📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 14 at 6:30 PM ET through Jul 15 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 265 unique markets across 32 new events, plus 3,987 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Los Angeles temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 81° or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 80° or above bid 3¢ / ask 5¢, 76° or above bid 96¢ / ask 98¢
2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?: 4.1% or above bid 90¢ / ask 91¢, 4.05% or above bid 95¢ / ask 99¢, 4% or above bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Love Island UK: Wednesday Elimination: Finley bid 2¢ / ask 4¢, Martha last 1¢ (book empty), Samraj last 2¢ (book empty)
7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?: 4.25% or above bid 97¢ / ask 99¢, 4.3% or above bid 96¢ / ask 99¢, 4.45% or above bid 13¢ / ask 17¢
30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?: 5% or above, 4.95% or above, 4.9% or above all at bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?: 4.15% or above bid 96¢ / ask 99¢, 4.1% or above bid 96¢ / ask 99¢, 4.35% or above bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Chicago temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 90° or above bid 95¢ / ask 99¢, 91° or above bid 93¢ / ask 99¢, 92° or above bid 83¢ / ask 94¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- US Existing Home: Median Sales Price in July
- US New Home: Median Sales Price in June
- US SPR level for the week ending July 17, 2026
- Austin temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Austin temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Chicago temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Chicago temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Hurricane Elida category?
- Los Angeles temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Los Angeles temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- New York City temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- New York City temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Washington DC temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Washington DC temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?
- Boeing commercial deliveries in Q3
- Domino's Foot Traffic in July
- Get-in price of the World Cup Bronze-Final
- PayPal acquired this year?
- Starbucks Foot Traffic in July
- U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down
- Walmart Foot Traffic in July
- Who will acquire Delivery Hero this year?
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 5 markets
Santa Catarina Governor election winner? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 10:14 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Popular Unity | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Social Democratic Party | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Brazilian Socialist Party | — |
| Liberal Party | bid 86¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Mission | last 4¢ (book empty) |
🏛️ Politics — 2 events, 3 markets
When will FISA be reauthorized again? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 15, 2026 at 5:14 PM ET
Tracking: Before Aug 15, 2026, Before Sep 1, 2026
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?: Jon Husted (bid 71¢ / ask 79¢) — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 12:03 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 2 events, 18 markets
Love Island UK: Wednesday Elimination — 17 outcomes — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 10:58 AM ET
View market options (17 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yasmine | — |
| Tommy | — |
| Simba | — |
| Samraj | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Priya | — |
| Mica | — |
| Martha | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Lorenzo | — |
| Kavan | — |
| Julia | — |
| Jordon | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jasmine | — |
| Finley | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Ethan | — |
| Elicia | last 9¢ (book empty) |
| Angelista | — |
| Aidan | — |
Batman Part II: Delayed past Feb. 18, 2028: Feb 18, 2028 — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 4:21 PM ET
📊 Economics — 3 events, 31 markets
US New Home: Median Sales Price in June — 12 brackets — listed Jul 14, 2026 at 9:45 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $445,000 | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Above $440,000 | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above $435,000 | bid 5¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above $430,000 | bid 9¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above $425,000 | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Above $420,000 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above $415,000 | bid 56¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above $410,000 | bid 68¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above $405,000 | bid 74¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above $400,000 | bid 84¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above $395,000 | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $390,000 | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
US SPR level for the week ending July 17, 2026 — 10 brackets — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 10:55 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 326M | ask 14¢ (no bids) |
| Above 324M | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 322M | ask 13¢ (no bids) |
| Above 320M | bid 2¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 318M | bid 3¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 316M | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Above 314M | — |
| Above 312M | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| Above 310M | bid 44¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 308M | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
US Existing Home: Median Sales Price in July — 9 brackets — listed Jul 14, 2026 at 9:54 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $455,000 | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above $450,000 | bid 10¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above $445,000 | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above $440,000 | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above $435,000 | bid 64¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above $430,000 | bid 82¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above $425,000 | bid 90¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above $420,000 | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $415,000 | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 11 events, 105 markets
Washington DC temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Los Angeles temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Austin temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Chicago temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
New York City temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Washington DC temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 99° or above | ask 40¢ (no bids) |
| 98° or above | ask 40¢ (no bids) |
| 97° or above | ask 40¢ (no bids) |
| 96° or above | ask 50¢ (no bids) |
| 95° or above | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
| 94° or above | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
| 93° or above | bid 50¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 92° or above | bid 50¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 91° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 90° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Los Angeles temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 82° or above | last 5¢ (book empty) |
| 81° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 80° or above | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 79° or above | bid 42¢ / ask 47¢ |
| 78° or above | bid 83¢ / ask 89¢ |
| 77° or above | bid 94¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 76° or above | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 75° or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 74° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 73° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Austin temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 81° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 38¢ |
| 80° or above | — |
| 79° or above | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
| 78° or above | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
| 77° or above | bid 50¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 76° or above | bid 50¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 75° or above | bid 50¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 74° or above | bid 50¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 73° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 72° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Chicago temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 97° or above | — |
| 96° or above | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| 95° or above | ask 30¢ (no bids) |
| 94° or above | ask 49¢ (no bids) |
| 93° or above | bid 66¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 92° or above | bid 83¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 91° or above | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 90° or above | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 89° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 88° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
New York City temperature on Jul 15, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 92° or above | — |
| 91° or above | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| 90° or above | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| 89° or above | last 3¢ (book empty) |
| 88° or above | — |
| 87° or above | — |
| 86° or above | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| 85° or above | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| 84° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 83° or above | bid 4¢ / ask 69¢ |
Hurricane Elida category? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 10:39 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Category 5 or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Category 4 or above | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Category 3 or above | bid 14¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Category 2 or above | bid 41¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Category 1 or above | bid 80¢ / ask 86¢ |
💹 Financials — 13 events, 103 markets
Get-in price of the World Cup Bronze-Final — 15 brackets — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 3:05 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $950 | — |
| Above $900 | — |
| Above $850 | — |
| Above $800 | — |
| Above $750 | — |
| Above $1450 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above $1400 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above $1350 | ask 75¢ (no bids) |
| Above $1300 | ask 80¢ (no bids) |
| Above $1250 | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Above $1200 | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| Above $1150 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above $1100 | — |
| Above $1050 | — |
| Above $1000 | — |
Boeing commercial deliveries in Q3 — 13 brackets — listed Jul 14, 2026 at 7:47 PM ET
View market strikes (13 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 192 | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Above 190 | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 188 | bid 3¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 186 | bid 5¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 184 | bid 7¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 182 | bid 23¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 180 | bid 29¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above 178 | bid 35¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Above 176 | bid 42¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above 174 | bid 49¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Above 172 | bid 64¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Above 170 | bid 76¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 168 | bid 85¢ / ask 92¢ |
30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.3% or above | — |
| 5.25% or above | — |
| 5.2% or above | — |
| 5.15% or above | bid 8¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 5.1% or above | bid 42¢ / ask 46¢ |
| 5.05% or above | bid 80¢ / ask 84¢ |
| 5% or above | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.95% or above | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.9% or above | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.8% or above | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| 4.75% or above | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| 4.7% or above | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| 4.65% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| 4.6% or above | bid 17¢ / ask 27¢ |
| 4.55% or above | bid 60¢ / ask 70¢ |
| 4.5% or above | bid 86¢ / ask 96¢ |
| 4.45% or above | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.4% or above | bid 94¢ (no asks) |
7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.65% or above | — |
| 4.6% or above | — |
| 4.55% or above | — |
| 4.5% or above | — |
| 4.45% or above | bid 13¢ / ask 17¢ |
| 4.4% or above | bid 48¢ / ask 52¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 83¢ / ask 87¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.25% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.5% or above | — |
| 4.45% or above | — |
| 4.4% or above | — |
| 4.35% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 23¢ / ask 27¢ |
| 4.25% or above | bid 59¢ / ask 63¢ |
| 4.2% or above | bid 89¢ / ask 93¢ |
| 4.15% or above | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.1% or above | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.4% or above | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| 4.35% or above | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| 4.3% or above | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| 4.25% or above | bid 5¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 4.2% or above | bid 38¢ / ask 48¢ |
| 4.15% or above | bid 72¢ / ask 82¢ |
| 4.1% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 91¢ |
| 4.05% or above | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4% or above | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
Starbucks Foot Traffic in July — 9 brackets — listed Jul 14, 2026 at 6:46 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 600 Million | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 590 Million | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 580 Million | bid 14¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above 570 Million | bid 35¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 560 Million | bid 46¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Above 550 Million | bid 57¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 540 Million | bid 78¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 530 Million | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 520 Million | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
Walmart Foot Traffic in July — 9 brackets — listed Jul 14, 2026 at 6:44 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1280 Million | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 1260 Million | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 1240 Million | bid 14¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above 1220 Million | bid 35¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 1200 Million | bid 46¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Above 1180 Million | bid 57¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 1160 Million | bid 78¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 1140 Million | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 1120 Million | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
Domino's Foot Traffic in July — 8 brackets — listed Jul 14, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 480 Million | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 470 Million | bid 17¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above 460 Million | bid 34¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 450 Million | bid 45¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Above 440 Million | bid 56¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 430 Million | bid 73¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 420 Million | bid 83¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above 410 Million | bid 87¢ / ask 97¢ |
Who will acquire Delivery Hero this year? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 9:47 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Uber | bid 70¢ / ask 78¢ |
| DoorDash | bid 13¢ / ask 21¢ |
PayPal acquired this year?: Stripe and Advent International (collectively) (bid 77¢ / ask 84¢) — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 9:49 AM ET
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 100.9760 — listed Jul 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
3,987 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,313 | 7 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +4 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 315 | 11 | What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, +8 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 240 | 40 | Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, Lowest Temperature SATX, +37 more |
| 📊 Economics | 119 | 12 | US gas price up, US airline fares CPI in [month], US PPI YoY in [month], +9 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.