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Jasmine and Ope | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| Jasmine and Lorenzo | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Jasmine and Aidan | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Ellie and Sean | ask 11¢ (no bids) |
+ 11 more outcomes
Love Island USA Season 8: Top 3 Couples — 36 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 29, 2026 at 2:27 PM ET
Tracking: Vasana and Zach, Vasana and Sincere, Vasana and Sean, Vasana and KC, Vasana and Gabriel, Vasana and Bryce, Trinity and Zach, Trinity and Sincere, Trinity and Sean, Trinity and KC, Trinity and Gabriel, Trinity and Bryce, Melanie and Zach, Melanie and Sincere, Melanie and Sean, Melanie and KC, Melanie and Gabriel, Melanie and Bryce, Kenzie and Zach, Kenzie and Sincere, Kenzie and Sean, Kenzie and KC, Kenzie and Gabriel, Kenzie and Bryce, Beatriz and Zach, +11 more
Love Island USA Season 8: 3rd Place Couple — 36 outcomes — listed May 29, 2026 at 12:49 PM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Vasana and Zach | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Vasana and Sincere | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Vasana and Sean | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Vasana and KC | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Vasana and Gabriel | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Vasana and Bryce | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Trinity and Zach | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Trinity and Sincere | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Trinity and Sean | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Trinity and KC | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Trinity and Gabriel | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Trinity and Bryce | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Melanie and Zach | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Melanie and Sincere | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Melanie and Sean | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Melanie and KC | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Melanie and Gabriel | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Melanie and Bryce | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Kenzie and Zach | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Kenzie and Sincere | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Kenzie and Sean | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Kenzie and KC | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Kenzie and Gabriel | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Kenzie and Bryce | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Beatriz and Zach | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
+ 11 more outcomes
Love Island UK Season 13: 3rd Place Couple — 36 outcomes — listed May 29, 2026 at 12:48 PM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Robyn and Sean | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Robyn and Sam | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Robyn and Samraj | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Robyn and Ope | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Robyn and Lorenzo | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Robyn and Aidan | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Sean | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Sam | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Samraj | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Ope | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Lorenzo | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Aidan | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Lola and Sean | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Lola and Sam | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Lola and Samraj | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Lola and Ope | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Lola and Lorenzo | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Lola and Aidan | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Jasmine and Sean | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Jasmine and Sam | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Jasmine and Samraj | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Jasmine and Ope | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Jasmine and Lorenzo | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Jasmine and Aidan | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Ellie and Sean | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
+ 11 more outcomes
Love Island UK Season 13: 2nd Place Couple — 36 outcomes — listed May 29, 2026 at 12:46 PM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Robyn and Sean | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Robyn and Sam | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Robyn and Samraj | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Robyn and Ope | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Robyn and Lorenzo | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Robyn and Aidan | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Sean | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Sam | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Samraj | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Ope | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Lorenzo | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Aidan | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Lola and Sean | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Lola and Sam | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Lola and Samraj | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Lola and Ope | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Lola and Lorenzo | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Lola and Aidan | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Jasmine and Sean | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Jasmine and Sam | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Jasmine and Samraj | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Jasmine and Ope | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Jasmine and Lorenzo | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Jasmine and Aidan | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Ellie and Sean | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
+ 11 more outcomes
Love Island USA Season 8: 2nd Place Couple — 36 outcomes — listed May 29, 2026 at 12:39 PM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Vasana and Zach | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Vasana and Sincere | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Vasana and Sean | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Vasana and KC | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Vasana and Gabriel | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Vasana and Bryce | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Trinity and Zach | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Trinity and Sincere | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Trinity and Sean | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Trinity and KC | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Trinity and Gabriel | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Trinity and Bryce | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Melanie and Zach | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Melanie and Sincere | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Melanie and Sean | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Melanie and KC | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Melanie and Gabriel | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Melanie and Bryce | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Kenzie and Zach | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Kenzie and Sincere | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Kenzie and Sean | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Kenzie and KC | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Kenzie and Gabriel | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Kenzie and Bryce | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Beatriz and Zach | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
+ 11 more outcomes
Drake Top 10 Spots — Billboard Hot 100 (June 13, 2026) — 11 brackets — listed May 29, 2026 at 4:39 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Exactly 9 songs | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Exactly 8 songs | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Exactly 7 songs | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Exactly 6 songs | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Exactly 5 songs | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Exactly 4 songs | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Exactly 3 songs | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Exactly 2 songs | bid 16¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Exactly 10 songs | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Exactly 1 song | bid 54¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Exactly 0 songs | bid 3¢ / ask 6¢ |
Oscar for Best Director?: Ben Affleck (bid 1¢ / ask 3¢) — listed May 29, 2026 at 4:08 PM ET
Oscar nominations for Best Director?: Ben Affleck (bid 11¢ / ask 12¢) — listed May 29, 2026 at 4:06 PM ET
Love Island UK S13E1: Will a new Bombshell enter?: a new bombshell (bid 85¢ / ask 90¢) — listed May 29, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET
Love Island USA S8E1: Will a new Bombshell enter?: a new bombshell (bid 79¢ / ask 81¢) — listed May 29, 2026 at 1:58 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
546 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 124 | 12 | Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, Daily US Spotify chart, Daily Global Spotify songs, +9 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 76 | 13 | Who will Trump meet?, Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, Will Trump do anything today?, +10 more |
| 💹 Financials | 27 | 2 | S&P 500 max monthly, Where will the 10Y US Treasury close this month? |
| 📊 Economics | 25 | 3 | US gas price up, US gas price up, US gasoline CPI in [month] |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 5 | 5 | RTX 5090 Weekly Price, B200 Weekly Price, A100 Weekly Price, +2 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.