Kalshi Markets: Ljubljana Mayoral, DeepSeek, Tocantins

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 04 at 6:30 PM ET through Oct 05 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 557 unique markets across 134 new events, plus 5,207 recurring bracket markets.

📊 Economics

5 events

70 markets

🎬 Entertainment

9 events

61 markets

🏛️ Politics

11 events

47 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

13 events

93 markets

🗳️ Elections

19 events

112 markets

💹 Financials

77 events

174 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Ljubljana mayoral election winner?: Apolonija Simon bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Aleksandar Repić bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Aleš Primc bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

DeepSeek market share this week: Above 24.6% bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Above 23.4% bid 15¢ / ask 16¢, Above 22.9% bid 21¢ / ask 22¢

Google market share this week: Above 21.1% bid 10¢ / ask 11¢, Above 20.8% bid 11¢ / ask 12¢, Above 20.4% bid 12¢ / ask 13¢

OpenAI market share this week: Above 21.9% bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 19.8% bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, Above 18.4% bid 25¢ / ask 26¢

Anthropic market share this week: Above 2.9% bid 12¢ / ask 13¢, Above 2.8% bid 15¢ / ask 16¢, Above 2.7% bid 21¢ / ask 22¢

Grok App Downloads in September: Above 82, Above 78, Above 74 all at bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

Tocantins Governor winner?: Professora Dorinha bid 64¢ / ask 65¢, Vicentinho Júnior bid 30¢ / ask 40¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

📊 Economics

🎬 Entertainment

🏛️ Politics

🔬 Science and Technology

🗳️ Elections

💹 Financials

All New Events

📊 Economics — 5 events, 70 markets

Diesel prices this week — 21 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.52	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above $6.50	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Above $6.48	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Above $6.46	bid 4¢ / ask 14¢
Above $6.44	bid 4¢ / ask 6¢
Above $6.42	bid 5¢ / ask 7¢
Above $6.40	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Above $6.38	bid 8¢ / ask 10¢
Above $6.36	bid 10¢ / ask 13¢
Above $6.34	bid 19¢ / ask 20¢
Above $6.32	bid 20¢ / ask 22¢
Above $6.30	bid 26¢ / ask 27¢
Above $6.28	bid 32¢ / ask 34¢
Above $6.26	bid 33¢ / ask 40¢
Above $6.24	bid 49¢ / ask 52¢
Above $6.22	bid 59¢ / ask 62¢
Above $6.20	bid 69¢ / ask 72¢
Above $6.18	bid 72¢ / ask 78¢
Above $6.16	bid 85¢ / ask 88¢
Above $6.14	bid 89¢ / ask 91¢
Above $6.12	bid 95¢ / ask 98¢

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.370	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.365	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.360	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.355	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.350	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.345	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.340	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.335	last 2¢ (book empty)
Above $6.330	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above $6.325	bid 7¢ / ask 55¢
Above $6.320	bid 10¢ / ask 12¢
Above $6.315	bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Above $6.310	bid 46¢ / ask 48¢
Above $6.305	bid 83¢ / ask 86¢
Above $6.300	bid 85¢ / ask 96¢
Above $6.295	bid 92¢ / ask 96¢
Above $6.290	bid 70¢ / ask 97¢
Above $6.285	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Above $6.280	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above $6.275	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $6.270	bid 99¢ (no asks)

EV commodity prices on Oct 5, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Oct 04, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1253.75	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1243.75	ask 7¢ (no bids)
Above 1233.75	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1223.75	—
Above 1213.75	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1203.75	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1193.75	bid 19¢ / ask 50¢
Above 1183.75	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1173.75	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1163.75	bid 96¢ (no asks)
Above 1153.75	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1143.75	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1133.75	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1123.75	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1113.75	bid 99¢ (no asks)

Disneyland ticket price at year-end 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 05, 2026 at 5:16 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026 — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 05, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

🎬 Entertainment — 9 events, 61 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 6, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yeshanagula \| The Paradise \| Nani \| Keerthy Suresh \| Anirudh Ravichander \| Srikanth Odela	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip	bid 14¢ / ask 23¢
Training Season (Live)	last 1¢ (book empty)
Todo Lo Fue	last 1¢ (book empty)
Shararat	last 1¢ (book empty)
Radhimaa [From "Think Indie"]	last 1¢ (book empty)
Parvati	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 14: z5y8Clp_TdE]	last 1¢ (book empty)
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 5: xvT1jH8B9AM]	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Dame Tu Cosita	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Dai Dai	bid 21¢ / ask 25¢
Casa Tupka Anthemo	bid 13¢ / ask 25¢
BbY WOW	last 1¢ (book empty)
Basinga Balaalu	last 1¢ (book empty)
Barsaat	last 1¢ (book empty)

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 6, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yeshanagula \| The Paradise \| Nani \| Keerthy Suresh \| Anirudh Ravichander \| Srikanth Odela	—
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Training Season (Live)	—
Todo Lo Fue	—
Shararat	—
Radhimaa [From "Think Indie"]	—
Parvati	—
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 14: z5y8Clp_TdE]	—
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 5: xvT1jH8B9AM]	—
Dame Tu Cosita	—
Dai Dai	bid 52¢ / ask 80¢
Casa Tupka Anthemo	—
BbY WOW	—
Basinga Balaalu	—
Barsaat	—

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 6, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
WTF GOIN	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Todo Lo Fue	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV	ask 95¢ (no bids)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Janice STFU	ask 95¢ (no bids)
James 1:17 (Jesus Is King) - Kid Rock [Official Music Video}	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
HOTEL LOBBY (Unc & Phew) (- A COLORS SHOW)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Draw You Out (From The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping - The Album)	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Dai Dai	bid 21¢ / ask 23¢
Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 6: hLOheGDwD_0]	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 2: nUsrYVxrDwI]	bid 18¢ / ask 20¢
BbY WOW	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Alma Rota	ask 95¢ (no bids)
AH HA	ask 95¢ (no bids)
2008	ask 95¢ (no bids)

Taylor Swift Top 10 Spots — Billboard Hot 100 (Oct 17, 2026) — 11 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 10:19 AM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Exactly 9 songs	last 1¢ (book empty)
Exactly 8 songs	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Exactly 7 songs	last 1¢ (book empty)
Exactly 6 songs	last 1¢ (book empty)
Exactly 5 songs	last 1¢ (book empty)
Exactly 4 songs	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Exactly 3 songs	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Exactly 2 songs	bid 3¢ / ask 11¢
Exactly 10 songs	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Exactly 1 song	bid 86¢ / ask 98¢
Exactly 0 songs	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner(s): Beyoncé (bid 1¢ / ask 80¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET

Oscar nominees: Best Director: Nathan Fielder (bid 1¢ / ask 12¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 1:48 PM ET

Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actress: Merritt Wever (bid 6¢ / ask 15¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 1:47 PM ET

Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actor: Skyler Gisondo (bid 11¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 1:43 PM ET

Grammy Winner: Best New Artist: Tie (ask 9¢ (no bids)) — listed Oct 04, 2026 at 10:27 PM ET

🏛️ Politics — 11 events, 47 markets

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 38.0%	bid 5¢ / ask 7¢
38.6%	bid 4¢ / ask 6¢
38.5%	bid 9¢ / ask 12¢
38.4%	bid 14¢ / ask 17¢
38.3%	bid 22¢ / ask 26¢
38.2%	bid 22¢ / ask 23¢
38.1%	bid 15¢ / ask 19¢
38.0%	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Above 38.6%	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 6, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 8.5%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
9.1%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
9.0%	bid 9¢ / ask 16¢
8.9%	bid 14¢ / ask 20¢
8.8%	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
8.7%	bid 22¢ / ask 28¢
8.6%	bid 9¢ / ask 16¢
8.5%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 9.1%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 5, 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 04, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
<5	ask 25¢ (no bids)
40+	bid 3¢ / ask 50¢
5-9	bid 1¢ / ask 70¢
30-39	bid 3¢ / ask 70¢
25-29	bid 3¢ / ask 70¢
20-24	bid 5¢ / ask 60¢
15-19	bid 5¢ / ask 65¢
10-14	bid 5¢ / ask 70¢

Who will be the next President of the European Central Bank? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:46 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Pablo Hernández de Cos	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Olli Rehn	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Nadia Calviño	bid 4¢ / ask 80¢
Klaas Knot	ask 91¢ (no bids)
Joachim Nagel	bid 7¢ / ask 80¢
François Villeroy de Galhau	bid 5¢ / ask 81¢
Fabio Panetta	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢

Who will Barack Obama rally with? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:41 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Troy Jackson	—
Sherrod Brown	—
Mary Peltola	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Josh Turek	—
James Talarico	—
Jon Ossoff	—
Adam Hamilton	—

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 05, 2026 at 6:08 PM ET

Tracking: Greta Thunberg, Campaign to Stop Killer Robots

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Will AI.gov be rebranded as SI.gov before Nov 1, 2026?: Yes (bid 70¢ / ask 79¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:44 PM ET

Will Anthropic and the Vatican meet before Jan 1, 2027?: Yes (bid 26¢ / ask 33¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:43 PM ET

Brazil presidential runoff: will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate?: Before Oct 25, 2026 (bid 5¢ (no asks)) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:41 PM ET

Will any state enact a data center moratorium law in 2026?: Yes (bid 20¢ / ask 29¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:38 PM ET

Will Trump issue dividend payments: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 11¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 3:17 PM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 13 events, 93 markets

OpenRouter token usage in Oct 5–11 — 14 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET

View market strikes (14 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 188 T tokens	bid 20¢ / ask 47¢
Above 186 T tokens	bid 17¢ / ask 52¢
Above 184 T tokens	bid 18¢ / ask 57¢
Above 182 T tokens	bid 21¢ / ask 63¢
Above 180 T tokens	bid 33¢ / ask 66¢
Above 178 T tokens	bid 35¢ / ask 71¢
Above 176 T tokens	bid 40¢ / ask 75¢
Above 174 T tokens	bid 47¢ / ask 79¢
Above 172 T tokens	bid 49¢ / ask 81¢
Above 170 T tokens	bid 60¢ / ask 86¢
Above 168 T tokens	bid 71¢ / ask 87¢
Above 166 T tokens	bid 76¢ / ask 90¢
Above 164 T tokens	bid 78¢ / ask 92¢
Above 162 T tokens	bid 76¢ / ask 93¢

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th — 10 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market options (10 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Z.ai	bid 4¢ / ask 46¢
Xiaomi	bid 12¢ / ask 75¢
Tencent	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Moonshot	bid 5¢ / ask 65¢
MiniMax	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Meituan	bid 2¢ / ask 9¢
DeepSeek	bid 2¢ / ask 33¢
ByteDance	bid 4¢ / ask 29¢
Baidu	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Alibaba	bid 8¢ / ask 72¢

DeepSeek market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 2:22 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 24.6%	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Above 23.4%	bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Above 22.9%	bid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Above 22.6%	bid 25¢ / ask 26¢
Above 22.4%	bid 33¢ / ask 34¢
Above 22.2%	bid 52¢ / ask 56¢
Above 21.9%	bid 76¢ / ask 80¢
Above 21.3%	bid 85¢ / ask 86¢
Above 20.0%	bid 95¢ / ask 97¢

Google market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 2:22 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 22.4%	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Above 21.5%	bid 7¢ / ask 9¢
Above 21.1%	bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Above 20.8%	bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Above 20.6%	bid 11¢ / ask 13¢
Above 20.4%	bid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Above 20.0%	bid 16¢ / ask 17¢
Above 19.3%	bid 26¢ / ask 27¢
Above 17.8%	bid 47¢ / ask 48¢

OpenAI market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 2:21 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 21.9%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 19.8%	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Above 18.7%	bid 25¢ / ask 28¢
Above 18.4%	bid 25¢ / ask 26¢
Above 18.1%	bid 29¢ / ask 34¢
Above 17.8%	bid 47¢ / ask 51¢
Above 17.5%	bid 57¢ / ask 59¢
Above 16.5%	bid 80¢ / ask 84¢
Above 14.1%	bid 94¢ / ask 96¢

Top Coding AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 05, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Qwen, MiniMax, Kimi, Grok, GLM, Gemini, Dola, Claude, ChatGPT

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Best AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 05, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Grok, ChatGPT, Kimi, MUSE, Gemini, Dola, Claude, Amazon Nova, Qwen

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Anthropic market share this week — 8 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 2:21 PM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 2.9%	bid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Above 2.8%	bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Above 2.7%	bid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Above 2.6%	bid 22¢ / ask 23¢
Above 2.5%	bid 32¢ / ask 33¢
Above 2.4%	bid 50¢ / ask 56¢
Above 2.3%	bid 74¢ / ask 78¢
Above 2.1%	bid 88¢ / ask 91¢

Most popular AI this week — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 05, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Z.ai, Xiaomi, Tencent, OpenAI, Google, DeepSeek, Anthropic

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 1:26 AM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before November 1, 2026	bid 20¢ / ask 23¢
Before January 1, 2027	bid 34¢ / ask 41¢
Before December 1, 2026	bid 34¢ / ask 40¢

Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 04, 2026 at 8:11 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
5 or more	bid 13¢ / ask 21¢
2 or more	bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
1 or more	bid 52¢ / ask 62¢

Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026 — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 05, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET

Tracking: Alexis Wright, Cristina Rivera Garza

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?: Yes (bid 28¢ / ask 32¢) — listed Oct 04, 2026 at 8:11 PM ET

🗳️ Elections — 19 events, 112 markets

Who will be a part of the next government of Spain? — 12 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:40 PM ET

View market options (12 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Vox	—
PSOE	—
People's Party	—
Podemos	—
Basque Nationalist Party	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Más Madrid	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Junts per Catalunya	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
United Left	—
Frente Amplio	—
Republican Left of Catalonia	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Comuns	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
EH Bildu	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢

Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout — 11 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:41 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 5,800,000	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
At least 5,700,000	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
At least 5,600,000	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
At least 5,500,000	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
At least 5,400,000	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
At least 5,300,000	—
At least 5,200,000	—
At least 5,100,000	—
At least 5,000,000	bid 10¢ (no asks)
At least 4,900,000	—
At least 4,800,000	—

Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent — 10 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:40 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 31%	bid 3¢ / ask 79¢
At least 30%	bid 3¢ / ask 80¢
At least 29%	bid 3¢ / ask 79¢
At least 28%	—
At least 27%	—
At least 26%	bid 20¢ / ask 97¢
At least 25%	bid 20¢ / ask 97¢
At least 24%	bid 21¢ / ask 97¢
At least 23%	—
At least 21%	—

Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent — 9 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:40 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 37%	ask 91¢ (no bids)
At least 36%	ask 90¢ (no bids)
At least 35%	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
At least 34%	—
At least 33%	—
At least 32%	—
At least 31%	bid 20¢ / ask 98¢
At least 30%	—
At least 28%	—

Ljubljana mayoral election winner? — 9 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:39 PM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Zoran Janković	bid 56¢ / ask 62¢
Mihael Jarc	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Luka Mesec	bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
Jasmin Feratović	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Gregor Novak	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Apolonija Simon	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Anton Rop	bid 10¢ / ask 17¢
Aleksandar Repić	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Aleš Primc	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

Argentina presidential election: first round winner? — 9 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:39 PM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Victoria Villarruel	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Sergio Massa	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Patricia Bullrich	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Mauricio Macri	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Myriam Bregman	—
Juan Schiaretti	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Javier Milei	—
Juan Grabois	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Axel Kicillof	—

Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:46 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Lula da Silva, ≥9%	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Lula da Silva, 6-9%	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Lula da Silva, 3-6%	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Lula da Silva, 0-3%	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Flávio Bolsonaro, 6-9%	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢

Spanish general election: margin of victory — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:39 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
PSOE, ≥3%	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
PSOE, 0-3%	bid 4¢ / ask 11¢
People's Party, 6-9%	bid 21¢ / ask 28¢
People's Party, 3-6%	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
People's Party, ≥12%	bid 3¢ / ask 7¢
People's Party, 9-12%	bid 8¢ / ask 15¢
People's Party, 0-3%	bid 17¢ / ask 24¢

Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout — 6 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:41 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 129,000,000	bid 1¢ / ask 65¢
At least 127,000,000	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
At least 125,000,000	ask 93¢ (no bids)
At least 123,000,000	bid 20¢ / ask 99¢
At least 121,000,000	bid 40¢ / ask 99¢
At least 119,000,000	bid 50¢ / ask 99¢

When will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:43 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 21¢ / ask 97¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	—
Before Jan 1, 2027	—
Before Apr 1, 2027	—
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 3¢ / ask 79¢

Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:38 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Uruguay	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Mexico	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Costa Rica	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Colombia	—
Chile	bid 8¢ (no asks)

Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:37 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Tocantins	bid 20¢ / ask 98¢
Pará	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Minas Gerais	bid 20¢ / ask 99¢
Amapá	—
Amazonas	—

Spanish general election: 2nd place — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:40 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Vox	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
PSOE	bid 85¢ / ask 93¢
People's Party	bid 6¢ / ask 14¢

Spanish general election: 3rd place — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:40 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Vox	bid 90¢ / ask 98¢
PSOE	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
People's Party	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢

Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Romania? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 12:09 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Leonardo Badea	bid 1¢ / ask 63¢
Luca Niculescu	bid 1¢ / ask 76¢
Alexandru Rogobete	bid 1¢ / ask 63¢

Brazil presidential runoff: who will win the vote abroad? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 05, 2026 at 4:41 PM ET

Tracking: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Flávio Bolsonaro

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Espírito Santo Governor winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 12:35 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Ricardo Ferraço	bid 14¢ / ask 16¢
Lorenzo Pazolini	bid 84¢ / ask 86¢

Tocantins Governor winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 12:35 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Vicentinho Júnior	bid 30¢ / ask 40¢
Professora Dorinha	bid 64¢ / ask 65¢

Will Sweden announce a snap election in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 2¢ / ask 80¢) — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 4:41 PM ET

💹 Financials — 77 events, 174 markets

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.79% or above	ask 6¢ (no bids)
5.77% or above	ask 9¢ (no bids)
5.75% or above	bid 3¢ / ask 12¢
5.73% or above	bid 11¢ / ask 19¢
5.71% or above	bid 12¢ / ask 25¢
5.69% or above	bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
5.67% or above	bid 41¢ / ask 59¢
5.65% or above	bid 61¢ / ask 74¢
5.63% or above	bid 69¢ / ask 82¢
5.61% or above	bid 83¢ / ask 92¢
5.59% or above	bid 88¢ / ask 96¢
5.57% or above	bid 90¢ / ask 99¢
5.55% or above	bid 93¢ (no asks)
5.53% or above	bid 95¢ (no asks)
5.51% or above	bid 99¢ (no asks)

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.44% or above	last 2¢ (book empty)
5.42% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
5.4% or above	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
5.38% or above	bid 7¢ / ask 12¢
5.36% or above	bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
5.34% or above	bid 27¢ / ask 30¢
5.32% or above	bid 44¢ / ask 45¢
5.3% or above	bid 57¢ / ask 63¢
5.28% or above	bid 63¢ / ask 76¢
5.26% or above	bid 75¢ / ask 84¢
5.24% or above	bid 86¢ / ask 92¢
5.22% or above	bid 90¢ / ask 98¢
5.2% or above	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
5.18% or above	bid 97¢ (no asks)
5.16% or above	bid 97¢ (no asks)

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.29% or above	bid 2¢ / ask 12¢
5.27% or above	bid 4¢ / ask 16¢
5.25% or above	bid 7¢ / ask 16¢
5.23% or above	bid 12¢ / ask 32¢
5.21% or above	bid 32¢ / ask 43¢
5.19% or above	bid 47¢ / ask 56¢
5.17% or above	bid 70¢ / ask 71¢
5.15% or above	bid 79¢ / ask 82¢
5.13% or above	bid 80¢ / ask 88¢
5.11% or above	bid 88¢ / ask 93¢
5.09% or above	bid 88¢ / ask 97¢
5.07% or above	bid 88¢ (no asks)
5.05% or above	bid 92¢ (no asks)
5.03% or above	bid 95¢ (no asks)
5.01% or above	bid 99¢ (no asks)

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.19% or above	ask 7¢ (no bids)
5.17% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
5.15% or above	bid 5¢ / ask 12¢
5.13% or above	bid 9¢ / ask 16¢
5.11% or above	bid 14¢ / ask 16¢
5.09% or above	bid 24¢ / ask 38¢
5.07% or above	bid 32¢ / ask 52¢
5.05% or above	bid 50¢ / ask 67¢
5.03% or above	bid 61¢ / ask 80¢
5.01% or above	bid 75¢ / ask 87¢
4.99% or above	bid 86¢ / ask 93¢
4.97% or above	bid 88¢ / ask 96¢
4.95% or above	bid 89¢ (no asks)
4.93% or above	bid 92¢ (no asks)
4.91% or above	bid 94¢ (no asks)

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
4.99% or above	ask 7¢ (no bids)
4.97% or above	ask 9¢ (no bids)
4.95% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
4.93% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 17¢
4.91% or above	bid 5¢ / ask 23¢
4.89% or above	bid 8¢ / ask 32¢
4.87% or above	bid 14¢ / ask 41¢
4.85% or above	bid 25¢ / ask 51¢
4.83% or above	bid 40¢ / ask 65¢
4.81% or above	bid 52¢ / ask 79¢
4.79% or above	bid 62¢ / ask 88¢
4.77% or above	bid 70¢ / ask 94¢
4.75% or above	bid 78¢ / ask 97¢
4.73% or above	bid 84¢ / ask 99¢
4.71% or above	bid 88¢ (no asks)

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 12:10 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.26% or above	bid 14¢ / ask 34¢
5.28% or above	bid 12¢ / ask 32¢
5.3% or above	bid 11¢ / ask 30¢
5.32% or above	bid 9¢ / ask 28¢
5.34% or above	bid 8¢ / ask 27¢
5.36% or above	bid 7¢ / ask 25¢
5.38% or above	bid 6¢ / ask 23¢
5.4% or above	bid 5¢ / ask 22¢
5.42% or above	bid 4¢ / ask 20¢
5.44% or above	bid 4¢ / ask 19¢

Grok App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 1:09 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 62	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 66	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 70	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 74	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 78	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 82	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 86	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Above 90	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Above 94	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢

Fear & Greed Index on Oct 30, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Extreme Greed	bid 1¢ / ask 60¢
Extreme Fear	bid 1¢ / ask 70¢
Neutral	bid 9¢ / ask 75¢
Greed	bid 8¢ / ask 75¢
Fear	bid 12¢ / ask 75¢

Amusement Parks Ad Spend in September — 3 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 147	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 149	bid 16¢ (no asks)
Above 151	bid 6¢ (no asks)

ChatGPT App Downloads in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 05, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 65	bid 47¢ / ask 98¢
Above 50	bid 52¢ / ask 98¢
Above 35	bid 52¢ / ask 98¢

Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 05, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 04, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 157.882 (bid 46¢ / ask 56¢) — listed Oct 04, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 04, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 04, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.12211 (bid 61¢ / ask 72¢) — listed Oct 04, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 04, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.32240 (bid 53¢ / ask 57¢) — listed Oct 04, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

5,207 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	3,961	21	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +18 more
📊 Economics	736	40	South Carolina gas price, New Mexico gas price, Ohio gas price, +37 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	441	65	Where will it rain daily, Where will it rain this weekend?, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, +62 more
🎬 Entertainment	49	6	DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Album be runner up this week?, Billboard Top 200 #1, +3 more
🔬 Science and Technology	16	2	Z.ai market share, Top model
🏛️ Politics	4	1	Which states will Trump visit this month?

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: Ljubljana Mayoral Election, DeepSeek, Tocantins Governor — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:32 PM ET, Oct 05)

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📊 Economics — 5 events, 70 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 9 events, 61 markets

🏛️ Politics — 11 events, 47 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 13 events, 93 markets

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💹 Financials — 77 events, 174 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

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